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Tucows Inc. Message Board

bears_bulls2007 51 posts  |  Last Activity: Aug 11, 2014 10:33 AM Member since: Aug 9, 2006
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  • bears_bulls2007 bears_bulls2007 Aug 11, 2014 10:33 AM Flag

    this can play both ways.... no one and i mean no one likes insurance companies, they are a leech on the back of society.... have you ever looked at how many customers are suing USAA.... i dont think even the Texans like insurance companies

  • Reply to

    Legal Matters USAA

    by ef_nutting Aug 8, 2014 3:34 PM
    bears_bulls2007 bears_bulls2007 Aug 8, 2014 4:01 PM Flag

    On July 29, 2014, the Court dismissed the Company’s infringement claims against USAA. The Company’s claims for defamation and Lanham Act violations are expected to go to trial on September 8, 2014.

    what does the above mean to Mitek if judge dismissed the infringement claims against USAA

  • bears_bulls2007 by bears_bulls2007 Aug 4, 2014 12:17 PM Flag

    TD Bank has launched mobile account opening see news on TD Bank

  • Reply to

    Inside Transactions

    by gmb125 Aug 3, 2014 8:32 AM
    bears_bulls2007 bears_bulls2007 Aug 4, 2014 9:59 AM Flag

    nothing to worrie about with these trades... this is sandard treatment of a RSU (restricted Stock Unit).... this is a form of compensation, some consider it to be a retention bonus.... an employee receives a lot with a portion of the lot vesting, typically once a year. On the vesting date a portion of the stock is sold to cover the taxes, this is the standard treatment of this type of income... if you look at the schedules filed you will see this as footnote #1

  • Reply to

    Questions for today

    by mitk_long Jul 24, 2014 10:19 AM
    bears_bulls2007 bears_bulls2007 Jul 24, 2014 4:09 PM Flag

    Generally speaking a larger float is not going to deter a hostile takeover… what most organizations do is adopt a poison pill which places a premium on existing shares when an investor or group attempt to take control.
    As for damages due to share valuation… do you know of any instance that this has occurred? A company has been awarded damages do to a decline in price? One could argue that if they made a profit that would rectify the share value… I think that is more of a class action suite for shareholders that bought high and sold low and absorb losses.

  • Reply to

    Questions for today

    by mitk_long Jul 24, 2014 10:19 AM
    bears_bulls2007 bears_bulls2007 Jul 24, 2014 11:27 AM Flag

    perhaps a 5,000,000 share buyback program should be considered... reduce the cash float down to $10 million... this might put some pressure on management to run a tighter ship and create some additional pressure on the shorts

  • Reply to

    Questions for today

    by mitk_long Jul 24, 2014 10:19 AM
    bears_bulls2007 bears_bulls2007 Jul 24, 2014 10:57 AM Flag

    Mitek is sitting on a lot of cash compared to the current revenue stream... what are their plans for the use of this cash

  • Reply to

    Earnings call and Q for H8

    by bears_bulls2007 Jul 17, 2014 11:28 AM
    bears_bulls2007 bears_bulls2007 Jul 17, 2014 12:42 PM Flag

    Thanks H8... your post are enlightening... much appreciated

  • bears_bulls2007 by bears_bulls2007 Jul 17, 2014 11:28 AM Flag

    Does anyone know if Thursday is the typical day of the week Mitek has been releasing earnings? If not do you know what day of the week Mitek has released earnings?

    H8... how are things looking with breaking that resistance of 3.54

  • Reply to

    What a piece of #$%$ this stock is.

    by shaboe Jul 7, 2014 2:35 PM
    bears_bulls2007 bears_bulls2007 Jul 9, 2014 12:23 PM Flag

