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Microsoft Corporation Message Board

aiwal1 243 posts  |  Last Activity: Oct 18, 2014 2:00 PM Member since: Jul 10, 2003
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  • Reply to

    FFFFFFFFalling knifeeeeeeee

    by sdbyw Oct 17, 2014 1:42 PM
    aiwal1 aiwal1 Oct 18, 2014 2:00 PM Flag

    If you were NOT ALREADY SHORT, you'd be instead trying to HYPE the STOCK HIGHER, so you could have opportunity to short it at higher price. I guess you only just shorted it Friday.

  • Reply to

    FFFFFFFFalling knifeeeeeeee

    by sdbyw Oct 17, 2014 1:42 PM
    aiwal1 aiwal1 Oct 18, 2014 1:59 PM Flag

    Google's sales were up 20% this past quarter. Quite Good. It shows their R&D spending is yielding good results. Their profits were also up about same 15-20% , just not faster growth in profits as had been expected.

  • aiwal1 aiwal1 Oct 18, 2014 10:51 AM Flag

    can you provide proof, a link? And do you mean Big Corp. Customers? If nearly 100,000 sizable corporations are signed up every week, and to switch from Microsoft, this is significant.

  • aiwal1 aiwal1 Oct 18, 2014 2:00 AM Flag

    Pretty Stupid public is getting Dumber in USA, the more the Government pays "welfare people" to procreate and taxes the middle class not to. Also, 0Bama made deal with SAUDIS that they agree to bring Oil Price down to $80 a barrel, in return for USA bombing ISIS and the Syrian Shias, that threaten the Saudi Royal Trillionaires. With gasoline prices artificially brought down, naturally people think the economy is improving. But it will go other way (Saudis will raise Oil Prices) after our Nov. Elections.

  • Immediately, all EBOLA Care-Givers, whether they be Drs. or Nurses, or Spouses, or incoming Missionaries and supposed 'do-gooders*' helping Africa, should be put on NO FLY LIST for 30 days after they last were with an Ebola Patient. Also no buses, no trains...etc. The Govern. should compensate them for loss of mobility for a month, to make sure they are Ebola Free. Next since JESSE JACKSON complains the Ebola Patient from Africa who lied his way into USA, was not treated well enough in Texas Presbyterian Hospital -- Racist MuckRacker JACKSON needs to don an Ebola HazMat Suit and go tend to Ebola Patients himself before he complains about others not having done enough.
    *(not helping the world bringing over-population of humans to Africa and humans wipe out the Elephants, Lions, Rhinos...etc. environment)

  • Reply to

    Overreaction

    by tony_naples Oct 17, 2014 2:45 PM
    aiwal1 aiwal1 Oct 17, 2014 5:32 PM Flag

    well those disappointed the stock didn't run up and didn't have blow-out earnings were selling today and last night. once that selling pressure subsides you may be right. also Google could help short-term earnings by not having ramped up R&D Spending. But if it had not, then its Sales Growth would not be phenomenal 20% for such a large company. Plus it still makes huge margins, even though spending a lot on R&D and also of New Hires. Patience with this stock will probably be rewarded (no-one can say for sure). Several Analysts trimmed future earnings estimates and stock price targets, but most are still saying the stock will be in the $600s in half year.

  • My ETrade system shows it as 27. But it also shows the trailing 4 quarters earnings total $24.71 for the year. That's only a 21 - 22 PE Ratio with the current lowered GOOGL Stock Price. If so, why is the system showing 27 PE? In any case, its a fraction of Amazon's and FaceBook's PEs.

  • Reply to

    Why Did it open higher and hit 540?

    by hey_rob69 Oct 17, 2014 2:49 PM
    aiwal1 aiwal1 Oct 17, 2014 5:14 PM Flag

    It traded $530 to $540 over half the day. Not just for a few seconds. Look at the day-chart. Next at present price, it appears to only be a 22 PE Ratio. $522 / $25 earnings for trailing 12 months. Is my math right? Between $6 and $6.35 earns. per quarter, trailing 4 qtrs

  • Reply to

    Market UP 400% After LAST EPIDEMIC

    by aiwal1 Oct 16, 2014 10:47 AM
    aiwal1 aiwal1 Oct 16, 2014 10:55 AM Flag

    Actually if you read History... it was an English Co. Hatley? that did Financial Fraud, was caught multi-billion$ fraud (in today's money), and it caused the English Stock Market to crash in Sept. 1929. Then a month later the US Stock Market crashed, as people hurt in the UK Market Crash in Sept. 1929 started selling their US Stocks also. Plus the Fed and England's Central Banks had RAISED THE DISCOUNT RATE AGGRESSIVELY EARLIER IN THE YEAR 1929. And Pres. Hoover was in favor of raising rates and had spoken out against high stock prices in USA earlier that year in 1929... Alot of people other than "juews" who caused the 1929 stock market crash. Plus it was later found in mid-1930s that the pres. of NYSE, Richard Whitney had embezzled his customers funds, to cover his own stock trading losses of about $30,000,000 back then, and he was jailed at Sing Sing prison.

