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Canadian Pacific Railway Limited Message Board

blackoutbuzz 665 posts  |  Last Activity: Jan 30, 2015 9:35 PM Member since: Apr 26, 2001
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  • blackoutbuzz blackoutbuzz Jan 30, 2015 9:35 PM Flag

    Why don't you and johnboy go take your little spat elsewhere. No one gives a flying #$%$ about you two douchebags

  • Reply to

    Great news on a Friday evening

    by blackoutbuzz Jan 30, 2015 9:15 PM
    blackoutbuzz blackoutbuzz Jan 30, 2015 9:17 PM Flag

    Big money here for SHPG with this approval.

    @@@@@For Shire, the approval could eventually add “several hundred million” dollars in sales, and help the company reach its goal of $10 billion in yearly sales by 2020, said Flemming Ornskov, the company’s chief executive. Vyvanse is the company’s top-selling drug, notching $1.1 billion of the company’s $4.3 billion in total sales during the first nine months of last year.

  • blackoutbuzz by blackoutbuzz Jan 30, 2015 9:15 PM Flag

    Talk about a miracle drug... treats ADHD and now also treats binge eating disorder. Could its use as a weight loss drug be on the horizon?

    @@@@FDA approves an ADHD drug as the first treatment for binge-eating disorder WASHINGTON (AP) -- Federal health regulators have approved an attention deficit disorder drug for a new use: A first-of-its kind treatment for binge-eating disorder. About 2 percent of U.S. adults, or about 5 million people, have binge eating disorder, according to the Department of Health and Human Services. Regulators approved the new use for binge eating based on two studies in which adults with a history of the disorder eating had fewer instances per week while taking Vyvanse, when compared with those getting a placebo. The drug is not approved for weight loss.

  • blackoutbuzz blackoutbuzz Jan 30, 2015 7:18 PM Flag

    1. Who is this 'big money'?
    2. What indicator tells you that 'big money' is betting MTL to fail?

  • Reply to

    ouch, target of 63, how did they calculate that

    by guruman789 Jan 28, 2015 10:37 AM
    blackoutbuzz blackoutbuzz Jan 29, 2015 10:42 PM Flag

    their calculator is broken

  • blackoutbuzz by blackoutbuzz Jan 29, 2015 6:45 PM Flag

    Forward guidance is crapola. Management has some serious explaining to do.

    @@@@4:02 pm Align Tech misses by $0.01, reports revs in-line; guides Q1 EPS below consensus, revs below consensus (ALGN) : Reports Q4 (Dec) earnings of $0.48 per share, $0.01 worse than the Capital IQ Consensus Estimate of $0.49; revenues rose 11.4% year/year to $198.6 mln vs the $197.53 mln consensus. Co issues downside guidance for Q1, sees EPS of $0.29-0.32, excluding non-recurring items, vs. $0.45 Capital IQ Consensus Estimate; sees Q1 revs of $187.3-192.4 mln vs. $200.97 mln Capital IQ Consensus Estimate.

  • Reply to

    The future

    by blackoutbuzz Jan 13, 2015 2:30 PM
    blackoutbuzz blackoutbuzz Jan 29, 2015 6:41 PM Flag

    BA has taken off after their recent earnings report. Will HXL tag along for the ride up?

  • Reply to

    Good day to sell over 77

    by nomorehomes Jan 15, 2015 12:02 PM
    blackoutbuzz blackoutbuzz Jan 29, 2015 6:36 PM Flag

    I am not interested in selling. In fact, I look for good days to buy more NSRGY. My last buy was back in mid-October on a dip below 69.

  • Reply to

    loving this stock

    by pauldempsey Jan 26, 2015 2:39 PM
    blackoutbuzz blackoutbuzz Jan 29, 2015 6:33 PM Flag

    I guess everyone got bored. After all, it's basically been rangebound for close to a year now waiting on a catalyst.

  • blackoutbuzz blackoutbuzz Jan 29, 2015 6:04 PM Flag

    I cancelled my other open order. Better to sit this out and let the panic sellers define the bottom before stepping in to buy. There is always a buyer at the right price, but.I don't think the BOD will be interested in any offer if the company can position itself to survive the downturn.

  • blackoutbuzz blackoutbuzz Jan 29, 2015 12:30 PM Flag

    I pulled my 6.50 limit order. Kept my 5.50 order open though. Could 2.80 repeat? Now THAT would be crazy. Tomorrow will be very interesting.

  • Reply to

    Where has the Asian Cowboy gone?

    by blackoutbuzz Jan 29, 2015 11:58 AM
    blackoutbuzz blackoutbuzz Jan 29, 2015 12:23 PM Flag

    There will always be cowboys, and there will always be cowboys that fall off their horse too many times and break too many bones to ever get back up on it to ride again. RIP Asian Cowboy.

  • Reply to

    What will bring on the turn up for coal prices???

    by ayscuew Jan 28, 2015 5:29 PM
    blackoutbuzz blackoutbuzz Jan 29, 2015 12:20 PM Flag

    I never said I was short. For the record, I am long with a much reduced position. When I see a true catalyst emerge, I will increase it.

