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Velti Halka Acık Limited Şirket Message Board

betasplen1 350 posts  |  Last Activity: Jun 15, 2016 1:29 PM Member since: Mar 2, 2004
  • betasplen1 betasplen1 May 3, 2016 1:22 PM Flag

    gemini, it is the same trend for all specialty pharmas - AMAG, HZNP, ENDP. They are all re-iterating full year guidance with a pick up in 2H16. And that is how it has been, historically speaking as well. You can say all have zero credibility then. I don't buy your thought process but I do buy all these stocks on weakness.

  • Reply to

    Here's how today plays out...

    by josephanastasiw May 3, 2016 9:22 AM
    betasplen1 betasplen1 May 3, 2016 1:10 PM Flag

    pmt, we have good company in terms of (mis) management of a company this year. SUNE, VRX, KBIO, OREX and the list goes on. You can forget Enron as they are so yesterday. VVUS stock is still up 50% for 2016. It hurts to sell but I don't want to be potentially stuck here for another year and wonder if I will ever get my money back. Things don't make any sense in this stock. Might as well spread the risk...

  • Reply to

    Here's how today plays out...

    by josephanastasiw May 3, 2016 9:22 AM
    betasplen1 betasplen1 May 3, 2016 12:08 PM Flag

    I am not too hopeful of anything coming out of today's call either. Any big news, apart from a share buyback, would have been announced already prior to the call. Nobody cares to hear for Seth's voice stating the same ol' rhetoric. I have been re-balancing my portfolio and VVUS is finally below 50% of my overall portfolio (120K shares left). I see several other stocks that could triple or quadruple in the next couple of years and so there is no need to keep so many eggs in one basket. Besides, with ARNA and OREX in the toilet, I don't see VVUS outperforming them by a whole lot as VVUS is still primarily seen as an obesity drug company. Stendra brought peanuts before and it's status is now unknown with ENDP returning it to VVUS. Of course, if they announce a buyout - I ain't going to cry either as I still need to get out of this stock with some profit! If the fundamentals change positively as a stand alone company - I can always average up. My dream of millions here is gone out the window for now. Thanks Seth......

  • betasplen1 betasplen1 May 3, 2016 11:29 AM Flag

    I am buying more shares in the $22s...

  • Reply to

    Insight

    by thewizardofbiotechs Mar 12, 2016 8:35 AM
    betasplen1 betasplen1 May 3, 2016 11:10 AM Flag

    CMO leaves now. Wonder what's going on? Are they planning to just sell off the company? Trading below cash in hand today. Bought some at 5.20.

  • betasplen1 betasplen1 May 2, 2016 10:43 PM Flag

    The shares will most probably be worthless (1-3 cents) but that is still 6-9 months down the road. In the mean time, there are 80-90MM shares short who haven't covered yet. Any little catalyst, and there will be some over the next month that could lead to positive speculation, will cause a covering frenzy that could take this to the 50 DMA which stands at $1.05 right now (but falling). I think a safe target would be a triple from the current bottom or 51 cents with an overshoot to a buck being possible if the short squeeze goes haywire. Nobody should hold this for the long term - that is just irresponsible advice. Even trading should be done unemotionally where you take a gain and leave (and not look back) The strategy looks like you accumulate in the morning dips. Once it breaks 30 cents, it could quickly run up to fill the gaps along the way - aided by short covering and day traders.

  • betasplen1 by betasplen1 May 2, 2016 12:55 PM Flag

    This stock just cannot break away from his predictions. Looks like it will go below his sale price and obey to his tunes. I secretly wished he would be wrong this time. Oh well...

  • betasplen1 betasplen1 May 2, 2016 11:32 AM Flag

    Bought another lot at 96 cents today. Thanks.

  • betasplen1 betasplen1 May 2, 2016 11:30 AM Flag

    Vinny, my point is - the earnings is not going to move the needle on this stock. We all know that Stendra will be back in our hands next month. What are we going to do about it is the real question. There are only 3 things that are anticipated right now. A new partner or a buyout or a CVOT update from FDA. They are obviously not going to announce concrete plans on any or we would have already gotten the news via a separate PR. So, chances are this will be another non-event like the past ERs that I had the 'pleasure' to be part of! Sold another 10K shares and am down to 130K shares.

  • betasplen1 betasplen1 May 2, 2016 10:33 AM Flag

    vincent, you really think they will beat the numbers with ENDP in the process of transferring Stendra to VVUS and Q pulling in scripts in the mid 9K level? I got some bad news for you. Those presents under the Christmas tree were not delivered by Santa either.

    We are not an earnings play for the next year at least. It will be a news (or lack thereof) driven stock, depending on what the ol' man (not your grandpa) decides to do with his convertible debt. If he wants a quick flip - it is a buyout candidate. If he is going to let his heirs decide, then it is a long term growth play with a new Stendra partnership and Q growing once anti-obesity measures are taken by Congress....

