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Nintendo Co. Ltd. Message Board

CD_Vision 37 posts  |  Last Activity: 22 hours ago Member since: Jul 7, 2008
  • Every Black Friday WiiU offer is sold out now.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Panjiva analyzed shipment trends of various buzzed-about toys in 2014 and found that, based on their buying behaviors, retailers are expecting consumers will spend sizably on puppies and dogs this holiday shopping season. With 681 shipments from August through October, merchandise from Paw Patrol, a preschool-aged TV series starring a pack of puppies, is among the top new toys on this year’s list. The robotic, interactive dog Zoomer is also a toy retailers are betting big on, with 417 shipments—a nearly 300 percent increase over the toy’s 2013 holiday season shipments.

    Retailers may be hedging their bets on the aforementioned and other newer toys by also stocking shelves with perennial favorites—especially dolls. Shipments of [Mattel’s (MAT)] Barbie continue to be among the top overall toys every year. America’s favorite fashion doll experienced 3,000 shipments this year, marking a 32 percent increase over last year . . . Doc McStuffins, Monster High and Sofia the First are among the other dolls retailers appear to be stocking on shelves, with 901, 765 and 663 shipments, respectively.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Panjiva analyzed shipment trends of various buzzed-about toys in 2014 and found that, based on their buying behaviors, retailers are expecting consumers will spend sizably on puppies and dogs this holiday shopping season. With 681 shipments from August through October, merchandise from Paw Patrol, a preschool-aged TV series starring a pack of puppies, is among the top new toys on this year’s list. The robotic, interactive dog Zoomer is also a toy retailers are betting big on, with 417 shipments—a nearly 300 percent increase over the toy’s 2013 holiday season shipments.

    Retailers may be hedging their bets on the aforementioned and other newer toys by also stocking shelves with perennial favorites—especially dolls. Shipments of [Mattel’s (MAT)] Barbie continue to be among the top overall toys every year. America’s favorite fashion doll experienced 3,000 shipments this year, marking a 32 percent increase over last year . . . Doc McStuffins, Monster High and Sofia the First are among the other dolls retailers appear to be stocking on shelves, with 901, 765 and 663 shipments, respectively.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Outlook

    by confluence12003 Nov 26, 2014 12:18 PM
    cd_vision cd_vision Nov 26, 2014 12:33 PM Flag

    Err wait, sorry. You said 2015. That would be next year. Doh. Well that's a big drop, I wonder what's coming that they know about so far ahead..

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Outlook

    by confluence12003 Nov 26, 2014 12:18 PM
    cd_vision cd_vision Nov 26, 2014 12:24 PM Flag

    That would be really bizarre being that they've already booked $2.5 Billion in the first 3 quarters.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Mattel 2014

    by tinipupinni Nov 17, 2014 6:18 PM
    cd_vision cd_vision Nov 25, 2014 11:22 PM Flag

    So hey, I'm just curious, can you explain because I don't to that technical analysis thing. If the stock crosses above it's 20 DMA does that make the future bright? Or is it just more of a confirmation that the future was never really that dim? Serious question though, what makes 20 days of price activity super meaningful?

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Big trouble in toyland

    by tinipupinni Nov 17, 2014 9:33 PM
    cd_vision cd_vision Nov 25, 2014 11:15 PM Flag

    I don't have a loss. My average cost is actually slightly below where today's price is. The reason being because Mattel didn't even catch my attention until it had already had this huge fall. It didn't take me very long to go through the financials and realize that this sucker is gonna bounce big time. I'm talking about a move up by 50-80% over the next year. There's no chance I'm selling mine.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Big trouble in toyland

    by tinipupinni Nov 17, 2014 9:33 PM
    cd_vision cd_vision Nov 25, 2014 5:37 PM Flag

    I was at Wal-Mart last night and there doesn't appear to be any shortage of stuff there.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    What is the "Other Income" in the 10-k?

    by cd_vision Nov 24, 2014 6:27 PM
    cd_vision cd_vision Nov 24, 2014 8:04 PM Flag

    Answered my own question my reading the annual report lol. It's interest and management fees on the loans they originate.

