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Jones Soda Co. (JSDA) Message Board

belco_mc 276 posts  |  Last Activity: Aug 18, 2014 10:23 PM Member since: Aug 15, 2012
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  • Reply to

    Still Cheap

    by allinalj Aug 16, 2014 11:19 AM
    belco_mc belco_mc Aug 18, 2014 10:23 PM Flag

    This management team has made all the right moves the last few years. Their last two acquisitions have proven to be very good. Now they are using excess cash to buy more shares. I think this stock goes much higher.

  • Reply to

    Earnings

    by baaadapple Aug 14, 2014 11:57 AM
    belco_mc belco_mc Aug 15, 2014 8:41 AM Flag

    They have earned .24 in the last two quarters. I'm not sure of the seasonality in their business but just annualizing, we're at .48 cents in earnings. If you believe the housing market and renovation market will continue to recover, then Carpets earnings will increase from here. A company earning 50 cents a share with good management and growth should be selling for north of $5 per share. I think it goes there. This management team has a great track record.

  • Reply to

    earnings look strong

    by belco_mc May 19, 2014 7:35 AM
    belco_mc belco_mc May 19, 2014 7:15 PM Flag

    showing this level of profits while maintaining $4 meals is impressive while dealing with rising COGS.

  • In reviewing the 10Q over the weekend, it looks like Steak-n-Shake earnings were very strong. Same store sales up 3.7% while traffic increased 2.9%.

    Revenue from franchising growing nicely- up 46%. 195 franchised stores now vs 178 a year ago.

    The reported loss is from changes in the investments (which, I believe flow through the income statement) as CBRL stock declined during the period.

    Overall, it looks like a great quarter. The Maxim and 1st Guard acquisitions don't make much sense on the surface, but maybe Biglari has a plan for them. He's done well executing so far so I'd give him the benefit of the doubt.

  • belco_mc belco_mc Mar 25, 2014 8:23 PM Flag

    they do not have to report what they paid for the acquisition

  • Reply to

    positive restructuring

    by belco_mc Jan 21, 2014 7:16 PM
    belco_mc belco_mc Jan 22, 2014 10:06 PM Flag

    try that again- this time using english

  • The news today is very encouraging. It's the type of restructuring that is substantial and changes their business model in a way that should allow for high profitability if the can get revenues to come back. I'm impressed the Board and new CEO made this move so quickly. I think this is the end of the bad news and CAW will do well in the next year.

  • Reply to

    What's the chance of a stock split?

    by imsjw236 Aug 6, 2013 4:13 PM
    belco_mc belco_mc Aug 19, 2013 12:40 PM Flag

    Why in the world do you care about a stock split?

  • belco_mc by belco_mc Aug 2, 2013 4:47 PM Flag

    I understand the sentiment is pretty negative on this board. I understand why- however, my view is that buying in the $1.80 range offers a compelling risk/reward.

    The results from the quarter last week were terrible. Now we know why they fired the CEO. He loaded up on inventory and prices were soft- thus, margins were bad. I find it encouraging that the company made a in management when it became clear he wasn't the guy.

    Housing starts will continue strong and the renovation market is picking up. Structural margins will improve from here- I think you've seen the worst things are going to get and all the negatives are priced in now.

    In the next few months, they will announce a quality CEO and results will pick up. All just my opinion.

  • Reply to

    NBC Sports Group

    by cbresident Apr 29, 2013 4:27 PM
    belco_mc belco_mc Apr 29, 2013 7:39 PM Flag

    It's a positive move as long as they didn't spend too much cash on it. Many people have left this company for dead and I think they will be proven wrong. They over built stores in NYC when they should have been doing smaller mall-based stores. They know this and have been making the adjustment. This company is early in its evolution and they will have to make many adjustments to get the formula correct. I think they will. And I think the stock is worth much more than where it is trading as long as the deal closes that raises the $10 million. If it does, we'll head back over $2. If not, we're in trouble. They need the capital.