  • covered after the BK announcement? The previous 2 weeks saw only a reduction of 17MM shorts though over a billion shares traded during that time frame. About 500MM has traded since Apr 15 and if we use the same % of covering, that leaves over 100MM shares still short. The volume is now falling dramatically and so any covering is going to run this up quickly over several days. A buck is still possible before the fall back. I haven't verified some of the calculations here but it looks like there are more assets than liabilities (about double the current market cap) and the NOLs could lead to some interesting court action for the commons. Buying today as the bottom seems to be confirmed around 20 cents and we could see a 300-400% run up once the shorts start to take profits. Strictly a trade though...

  • Reply to

    My Giant Big Head

    by ruprecht1490 Apr 28, 2016 3:52 AM
    betasplen1 betasplen1 Apr 28, 2016 8:40 AM Flag

    You do know that FB has it's own message board, no? Maybe it's just me but I find it a tad, little strange that a guy (assuming trolls have gender) who has half a mil in a stock - does not post at all in their message board but chooses to do so on a message board of a stock he owns ZERO shares of. Congrats anyway and time to get that dirt bike and stop eating stale food and sniffing moth balls....

  • Reply to

    Recent insider buys OPEN MARKET!

    by hounddooggy Apr 26, 2016 3:35 PM
    betasplen1 betasplen1 Apr 27, 2016 10:07 PM Flag

    I am an outsider buying each time they bring it down to these levels. 1620 shares and counting. Just keep it coming...

  • betasplen1 betasplen1 Apr 27, 2016 1:08 PM Flag

    I sold some VVUS to buy DNAI today. 140K shares left and still way overweight in VVUS compared to my other 10 stocks. I am expecting nada at the CC (prove me wrong, snoring Seth - didn't think so) and have the will power to wait for however long it takes Icahn to make his move. Of course, my position will be slowly but steadily eroding as we wait and wait and wait....

  • Reply to

    shorts covering

    by vinthebotguy Apr 26, 2016 9:00 PM
    betasplen1 betasplen1 Apr 27, 2016 7:51 AM Flag

    I don't see it in any of my usual sites yet but I shall take your word for it as you are vin the bot guy! That is quite a reduction. I am wondering if some tutes sold or the free float is larger now than before for another reason. Anyway, hopefully it appeases the nervous nellies who kept harping about impending bad news (or no new) since the not-so-special 17MM shorts were not going away....

  • Reply to

    David B Hon....

    by bubbleboy2225 Apr 25, 2016 10:11 AM
    betasplen1 betasplen1 Apr 26, 2016 10:45 AM Flag

    It is a mystery to me why some take offense to your posts. I see nothing worthy of flaming you. When it rains, it pours at times. But you'll hang in there. At least, we are in a much better place today with VVUS than a couple of months ago.

  • betasplen1 betasplen1 Apr 25, 2016 10:01 PM Flag

    Stock has leveled off after a huge run. So, might as well start bashing FMC, Denner and Icahn for your sorry predicament, correct my amicos? . Funny how you guys all averaged to the low $1s because of these 'bullies' - who did their horrific misdeeds loooooooong before you arrived. Never mind that you are apparently up 6 digit figures on your VVUS holdings already and planning to hold every single share till a buyout. Ever heard of the phrase 'don't bite the hand that feeds you'? Sorry, I just had to speak my mind here...

  • Reply to

    New position

    by betasplen1 Apr 15, 2016 9:56 AM
    betasplen1 betasplen1 Apr 25, 2016 2:54 PM Flag

    tonoos, the conversions were expected. But why would they sell so low with the company sporting a valuation of a million (even if we assume 3 x dilution)? There had to be a reason to lend money to the company in the first place and they are hitting record revenues now. Financing the new orders will be the biggest task for the CEO. If they have built sufficient goodwill with government agencies in Africa and Asia, they could ask for an advance to manufacture the devices in phases. With a high profit margin (esp. for the blades), they should be able to re-invest the product revenues into making the next batch and so on. Maybe easier said than done. The company couldn't have gone to the dogs just 3 weeks after a positive shareholder letter. But then again, this is an OTC stock...

  • Reply to

    New position

    by betasplen1 Apr 15, 2016 9:56 AM
    betasplen1 betasplen1 Apr 25, 2016 12:12 PM Flag

    Yes, I see the light already. LOL! Trying to trade to keep a smaller core position at a lower cost basis. Wonder if there is some news coming out with over million shares traded - mostly on the ASK (which usually means MMs are buying). Last PR was the shareholder letter about a month ago (that was positive of course). You never know as MMs can manipulate to the downside and accumulate an inventory before good news. Anything is possible in the pinksheets! Good or bad. #$%$ shoot exchange..

  • Reply to

    Grabbed 20k shares GEVO Long will sell at $5

    by bagelmasters Apr 22, 2016 10:22 AM
    betasplen1 betasplen1 Apr 22, 2016 10:47 AM Flag

    I got 18K shares today at 27 cents. A very small portion of my portfolio but this is intriguing from a price and potential standpoint and I am all for sustainable forms of energy.