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Waste Connections Inc. Message Board

Carolyn_Novice 345 posts  |  Last Activity: 16 hours ago Member since: Feb 3, 1999
  • Reply to

    Historical Year ending DIS 95.03

    by carolyn_novice Dec 29, 2014 9:24 AM
    carolyn_novice carolyn_novice Dec 29, 2014 3:21 PM Flag

    I played some Russian stocks, and oil stocks and drillers, but was wise to get out with small but good losses. So we never know what is in store for this market. I sold Disney more than 5 times in last 3 months, only bought twice with more than 25 cents from price I sold. Rest it was good gains, buying more than $1 cheaper.

    Now I will leave my holdings, and wait to see on December 31, 2014 before closing. Disney should retrace some of the gains, only if it spikes up on very low volume from here.

    Sincerely,

    Carolyn Novice

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Historical Year ending DIS 95.03

    by carolyn_novice Dec 29, 2014 9:24 AM
    carolyn_novice carolyn_novice Dec 29, 2014 11:06 AM Flag

    There are many a slip between the cup and the lip.

    I remember when apple was $700 there were folks like you thinking it will go to $1000. But it went down below $500.

    Something will go wrong; we could be close to the end of this boom cycle.

    Disney has debts, and interest rates will be higher and borrowing cost.

    Labor cost will be higher next 5 years, due to wages and medical insurance.

    Strong dollar will affect foreign profits. Disney profits will slow down.

    Good luck!

    Sincerely,

    Carolyn Novice

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    In 2015 Disney will be below $105.

    by lim_tung Dec 28, 2014 10:53 PM
    carolyn_novice carolyn_novice Dec 29, 2014 9:53 AM Flag

    Please go easy on China, we owe more than trillion, and in next 10 years they will be buying US stocks and assets.

    China also has their own amusement parks. Disney investment in China is less than 3 billion, and the theme park has delay of more than a year. I think it will open in 2015.

    Frankly speaking more than million visitors come to USA from China, Also we have 250,000 Chinese students in US universities.

    China will do very good buying foreign assets.

    Please be polite to those who copy our DVD's and may copy our technology and beat us.

    Good luck!

    Sincerely,

    Carolyn Novice

    Brokers are buying for Disney reinvestment of dividend

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • carolyn_novice by carolyn_novice Dec 29, 2014 9:24 AM Flag

    1. It is bullish seasonal and can it continue?
    2. Market is over bought so is Disney
    3. Bullish sentiment is very high above 55%
    4. For investors long-term Disney is rewarding
    5. For traders it depends on your ability to trade in and out
    6. Hedge funds are short of Disney
    7. Mutual funds are under invested in Disney
    8. Disney reinvestment of dividend starts soon
    9. Big player do front running, buying DIS before and selling Jan 7, 2015
    10. You be the judge of your investment.

    Year ending-------Close ------- Change------- % Change
    2,007 ------- 32.28 ------- -1.99 ------- -5.81%
    2,008 ------- 22.69 ------- -9.59 ------- -29.71%
    2,009 ------- 32.25 ------- 9.56 ------- 42.13%
    2,010 ------- 37.51 ------- 5.26 ------- 16.31%
    2,011 ------- 37.50 ------- -0.01 ------- -0.03%
    2,012 ------- 49.79 ------- 12.29 ------- 32.77%
    2,013 ------- 76.40 ------- 26.61 ------- 53.44%
    2,014 ------- 95.03 ------- 18.63 ------- 24.38%.......We have a few days

    After big run up we can expect some consolidation.

    Good luck!

    Sincerely,

    Carolyn Novice

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • carolyn_novice by carolyn_novice Dec 28, 2014 6:29 PM Flag

    Has not done any thing, for long time, what ever it does will be temporary.

    Happy New Year.

    Sincerely,

    Carolyn Novice

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Elliot wave on December 26, 2014, price gave Bullish Wave 5 indicator.

    Wave 5 is last of the impulse wave and it is not as dynamic as the third wave of the Elliot wave cycle. This wave marks the last burst of buying before a new trend starts.

    On June 16, 2014, MTOR made a new high 15.14, and then on October 15, 2014 it made low of 9.46. Since then it is in accumulation. It seems more than 19 million have been accumulated.

