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Metabolix, Inc. Message Board

at_last_at_last 439 posts  |  Last Activity: May 17, 2013 12:56 PM Member since: Feb 6, 2000
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  • at_last_at_last by at_last_at_last Feb 13, 2003 5:55 AM Flag

    Perhaps investors will learn something about the future of this bright shooting star

    It's never too late to cover
    The future looks very bright
    For Leapfrog $$$$$$

    http://biz.yahoo.com/cc/1/26811.html

  • Reply to

    BUY ON THE DIPS

    by nkhelh Jan 15, 2003 2:32 PM
    at_last_at_last at_last_at_last Jan 15, 2003 7:58 PM Flag

    Toys, Toys, Toys

    Educational toys !!!

    When do you think the peak of the sales cycle is?
    - During the cold winter ski season
    - During the fun-in-the-outdoors spring and summer months
    - During the back-to-school and fall holidays

    I'll give you a clue:

    Analysts are estimating $0.39 for Q4-2002
    http://www.getwhispers.com/gw/template.cgi?file=whispers&ticker=LF
    (Whisper numbers tend to be higher and already built into the stock price [IMHO])

    Analysts are estimating (- $0.13) for Q1-2003
    http://biz.yahoo.com/z/a/l/lf.html
    (Don't expect big rewards for negative numbers [IMHO])

    Once earnings for LF are smoothed out so that all four quarters are profitable then LF will be a great investment. Until then, it is a cyclical stock and some investors will find great rewards playing the cycle. IMHO, this stock will pull back heading into the slow summer months and soar heading into back-to-school and Q4 holidays. (Happy Trading ;-)

  • Reply to

    IPO Lock-up Period => the real deal

    by inductive9 Jan 10, 2003 4:31 PM
    at_last_at_last at_last_at_last Jan 10, 2003 10:37 PM Flag

    inductive9, here is a true story for you to think about.. . Today I visited with several friends who all told me �I wished I had listened to you when you told me about dollar cost averaging�. These folks had stock that once looked more promising than LF but they choose to ignore my advice. Now their shares are worth a pittance of what they once were. Unfortunately, once you see a stock soar it is very difficult to settle for less. As the market moves it up, down, or sideways it becomes difficult to choose your entry and exit points. Sometimes, in fact often, investors (especially employees) get trapped into thinking that their stock is worth more than the market has priced it. It is that mentality that causes people to hold on, even when something is caught in a downward spiral. To protect yourself from yourself you need to make a conscious decision to �sell a little every quarter�. Even if the stock is $10 below last quarter�s high, you should �sell a little every quarter�. This practice is known as dollar cost averaging and it is necessary to protect your health and sanity.

  • Reply to

    IPO Lock-up Period => the real deal

    by inductive9 Jan 10, 2003 4:31 PM
    at_last_at_last at_last_at_last Jan 10, 2003 10:14 PM Flag

    Okay, now that you�ve apologized for your mistakes I will apologize for mine. I don�t really consider LF a �strong sell� (sorry). I only added that to my prior post because you pissed me off.

    FYI, I do believe that small shareholders, employees, and those who are able should take a little off the table in order to protect their assets. When the stock went public it was priced at $13 per share for a reason. The ride up has been a little too fast and a little too soon for my tastes so I�d recommend to everyone that their consider diversifying. Anyone who doesn�t want to listen will either be very lucky or very sad. Converting some of your profits into cash so you have something to hold onto on rainy days is always a smart thing to do (especially if you keep holding onto a few shares in hopes of a brighter future ;-).

  • Reply to

    IPO Lock-up Period => the real deal

    by inductive9 Jan 10, 2003 4:31 PM
    at_last_at_last at_last_at_last Jan 10, 2003 8:14 PM Flag

    VCs don�t rape the company, they simply fleece investors. They bought most of their shares for pennies on the dollar and they sell them to new investors for a huge markup. Then tend to pull out very quietly yet they do pull out because it is the smart thing to do.

    Have you heard the saying: �Never keep all of your eggs in one basket�?

    It is a very old saying, yet it comes from wisdom that comes from experience. If your fortunes are all in LF, then your wealth will rise �or fall� based upon the whims of the market. Diversification is your only safety net. Moving profits into cash, real estate, stocks, bonds, etc. will save you from the daily whims of the market. Today LF is a sweetheart stock, but tomorrow it may become another bottom feeder. Be leery of cyclical stocks because they require a different style of trading discipline. You have to have the stomach to ride the up and downs without crying about the wild swings. If you don�t believe that LF could see the teens again �this year� then you�ve already made the number one mistake of investing �never fall in love with a stock�.

