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Canadian Solar Inc. Message Board

adeiflig 433 posts  |  Last Activity: 9 hours ago Member since: May 2, 1999
  • I have never seen so many babies crying over a $ 1.63 stock. When I was pumping it, people said lay off as there is risk, we are afraid, etc.... Now that price is at $ 1.63 which is very safe, no risk, no pumping, people complain that it is too slow.

    You have to have a longer vision that just 24 hours. Put it in your mind that we should FDA approval anywhere from 3 months to say 6 months. That is not an entirety. In the clothing business it is one season or two at most.

    The question you have to ask, is the company doing what it is supposed to do? The answer is yes. They got FDA Panel approval. Next is FDA approval and then after will be launch of product and or buyout. It is a process which takes some time.

    We trade at a $ 109 million market cap which is cheap by any standard with pending FDA approval in a few months.

    Why not take the summer off, the price will zig zag up and down during this time. You won't miss anything. It is better for your health. Take a vacation, work out, date someone, entertain a new project, finish renovating your home, join a sports activity, etc....

    There are so many things to do. Let your money work for you. Load up and go away.

    jmho

  • First sales will come in the October to December quarter as team is ready to go.

    jmho

  • Three months from now we have approval. Date is a guess based on what has been done in past on other medical device companies.

    jmho

  • Reply to

    If you follow the short interest

    by pharmaapproved Jun 24, 2014 7:03 PM
    adeiflig adeiflig Jun 25, 2014 9:56 AM Flag

    Can you explain what you mean by your statement? In english would be good.

  • Reply to

    If you follow the short interest

    by pharmaapproved Jun 24, 2014 7:03 PM
    adeiflig adeiflig Jun 25, 2014 9:55 AM Flag

    Can you explain what you mean by this? Remember I too am a simple investor and need to understand.

  • Reply to

    If you follow the short interest

    by pharmaapproved Jun 24, 2014 7:03 PM
    adeiflig adeiflig Jun 24, 2014 7:18 PM Flag

    Thanks for the information. Why would someone be short this stock? I don't understand their logic. The FDA Panel said yes and, the FDA follows almost 100% with panel. Rarely if ever do they go against panel.

    There is a market and one cannot say it is small. $ 210 billion in health care costs. 300,000 barartic surgeries per year at $ 30,000 per patient or $ 9 billion spent, $67 billion of hypertension costs and, $ 40 billion in diebetic costs, 100 million obese Americans which is 1 in 3 and, 20 million severely obese patients on the die list if they do not get skinny fast.

    Where is the RISK? Aside from manipulation, shorts, put buyers, bashers, cash envelop writers, fear from competitors, where is the RISK?

    Can anyone tell me? I see 000000000000 RISK!!!!

    So what do we do when you see an incoherent market which is out of touch with reality and fundamentals, it means a nice opportunity, a cheap stock, something that is under the radar and, which people should be doing what with????

    BUYING...

    Analysts have targets from $ 5 to $ 7, why do you think they have this for?

    jmho

  • Reply to

    80% Chance of FDA Approval

    by dctrig Jun 24, 2014 4:41 PM
    adeiflig adeiflig Jun 24, 2014 5:00 PM Flag

    It is ALREADY internally approved by the FDA. What remains is the mere formality of putting a stamp on it.

    The FDA can't do miracles. There is a huge obesity problem in the USA which needs to be addressed. Barartic surgery has not reduced the obesity problems. The FDA has tried pills and again similar results. Now they will try VBLOC so we will get our chance in the sun.

    One thing about obese people. They will not change their eating habits even if they are dying. They will not exercise even if they are dying. With diet and exercise out there remains pills and barartic surgery. Obese will not take diet pills as they have too many complications and other health issues. With regards to barartic surgery it is proven that 98.5% of the people refuse this procedure.

    So what to do?

    VBLOC seems to address all of these issues. Firstly, no eating change in habits is required. Secondly, no exercise is required. Thirdly, device is totally safe with no side effects. Fourthy, device lowers diebetic and hypertension. Fiftly, device is not too invasive, can easily be installed, removed or de-activated. Sixthly you decide when to activate the electrical current, at night or vacation or day,,,,,etc. In essence with VBLOC you are the MASTER of choices, so I think we will do very well.

