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Arch Coal Inc. Message Board

a8bil 29 posts  |  Last Activity: Nov 23, 2015 4:49 PM Member since: May 23, 2005
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  • a8bil a8bil Nov 23, 2015 4:49 PM Flag

    Let's hope. I don't know the value of any of these anecdotes. For all I know, there were 20+ BiB in the store last week and they reshuffled GH to fill empty spots left by all the BiB sales. ;) Who knows...prior efforts to predict sales have been in my estimation pretty unreliable. Just thought it was interesting how heavily promoted GH was. That has to cost something, right?

  • a8bil a8bil Nov 23, 2015 4:34 PM Flag

    Visited our local target. Had one BiB buried on a bottom shelf, end of aisle (away from main corridor) where it was difficult to find. Guitar Hero by contrast had at least 20+ in stock, a major, interactive display and prime space at the front of the electronics department. Clearly GH has more clout at least in some stores.

  • Reply to

    Bleeding again 18% hair cut in one week

    by wahhabm Nov 20, 2015 11:57 AM
    a8bil a8bil Nov 20, 2015 3:38 PM Flag

    LOL...I know you know the difference between fact and opinion. ;) I may acquire more shares in the future, but I won't do so by soft bashing the stock to get a lower price. It's a high risk/high reward proposition, but the number of opportunities they are working on is very promising. Hope you have an enjoyable Thanksgiving holiday with your family.

  • a8bil a8bil Nov 20, 2015 2:49 PM Flag

    And yet, CSIQ continues to trade in a manner divorced from its underlying fundamentals. It's funny how 2headedsnake is constantly the harbinger of doom and like most professional bashers there is a shred of truth in most of his posts. But for every potential negative identified in CSIQ's future, i.e. margins compressing, lack of project pipeline, CSIQ continues to pursue and find excellent solutions. At some point, the market will figure out that solar is the future, and CSIQ is perhaps the best performing company in the sector.

  • Reply to

    Bleeding again 18% hair cut in one week

    by wahhabm Nov 20, 2015 11:57 AM
    a8bil a8bil Nov 20, 2015 1:58 PM Flag

    Again, your reasoning is sophmoric, and you clearly don't understand the difference between fact and opinion. You also don't understand micro caps. All it takes is for one trader to decide that he/she can deploy funds elsewhere for better returns to knock down a share price---it can have NOTHING to do with disappointment about earnings and everything to do with looking for a stock that has more fluctuations and volumes to facilitate trades. That you automatically assume it was not a trader but an investor who is disappointed with results and is unwilling to hold for the next ER exposes you for the basher you are. Again, stop with the nonsense. You are transparent, and each post you make reveals further both your motives and your lack of sophistication. Don't bother responding. You are on ignore.

  • Reply to

    Bleeding again 18% hair cut in one week

    by wahhabm Nov 20, 2015 11:57 AM
    a8bil a8bil Nov 20, 2015 1:34 PM Flag

    Your commentary is not "presenting facts," it is your opinion. It is a negative outlook and viewpoint, which is why Fishaker asked whether you are someone who likes to bash a stock you own. You are bashing it. If anything, the last report shed more light on the company's progress, and reflects to shareholders that it is in a better position now than what was understood prior to the report. Before the report, the share price fluctuated above and below where we now sit. Those are normal gyrations for a low float stock, not "bleeding" as you like to call it while bashing. Enough of your sophistry.

  • Reply to

    Why'd you decrease your position b_fr_nk?

    by emoryhowie Nov 5, 2015 11:34 AM
    a8bil a8bil Nov 5, 2015 12:23 PM Flag

    LOL...b_fr_nk. Classic retort by you. Find a sore and just pick at it to deflect examination of who you are and what you do.

    I'ld have more respect for you, if you would just own it. As Neil says, it is what it is. In fact, I'm sure there are some who admire you for your cunning and deception. And, I'm pretty sure you are proud of yourself, because this is the schtick you have had on these boards for years. Whatever. I'm putting you on ignore.

  • Reply to

    Why'd you decrease your position b_fr_nk?

    by emoryhowie Nov 5, 2015 11:34 AM
    a8bil a8bil Nov 5, 2015 11:59 AM Flag

    On 10/5, b_fr_nk gave the following Q2 estimates, "47 million rev, .06 eps"
    On 10/5, b_fr_nk chided another poster saying, "Of course. Who cares about $1 though? In four months this will be well over $2."
    On 10/7 b_fr_nk, also said, "Why are you splitting hairs over thousandths of a penny when you could just buy 46k shares at .70???"

    I will refrain from giving my opinions about b_fr_nk, and let you draw your own conclusions about a guy making these kinds of statements, who within 2 weeks is selling 65% of his position.

  • Reply to

    Deal terms put HTCH is strange position

    by a8bil Nov 2, 2015 12:18 PM
    a8bil a8bil Nov 2, 2015 1:18 PM Flag

    Well it would be a nice kicker if they can make it happen. It would pay for tuition next semester... ;)

  • To extract maximum value for shareholders, the price kicker requires HTCH to (i) not draw down against its LOC; (ii) keep inventory low; and (iii) keep cash high. I suspect there is a "no material adverse change" qualifier in the definitive documents, but the terms seem to motivate HTCH to put its activities on hold and maximize cash. Let's hope Penn does so.