  • Reply to

    What will bring on the turn up for coal prices???

    by ayscuew Jan 28, 2015 5:29 PM
    blackoutbuzz blackoutbuzz Jan 29, 2015 12:18 PM Flag

    hmmm what?

  • Reply to

    What will bring on the turn up for coal prices???

    by ayscuew Jan 28, 2015 5:29 PM
    blackoutbuzz blackoutbuzz Jan 29, 2015 12:18 PM Flag

    It was a figure of speech. Nothing you've said refutes my point

  • aka Cadmium Telluride aka 'the preacher'.

  • Reply to

    What will bring on the turn up for coal prices???

    by ayscuew Jan 28, 2015 5:29 PM
    blackoutbuzz blackoutbuzz Jan 29, 2015 11:22 AM Flag

    Go ahead...keep all your money tied up in this stock and wait another 5-10 years for the coal recovery. But today's reality (and that of the last few years) is that coal prices have been steadily dropping. That is a simple fact, and coal companies' prospects will not improve until prices move up. A turnaround will NOT occur overnight. There will be plenty of time to detect the recovery and move into coal stocks to ride the uptrend.

    And just to make sure we're all up to date... did you notice in the latest Q reports that several railroaders have noted flat volumes in coal shipments? NSX and CNI specifically stated that.

    @@@@Event Canadian National Railway Co. (CNR-T, CNI-N) reported Q4/14 EPS of $1.03, above the consensus estimate/our forecast of $0.97/$1.02. Impact: POSITIVE Revenue was up 17% y/y to a record $3.2bln, on an industry-leading volume increase of 9% (RTMs). Volume was up in all segments except coal, with double-digit growth in four of the seven segments.

  • Reply to

    No TD analyst update?

    by blackoutbuzz Jan 29, 2015 11:07 AM
    blackoutbuzz blackoutbuzz Jan 29, 2015 11:13 AM Flag

    Raised the target price but no change in rating.

    @@@@@TD Investment Conclusion We see CN as a relatively high-quality, low-risk industrial stock. Our target price increases to $83.00 from $77.00 based on our earnings revisions and a 0.5x point increase in our target multiple. We are now valuing CN at 16.5x 2016 EPS vs. 16.0x previously. A 16.5x multiple is slightly above the high-end of the group’s historical trading range (16.1x), but we believe that CN will continue to attract a premium in the context of its strong leverage to strength in the domestic North American economy (vs. global economic uncertainty), and its strong earnings track record.

  • Reply to

    No TD analyst update?

    by blackoutbuzz Jan 29, 2015 11:07 AM
    blackoutbuzz blackoutbuzz Jan 29, 2015 11:12 AM Flag

    Oh wait... there it is.

    @@@@Canadian National Railway Co. (CNR-T, CNI-N) C$85.16 .... 11
    HOLD  (Unchanged);Target: C$83.00  (Prior: C$77.00)
    Very Strong Q4/14 Earnings; 25% Dividend Increase

    Canadian National Railway Co (CNR-T, CNI-N) C$85.16 Very Strong Q4/14 Earnings; 25% Dividend Increase

    Event Canadian National Railway Co. (CNR-T, CNI-N) reported Q4/14 EPS of $1.03, above the consensus estimate/our forecast of $0.97/$1.02.

    Impact: POSITIVE Revenue was up 17% y/y to a record $3.2bln, on an industry-leading volume increase of 9% (RTMs). Volume was up in all segments except coal, with double-digit growth in four of the seven segments.  Same-store pricing improved to 4%, up sequentially from “just over 3%” in Q3/14, and we expect that trend to gradually continue through 2015–2016 given that capacity has tightened for both trucking and rail. Operating income was up 30% y/y, EPS increased 36%, and the operating ratio came in at 60.7%, down 410bps. CN was candid that an easy prior-year comparable; a weaker Canadiandollar (added $0.06/share); the fuel surcharge lag; and lower stock-based compensation were contributing factors, but we consider the company’s core performance very impressive notwithstanding those tailwinds. CN raised its annual dividend by 25% to $1.25/share, and is now targeting a 35% payout ratio (from ~30%) such that we expect dividends to increase faster than EPS for a period of time. CN guided to “double-digit” 2015 EPS growth vs. 2014 adjusted EPS of $3.76, which implies EPS of $4.14 at the low-end (10% growth). We are comfortable with our forecast of $4.32 (consensus is $4.22) because we believe that CN has a well-established track record of guiding conservatively at the beginning of the year. We have left our 2015 EPS estimate unchanged in light of certain nearterm headwinds (pension expense, ~20% of revenue tied to WTI-based fuel surcharge programs), but have increased our 2016 forecast by ~5%.

  • blackoutbuzz by blackoutbuzz Jan 29, 2015 11:07 AM Flag

    Usually he's out the next day with a report. Looks like the guy's calculator is broken or his spreadsheet program can't accept some of the guidance data CNR.TO issued.

CP
174.67-3.44(-1.93%)Jan 30 4:03 PMEST

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