  • Can someone explain to me how this company makes money? I see that revenues are low but there is an "Other Income" listed in the income statement for a few years now that far exceeds it. What is that source of income, and is it something that will continue?

  • Check the Mattel news feed, it talks about the top ten most searched toys according to Google Analytics. #1 is American Girl, which was recently put out as a limited run offer this Christmas. And we also have #9 in the Barbie dream house.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Why did Berkshire sell?

    by cd_vision Nov 17, 2014 12:26 AM
    cd_vision cd_vision Nov 20, 2014 4:05 PM Flag

    Well yeah, but they moved the money over into GM, and they are most certainly not looking like a healthier company. I guess I'll probably have to wait till the shareholders meeting to get info on why they'd do this. I can't see Berkshire holding a company like GM long term. It's probably one of Todd Comb#$%$.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • cd_vision cd_vision Nov 20, 2014 3:40 PM Flag

    I know a good number of 40+ year olds who enjoy Transformers quite a bit. Not sure what you're really trying to say here. I also don't find that tablets are very shareable with your friends.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • cd_vision cd_vision Nov 20, 2014 3:11 PM Flag

    At this moment they're up a little more than 10% from the year low. It's no longer a falling knife.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Why did Berkshire sell?

    by cd_vision Nov 17, 2014 12:26 AM
    cd_vision cd_vision Nov 20, 2014 12:13 PM Flag

    I understand the difference, but the company is showing efficiency in costs that suggest an increase moving forward. The balance sheet and cash flow statements also don't suggest any serious problems.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Why did Berkshire sell?

    by cd_vision Nov 17, 2014 12:26 AM
    cd_vision cd_vision Nov 19, 2014 9:01 PM Flag

    Yeah, you know, the income statement. As in the accounting statement that's inside of their annual reports. It tells me things about how the company is handling various operating costs and how much money they are earning. Companies with certain types of ratios in those numbers tend to do well continuously. Deere has characteristics of a well run company, so I was surprised to see Berkshire sell at what is otherwise a good price to pay.

    Surpised especially because they took the money and put it into a different company (GM) that does not have good numbers. Hope that helps.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Big trouble in toyland

    by tinipupinni Nov 17, 2014 9:33 PM
    cd_vision cd_vision Nov 19, 2014 8:41 PM Flag

    What's this about the port? I haven't seen that anywhere else.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • It's just too good of a deal to pass on.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Big trouble in toyland

    by tinipupinni Nov 17, 2014 9:33 PM
    cd_vision cd_vision Nov 19, 2014 1:32 PM Flag

    The key figure to focus on here is a "worst case" scenario based on Mattel getting a 20% drop in operating income. That's meaningful to be sure. But the market has brought the share price down by close to 40%. All Mattel has to do is get sales to where they were before Frozen, and the stock should recover half of what it's lost. But management is better than that. They're cutting expenses as well as bringing in new products. The big reason that earnings missed in the 2nd quarter was from an acquisition, not because sales were bad. And as I mentioned previously, they are aggressively marketing their brands for Christmas to get those products in the minds of consumers again. Combine that with the other favorable economic conditions that are in place right now and Mattel will come back even stronger than before.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    where is everyone?

    by steveyesilcimen Nov 12, 2014 2:19 PM
    cd_vision cd_vision Nov 19, 2014 12:58 AM Flag

    First, analysts aren't insiders. Second, they're wrong. Go search for the Toys R Us Black Friday ad and you'll see that Mattel is aggressively marketing it's products for Christmas. Everything on the front page except for the Polaroid tablet is made by Mattel or one of it's subsidiaries. The strong dollar is going to give them better pricing power, and low oil prices are gonna let parents splurge on their kids this year. I'll go ahead and give you that that $3 EPS is pretty optimistic, but we are definitely going to shock analysts when the year end results are posted. The only valid concern that you've actually raised is in regards to Frozen, but don't worry about that either. Mattel's cost saving plans and new products will fill that gap, and since they won't be selling Frozen, they also won't have to pay to advertise it, which will also help lower their operating costs. We will see Mattel approaching $60/share by next Christmas. Most likely sooner than that.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

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