    Starting August 19, 2014, MTOR has made a cup and handle chart, and on December 26, 2014, stock broke through up through the handle, with low volume.

    Only thing missing is Volume, we will know before the end of this year if this is a genuine breakout?

    Short interest is giving good signal.

    Settlement Date…… Short Interest Avg Daily Volume Days To Cover
    12/15/2014….. 6,763,869….. 1,440,792…… 4.69
    11/28/2014…… 6,271,857…… 1,395,524….. 4.49
    11/14/2014…… 5,492,758….. 2,196,556….. 2.50

    Please do your research, MTOR is a close held by a few institutions and stock even under accumulation can come under selling pressure.

    Please watch out for High Volume and true guidance and direction of the stock.

    Sincerely,

    Carolyn Novice

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • 1. Average Daily Volume trend is decreasing, please see below.
    2. Short interest is increasing
    3. New High should be confirmed by more than 125% volume.
    4. At new high stock is moving because everyone who owns is making money.
    5. More buy orders, and less sell orders at old prices.
    6. Requires Higher Bid Price and Higher Offer and More Volume
    7. There is no overhead supply at these levels.
    8. There should be gaps on study small accumulation and trading range.
    9. Before short covering, professionals traders should by big blocks
    10. Floor traders buying for their syndicates should bid and chase to fill orders.

    When looking at technical picture rules are simple, Graphs knows the news and stock movement knows buying and selling pressure.

    Nightly Business Report December 26, 2014, Mentioned three stocks for 20% move in 2015…..Apple, Disney & Taser Intl

    Settlement Date ……Short Interest…… Avg Daily Volume…. Days To Cover 12/15/2014………… 45,796,064…….. 7,232,999………….. 6.33…..New
    11/28/2014………… 45,138,892……. 6,075,637 ……………..7.42

    Sincerely,

    Carolyn Novice

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • carolyn_novice by carolyn_novice Dec 27, 2014 8:22 PM Flag

    1. Will it make anew new high On December 29, 2014
    2. Where will it close end of this year 2014.

    December 31, 2013 ….closing…..9.60
    December 26, 2014…..closing…..14.05…..46.35% up move.

    Good luck!

    Sincerely,
    Carolyn Novice

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • carolyn_novice carolyn_novice Dec 26, 2014 11:46 AM Flag

    Date --------- Volume --------- High --------- Low
    19-Dec --------- 124,560 --------- 93.20 --------- 92.89
    22-Dec --------- 74,775 --------- 94.36 --------- 94.20
    23-Dec --------- 53,858 --------- 95.07 --------- 94.69
    24-Dec --------- 21,660 --------- 95.12 --------- 94.42
    26-Dec --------- 10,000 --------- 95.09 --------- 94.52

    Volume is declining, we can not think long term, until volume picks up. In one year 25% from here is very unlikely.

    We need long term only when the stock market is string a big bull move, as of now there a less than 200 new high. Until new high pick up, we need to be very careful.

    Traders, long and shorts game going on. Please sit and watch, message board to see what Disney will do a year from now, we will all be wrong.

    Good luck!

    Sincerely,

    Carolyn Novice
    As of now some shorts are covering, so we see the sideway trend. By end of this trading day we could get some conclusion. For 10 cent up or down move there are more than 50,000 shares available.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • After Disney making the 95.09….94.52 range on low volume till 11:00am.

    It looks like weak holders are out, now come the major players, time to watch the game in progress. Will it make a new high, or take one more time down.

    It looks like Disney buying is from floor traders, and Disney will close higher for the New Year.

    The quality stock buying is very good and that means informed minority.

    Floor Traders know from buying and selling and the source.

    Good luck!

    Sincerely,
    Carolyn Novice

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • ICLR opened late for nearly 10 minutes, Buyers and sellers with more than 25 cents apart on 200 shares. It looks like there are only few big players who mange this stock.

    The good quality stocks are being collected for 2015 ICLR is good bet. It has more than 6 weeks of bas building, not sure how long before it can move above to higher price.

    Semi holiday but the ICLR volume is very low 31,036 in first 80 minutes, it did not trade for 15 minutes.