    ocman.. not sure why you are so angry and insist on misrepresenting the truth and then try to speak of the truth... when in fact you dont seem to understand the case... USAA is not asking for monetary relief other than that of requesting a court order for relief from paying Mitek for infringing on the Mitek patten. The basis of claim from USAA for this relief is that Mitek utilized Proprietary Info from USAA to develop the patten... this is not a case about the legitimacy of Mitek holding the patten but rather USAA feels that there contribution in the patten development by Mitek should grant them priviledges to use this patten with support for free... that is it that is the case in a nut shell nothing more. I am deeply familar with lawsuites that surrond "POPI" Protection of Proprietary Information... the standard was set many years ago in a case Motorola Semiconductor vs. Fairchild Semiconductor... this case involved something very similar in that Motorla lost key exectutives to Fairchild and made the claim that these executives stole and took Motorola proprietary information along with them to Faichild. The court ruled in favor of fairchild (meaning court found Motorola had no prioprietary Info)... the finding by the court indcated that every single document a company generates has to be classified into a security level ... lowest being general information with the highest level being high security. Access to this documentation also has to be incorporated into the process of this type of protection... for example a document would not be recognized as proprietary if all employees at all levels have access. In my opinion there is no such thing as Proprietary Information... From the USAA case i have not seen a claim by USAA that Mitek was in breah or even signed a nondisclosure/proprietary agreement...Why do you think Coke and Pepsi guard there secret formula so close even to the point no one individual even knows the whole formula.

  • bears_bulls2007 bears_bulls2007 Jul 9, 2014 9:25 AM Flag

    I am afraid I cant answer your question.... i guess it made some press at the time. Have you checked livedeal? symbol... live... i dont have a buy or sell opinion but check it out and look at the the PR from this company... it is constant it is like a PR machine.... i would like to see DSS learn somethng from them when it comes to making noise in the market... it is hard to beleive that nothing has come from the company in light of the Alice vs. CLS Bank ruling... not a peep... this creates an information void and people begin to make up there own information... makes no sense at all. I certainly hope that ths PR firm that now represents DSS is paid by the press release and not on some form of contract getting paid for doing nothng.

  • Reply to

    Short now

    by bears_bulls2007 Jun 24, 2014 5:08 PM
    bears_bulls2007 bears_bulls2007 Jun 25, 2014 2:43 PM Flag

    this is from the same 10Q you mentioned above.... this identical statement is also included in there Form 424B4 filed March 7 2014.... i hardly consider $350 million as "not material" They dont have enough cash on hand to cover this expense.


    In the ordinary course of business, the Company may be involved in lawsuits, claims, investigations, and proceedings consisting of intellectual property, commercial, employment, and other matters. The Company will record a provision for these claims when it is both probable that a liability has been incurred and the amount of the loss, or a range of the potential loss, can be reasonably estimated. These provisions are reviewed regularly and adjusted to reflect the impacts of negotiations, settlements, rulings, advice of legal counsel, and other information or events pertaining to a particular case. In the event that one or more of these matters were to result in a claim against the Company, an adverse outcome, including a judgment or settlement, may cause a material adverse effect on the Company’s future business, operating results, or financial condition.

    The Company believes that liabilities associated with any claims are not probable and any reasonably possible range of losses cannot be estimated at this time, therefore the Company has not recorded any accrual for claims as of March 31, 2014 and December 31, 2013.

  • bears_bulls2007 by bears_bulls2007 Jun 24, 2014 5:08 PM Flag

    Shorted yesterday... this is getting ready for big tumble.... finally court hearing... DSS vs. Coupons for PI .... hearing begins tomorrow should be slam dunk... DSS asking for $350 million plus for PI..... i suspect once coupons losses this case and ponies up... shareholders will sue coupons for not divulging the law suit... started back in 2012.... this is going to sink like a rock... only 80,000 shares left available to short. and Goldman new about the lawsuit why no mention in the prospectus is beyond me... you may want to consider shorting Goldman as lead on the IPO they should have ensured this was included in prospectus

  • bears_bulls2007 by bears_bulls2007 Jun 23, 2014 11:09 AM Flag

    Seems that MITK with 25 million in revenue (excluding Litigation) is very very close to their break even number... with Mobile deposit at least.... when do we get to 1 billion transactions? over 2200 customers signed on for mobile deposit... this would average 500,000 transactions per customer, I know we have seen some banks indicating a couple of million transactions per year with this technology. I have seen 8 cents per transaction bantered around here so using this number...
    1 Billion transactions (Photo deposit only)
    8 cents per ... revenue 80 million
    i am estimating that for this product incremental cost slow significantly after break even (25 million is break even andd an additional 10 million in expenses for support of this level of volume) brings expenses in at 35 million
    Profit 45 million (80 million revenue)
    26.8 million shares outstanding
    EPS 1.68 (in line with the Alpha article)

    When do we hit 1 billion transactions?

