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Ancestry.com Inc. Message Board

audphil78 16 posts  |  Last Activity: Sep 12, 2014 8:29 AM Member since: Feb 21, 2007
  • Mark this post. Within 30 days (after a few more PR to try and support the price) be ready of some kind of PIPE or convert with massive dilution. They are running low on cash (by their own admission) and either have to start chopping up the furniture to put in the fire or find someone else who is willing to put up bucks (and they will want a big equity chunk in exchange!)

  • They are NOT using AWRE biometrics at all. It will become a cheap universal standard for facial recognizition.

  • Google has somehow messed up its search functions for many users with older browsers and operating systems and doesn't seem to know what is happening. They will begin to lose big $$ relative to analysts' espectations if this keeps up. Search is their "bread and butter" and they have just hurt themselves badly, but only a few techies seem to know this right now.

  • Reply to

    Financial Spin-off

    by bigcasino_98 Aug 6, 2014 3:56 PM
    audphil78 audphil78 Aug 7, 2014 8:04 AM Flag

    Ignorance on this is amazing and if you own GE you should seriously think about selling it and buying something less complex. Synchrony is being "separated" from GECC (and thus GE) in a two step process;
    Step 1: Already finished...IPO with the funds going to Synchrony; however, along with moneys raised from bonds and other independent funding (as well as a rollover of $1.5B of funding from GE) GE will be repaid about $8B so that it will recapture this for the company (and thus for shareholders.)
    Step 2: About a year from now GE shareholders will be offered the opportunity to swap their GE shares (or as many as they may want) for Synchrony shares. This will finish the separation of the remaining 85% (about $16B worth depending on how the stock trades) and will thus act to be a share buyback of GE (perhaps about 700mm shares....or about 7% of the company); thus remaining shareholders will own 7% more of GE than they did before.

    This can all be found in the S1 for the Synchrony offering.

  • Reply to

    Whats it going to be?

    by recoveringslowly2004 Aug 5, 2014 12:13 PM
    audphil78 audphil78 Aug 5, 2014 4:00 PM Flag

    I expect strong Q...but not the crazy high numbers some people have suggested. $.10 would make me VERY happy and show that their backlog is starting to translate into bottom line. With 4% yield, unique product niches and the company's backlog and history of rewarding shareholders, this is a solid hold.

  • If a director is dumping over a million shares immediately after the earnings report and while the company is in the market buying stock, why should I buy if he thinks $3.44 is a great price. I don't want to hear all of the #$%$ about needing it for college education etc. If he really thought it would be at $5 in 2 years he would find other sources of funds for whatever he needed the $$ for.

  • So, do you want to pay $5 for the same company that was selling at $5.75 with $1.75 less in cash?? Seems to me that it is now worth $4 if it was worth $5.75 before the divvy??

  • Reply to

    Zack's Just Out with BUY one hour ago!!

    by audphil78 Jul 2, 2014 10:14 AM
    audphil78 audphil78 Jul 2, 2014 11:08 AM Flag

    Your history shows that you are a loser with regard to EVOL. You were dissing it when it was $5.
    Go home and stop embarrassing yourself.

  • "As of late, it has definitely been a great time to be an investor in Evolving Systems Inc. (EVOL). The stock has moved higher by 11% in the past month, while it is also above its 20 Day SMA too. This combination of strong price performance and favorable technical, could suggest that the stock may be on the right path.

    We certainly think that this might be the case, particularly if you consider EVOL’s recent earnings estimate revision activity. From this look, the company’s future is quite favorable; as EVOL has earned itself a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy), meaning that its recent run may continue for a bit longer, and that this isn’t the top for the in-focus company."

  • Reply to

    Watch for breakout

    by msilcpom Jun 27, 2014 12:09 PM
    audphil78 audphil78 Jul 1, 2014 4:20 PM Flag

    67,000 shares is pretty decent volume for them and certainly validates the price move more than the 3,000 shares they sometimes trade during the day. The spread on this stock is fairly obscene, but represents how thin the true trading float is and the lack of large volume buyers. It took me 6 months to slowly accumulate my position and having a large position in such a micro-cap can be treacherous in terms of liquidity unless a "take out" event comes along. I believe in their nice little "niche" business model, as well as the fundamental strength of their balance sheet and recurring revenue model for them, so am content to collect a generous dividend and wait for others to recognize this as an attractive (and for a high multiple company) and potentially accretive acquisition for someone.

    My last micro-cap investment, which had similar characteristics, was Tellular and that worked out through the above profile and ultimate scenario.

