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iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond Message Board

billy_berew 10 posts  |  Last Activity: Sep 30, 2014 11:37 PM Member since: Apr 9, 2001
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  • billy_berew by billy_berew Sep 30, 2014 11:37 PM Flag

    ....but this may be his Buster Douglas moment. Buster just landed a sharp jab at end of day today. Could there be a flurry of hard rights and lefts tomorrow? Even Iron Mike was put down by the right combination.

  • Reply to

    Another horrible quarter

    by billy_berew Aug 1, 2014 7:58 PM
    billy_berew billy_berew Aug 6, 2014 11:00 AM Flag

    Current leadership has presided over a 70% stock price decline over many years.

  • If you are going to short, this looks like a good time. Chances of a big drop have clearly heightened based on the technicals. if she heads back over the 200 day convincingly, time to cover.

  • billy_berew by billy_berew Aug 1, 2014 7:58 PM Flag

    $10 cash drain in one quarter, yet no recognition by mgmt/BOD that overhead is out of whack? Why do they need all that corporate overhead in Minnesota when Nexsan is based in California? What real value is all that overhead providing? Are CD and tape businesses really cash flow positive after allocation of corporate overhead? If not, why not sell CD, tape, and TDK instead of suffering the cash drain? If the company truly wants to develop some focus, they need to shed product lines and related overhead, as well as consolidate their many geographies.

    Unfortunately, I think we'll see a $ stock price before these decisions are made. And the cash will drain down to nothing.

  • Yahoo says about 20, but I've seem many comments that it is 85. Both are stated as trailing twelve months. What is the real story? If it's really 85, why is Yahoo so wrong?

  • billy_berew billy_berew Jul 12, 2014 11:54 PM Flag

    Only Japanese own Japanese bonds. They'll follow their leaders off a bridge to maintain nationalist pride. The US is completely the opposite. The citizenry couldn't care less about the country. They are outsourcing all the jobs, giving out tax loopholes to the people who least deserve them. The politicians are completely self-serving, and people would short bonds rather than own them if it turns a profit. Bottom line is nobody cares if the US goes down for the count. Even the Harley riders with the flags on their bikes are cheating as much as they can on their taxes. US treasuries are not safe. I'd own the yellow metal before I bought the green paper. At least the yellow metal won't burn in a fire.

  • billy_berew billy_berew Jul 12, 2014 5:57 PM Flag

    Japan is ready to blow. Why anybody would reference Japan as an example is beyond me. Japan has been walking onto thinner ice with each passing year. You think the U.S. can join Japan on that same spot of thin ice and be safe?

  • The machines are playing with the shorts by manipulating trading activity for 300 or more stocks. They are no different than CYNK, just a little more discrete. The SEC turns a bling eye.

  • billy_berew by billy_berew Jul 9, 2014 2:11 AM Flag

    The impact of interest rates reductions has worn off. Anybody wanting to take out new debt or refinance has done so. Now what? Some form of asset confiscation? Anything that reduces wealth concentration would seem to do the trick.

  • billy_berew by billy_berew Jul 4, 2014 1:34 AM Flag

    Everybody is thinking about triggers these days. Could the following be triggers?

    People will begin to see the obvious: the Fed has zero power to stimulate the economy at this point in time. All benefits of prior interest rate reductions are in the past. Further rate reductions are not possible because we're at a zero rate. Once people understand the Fed is powerless, they realize the concept of a "Bernanke put" is pure fantasy. They will run to the door like lemmings. The smart moves first, then all the articles come out as stock prices drop, then the dumb money sees how dumb they were to believe the Bernanke put.

    Two negative quarters of negative GDP growth defines a "recession". Given negative GDP growth of 2.9% last quarter, could it be negative for second quarter as well? Can you imagine all the "recession" talk from the pimply faced pundits and bloggers? What would this do to market confidence? People will begin to think corporate profits may be in for a long slide.

    These are the leading candidates in my opinion.

TLT
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