    Good luck, you clearly need it.

  • Reply to

    IPO Lock-up Period => the real deal

    by inductive9 Jan 10, 2003 4:31 PM
    at_last_at_last at_last_at_last Jan 10, 2003 8:00 PM Flag

    Boy, all that I�ve done is offer you some food for though about the upcoming lockout expiration date and you assume that I�m shorting the stock. I�ve also provided you with an excellent example of another fine company that had a recent lockout expiration. (Notice that their stock price dropped from nearly $50 to $30 as the lockout approached ;-).

    The market is very fickle. Just because you can reproduce great earnings �one quarter each year� doesn�t mean that you can command or expect the stock price to hold up for the other three quarters. Companies that are cyclical in nature tend to take a hit during their down quarters and then ride back up near the end of the year (back to school and xmas sales). The big boys know that, and you can bet that they will be taking some profits ASAP. Any of them that want to continue �playing the game� with your stock will probably buy back during the slow summer months (as the price drops into the teens ;-).

    I may join the game, but you won�t be taking my money until the stock price drops back into the teens. If that happens this month then cool, if that doesn�t happen until summer then even better.

    Investochamp was right when he said: �most little-guy employees are so in-love with their company that they can't bring them-selves to unload lots of their shares�. It is for that very reason that most little guys miss out on the opportunity to sell high. They don�t realize that a dropping stock price may never return to these levels. It is the big investor that knows to get out and makes the big profits when the getting is good. It is the little guy that ends up crying �would-of, should-of, could-of�.

  • Reply to

    IPO Lock-up Period => the real deal

    by inductive9 Jan 10, 2003 4:31 PM
    at_last_at_last at_last_at_last Jan 10, 2003 6:01 PM Flag

    For a good example of a recent lockup expiration event

    See: http://table.finance.yahoo.com/d?a=3&b=1&c=2002&d=0&e=10&f=2003&g=d&s=JBLU

    Scroll to the bottom of the page then slowly scroll up and watch both the price and volume as early to mid October approaches.

    Hardly the 1% to 3% delta that inductive9 referred to.

  • Reply to

    IPO Lock-up Period => the real deal

    by inductive9 Jan 10, 2003 4:31 PM
    at_last_at_last at_last_at_last Jan 10, 2003 5:50 PM Flag

    Referencing a paper that was written during the height of the dot-com boom has little to no validity in today environment.

    Back in 2000, Venture Capitalists and other large investors were still making money hand over fist. Dozens of new companies were having successful IPO each month and the big boys we building fortunes (this all began to change at the end of 2000).

    Today, much fewer companies are able to IPO, and the ones that do are lucky if they can keep the stock price up long enough for employees to enjoy the IPO price.

    In general, the big boys have always started to pull out right after the lock up. If they are lucky then the market will hold up the price while they sneak out tens of millions each day. If not, then �It will be a free for all�. Never forget that these investors are already looking at �huge gains�. It is in their best interest to lock in profits and to diversify their investments.

    Regardless of what happens after the 20th, a quality company will eventually recover and rise back to the top. Of course, you may have to wait until next Christmas before you see the high twenties again, but I don�t doubt that you will eventually get there.

  • at_last_at_last by at_last_at_last Jan 10, 2003 5:33 PM Flag

    �The 180-day underwriters' lock-up agreement for the IPO will expire at the end of the day on January 20, 2003�

    Src: http://biz.yahoo.com/prnews/030110/sff030_1.html

    Tens of millions of shares were purchased below $15 per share....
    Wanna bet that the effect of these reaching the market will be more than a 1% drop?

  • Reply to

    TRADE IT NOWW SOON WAR IS HERE SO WATCH

    by bozkir2 Dec 5, 2002 11:10 AM
    at_last_at_last at_last_at_last Dec 5, 2002 12:37 PM Flag

    OUT

  • at_last_at_last by at_last_at_last Nov 3, 2002 10:53 PM Flag

    "The superhero saga sold an estimated 11 million DVD and videocassette copies worth $190 million in its first three days after going on sale across North America on Nov. 1. By contrast, the movie opened in theaters last May with $114.8 million, setting a new record for three-day sales."