    I like the fact that volume of late has been strong. It was so today at 2.1 million shares. I know people are selling but every sell is matched by a buyer. So it is correct to say we have 2.1 million shares bought. A few more days of this type of volume and upramp will be intact.

    jmho

  • Reply to

    May they R-I-P!

    by smallpawn123 Jun 24, 2014 2:36 PM
    adeiflig adeiflig Jun 24, 2014 2:57 PM Flag

    BRAVO!!!! I love your confidence. I can't say too much as people rather people labels on than hear my testimony. Most say I am a pumper for believing in the company.

    I see what you see. The negativity will wear out as we move forward and as rotation into stronger hands is done from small investors to institutions. I saw this in RMTI, was so frustrating. It did this for 10 days and then bang up everyday from $ 3 to $ 16 in a matter of weeks.

    jmho

  • Today's trading is indicative of what is going on, the rotation into much stronger hands. Sellers are in the 1000 to 3000 shares where-as buyers are in the 30,000 to 50,0000 shares on the bid. This means nervous longs who are impatient are selling into institutional hands. At one point the sellers will be exhausted and institutions do not sell before we hit targets of $ 5 to $ 7 so bidding up will then begin. A few days of patience and then we see RMTI rally.

    jmho

  • Reply to

    PATIENCE.....is KEY

    by adeiflig Jun 23, 2014 7:46 PM
    adeiflig adeiflig Jun 24, 2014 12:36 PM Flag

    Volume is very strong for 1/2 at 1.4 million shares. We will have 2 to 3 million share days going forward. Most of the selling is from nervous traders or long who trade around the core, the buyers are institutions. This rotation will stop in a few days and then we will only have institutional buyers. Hang on as stock is doing a RMTI type of rally soon.

    jmho

  • I had invested in RMTI at $ 3.75 last year around June I believe. They were to announce phase III results, which ended up being good. The stock opened at $ 5 and then collapsed to $ 4.45 a measily 70 cent increase while I was calling for double digits. Yes to some it will be pumping as usual. On that day I did like most of you, got fed up and sold. Too bad for me. Two months later stock was at $ 16 per share.

    Why do I say this? Because I was calling for double digits on ETRM following FDA Panel due to enormity of the obesity market and that only getting crumbs from this would result in massive earnings per share.

    The market has not reacted as I expected. That is true for today however I do believe we will be in for a RMTI type of rally. Which is a little every week for many weeks as institutions begin to load up and as small investors who trade around the core begin to exit. As we come closer to the magical $ 5 per share price I expect an explosion in price as many institutions who cannot buy under $ 5 will now be able to.

    What is required for now is patience. The fact that we are early does not mean that we are not sitting on a goldmine. It means we are early. Why? Because maybe you see what I see and are frustrated it is not there yet however, if I have learned anything from my mistakes is that impatience is a great killer. It will cost you significant profit if you move on only to see ETRM finally rally.

    The chart looks bullish and the volume is strong. A few more days like today and we will surge.

    jmho

  • Reply to

    MARKETING PLAN & SALES FORCAST

    by adeiflig Jun 23, 2014 10:50 AM
    adeiflig adeiflig Jun 23, 2014 4:36 PM Flag

    Beg to differ. There are 300,000 bariatric procedures per year without insurance costing $ 30,000 each so $ 9 billion is spent. We will settle for 1/3 of it or $ 3 billion per year.

    Insurance is irrelevant as people who are obese need surgery and will pay for it. People buy million dollar homes and $200K cars and $ 20K vacation. So $ 10K on VBLOC is peanuts.

    jmho

  • Reply to

    MARKETING PLAN & SALES FORCAST

    by adeiflig Jun 23, 2014 10:50 AM
    adeiflig adeiflig Jun 23, 2014 11:59 AM Flag

    From past history, ETRM first shows the data to the FDA and then it releases it to the public. Again this is politics or the way the game is played. At the FDA Panel meeting the FDA had not seen the 24 month data, it was only shown to the Panel with FDA permission.