    The stock is being watched by smart traders; ICLR has a wedge graph and needs more volume and move 53.50 to give a technical buying.

    ICLR is the right group, and will participate in major up move. It is not only the earning, but the business cycle and business setup.

    Time to collect for rainy days, only thing the low volume it can go short term down 5 to 10% with no reasons.

    Please do your research.

    Good luck!
    .
    Sincerely,

    Carolyn Novice

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • The good quality stocks are being collected for 2015.

    Semi holiday but the MTOR volume is respectable 185,000 in first hour.

    There are Options, Stop Loss Orders and Shorts, being watched by smart traders, MTOR can make a serious attempt towards new high or we could have a higher trading range.

    MTOR is the right group, and will participate in major up move. It is not the earning, but the business cycle and business setup, with oil price on the decline, right stock to own.

    Good luck!
    .
    Sincerely,

    Carolyn Novice

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • carolyn_novice by carolyn_novice Dec 26, 2014 9:50 AM Flag

    Options, stop loss orders and shorts as well traders, Disney can do anything, only thing to watch new high or trading range.

    index buying could take it higher near the close.

    Good lucK!

    Sincerely,

    Carolyn Novice

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • carolyn_novice carolyn_novice Dec 24, 2014 7:55 PM Flag

    If you can weather the storm, then why are you telling others?

    Is it a buy or sell here? If so why and for how long?

    If it is a hold then where will you exit, if ever?

    The new movie, Into the Woods will be released on Christmas Day. We should get the review soon. Trailer on YouTube looks very good. Stock may react after Monday, December 29, 2014, when major players return.

    S&P a year target is $98 and it is listed as outperform, other research firms like Zacks give natural rating.

    When a stock makes a new high on a low volume, the high is technically not confirmed, even then there is no over head supply, and how much Disney stock can go higher is anyone’s wild guess.

    Today’s activity near the close is normal by members on NYSE cleaning their inventory.

    Good luck!

    Sincerely,

    Carolyn Novice

  • carolyn_novice carolyn_novice Dec 24, 2014 10:46 AM Flag

    You maybe right, I will pick some soon around these levels. I am watching. there has to be some profit taking after such big run up. So if I lose and buy 25 to 50 cents up or down, makes no difference. I am a trader.

    My orders are in.

    Good lucK!

    Sincerely,

    Carolyn Novice

  • carolyn_novice carolyn_novice Dec 23, 2014 10:32 PM Flag

    funtoday89 I was considering selling to today at 95 but held on. I think I might pull the trigger tomorrow and buy back in the lower 90’s or under 90.

    1. Traders and investors have different objectives.
    2. It is very difficult to sell in strength.
    3. December 26, 2014 is Boxing Day.
    4. Disney is up 5% in the past 5 up days.
    5. What about 6 up days?....good luck!
    6. Google Search, 20 Golden Rules For Traders.

    20. Beat the crowd in and out the door. You have to take their money before they take yours, period.

    I am watching King of Kings on TCM.

    Wishing you all

    Merry Christmas

    Sincerely,

    Carolyn Novice

  • Market closes early on December 24, 2014

    1. December 26, 2014 is Boxing Day
    2. GPK is in Box business
    3. Can it make another high tomorrow?

    Merry Christmas

    Sincerely,

    Carolyn Novice

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • carolyn_novice carolyn_novice Dec 23, 2014 10:17 PM Flag

    You seem to be a very wise and skillful investor and I will always remain Novice. When Disney makes $100, I will be the first one to congratulate you.

    Merry Christmas

    Sincerely,

    Carolyn Novice

  • I like to sell in strength.

    Sincerely,

    Carolyn Novice

  • Volume 444,000 is low so far…in the first half hour
    Settlement Date…… Short Interest……… Daily Share Volume….Days To Cover
    11/28/2014….. 45,138,892…. 6,075,637…. 7.42
    11/14/2014….. 46,816,534….. 7,520,739…. 6.22

    It is Holiday Christmas Spirit giving time.

    Good luck!
    Sincerely,

    Carolyn Novice

WCN
43.59-0.62(-1.40%)Jan 28 4:06 PMEST

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