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Deckers Outdoor Corp. Message Board

advisorydoc 434 posts  |  Last Activity: Mar 21, 2014 4:14 PM Member since: Jan 24, 2013
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  • advisorydoc by advisorydoc Mar 21, 2014 4:14 PM Flag

    folks are gonna say.... damn i could have bought LGF for under $30.... of course the stock will be well over $40 by then

    you can mark this post...

    if i could.... i would be joining outlaw for a drink tonight...

    fwiw.... i do own more shares today than i did yesterday

    and on monday if there is further damage.... i will own even more

  • advisorydoc by advisorydoc Mar 21, 2014 12:14 AM Flag

    ok... here is the Chicago report

    --very enthusiastic crowd of teen girls and pre-teen girls with their moms, with a smattering of dads

    --significant sustained applause at the end of the movie

    --the crowd laughed, tittered, sat at the edge of their seats, were enamored with four, cheered on tris

    i really liked the movie --- it is going to do very very well in the box office --- those whose parents allowed them to see an 8pm showing on a school night will undoubtedly be the ones to see it again later this weekend. the word is going to get out there THAT THIS IS ONE YOU JUST HAVE TO SEE.

    SHAILENE..... she is a star.... great performance
    THEO.... also a star in the making..... intense performance

    and the chemistry between them? yea.... definitely there and the type of chemistry that young people are just
    going to fall in love with

    so there you have it....

    doc ufood gives the film three stars ***

    a red tomato...thumbs up.. .whatever

    at first i thought the movie ended too soon and that there should be more but hen i recalled the divergent copy that i read had one chapter of the next book as a teaser.... i think it would have been better to include a teaser into the next book in the movie as well..... if the ending was stronger i would have rated it a three and a half star movie. the movie held my attention from start to finish. i really cannot understand some of the negative reviewers. i guess i am still a teenager at heart which is a good thing i suppose

    and yea.... LGF has another winning franchise.... looked forward to seeing insurgent next year.

    doc ufood

  • Reply to

    Random Musings

    by advisorydoc Mar 20, 2014 10:09 AM
    advisorydoc advisorydoc Mar 20, 2014 10:40 AM Flag

    "What seems to finally be dawning on Wall Street is that LGF now has two winning franchises"

    what wall street still does not realize is that...... it does not just end with these two (as has been pointed out by some of the more knowledgable posters here)

    someone downgraded my post when i highlighted summit's vision vis a vis divergent... it was not meant as a dis of LGF.... LGF had the vision to snag summit.... there seem to be a lot of smart, perceptive, and astute decision makers at the helm here...

    ... the future is so bright here that you are gonna have to wear shades

  • Reply to

    Jason called MaxPain at $30

    by drozone3111 Mar 20, 2014 10:11 AM
    advisorydoc advisorydoc Mar 20, 2014 10:34 AM Flag

    honestly my max pain was yesterday at 29 and change

    the headache seems to be a bit less this morning

    ;)

  • advisorydoc by advisorydoc Mar 20, 2014 10:09 AM Flag

    1. Re: Chicago Newspapers.....looks like it is a split decision with the... Tribune's Divergent review was just so so however the Sun Times (Zweicker) really liked the film. Most significant quote from his review is:

    "I was delighted with “Divergent” and am eager to see how the remaining two films continue to take us on Tris’ adventure, as she and Four attempt to learn what’s really going on in their very crazy world"

    For some reason his review is not being reflected in RT numbers yet.... not to sound conspiratorial but one wonders whether some of the positive reviews are being held back for some reason.

    2. Besides Divergent being up on HSX, Insurgent has risen 20 percent over the last week. What seems to finally be dawning on Wall Street is that LGF now has two winning franchises.

    3. And at some point, yours truly will catch the film this weekend.

    Best to all longs,

    doc ufood

  • "Guitar groups are on the way out…the Beatles have no future in show business."

    #$%$ Rowe, head of Decca Records, 1962

    Donald Freeman

    Chicago Tribune

    Feb. 29, 1964

    The Beatles must be a huge joke, a wacky gag, a gigantic put-on.

    George McKinnon

    Boston Globe

    Feb. 16, 1964

    Don't let the Beatles bother you. If you don't think about them, they will go away, and in a few more years they will probably be bald….

    "Drinking Dom Perignon '53 above the temperature of 38 degrees" is "as bad as listening to the Beatles without earmuffs."

    —James Bond, secret agent in "Goldfinger," 1964

    "The noise was deafening throughout and I couldn't hear a word they sang or a note they played, just one long ear-splitting din."

    —Noel Coward, British composer and playwright, summarizing a Beatles concert in 1964

    "The most repulsive group of men I've ever seen."

    —David Susskind, American TV host, 1965

    "The Beatles are not merely awful, I would consider it sacrilegious to say anything less than that they are godawful. They are so unbelievably horrible, so appallingly unmusical, so dogmatically insensitive to the magic of the art, that they qualify as crowned heads of anti-music."