    I expect a press release once the FDA says ok to show it as being to their satisfaction.

    Look, ETRM did miss the critical endpoint in protocol and normally FDA would say go back to the drawing board. ETRM through cooperation managed to get a panel to hear evidence and then through lots of discussion managed to get a vote of confidence. They must continue same path of low profile until approved then they can pump up the volume.

    Right now when we are under the radar, people should really be loading up.

    jmho

  • Reply to

    MARKETING PLAN & SALES FORCAST

    by adeiflig Jun 23, 2014 10:50 AM
    adeiflig adeiflig Jun 23, 2014 11:29 AM Flag

    Patience is needed. You do understand that the company does not want to show off or parade marketing strategy before received FDA approval. They want to play it safe by staying quiet and not being in their face, which is fine. I understand this and it is better to be prudent than sorry. Right now the FDA is with them. The last thing they want to show the market is that they are being favored.

    To equate silence with no market is a mistake and shows that you do not understand politics. This VBLOC device is a threat to pills, is a threat to bariatric surgery and will change things. You don't to tip off competition either when you are alone in the field.

    To find comfort ask yourself, if you were obese (400 pounds) and needed to bring weight down which of these options would you choose from when you consider both efficacy and safety:

    a) Diet pills
    b) Bararitric surgery
    c) VBLOC

    For myself it is a no brainer, it is VBLOC. Bararitric surgery is out of the question for me and diet pills I do not trust due to side effects. If exercise and diet are out then what is left?

    jmho

  • This is what I believe.

    In the USA there are approximately 1,000 Hospitals and in terms of bariatric surgeons about 3,000 in total. Last year 300,000 procedures were done and they were not covered by insurance. Cost was about $ 30,000.
    There are 100 million obese Americans and 20 million need immediate help. Pills do not work due to health complications and bariatric has serious side effects.

    ETRM will hire a sales force and will target the 1000 hospitals over a period of 4 years (250 hospitals per year). They will hire a sales force of about 20 people, each responsible for about 12 hospitals per year or one per month as objective. In terms of doctors it means following up with 36 doctors per month. A decent workload.

    In terms of sales forcast is reasonable to expect that VBLOC will encourage the 20 million patients on the sidelines to come for surgery as they address their main concern which is risk. VBLOC will be able to penetrate the market fairly easy as infrastructure and patients are already there.

    For first year of operations 50,000 surgeries would be a nice hit, to expect it to double the year after and double again once more.

    This means $ 500 million in Sales in first year as device retails at $ 10,000 each.

    What it means is we are trading at 1/3 first year sales instead of at reasonable 3 to 5 times sales.

    It also means GREAT OPPORTUNITY FOR YOU TO BUY.

    jmho

  • Reply to

    $210B market for Obesity Implants

    by aggiebioengineer Jun 20, 2014 2:29 PM
    adeiflig adeiflig Jun 23, 2014 1:33 AM Flag

    And people called me a pumper cause I had estimated $ 1 billion per year in sales. I was way too conservative in my estimates.

    We will not be at the $ 1.81 per share price for too long....more like $ 18.10 to be more reasonable.

    I think ETRM will be bought out fairly quickly with these types of numbers.

    jmho

  • Reply to

    enteromedics enters 210 billion market

    by brad_210000 Jun 22, 2014 7:41 PM
    adeiflig adeiflig Jun 22, 2014 7:56 PM Flag

    Can you paste the article here for all to see. Thanks,

    jmho

  • Reply to

    Qshong new identity of oozhee22

    by adeiflig Jun 21, 2014 10:50 AM
    adeiflig adeiflig Jun 21, 2014 10:50 AM Flag

    And also njokatie

  • So easy to track him!!! Careful

    jmho

  • Reply to

    MATERIAL NEWS MONDAY???

    by adeiflig Jun 20, 2014 2:36 PM
    adeiflig adeiflig Jun 20, 2014 11:07 PM Flag

    Hi oozhee22, it is so easy to recognize you....quick go change your id.

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