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Advanced Emissions Solutions, Inc. Message Board

tonofelephant 79 posts  |  Last Activity: 5 hours ago Member since: Sep 20, 1999
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  • Reply to

    OPEC what a bunch of jokers!

    by thewisejman Sep 28, 2016 4:48 PM
    tonofelephant tonofelephant 5 hours ago Flag

    Wise, my reading of "the deal" is that they agreed to make an agreement (non-binding for now) about a deal for November. No actual cuts were made yet. This is just pre-spooking the market. We have 6-8 weeks before this pseudo-deal becomes reality.

    In addition, in the past the cheating by the OPEC nations was so rampant on other deals that the "deal" was just a smoke screen to hide behind. I can't imagine the Saudis cutting back except on paper their flow of oil - along with Nigeria, Libya, Venezuela, Iran, Iraq, et al are addicted to oil money. No money = unrest in the populace -can't have that. So oil will pump, pump, pump.

  • Reply to

    Glitch city on the board today

    by ockiote Sep 23, 2016 12:53 PM
    tonofelephant tonofelephant Sep 24, 2016 7:45 AM Flag

    Some people actually do still use IE. It is less of a space hog and does not track you as relentlessly as Chrome.

  • tonofelephant by tonofelephant Sep 23, 2016 11:29 AM Flag

    End of July through the end of August bought and sold ENDP (who make Perkocept among other things) three times for a 30% profit. Just got back in ENDP on 9/20 for $19.85 and sold out today for $23.6535. Price went up today because of a change in CEO, not a new successful phase 3 trial, not introducing a new drug to start testing. Just a CEO change. This last trade had nothing to do with skill, intelligence, just pure blind luck. I'll take luck.

    Will probably buy back in around $19.50 - $20. That seems to be the sweet spot recently. Don't know if it will roll back that much but will wait and see. Think today could be categorized as irrational exuberance.

  • tonofelephant tonofelephant Sep 18, 2016 9:47 PM Flag

    Phil, not trying to be stupid but, do people actually work on their cars anymore? Before marriage did all kinds of things on cars. Now don't see much of that.

  • tonofelephant tonofelephant Sep 18, 2016 12:48 PM Flag

    Yeah Kiote have seen it here in my podunk town also. Have been staying away from the auto industry for about 18 months now. With the Takada airbag thing now blowing up in Fords & GM's face after doing in Toyota and Honda, threat of a potential/pending/possible recession and the vehicle loans just don't have the stomach for cars. The airbag thing is not a killer in itself but it is the combo of all three that makes me quietly walk away and leave it to others.

    AS to where to look, KMX (carmax) would seem to be my best (really a poor) idea. Might want to think about the underlying things used cars would need, but could not come up with a better angle for you.

    Leave you with this thought: if have bunches of cars on lots to sell, wouldn't there be a need for "predatory lending" to get people into cars/trucks? Who would be heading up the predatory lending - not big banks but someone off the radar rather like Countryside Mortgage before the 2008 Recession. Probably local banks would also not be in on this. This might be a good play for a year or two if you can find the players and if they are a listed stock(s). This could be a risky play if a recession comes up, but not a problem if only a small part of a portfolio of loans.

    Hope this sparks some other thoughts from others.

  • Reply to

    Off topic: Somebody is all wet!

    by lnhirst Sep 17, 2016 11:35 AM
    tonofelephant tonofelephant Sep 18, 2016 8:14 AM Flag

    Interesting article, sell FTR today since they may possibly have some problems in 2018. Sell your stock a good year+ before the problem cited might possibly give FTR some gas? Are the finance folks at FTR that sorry that they cannot see and solve a problem a year in advance? This maybe a problem in 9 months to a year but not now.

    The article smells badly on timing alone. Am not FTR's booster, just loathe articles from"respected" news sources trying to cause panic where there is none for a headline or worse to corner the market on a stock.

  • Reply to

    Does anyone else feel cheated?

    by ockiote Sep 16, 2016 3:41 PM
    tonofelephant tonofelephant Sep 17, 2016 7:29 AM Flag

    Have a great weekend Slick.

  • Reply to

    ENJOY while you can

    by thewisejman Sep 8, 2016 8:54 PM
    tonofelephant tonofelephant Sep 9, 2016 11:26 AM Flag

    Completely understand IM. We all define risk and other empirical facts like volume, p/e, stock price differently. Have a great day.

  • Reply to

    OT - LXRX

    by tonofelephant Sep 9, 2016 8:07 AM
    tonofelephant tonofelephant Sep 9, 2016 9:59 AM Flag

    And I am out this am of LXRX. Bought more at the pre-mkt. Then sold in the regular mkt after it was apparent that LXRX was not going to hit $21 or $23. Now to get on with my day. Have a wonderful day.

  • tonofelephant by tonofelephant Sep 9, 2016 8:07 AM Flag

    LXRX was up this pre-mkt on news that their diabetes drug got through phase 3 trials successfully. Stock ran up from yesterdays close of $15.31 to a high this am of $23. Price fell back to $19. Looks like I missed the early boat and will wait for a later boat to cruise in on. Really did not miss anything since I could not trade before 8 am. Other traders can get in as early as 6 am.