    —William F. Buckley, author and commentator, 1964

    "Musically, they are a near disaster; guitars slamming out a merciless beat that does away with secondary rhythms, harmony and melody. Their lyrics (punctuated by nutty shouts of "yeah, yeah, yeah!") are a catastrophe, a preposterous farrago of Valentine-card romantic sentiments."

    —Newsweek reviewer, Feb. 24, 1964

  • Reply to

    Entertainment Weekly reviewer

    by advisorydoc Mar 19, 2014 3:44 PM
    advisorydoc advisorydoc Mar 19, 2014 6:31 PM Flag

    outlaw, thanks for posting that information.... i did go over there and listened to a few of the young women doing movie reviews..... what you posted was spot on.....very different perspectives from the male over 40 somethings

    one of the things that will be huge is that given the enthusiasm of the young folk who see the movie...it appears that this will be a flick they will go back to see a second time.... so a thursday night viewer might even go back on sunday..... and even next weekend...

  • Reply to

    Entertainment Weekly reviewer

    by advisorydoc Mar 19, 2014 3:44 PM
    advisorydoc advisorydoc Mar 19, 2014 4:10 PM Flag

    correction of the 14 reviews -- 13 are dudes...

    93 percent of reviewers are male ?

    how many are over 40?

  • a top critic.... really liked the film....

    one thing i have noticed about reviewers --- such a male bastion

    of the 13 reviews thus far -- 12 are from dudes

    doc ufood

  • advisorydoc by advisorydoc Mar 18, 2014 6:52 PM Flag

    per an article about Roth in a Seattle online publication

    Summit Entertainment, the same studio behind the "Twilight" franchise, acquired the film rights before the first copy of "Divergent" was sold. "It's been surreal," Roth said during a recent interview. "When I found out Summit wanted to make a movie, I was like, 'They want to do what?' I was really nervous, but I was relieved when it started doing well. That they were interested was really encouraging."

  • as noted, the divergent buzz is getting buzzier

  • Reply to

    HSX

    by advisorydoc Mar 18, 2014 11:09 AM
    advisorydoc advisorydoc Mar 18, 2014 6:45 PM Flag

    not just new highs ...... but up over 8 percent.....

    in my hsx account i am up over a million dollars on my divergent bets...

    now if that would only happen here with lgf and my real portfolio that would be just fine by me...

    ;)

    best to all longs,

    doc ufood

  • advisorydoc by advisorydoc Mar 18, 2014 11:09 AM Flag

    after yesterday's dip... the divergent stock is up to new highs today

    also the opening weekend security is on the rise today as well

  • advisorydoc by advisorydoc Mar 18, 2014 10:23 AM Flag

    from the latest positive review....

    the tide appears to be turning review wise....

  • Reply to

    KEEPING CRITIC REVIEWS IN PERSPECTIVE

    by retiredarmyjoe Mar 17, 2014 6:59 PM
    advisorydoc advisorydoc Mar 18, 2014 10:22 AM Flag

    sorry for any confusion.... references to "the film" in the second paragraph of my post was referencing
    Divergent.....

  • Reply to

    KEEPING CRITIC REVIEWS IN PERSPECTIVE

    by retiredarmyjoe Mar 17, 2014 6:59 PM
    advisorydoc advisorydoc Mar 18, 2014 10:20 AM Flag

    "making it Perry’s first film to open with less than $10M"

    what did they expect? this was the first film to only open in 1700 venues.... prior films opened in 2200 theatres

    the stock went down yesterday on the false notion that the film was being universally panned by the first six reviews... that has been shown NOT to be the case as more and more favorable reviews are published

  • advisorydoc by advisorydoc Mar 15, 2014 3:34 PM Flag

    The early reviews are glowing....

    Sweet. Very sweet.

  • Reply to

    This is what I think

    by advisorydoc Mar 14, 2014 11:56 AM
    advisorydoc advisorydoc Mar 14, 2014 12:05 PM Flag

    ... and one day

    i cannot say when

    probably when it is least expected...

    there is going to be a huge spike on the upside....

    it is not going to happen on your daytrading timeline

    options buyers are not going to be rewarded

    but long term investors will be...

    since the first HG the stock has done well.... since CF not so much...

    the stock is long overdue for the next leg up...

    when that will take place..... ?

    i agree it should have happened already... all the reasons stated by outlaw are valid

    but that reinforces how LGF is tightly wound..... a sudden rise could happen any day

  • advisorydoc by advisorydoc Mar 14, 2014 11:56 AM Flag

    ... reviews this weekend are going to be very positive

    ... stock is going to open in the 33s on Monday

    i could be wrong.... but i think we are seeing the last of the 31s today

  • Reply to

    up $30

    by advisorydoc Mar 14, 2014 10:16 AM
    advisorydoc advisorydoc Mar 14, 2014 11:53 AM Flag

    i understand your frustration....... the last 6 months have not been good for LGF ... we can agree on that...

    but the next 6 months? they are going to be awesome....

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