  • Reply to

    special dividend ex/date

    by ftwmcmillan Jun 30, 2014 5:58 PM
    audphil78 audphil78 Jul 1, 2014 9:49 AM Flag

    As with everything else this company does, it is mysterious. Never heard of a company being over-ruled on its dividend dates by Nasdaq (perhaps they left too little time for a special dividend as record date originally was set at 7/10, which means you could have sold the stock on the 8th and still been holder of record on July 10th; however now the ex-date is 7/25, so you must be of record on the 24th, which means (with 3 day clearing) that you can sell the stock on the 22nd and still be the owner of record on the 24th.

  • Reply to

    Watch for breakout

    by msilcpom Jun 27, 2014 12:09 PM
    audphil78 audphil78 Jul 1, 2014 7:25 AM Flag

    Quite frankly, I am surprised that this stock went down to the $8 range given the recent dividends, the fact that it has been strongly cash-flow positive for a long time and also has a history of being generous to shareholders with special dividends. A 5% yield is absurdly high for a company that has good growth prospects also and even 4% is generous. While this is not GE or ATT in terms of its size and history, it has a nice little track record that creates enough trust that the dividend should be fairly solid. I expect a good Q2 (not a blowout as I believe the nature of their business has high recurring revenues that build over time.)

    All that said, I think a solid Q2, along with the reassurance that the dividend is solid will leave this easily at $10 and positioned to go higher if there are more wins forthcoming. At $10, the 4% is generous.

    I am wondering what Karen Singer will do with her position over time?? It is clearly too large to sell into the market, so she must be banking on a takeout at some point in the future. Thad is not getting younger, so I can see this being a highly attractive target at a fair price in the coming 12 months, given how cheap money is to borrow and how desperate companies are for growth.

  • Reply to

    10cents a share and liquidating?

    by longfellowsss Jun 29, 2014 6:47 PM
    audphil78 audphil78 Jun 30, 2014 8:28 AM Flag

    Actually it is the pumping that held this stock up way beyond what it was worth ever since the drug was suspended. It was the drug that failed and not the shorts who killed the drug. Shorts don't kill a good company with a good product. Typically, many companies cause the short attacks by engaging in financing techniques which use convertible debt (called PIPEs) because they are weak and cannot get funding elsewhere. It is the buyers of that kind of debt who then short the heck out of the stock as the lower the price goes, the more shares they get on their converstion OR to lock in a profit by selling at higher prices than the ultimate conversion.

    In any event your rant about shorts is naive and directed incorrectly.

  • Leading African Operator Significantly Expands the Capacity of Evolving Systems’ Dynamic SIM Allocation™ Solution

    ENGLEWOOD, Colorado, June 26, 2014 – Evolving Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ: EVOL), a leader in activation, enablement and management of services for connected mobile devices worldwide, today announced that a major Tier-1 operator in Africa has ordered a significant expansion of its Dynamic SIM Allocation™ (DSA) solution to support its growing activation volumes, leveraging the important business benefits provided by the solution. This expansion represents the largest First Use Activation (FUA) license order received by Evolving Systems to date.

    Since implementing DSA, this African operator has achieved significant efficiencies in number utilization as well as network cost savings. DSA has also enabled the operator to successfully flood the market with SIM cards through the use of creative commercial packages. As a result, activation volumes have grown to record levels, requiring the operator to expand the licensed activation capacity of its installed solution.

    “We are delighted this major African operator is continuing to benefit from our DSA solution,” said Thad Dupper, Chairman and CEO of Evolving Systems. “Their continued investment highlights the importance of DSA to their business, and reinforces Evolving Systems’ DSA position as the preferred solution of Tier-1 carriers around the world.”

    DSA activates SIM cards on-demand and helps operators grow their revenue while also achieving material cost savings. With DSA, subscribers receive an enhanced activation experience, allowing them to personalize their service by choosing their phone number and tariff plan directly on the device via an interactive menu in their choice of language. Additionally, DSA’s flexible promotions engine capability provides operators with the ability to offer subscriber specific promot

  • Reply to

    we get a distribution

    by htrwso Jun 26, 2014 4:29 AM
    audphil78 audphil78 Jun 26, 2014 6:38 AM Flag

    Speculate on WHAT. They are liquidating. Poof, Goodbye. The hope to give you a dime for your share if the lawyers don't eat up too much of the few $$ that are left. That is it...BOOM...OVER. Nothing to "speculate." You are going to pay $.11 for a dime?? Doesn't sound very smart to me.

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