  • Reply to

    will the deal close?

    by belco_mc Apr 23, 2013 1:30 PM
    belco_mc belco_mc Apr 24, 2013 10:26 AM Flag

    I think you should continue making investment decisions based on some wall street journal article. That author probably has made a lot of money as an investor. They must be right.

  • The stock was around $2.50 when the recent capital raise was being contemplated. In reading the agreement, if looks like a drop in the stock price does not constitute a material adverse change. If that's right, then the stock should go up from here if the deal gets done. If the new investor walks away... CRMB is in trouble. I think it's a good risk/reward from here- they got over saturated in NYC and that is hurting them. I'm buying here.

  • Reply to

    Butler buyout proposed.

    by longtimefollower Apr 18, 2013 7:03 PM
    belco_mc belco_mc Apr 19, 2013 9:39 AM Flag

    This whole thing needs to be investigated. Within a couple weeks, they can't get the earnings out, announce going dark and then now want to buy the cmopany after the stock gets killed? Something isn't right.

  • Reply to

    Dividend Cut

    by topline1 Apr 11, 2013 3:50 PM
    belco_mc belco_mc Apr 18, 2013 10:38 AM Flag

    Very bad Q1. It's time to let SB manage the portfolio and reduce the dividend. Business is bad and it's been a long time since they have come up with new, successful products.

  • Reply to

    Distribution

    by coveliegh Apr 17, 2013 4:32 PM
    belco_mc belco_mc Apr 18, 2013 7:58 AM Flag

    Is it your understanding that they have to distribute the cash since they are a REIT? Or could they do a tender (stock buyback), or use the funds to acquire another property?

  • Reply to

    Where's Steel?

    by silverfox120 Apr 9, 2013 10:09 AM
    belco_mc belco_mc Apr 16, 2013 1:53 PM Flag

    joev, your idea kind of makes sense as long as the underlying MLNK business shows some stabilization. You'd hate to put a good business like HNH into a company losing money.

  • Reply to

    $4.00 Price

    by silverfox120 Apr 11, 2013 12:46 PM
    belco_mc belco_mc Apr 16, 2013 1:52 PM Flag

    Bobo, Steel couldn't legally increase their holdings by buying in the open market. They were prohibited by the limitations MLNK put in place in order to preserve their NOL. MLNK also needed cash, which they would not have received had Steel bought shares in the open market rather than from the company. Steel paid a premium to the market price in order to gain control of the company, which they effectively got by having WL the Chairman and 2 Board seats. The stock didn't go up because, in spite of Steel buying in, it's still the same sh1tty business. The business needs to show a turnaround. So, contacting the SEC will only create a chuckle from them on what a knucklehead you are.

  • Reply to

    We will outlast whoever we need to outlast.

    by smaycs4 Apr 12, 2013 3:05 AM
    belco_mc belco_mc Apr 16, 2013 11:02 AM Flag

    If he continues making good capital allocation decisions (like buying 20% of CBRL) and SNS performs like he has promised, people will love him one day.

  • This company didn't innovate and stay with the current trends. Watch that video from last year's annual meeting. The speakers voice and the furniture design make the video seem like one they dusted off from the 1980's. Everything passed this company by- moving production to low cost countries, update the product line to stay current with changing trends, reducing costs, I could go on and on. They've always been a lower tier operator in their space and just couldn't keep up. They need some people on the management team with a more youthful and modern product style and management style.

  • Reply to

    going Dark....... is this a Chinese company?

    by auburndale303 Apr 9, 2013 1:07 PM
    belco_mc belco_mc Apr 9, 2013 2:02 PM Flag

    speaking of chinese, CRC is the last remaining furniture manufacturer in North American. And they can't turn a profit. What does that tell you? All the others were smart enough to figure out you can make furniture cheaper overseas. They are going to keep building their high cost furniture in N America until they run out of money. Which may not be long.

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