  • Folks, check the history. The Spanish Flu started near end of WWI, and also hit in winter of 1919, killed over 50,000,000 people worldwide (would be 5X that today with bigger world population). But the very next year 1920 was start of HUGE BULL MARKET, STOCKS WENT UP 400% FROM 1920 to 1928.

  • aiwal1 aiwal1 Oct 16, 2014 10:44 AM Flag

    long and strong... Googl has great long-term growth prospects. Look past present market volatility, and Ebola Fears. Look at it this way... worst-case, the Spanish Flu wacked the world near end of WWI, but the next decade from 1920 - 1929, the stock market went up 400% (before turning down). So after an Epidemic, came 400% stock rise.

  • aiwal1 aiwal1 Oct 16, 2014 10:40 AM Flag

    well given GOOGL stock is down $45 from a week ago, on market fears (it was $580 10 days ago), the stock has limited downside other than if a huge miss. On other hand, as long as things come in about as expected the stock should rebound half-way. Further, Deutsche Bank has a top flight Analyst, with worldwide sources to know from suppliers...etc. how well GOOGL is doing. So stay long and strong thru earnings. Is this #$%$ Emmett from F. Eberstadt posting?

  • Reply to

    weekly 500 puts.. load up.

    by jack_hoff_often Oct 16, 2014 8:35 AM
    aiwal1 aiwal1 Oct 16, 2014 10:35 AM Flag

    Only joking. No-one knows what Earnings will be After Hours, or how the market will react. My guess however, is because this stock ALREADY SOLD OFF alot in the past 10 days, the stock is likely to slough off (not react much) to weaker earnings, but react more to better guidance for the future.

  • Reply to

    weekly 500 puts.. load up.

    by jack_hoff_often Oct 16, 2014 8:35 AM
    aiwal1 aiwal1 Oct 16, 2014 10:34 AM Flag

    Yeah, why is this Dog only down 1% right now? It supposed to go down 2% every day this week. Its a SURE THING, just keep buying Puts.

  • a. as Peter Thiel, noted billionaire founder of PayPal said: The Bond Prices are where the Real Bubble is.
    b. Stocks will soon rebound, since the '87 and '29 Crashes were both caused in part by big Interest Rate Rises by Central Banks. Here now, we don't have that going on, and with slack economy in Europe and now with lower Oil Prices, even less inflation. So no need for any soon interest rate rises.
    c. given Bond Price Rises (from lower rates) Stocks are even more compelling (absent a big recession, which is not on the horizon now in USA, nor are things getting worse in China).

  • Its heightened fears. Its not that the overall stock market was much over-valued. Even Econ. Prof. Shiller got on CNBC late last week and pointed out the Stock Market had not been so over-priced as to crash 25% like in 1987 when PEs reached 23, vs. before this correction in 2014 they were only 17. A pullback correction however is normal.

  • Reply to

    Earnings!!!!!

    by clk1598 Oct 14, 2014 7:49 AM
    aiwal1 aiwal1 Oct 14, 2014 11:14 PM Flag

    Unwinding? Its down with the rest of the pullback in stocks. Yeah it went under $530 after-hours yesterday, but sprung back before AH Trading over, and today was up to $548, and AH today 10/14 closed over $550. So where it will be 2 days from now right before earnings anyone's guess. But it looks a lot more like normal Volatility, not like "someone knows some inside info.".

  • Reply to

    BLOWOUT EARNS. COMING GOOGL

    by aiwal1 Oct 7, 2014 2:00 PM
    aiwal1 aiwal1 Oct 10, 2014 12:34 PM Flag

    Coming sooner now. In only 4 trading days. I probably shouldn't call them "blowout earnings". 20% quarterly growth is anticipated in revenues and sales. That's still quite good, and could result in a 5% stock price increase, given the 20% earns. growth anticipated is for one quarter, so divide by 4.

  • Find it in today's news. LUFTHANSA AIRLINES REPORTED 6.7% Sales / Demand increase Sept. 2014 vs. 2013. Also Capac. Util. of the seats on planes went up 1.6%. This has got to help profits, and does not fit with thesis of Germany bad slowdown. What may be going on, is the overall German Economy is expanding, but sales to Russia of lots of machinery (industrial output) for oil fields and farms and ? has been cut back by Russia, to get back at the West for Sanctions we are doing vs. Russia re. UKRAINE.

  • Article just came out, Demand / Revenues of LUFTHANSA GERMAN AIRLINES were up 6.7% (rounds to 7%) in Sept. 2014 vs. 2013. Also Capac. Utilization of the Planes was UP. THIS REFLECTS GOOD ECONOMIC ACTIVITY IN GERMANY (not a slowing overall economy). Maybe the recent 4% decline in industrial output, only a part of Germany's economy, reflects RUSSIA cancelling Machinery Orders for its natural resource mines and oil fields, to get back at the West for imposing Sanctions related to UKRAINE thing started Spring 2014. Russia said it would cut business and bank deposits in the West if we put sanctions on their exports...etc. So in reality the Domestic German Economy is EXPANDING well, proven by Lufthansa Airlines 7% growth rate in Demand Sept. 2014 vs. 2013.

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