  • Reply to

    Short Data

    by longerthanlong May 27, 2014 3:17 PM
    bears_bulls2007 bears_bulls2007 May 27, 2014 4:46 PM Flag

    here is is the May 15 short position:
    5/15/2014 short 6,481,725 avg vol 415,233 days to cover 15.609850

  • bears_bulls2007 bears_bulls2007 May 27, 2014 3:47 PM Flag

    h8... let me start by saying thanks for your postings especially the short info that data is great and helpful.. if you don;t mind posting who your provider is that would be great also... i do recall it is a service you pay for.... as for the post above... i am hoping that MITEK backs USAA into a corner just as you have suggested and adheres to their demands even if this means taking it to trial.... monies spent in a prevailing trail is money well spent and does set the tone for the future... money spent now will be money saved in the future.... we also have TISA next and i beleive their maybe a credit union up north which the old USAA Information officer moved to that also sells to credit unions and has launched a mobile picture deposit.. gee wonder where he got the technology from ...i think that MITEK will serve its shareholders well taking this to trial and shutting the door on any futre thefts....just my opinion spend a little more now save a lot down the road

  • bears_bulls2007 by bears_bulls2007 May 15, 2014 9:37 AM Flag

    are you still out there? Are you still following KWK

  • Reply to

    Summary Judgment

    by kehrmin May 14, 2014 9:04 PM
    bears_bulls2007 bears_bulls2007 May 15, 2014 9:33 AM Flag

    Thanks so much for your hard work and sharing....keeping us all up to date is very informative and i like the fact you let us know with out any spin.... truth is reality whether we like it or not... thanks again!

  • bears_bulls2007 by bears_bulls2007 May 8, 2014 11:14 AM Flag

    I believe the Alpha article reconfirms the longs on this board and what many of us has been saying .... what ever the shorts are doing is they do it well... i have been checking the SHO list and they are never mentioned...
    Analyst Legal cloud... i spent a great deal of time looking through the USAA lawsuit... if this is the best the shorts have to go with then wow are they in big trouble....if we assume we (Mitek) losses each item in the suit and USSA prevails on each item this is the outcome:

    Mitek reimburses USAA $400K for Lic. fee they have paid in the past

    USAA would be allowed to continue using the software for free (no updates of any kind would be included so what they have know is it)

    Reimburse perhaps $1 million to USAA for legal cost

    That is it, how would this impact mitek:
    they write a check for $1.4 mill (they have approx. ($28 mil in cash and short term investments)

    They retain full ownership of Patents (USAA is not asking for anything related to this other than a free ride using the software)

    Mitek would not be allowed to bill USAA for using the software (they stopped paying for it a long time ago and continue to use it)

    Other than not billing USAA and writing a check that is Mitek's exposure to a loss on every account in the lawsuit

    If MITEK wins:
    They keep the $400K paid for Lic, they bill USAA for the years of use and not paying , USAA covers legal expense

    there is no downside to a loss from current position only upside should they win which JD feels pretty strong that they sit in the drivers seat. I want to reiterate that no where in any of UsAA filings that they are questioning the legitamcy of MITEK's patents

  • Reply to

    Analyst Moved their numbers

    by bears_bulls2007 May 6, 2014 3:45 PM
    bears_bulls2007 bears_bulls2007 May 7, 2014 2:19 PM Flag

    aaron... you may be right but they still play a roll and do influence behavior... we do still have 1 analyst that is very high on Mitk

    as for pricing Steve... i think over time this will play out but in the early stages which we are in now i suspect there is little structure in the pricing model... meaning prices are not consistent accross all banks and if pricing were to be revealed some of the current customers (banks) may get upset.... the other factor which is what i believe the BIG factor is high margins and high profits will attract competition, this way (low pricing) keeps more competition from trying to move in. Once banks get comfortable and their banking clients adopt this banking technology, which i beleive happens in time.... the banks should realize some savings and at that time price stability should be introduced and likely will which will create a cash cow in Mitek... Banks dont move to quickly changing out vendors or adopting technology so it is very very impressive the adoption rate success Mitek has had is amazing next step is to continue to see more and more transactions by bank clients, some savings as a result for the banks and then mitek can share in those bank savings via price increasing... I think we are still a few years out from very high margins but by then Mitek will be inbedded in the banking system and pretty hard to compete against even at a lower price point.

16.13+0.03(+0.19%)Aug 28 3:59 PMEDT

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