    Monster's Inc took a week to sell this many videos... hmmm, now we know approximately how much 11 million units can generate...

  • Tablet PC are going to change the way you interact with computers
    Tablet PC could be the catalyst that pulls USA out of a recession
    Tablet PC will be good for the economy

    Who stands to make the most from Tablet PCs ???

    Chip makers and Microsoft

    Coming to home near year

    NOVEMBER 2002

    $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$

  • One reason to buy: "Microsoft is preparing to release a product that could pull America out of the recession"

    November is coming up fast

    Time to buy
    Time to cover
    Time to look forward

  • at_last_at_last by at_last_at_last Aug 7, 2002 1:10 PM Flag

    Earnings aren�t enough to justify the current price

    Gold has been a safe place to put your money while
    The market has searched for the bottom

    Now the bottom is in sight AND "It is time to diversify"

    Don�t wait for $3 to become $1.
    The train is leaving the station

    Time to bail on this bloated pig

  • Reply to

    HL back to $1, could happen

    by at_last_at_last Jul 22, 2002 11:07 AM
    at_last_at_last at_last_at_last Jul 26, 2002 12:05 PM Flag

    Remember this? I'm glad I exited when I did.
    -----------------------------------
    It was a nice ride

    From 1 to almost 6 but now it is time to exit

    The market is nearing its bottom and money is reading to flow back to where it came from

    It finally time to dump this little piggy head elsewhere

    Good luck, you need it

  • at_last_at_last by at_last_at_last Jul 22, 2002 11:07 AM Flag

    It was a nice ride

    From 1 to almost 6 but now it is time to exit

    The market is nearing its bottom and money is reading to flow back to where it came from

    It finally time to dump this little piggy head elsewhere

    Good luck, you need it

  • at_last_at_last by at_last_at_last Mar 25, 2002 1:44 PM Flag

    Dreamworks is a piece of shrek, non-public company, that buys awards rather than earning them. Davey is so busy, making busy, with shrek in his mouth that he doesn�t realize that his options in Dreamworks are going no where. That�s right Davey boy��� While you are worrying about the daily movements of this stock Dreamworks is packing the fudge up your ass. Your options aren�t worth the shrek they are printed on.

    FYI, in the Yiddish dictionary shrek may no equate to dreck
    Yet as everyone knows the shrek that Davey swallows is pure dreck

  • Reply to

    PIXR == WINNER of TWO ACADEMY AWARDS !!

    by bzap2000 Mar 25, 2002 12:29 AM
    at_last_at_last at_last_at_last Mar 25, 2002 12:44 AM Flag

    Dreamworks is a piece of shrek, non-public company, that buys awards rather than earning them. Davey is so busy, making busy, with shrek in his mouth that he doesn�t realize that his options in Dreamworks are going no where. That�s right Davey boy��� While you are worrying about the daily movements of this stock dream works is packing the fudge up your ass. Your options aren�t worth the shrek they are printed on.

  • Reply to

    Prudential news

    by mike400i Nov 1, 2001 10:09 AM
    at_last_at_last at_last_at_last Nov 1, 2001 11:36 AM Flag

    Nice to see Pru has learned some new tricks

    Things could get really interesting next week

    Wonder how may shorts have lived to talk about a squeeze

    Thanks for the update on Prudential

  • Reply to

    Got my 10K last Saturday.

    by Buzz_Lightyear_1998 Aug 29, 2001 6:23 PM
    at_last_at_last at_last_at_last Aug 29, 2001 8:17 PM Flag

    The following is from the Pixar website:

    ANNUAL REPORT

    Pixar's 2000 Annual Report was sent to shareholders in mid August. If you are a shareholder and did not receive a copy of the 2000 annual report, or if you are a potential investor and would like to receive an investor relations kit that includes a copy of the 2000 annual report, then please send your name and address to the investor relations department at ir@pixar.comor call our investor relations hotline at 1-510-752-3720.

    ANNUAL SHAREHOLDER MEETING

    The date of Pixar's 2001 Annual Meeting of Shareholders has been scheduled for Friday, September 14, 2001, in the Wattis Theater at the San Francisco Museum of Modern Art located at 151 Third Street, San Francisco, California. The meeting will convene at 10:00 a.m. (PDT).

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