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Sprott Physical Gold Trust ETV (PHYS) Message Board

advisor1950 15 posts  |  Last Activity: Dec 23, 2014 10:09 PM Member since: Apr 6, 2000
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  • Reply to

    Do the math then subtract

    by onewaytomars4 Dec 23, 2014 2:23 PM
    advisor1950 advisor1950 Dec 23, 2014 10:09 PM Flag

    $18 billion is 10% of the market cap. How are you getting to 20%?

  • Reply to

    TARGET PRICE $100

    by limitlessventure Dec 15, 2014 3:44 PM
    advisor1950 advisor1950 Dec 16, 2014 12:07 AM Flag

    There is no way half the cars will be electric by 2022. Do you know what percentage of new car sales were electric in 2013? It was .62%. That's a little more than one half of one percent of sales. And you're telling us that half the cars on the road will be electric in just 8 years with sales not even 1%? I personally don't see a significant rise in electric car sales. It's just not practical for 75% of the country. It just gets too cold for battery power.

    And the premise for electric is idiotic. Do you know where electricity comes from? The majority comes from coal, oil or nuclear. So electric cars do not reduce emissions; they just transfer those emissions to the generation of more electricity. The environmentalists never think any through to its logical conclusion.

    Next year at this time, anyone buying BP will be celebrating big time. Oil cannot be sustained at these levels indefinitely. The commodity will rise, the current dividend is outstanding, and buyers will not be able to part with their cash fast enough to get on board. Right now oil is the best low risk fire sale in recent memory. I am loading up the truck with BP. It's the bargain of this century.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Come on guys....

    by patientd1 Dec 15, 2014 12:49 PM
    advisor1950 advisor1950 Dec 15, 2014 11:49 PM Flag

    Next year at this time, anyone buying XCO will be celebrating big time. Oil and gas cannot be sustained at these levels indefinitely. The commodity will rise, the dividend will be reinstated, and buyers will not be able to part with their cash fast enough to get on board. Right now oil and gas are the best low risk fire sale in recent memory. I am loading up the truck with XCO and BP. It's the bargain of this century.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Re: 2014 Q4 - back of the envelope

    by raybiglow Dec 3, 2014 9:06 AM
    advisor1950 advisor1950 Dec 4, 2014 1:19 AM Flag

    Bingo, Ray. That's my point. Revenue doesn't mean anything if net operating income is negative. I still like the stock. The range is great for the dividend and it's not a bad sell and buy back on the dips either.

  • advisor1950 advisor1950 Dec 3, 2014 1:06 PM Flag

    Thanks. That's a much better explanation than net operating cash flow. So you are figuring that the stock price is going to bounce from 9-11 or so at least to earnings date? It's still a nice dividend within that price range don't you think?

  • Reply to

    Re: 2014 Q4 - back of the envelope

    by raybiglow Dec 3, 2014 9:06 AM
    advisor1950 advisor1950 Dec 3, 2014 9:41 AM Flag

    Here is the link for the income statement. Please show me from where you are getting 244MM in net operating income. http://finance.yahoo.com/q/is?s=NAT+Income+Statement&annual

  • Reply to

    2014 Q4 - back of the envelope

    by raybiglow Dec 2, 2014 9:00 PM
    advisor1950 advisor1950 Dec 2, 2014 9:58 PM Flag

    I was looking at the income statement from Dec of 2011. Net operating income was -73MM and the share price was between $14-15. If your numbers are correct and NAT ends up with a positive net operating income, I have no idea where the share price could land. I am still not sure from where you are getting these numbers. 2013 was produced negative net operating income of 105MM. I don't know how you are coming up with 244MM positive net operating income when the statement reads -105MM.

  • Reply to

    2014 Q4 - back of the envelope

    by raybiglow Dec 2, 2014 9:00 PM
    advisor1950 advisor1950 Dec 2, 2014 9:49 PM Flag

    So the end of 2013, net operating income was (-105million). The back of your envelope estimates a positive 100 MM. So how do you put a share price to those numbers. So we go from $9-18? I don't know; I am asking what share price to you associate with your estimate? Thanks

  • advisor1950 advisor1950 Nov 6, 2014 6:41 PM Flag

    I took my 30% in one month today at $110. I like BABA, but fully expect that the 10% correction we just had with the immediate recovery was a head fake. I expect another 10%+ correction within this quarter or soon after the first of the year. However, if you have a long term view of BABA, then I wouldn't worry about it one way or the other. I am playing the stock until I can form a fairly low basis and then I am just going to hold.

    Sentiment: Buy

  • Reply to

    next dividend??

    by jamollamaman Oct 30, 2014 9:04 AM
    advisor1950 advisor1950 Oct 30, 2014 11:43 AM Flag

    In my opinion, this has been oversold since the beginning of September.

  • Reply to

    Only stock in sector that is weak - NXPI

    by ps7835 Oct 29, 2014 2:07 PM
    advisor1950 advisor1950 Oct 30, 2014 11:37 AM Flag

    Yes, what is wrong with you? IDTI, PAY APPL are all down.

  • advisor1950 advisor1950 Oct 23, 2014 4:51 PM Flag

    It doesn't matter. The damage has been done and this is not going back to $3 for a long time if ever, particularly if this company is a fraud. Have you seen all the law firms reaching out to those who have lost money in the downturn? That litigation alone is going to take this stock down and keep it down for a long time. Besides, in the midst of this correction there are too many good bargains out there with proven track records to screw around with Blue Earth. I saw a profit of 10% turn into a loss of 50% in one day. Sold and glad I did.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    first the dump then the pump

    by playful_clown Oct 21, 2014 8:31 PM
    advisor1950 advisor1950 Oct 21, 2014 10:43 PM Flag

    Not investing in these kind of stocks anymore. Even if the story is false, it's too easy to raid this kind of company and there is no protection for the long term investor. Yesterday I had a capital gain and now I have a capital loss. Just taking my loss and moving on. Very frustrating and very sad, but that's the world we live in today.

  • Reply to

    No one left to sell ?

    by dpkim_01 Sep 25, 2014 10:07 PM
    advisor1950 advisor1950 Sep 29, 2014 4:16 PM Flag

    Noodles has been trading contrary to the market for about a week now. I have no idea what is driving these numbers against the trend of the market. However, I don't like it. It makes me quite nervous not knowing the why and wherefore of unexplained movement in price.

  • advisor1950 advisor1950 Sep 29, 2014 4:13 PM Flag

    The yield has increased 14 basis points since your post. But what makes you think the market would crash if the 10 year U.S. treasury bond goes to 2% yield? My bet is that the market would soar with a 54 basis point decline in the yield.

PHYS
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