  • Reply to

    Sox for Christmas

    by tgagrippa Nov 2, 2015 11:15 AM
    a8bil a8bil Nov 2, 2015 12:07 PM Flag

    Totally with you. I have 100k shares and while I will do about the same as you, I didn't build this position for a 33% return. Better than a stick in the eye, but I feel like I subsidized TDK's acquisition of a potentially hot commodity. Kinda like opening the sox and underwear for Xmas and seeing your older sibling get a new bike. Totally sox.

  • Reply to

    am I missing something?

    by hopeful200 Oct 16, 2015 10:41 AM
    a8bil a8bil Oct 18, 2015 7:18 PM Flag

    how do we know the return is reasonable on the collected fines? Seems like pretty few given th number of citations they are processing. Do we know what th cost of operations are vs. fees collected per infraction paid?

  • a8bil a8bil Oct 18, 2015 7:14 PM Flag

    Hope the mudslides on the Grapevine aren't causing supply problems.

  • Reply to

    I don't quite understand how the $2m...

    by microcaptrader Oct 12, 2015 10:19 AM
    a8bil a8bil Oct 14, 2015 2:24 PM Flag

    What frustrates me is how vague and uncommunicative Gates is. Would it hurt to quantify the earnings per share hit caused by this cost and state clearly it is a one-time hit? Would it hurt to explain why they voluntarily took this loss? Would it hurt to clarify whether the earnings growth projected for next quarter is from the anemic results from this quarter, or from the anticipated results previously given? Should we expect EPS next quarter of $.10 or $.25?

  • a8bil a8bil Oct 14, 2015 12:10 PM Flag

    Yieldco's are just a finance tool. If investors are going to give you cheaper money than lenders, why not take that money? If leveraging the investment is cheaper however, then go secured debt and forget the Yieldco. I'ld have to imagine there are plenty of REITs and pension funds willing to partner with CSIQ for good, reliable returns. If CSIQ can conservatively leverage these projects, the return on equity will be higher for existing shareholders.

  • a8bil a8bil Oct 14, 2015 11:44 AM Flag

    I don't quibble over the market focus Ram is taking. I don't think he can compete against Samsung and Apple. As Hopeful has noted, I think the stratospheric prices of these handsets ($800 for a phone?!) creates the niche for lower priced alternatives, particularly as the carriers start limiting their subsidize. That said, what I hear Ram saying is that even this lower niche is getting crowded and differentiating VK's products from others is getting difficult.

  • a8bil a8bil Oct 13, 2015 12:03 PM Flag

    Not sure I see much positives in that article. Ram confirms he's in a growing but commodity niche where it is difficult to differentiate among product offerings. He says Info is in a "tough spot"...not a bullish comment. He also confirms that VK distribution is limited to US, Central and Sourth America. Apparently, the flashes of potential distribution in EMEA and India were nothing more than that.... The markets they are in are certainly large enough, but I didn't get warm fuzzies after reading that article. None at all.

  • a8bil a8bil Oct 12, 2015 5:08 PM Flag

    No sign of VeryKool at AT&T in SF.

  • Reply to

    Big News for Brekford & Baltimore

    by brifellows88 Sep 18, 2015 5:51 AM
    a8bil a8bil Sep 18, 2015 4:40 PM Flag

    Nice post.

  • Reply to


    by jags1959 Sep 17, 2015 3:33 PM
    a8bil a8bil Sep 18, 2015 12:03 PM Flag

    I didn't call Ze bi-polar, I said Ze "seemed" bi-polar, there's a difference, and your response implies something I think truly is "ridiculous."

    I was listening to an interview with former 49er Charles Haley yesterday and he admitted that he is bi-polar. That condition resulted in a a lot of inexplicable behavior over his life and career, which at the time he defended in fear of the stigma associated with acknowledging his condition. In truth, it was the byproduct of his condition and it wasn't until he acknowledged it and sought help that some sanity returned to his world. He's a huge advocate now for those suffering from bi-polar condition to seek help.

    He's also a big advocate against people, like yourself, who want to stigmatize the bi-polar condition so badly that any suggestion one is suffering from it is labeled "ridiculous." Bipolar disorder is nothing more than an organic condition of the brain that intensifies emotions, so that those suffering from it swing from emotional highs to emotional lows quickly, and the highs and lows are often more intense than others experience. IT is a condition that exists, just like diabetes, or arterial plaque or any thousands of conditions that people deal with and seek help for on a daily basis.

    This is not to say that Jags is bi-polar, as I suspect his posting game is just that, but his/her flips from pro-claiming that Ze made a great purchase to wanting people fired, etc. to complaining about manipulation at prices which frankly reflect market assessment of the same things Ze is complaining of -- well, I find it all quite curious.

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