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TD Ameritrade Holding Corporation Message Board

argyle46 181 posts  |  Last Activity: Oct 16, 2014 5:58 PM Member since: Feb 14, 2005
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  • Reply to

    JVA Buyback

    by jasvirdi1 Jul 20, 2014 1:08 PM
    argyle46 argyle46 Jul 20, 2014 3:04 PM Flag

    As of April 30, 2014, they did not repurchase shares from the authorized $1 million buyback approvied in January 2014. The next update on whether any shares have been repurchased will likely be announced mid September.

    If the company was on it's toes, it would have repurchased shares right after the Malaysian plane crash when an investor panicked and sold 1% of the company (60k shares minimum) as a market order causing a 12% decline in a few minutes.

  • argyle46 argyle46 Jul 20, 2014 5:28 PM Flag

    I doubt it. My guess is AAPL is back to it's old ways and the more people buy the stock, the lower it goes. It will explode eventually, probably into the earnings announcement after the Holidays but for now, I see it going sideways to drifting lower. Even an awesome earnings report this week will be a sell the news type event. Why? The manipulators appear to be back and want to drive the price down for a few months before letting it go higher again.

  • argyle46 argyle46 Jul 20, 2014 5:52 PM Flag

    Most rumors have had the 4.7" model ready in September and the 5.5" model delayed. If the 5.5" model will start mass production in August and be ready for sale by Black Friday at the latest, I would say that's a positive. Unfortunately we won't know for sure until September when the official announcement is made.

  • Reply to

    Jay Carney in PR ??!!

    by gonegt Jul 20, 2014 4:56 PM
    argyle46 argyle46 Jul 20, 2014 5:54 PM Flag

    Who is AAPL's PR person now? All I know is whenever Tim Cook speaks, the stock usually goes down. A professional PR person would be a vast improvement, even if it is Carney. He definitely knows how to work the media.

  • Reply to

    JVA Buyback

    by jasvirdi1 Jul 20, 2014 1:08 PM
    argyle46 argyle46 Jul 21, 2014 12:17 AM Flag

    The CEO sold shares on April 9 and 10, and as of April 30, the company did not repurchase any. I still maintain that the timing of the CEO's sold shares could have been done to raise money to pay taxes. April 10th was the last day shares could be sold this year and settle in time to pay taxes by the April 15th deadline. I was forced to sell shares on April 10th of companies I did not want to sell to raise cash to pay my taxes, and this is the same day that Andrew Gordon sold. It will never be divulged why he sold but I honestly believe he did it for the same reasons I did. To pay capital gains taxes.

  • I want to see today's close but it appears that a strong bottom is being set. Bulls are becoming bearish because the stock has fallen for 6-7 straight weeks with a big purge from a panicked seller. Had JVA risen 22% since their last earnings report instead of fallen that much, everyone would be jumping on the bandwagon. This company is extremely undervalued at the moment and the last 2 profitable quarters have been completely dismissed. It would be nice to see some insiders buying or the stock buyback kick in at these prices. In any case, the Fibonacci followers have seen a retracement hitting the bottom at the exact price levels they are looking for which is a buy signal for them. Any increase in the stock price from here and they'll start buying too.

  • argyle46 by argyle46 Jul 21, 2014 3:47 PM Flag

    Interesting to note that there's 600 shares for sale at $5.18 and nothing after that until $5.59.

  • Reply to

    Level 2

    by argyle46 Jul 21, 2014 3:47 PM
    argyle46 argyle46 Jul 21, 2014 3:54 PM Flag

    And yes, the bid was dropped from $5.23 to currently now $5.16. This is the same @#$% we've seen for the past 2 months but stopped for 3 days. Now it's back again.

    Current price $5.19. Ask dropped to $5.16. This has been the pattern for months and I hate it.

  • to drive the price down to $5.10. I don't care what anybody says, this stock is still under fierce manipulation. Just because it stopped for 3 days last week, it's started again. I saw it happening all day with a big exclamation #$%$ at the close.

  • argyle46 argyle46 Jul 21, 2014 5:04 PM Flag

    To the person that gave me a thumbs down. Look at the facts. The stock was trading around $5.19 for hours into the close. Why all of a sudden would someone place a market order to sell 100 shares at the close? We already talked about this.

    There's only 3 reasons why you would place a market order to sell when you could have sold the entire day at higher prices:

    1. You are purposely trying to lose money
    2. You are shorting the stock
    3. You are about to make a bid to buy the company and a lower stock price saves you millions of dollars buying the company

    We already know the short interest is very low. Nobody is making any money shorting this stock. That leaves choices #1 and #3. Unless we have an idiot in our midst, nobody in their right mind would be selling at below market prices on purpose because that means they would be trying to lose money on purpose.

