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Ancestry.com Inc. Message Board

audphil78 10 posts  |  Last Activity: Dec 16, 2014 12:41 AM Member since: Feb 21, 2007
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  • Reply to

    new board of director member

    by wywiseman1 Dec 15, 2014 12:49 PM
    audphil78 audphil78 Dec 16, 2014 12:41 AM Flag

    As previously noted, a non-event given his mom owns 23% of the company.

  • Coming only a few weeks after they downgraded to hold they must have latched on to
    some "hints" of good news on the order front IMHO. That along with the $.44 dividend clearly
    make their price target very achievable.

  • Reply to

    EVOL is all over the place price wise

    by wywiseman1 Nov 18, 2014 10:53 AM
    audphil78 audphil78 Nov 18, 2014 4:41 PM Flag

    Why do you obsess over the d#$%$ily price. Are you #$%$ tr#$%$der or #$%$n investor?? Lots of fun g#$%$mes with thinly tr#$%$ded stocks. Yesterd#$%$y #$%$nd tod#$%$y the stock w#$%$s pushed down $..35 #$%$nd .20 respectively on #$%$ few sh#$%$res #$%$t the close. So wh#$%$t?? Key is th#$%$t the comp#$%$ny is doing well #$%$nd th#$%$t there #$%$re strong rumors #$%$bout #$%$ t#$%$keout, which m#$%$y #$%$ccount for the higher volumes the p#$%$st few weeks.

  • Reply to

    Bidding Process

    by flvbguy Nov 10, 2014 10:38 PM
    audphil78 audphil78 Nov 11, 2014 8:31 AM Flag

    You are correct. Shareholders have NO say in what goes on with this company unless an "equity committee" is formed in the Chapter 11 and that may not happen if it is felt that he equity has no chance to succeed, since each additional committee costs the "estate" big money for lawyers, accountants and consultants.

  • Reply to

    today is the last trading days for dndn

    by steve321nguyen Nov 11, 2014 8:22 AM
    audphil78 audphil78 Nov 11, 2014 8:27 AM Flag

    Are you really that ignorant or are you just trying to intentionally mislead? Stock will trade until the reorganization is finished. It will move to pink sheets shortly, but will continue to trade until the Judge bangs his gavel (which could take months.) Morons will continue to buy and sell like a yoyo with each piece of news perceived to somehow change the outlook...NOTTTTTT

  • Reply to

    This stock is horrible

    by wywiseman1 Nov 6, 2014 2:48 PM
    audphil78 audphil78 Nov 7, 2014 2:41 PM Flag

    This is NOT a stock for an impatient investor. They have a GREAT track record for giving money to shareholders and earn money consistently on a real GAAP basis, fully taxed (whereas most companies these days report earnings before expenditures on cloudy days and tips to deliverymen.) They also pay you to wait, with the next record date November 18 for $.11. Definitely NOT a stock to try and day trade as it is highly illiquid. They showed $5.8mm on the balance sheet in unbilled work in progress, much of which will flow through in the next Q, so my guess is that Q4 will be a strong one also.

    As others have noted they are getting their toes wet with new initiatives like the Apploader with "ads" (or app sales) upon activations, work in the connected car, some M2M and greater presence in North America through their relationship with Sprint (and perhaps others coming up??) due to increased market share for prepaid phones (their business!!)

    There are also at least 3 or 4 logical acquirors down the road (Synchronoss, Neustar etc.) Quarter to quarter is not a great way to view this stock...much better to look TTM over time.

  • Riley must have gotten scared before the report. Lots of exciting things on the conference call in terms of "futures" (ad sales at times of activation, connected car, U.S. expansion with Sprint and more prepaid phones etc. etc.) Riley was so busy asking about next quarter he couldn't see past the nose on his face.
    This a a GREAT stock for the L--O--N--G run (and it ain't so bad now.) If the Riley guy knew how to read a balance sheet he might have noticed that there was $5.8mm in UNBILLED WORK IN PROGRESS (there was $4.4mm at the end of last quarter and only about $2.3mm at the end of the year.) That means that they are "pregnant" with revenue for Q4. D. A. Davidson seems to have picked up on that.

  • Cut EVOL this AM with earnings due within the week. If the earnings are poor one could certainly make a case that B. Riley had "inside information"??

    JUST MY HUMBLE OPINION OF COURSE.

  • Reply to

    New 52 week high

    by wywiseman1 Oct 29, 2014 3:15 PM
    audphil78 audphil78 Oct 30, 2014 7:40 AM Flag

    B. Riley cut rating this AM to Neutral. Seems odd that they would do this right before earnings. If the report should be bad, one will wonder if they had some inside information!!

  • audphil78 by audphil78 Oct 28, 2014 12:29 AM Flag

    EVOL's overall longer-term trend is very positive in terms of revenue and earnings, but don't obsess quarter-to-quarter or you may be disappointed as their sales can be "lumpy." The fact that they are paying a 4%+ dividend pays you to be patient.

    As for the current volume, I am reminded of a period from October 2013 when the stock went up from $9.15 to $11.35 or so only to fall back into the low $9s a few weeks later when earnings were disappointing.

    Keep your eye on free cash flow as that is the key number OVER TIME.

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