HI quarterly report was OK given currency head winds. The conference call focused on M&A. Nothing specific revealed except HI focus on this option for the use of their strong cash flow.
Debt has been decreased since the Coperion merger. That is a good thing for HI longs. It seems to me that HI has the potential to be taken private. Management owns a hunk of stock and may want to cash out. IMHO
I follow HI as a long investor since prior to the Coperion merger. I have made alot of money.
The company website provides access to their last quarterly report and a recent presentation. In both, HI has consistently said that the current quarter and the one that just ended will be higher than the first 6 months of their fiscal year that begins in October. The next quarterly report should provide validation or refute management's view. You need to decide for yourself how to invest.
The very low daily share volume distorts the investment potential for HI. My broker provides a program that allows me to chart HI using weekly and monthly candlestick views. It has been trading in a limited range for quite awhile. I accumulate when it is at the lower range and put a sell order out at the higher range while keeping a core holding.
Was the Coperion merger positive for HI. Yes. Revenue is up over the past 2 years and margins are improved.
HI only has a small pile of cash at the moment. With the release of their upgraded extrusion system, I expect an increase in future orders and cash on hand over the next few months. Then, they can acquire for growth.
There is no hurry. IMHO
In my opinion, the recent decrease in the HI stock price was related to the decrease in future order volume announced in their previous quarterly report. There was angst that it would continue in the recent quarter due to 1) decrease in fracking sand production; 2) disruption of Ukraine potash production related to the civil war there; and 3) decrease in growth in two new markets for HI -- Russia and China.
All three of these areas are important, but are overshadowed by growth in Coperion's plastic extrusion equipment. This area of the Process Equipment Group represents a very large portion of Revenue and Profit Margin. The conference call indicated that these large orders can create 'lumpiness' in reported results as contracts are initiated, progress slowly or quickly, and finalize.
The good news for HI Longs is that Coperion has an upgraded extrusion line that is more efficient and creates higher grade plastics. Some of the delay in orders may be related to the release of this upgrade. The conference call specified expectation for increased future orders during the next 6 months. This may be the reason.
Assume that fracking sand, Ukraine, Russia, and China also improve in the near future and you will have HI making profit on all cylinders. They will have a rich cash flow to pay down debt or seek additional 'fold in' acquisitions.
Hold past $40/share.
Revenue turned out to be better in Q1 than expected. Cap EX was also low. These two dynamics combined to create the best Cash Flow in several years. For ELNK, Cash Flow is the important metric. Full Year Guidance was adjusted above the high range of the previous 2015 projection provided in February.
The company took the reasonable step to pay down $26M in Long Term Debt and reduced its interest costs going forward by $2M per year. They plan to continue to pay down debt. They are also open to selling some low margin assets; listen for any comments about this option in the conference call on Tuesday.
The number of shares outstanding is another important metric.. Bonuses were paid in Cash instead of shares in Q1. Thus, shareholder ownership was not diluted. There is the immediate value of this decision plus lower cost to pay dividends going forward.
There are around 6M ELNK shares sold short as of the middle of April. Covering this position should add fuel to share appreciation. If ELNK is able to stay above $5/share, there are large institutions that will move this company from the Speculative to the Value category in their portfolios. That is a good thing for the long term share price stability.
News hit just a little while ago. ELNK ranked number 2 out 501 MSPs worldwide. The black fiber and quality backup/security services are main reasons for ELNK recognition.
To find the article just do a news search for earthlink and MSP.
The former CEO of ELNK, Rollo Huff, sold all 2 million of his vested shares per the recently posted proxy statement.
Normally, the company has first right to purchase the shares of former officers. It will be interesting to see if ELNK used some of its extra cash to reduce the share count. I do not expect clarification until the Q1 report in May. Just speculating.
McRed had some strong feelings about Rollo's leadership.
Tutes is the short way to indicate Institutions.
Your negative view of ELNK does not hold up as they have over $130 million in cash. They are looking to pay down debt starting May 2015. ELNK has also announced they are willing to sell hard assets that generate low margins to improve their profitability and pay down even more debt.
Revenue is where ELNK faces a challenge. The old consumer business is winding down; they are controlling costs to avoid loss. The new managed services business is growing; however, it will take some time for it to become the primary revenue generator.
In the meantime, ELNK is paying me 5% in dividends to hold the stock. I am a long term investor. Five years minimum is typical for me. The current low share volume indicates that retail investors and institutions agree with me.