  • Reply to

    ENJOY while you can

    by thewisejman Sep 8, 2016 8:54 PM
    tonofelephant tonofelephant Sep 9, 2016 7:12 AM Flag

    Inhirst, like a lot of BDC's FTR's main attraction is its dividend. Price appreciation is not, nor really has it ever been,the stellar motivation for buying. With FTR it is more important to get it cheap (at around $4.70 or less currently) and hold for awhile and collect the dividend.

    An additional benefit is if you have Frontier Communications (like I do) for your landline and internet you can get some of the money back that you pay each month.

    FTR is not the ideal stock to hold through a recession (2008). I did for part of the 2008 recession and was sorry I did. To me it is a short term play since it was at an okay price originally and dropped so I could buy more.

    A better infrastructure stock to look at might be HIFR. It has a nice divie with the benefit of rising in price recently. I could stay with HIFR for awhile.

  • tonofelephant tonofelephant Sep 9, 2016 6:55 AM Flag

    Agree Kel. Been having to move a little further out on the fringes to find something interesting to buy. Even then some of the stocks I have DD'd have taken off for no reason whatsoever and others that looked like winners in the short term have turned around and bit me. Cheers to better buying.

  • Reply to

    OT- CHK

    by tonofelephant Sep 8, 2016 4:27 PM
    tonofelephant tonofelephant Sep 8, 2016 6:41 PM Flag

    It is gratifying though Phil, I bought CHK 4 months ago at $4.59 and have debated selling it ever since. Today am a little closer to my goal of selling for a good profit.

    On another note, was researching more Bio-Pharma stocks today. Two of the ones I discarded, HSGX and BTX, went up today in a decisive manner (12% and 15% as I remember). There was no news on them. I guess the stock buyers were taking their bidding from "on high". I sure could not figure out the reason. Wonder where I plug into that "inspiration". Have a great evening.

  • tonofelephant by tonofelephant Sep 8, 2016 4:27 PM Flag

    Was a good day for CHK, up almost 14%. Almost hit $8. Bought another bunch of CHK this am in the pre-mkt. Will think on tonight if I want to sell some of it or hold over the next week. Will be gone to the wilds of Indiana next week to pick up a sculpture coming off lease. Being gone, will be in and out of contact with the stock market.

    Hope CHK continues on its' upward trajectory. Particularly since it has blown through all the analyst prices of $5 and $6.

  • Reply to

    OT - PNNT

    by tonofelephant Sep 2, 2016 5:36 PM
    tonofelephant tonofelephant Sep 3, 2016 1:57 PM Flag

    Phil I would not be buying PNNT either right now. No news, top of its range, and not sure of which direction it would take. Been sitting on PNNT since July of 2015 and used it as a plaything. When it went down bought some when it went up sold some. Ended up with a bunch at $5.95 and just let it sit

  • tonofelephant by tonofelephant Sep 2, 2016 5:36 PM Flag

    PNNT is having weird doings. Been slowly going up past couple of weeks. And today hit a new high of $8. Now in the after hours it is up to $8.39. Three buys totaling 4,500 shares ran up PNNT 4.8%. on no news other than PNNT was going to do the right thing and pay their $.28 dividend. Very odd.

  • Reply to


    by ockiote Aug 31, 2016 11:00 AM
    tonofelephant tonofelephant Aug 31, 2016 5:14 PM Flag

    Agree Phil, i t is good to have the house paid for. Got the bank's boot off my neck 15 years ago. It was my wife's idea to get a 15 year mortgage [All Hail, All Hail Her].

  • Reply to

    Agri-business should be safe

    by inter_regnum Aug 30, 2016 10:18 AM
    tonofelephant tonofelephant Aug 30, 2016 5:28 PM Flag

    Funny buying up some CY was what I was engaged with today also. Any new rumors about the buyout??

  • Reply to

    Agri-business should be safe

    by inter_regnum Aug 30, 2016 10:18 AM
    tonofelephant tonofelephant Aug 30, 2016 3:47 PM Flag

    Inter,, normally this would be an okay time to think POT or Mosaic. But I would hesitate for two reasons. Keltus' post below about the harvest and secondly the large Russian potash miner who last year (I think) roiled the market by cutting prices to get market share. Really like the Potash trade since farmers have to use it but the market could break against you badly on very short notice. Last I checked it still seemed unstable - could be wrong.

    If you want to invest in farmers et al - another strategy is Farmland Partners (FPI), Gladstone Land (LAND), and American Farmland (AFCO). All are slightly different but a different twist on investing in farms. I would be interested in this if they come down a little more in price.

    Had also looked at recycling operations for pig and chicken farms - recycling the poop that is generated. This seems to be a small but growing movement. Unfortunately the companies involved all seem to be privately owned. Rather like all the desalinazation plants (turning salt water into fresh water) all seem to be either foreign or privately owned or both and usually not in ETF's or Mutual Funds.

  • Reply to

    OT - New buys and sells

    by tonofelephant Aug 29, 2016 12:12 PM
    tonofelephant tonofelephant Aug 29, 2016 2:37 PM Flag

    Thank you CL for the lead. Like the company but they are too close to their 52 week high for me. If they roll back into the $20's I would be interested. Love their dividend and also how much territory they cover. Did not see them in this weekends hunt for REITS & ETF's. Must need new glasses.

7.75-0.20(-2.52%)Sep 29 4:00 PMEDT