    I still maintain that what is happening is #3. I have seen this happen in a low float stock one other time and that company WAS bought out just like I had suspected was happening all along.

    Look at the final trades and somebody purposely placed a trade to make the stock finish the day as low as possible.

  • argyle46 argyle46 Jul 22, 2014 4:00 PM Flag

    I have no idea. All I know is the stock wasn't manipulated today, I didn't even notice the heavy volume until you mentioned it.

    There were 30,000 shares traded in a single 5 minute period around 1:30 pm EST according to my charts.

  • Someone bought a block of about 30,000 shares of FPP in a 1 second period at 1:30PM EST. They were buys because the price increased as a result of the trade. More than $150,000.

    Here are the trades.

    13:26:10 5.21 5000 EDGA
    13:26:10 5.21 5000 EDGA
    13:26:09 5.21 5000 EDGA
    13:26:08 5.21 100 EDGA
    13:25:58 5.11 5000 EDGA
    13:25:58 5.11 5000 EDGA
    13:25:58 5.11 5000 EDGA
    13:25:57 5.11 100 EDGA

  • Reply to

    Interesting trades at 1:30PM

    by argyle46 Jul 22, 2014 4:58 PM
    argyle46 argyle46 Jul 22, 2014 6:29 PM Flag

    Oil may get a boost on Thursday when the EU imposes further sanctions against Russia. This time they may initiate or at least threaten to initiate measures against their energy sector. Europe has held off on doing this because sanctions against Russia's oil assets would be painful for both sides. However, current sanctions are not working and the EU is considering more painful options.

  • argyle46 by argyle46 Jul 23, 2014 1:12 PM Flag

    Up almost 6% today, near $1.78. Well off the $1.60 lows recently. JVA stock is priced for a large hedging loss this quarter. That may still happen but with coffee prices rising, there may not be a loss at all depending on what their strategy has been.

  • Reply to

    Coffee is soaring

    by argyle46 Jul 23, 2014 1:12 PM
    argyle46 argyle46 Jul 23, 2014 1:15 PM Flag

    JVA's stock is overdue for a large move up. WIth coffee now flying, JVA should increasingly be under buying pressure. Green Mountain cannot hold off on purchasing coffee forever. Eventually they will have to cave and when they do, they will have to buy more than normal to refill their depleted inventories.

  • This explains why coffee is soaring. Sorry, JVA shorts. Green Mountain may have held off purchases last quarter due to high coffee prices but eventually they will have to buy. If coffee production in brazil is down by 33% due to the drought, coffee prices are going to go a lot higher. When GMCR does buy, they will have to pay higher prices and JVA's margins will go up. They will also register hedging gains.

    Only a matter of days before JVA catches fire imo.

  • argyle46 argyle46 Jul 23, 2014 9:49 PM Flag

    July 23, 2014

    Fresh Brazil crop fears send coffee price soaring

    "Arabica coffee futures jump, after an FCStone field trip reveals hefty damage to this year's crop from drought - and warns next year could be worse."

    What this means is a possible coffee shortage next year, which would send prices soaring. Coffee majors HAVE to buy beans at some point. High prices will translate to high profits at JVA. The reason for lower sales last quarter is that coffee houses held off on their purchases HOPING prices would fall. Well, after this news, I sense a renewed bull market in coffee is starting to happen. I think JVA will start to benefit from higher prices now where they were unable to take advantage last quarter.

  • The insider that bought JVA shares last week should be followed. I went back over his history. When he buys shares, JVA has risen 50% in days and weeks following his buys. The last 2 times he purchased shares, JVA went up 50% in almost 2 weeks and the other time it went up 50% in 2 months. He's not active, he's only bought shares previously in 2011 and 2007 but both times it was a precursor to the stock going way up shortly thereafter.

    He has bought again on July 18th. Historically, this has been a good sign.

  • Reply to

    JVA trading at low 6s makes no sense at all

    by super.linux Jul 24, 2014 9:49 AM
    argyle46 argyle46 Jul 24, 2014 10:14 AM Flag

    Level 2 is going crazy this morning even though not a lot of shares have traded hands yet. Not sure what it means but my guess is they are getting ready to start moving it back up as this bottom is solidified. Wild morning on level 2 quotes though.

  • Reply to

    Follow insider Daniel Dwyer

    by argyle46 Jul 24, 2014 7:48 AM
    argyle46 argyle46 Jul 24, 2014 12:39 PM Flag

    Yes, I caught that when I first saw it. It should be an (A). I went through his buys/sells, he owned 1,000 shares before this transaction and 2,000 after it. It must be a typo on the Form 4, rare but I've seen it happen. Everywhere else it's been reported as a buy and I did a search on his previous filings and his holdings increased after this transaction.

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