The end of the road for Julian Day is near. As you may recall, Julian was brought in last summer as the new CEO of RSH as the former disgraced CEO was fired for lying on his resume. Julian is a former employee and prot�g� of Eddie Lampert, the CT hedge fund manager who is supposed to be a master turn-around king. Of course as evidenced by what he has done with K Mart/Sears, Eddie�s own acumen as anything but an operator who knows how to leverage hard assets is at question and the long term performance of this stock moving forward is questionable at best.
RSH has two main businesses�the cellular business and the electronics business. The cellular business has been a mess for years at RSH as a result of the changing of cellular providers. When Julian was hired he proclaimed that the main catalyst for future growth will come from the electronics side of the business; but what has he done? Where are all the new high margin products? Where is the I Phone? The one thing he did do was a very poor decision. They started selling LCD TV�s. First, Shacks don�t have the shelve space to compete with the selection at big box electronic retailers such as BBY and CC. And yes, people will drive an extra 15-20 minutes to BBY to get the T.V. they want. Second, by the time Julian got in this game the LCD margin ship had already left the port. So, he started stocking a low margin product that took up huge shelf space. Further, RSH had a ridiculous selection relative to the competition. Not to mention that Walmart and others were now competing for the �thrifty shopper.�
In Julian�s first year he has done NOTHING to show that he possesses the leadership and imagination to turn this very distressed company around. All he has done is cut expenses to the extent that this massive company is now running on a shoe string in order to boost earnings. He is in a race to cut expenses faster than the business is shrinking. Well, we�ve all seen this story play out before. When you lack the skills to actually turn a company around and you are in this type of race it always ends badly for the employees and the shareholders. Employee moral is extremely low. Employees from college kids to 20 year veterans are leaving the company in disgust over compensation, out-of-stocks and a plethora of other problems.
Now it�s just about Julian and the slimy investment bankers behind him. Now this is a story about just how many more quarters Julian can engineer before this distressed company�s stock collapses like a Chinese umbrella. He MAY have one more quarter up his sleeve�but maybe not. But don�t worry about Julian; he will be well taken care of for his efforts�or lack thereof. The investment bankers have a neat little Wall Street trick held exclusively for insiders at public companies. It�s called a �collar� and it is comprised of designing a complicated custom derivative that ultimately is net short the stock-- in this case RSH. The collar hedges his personal net worth from any drop in the stock price from the price of the stock the collar is pegged to. So it may appear that he is buying the stock in the open market but he will be fully hedged on all of those shares through the collar. His friendly neighborhood investment bankers ( a.k.a. scumbags) have most assuredly set him up with such a �collar� on the RSH share price to ensure that he will be �locked-in� at or near the highest price he has hoodwinked ignorant investors into believing this stripped-down shell of a company is worth. As a reward for his failure, Julian will cash in for an obscene amount of money. In the process he will have destroyed the livelihood of tens of thousands of hard working middle-class Americans and pushed a perennial American franchise further to the brink of complete collapse.
Maybe the investment bankers can teach Julian one more trick they know so well: How to sleep at night while destroying people�s lives.
This is a hopeless cause. Day lacks the talent to turn this ship around. He's had a year and has done nothing to bring new high margin products in. His has #$%$ off his work force. In the end, RSH will always be a batteries, speaker wire and accessories retailer. The best case scenerio after he's cut every last cost will be if he can stop the bleeding and bring this dinosour back to the slow growth low multiple retailer it used to be. Even if he manages to acconplish this--which is highly improbable--most metrics would value this company at $10.00-15.00 a share.
The stock of this POS will continue to drop like a bag of dirt. The Julian Day rally phase is OVER. Nothing but down from here.
This POS is not an LBO candidate. Who is going to want to use high interest junk to finance the purchase of a failing company with deteriorating value and no turnaround likely. Keep dreaming.
"And if the Fed would simply print the amount of money that matches the growth of the US economy, then we would have no inflation, and little debt."
---Where did you take economics? Do you really think all they have to do is print more money? Oh, god. This would be the most inflationary thing they could do and it would do nothing but accelerate the downward spiral of our economy. This comment is very ignorent for too many reasons to mention here.
Dude, you have definately been sold the Julian Day punch. 3-5 years? Puh-leese. He is crushing this company for his own personal gain. Anyone with half a brain in his head can cut costs. But what has he done in terms of his promises to bring in new, innovative, high-margin products. NOTHING!!! And don't try and tell me he is spending all of his time cutting advertising and saleries after a year at the helm. His one idea, to start selling lcd televisions was a complete disaster. The margins were gone in that game before RSH even got in it. And there is no way to compete with the selection at BBY and CC. Not to mention Walmart and other at the low end. Julian Day is a complete CLOWN. He should take his sorry a** back to what ever two bit country he came from.
It's not a day trade. Too much institutional manipulation. But it is one of the best long-term fundamental shorts in the entire stock market. Julian Day is running this already distressed company into the ground. Everything that could be going wrong at a retailer is going wrong at RSH. No light at the end of the tunnel. This stock is on a one-way trip down--most likely never to return to these levels.
Julian Day is raiding this company for his personal gain.
Consumer is in the toilet.
RSH employees moral at all time low.
RSH new products are a joke.
Batteries and cables are so overpriced that they can't even sell these traditionally high margin products.
Stick an apple in the mouth of this pig. It's on a one way trip to sh*tsville.
Bill Miller is OVER. He has underperformed the S&P in 06' and is 300bps behind so far this year. How hard is it to outperform the S & P? This clown has lost his way and is clearly hitting the bottle too much if he is this heavy in CFC.
You don't know your ass from first base. You sound like you've lost a lot trying to pick a bottom in this one. That's what you get for trying to get cute...you get your hand slapped!! Now go tell your stories to a board that will believe them.
The error in your thinking is that the iphone alone is a proxy for Apple stock. The real story unfolding is that this device along with the ipod and others have been driving HUGE consomer traffic to Apple. They are picking up market share PC's at an astounding rate. The market has not yet factored in the magnitude of this vector change. Go into any Best Buy and ask them what the ratio of Apple computer sales are relative to all PC brands. I did spoke to 25 sales reps in 12 locations around the country. The answer: Out of every 10 computers sold, about a third are Apples. Unbeleivable!!! The new generation in the world will all be on Apples. To the young, Apple is cool and PC's are "uncool". They are too young to remember Apples early mis-steps. And now, you can run these machines as PC's and they are better machines in almost every concievable way. When the new operating system comes out soon this will be seemless. Why would anyone with abrain in their head by a PC at this point.
Yeah, and George Bush is better. The republicans gave us our first clinically retarded President. What a legacy.