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Arch Coal Inc. Message Board

blakeeric619 158 posts  |  Last Activity: Feb 5, 2016 4:19 PM Member since: Jul 18, 2012
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  • blakeeric619 blakeeric619 Feb 5, 2016 4:19 PM Flag

    I think the better question is what happens when more people want physical delivery of their gold contracts when the ratio was already over 500 to 1 of contract vs physical available.

    Sentiment: Hold

  • Reply to

    Endeavour Silver cutting production by 25%

    by willly.wallly Feb 5, 2016 9:26 AM
    blakeeric619 blakeeric619 Feb 5, 2016 12:19 PM Flag

    So I guess now thumb up is like a doggy treat. Thumb down it gets the hose again. HA!

  • Reply to

    Copper Up

    by carlrich Feb 3, 2016 11:56 AM
    blakeeric619 blakeeric619 Feb 4, 2016 6:08 PM Flag

    Maybe it was Pam finally buying her shares she needs to buy per contract. HA ! Thought I'd give you all a laugh.

  • Reply to

    Baltic Dry Index at all time low

    by papageorgio304 Feb 4, 2016 4:15 PM
    blakeeric619 blakeeric619 Feb 4, 2016 5:03 PM Flag

    Just to add on to Ultra here, this is REALLY going to hurt VALE as they were in process of convincing China to actually buy several Panamax ships that Vale uses to move their ore to China. Can't sell the ore, and can't sell the ships to ship the ore. Ugh.

    Sentiment: Hold

  • blakeeric619 blakeeric619 Feb 4, 2016 4:28 PM Flag

    Exxon Mobile imo had the best quarter of the majors and likely will be best suited in a turnaround. Additionally, they are pretty strong on the second tier service so they receive a little reprieve in cost savings for their refinery portion of their business. Additionally they have had a very large buyback to try and create investor value. Unfortunately I didn't listen to myself and I bought BP at 28.95 to try and catch some yield while we are in volatility.

    Sentiment: Hold

  • Reply to

    Why You Can't Make an Honest Buck

    by blakeeric619 Feb 4, 2016 9:32 AM
    blakeeric619 blakeeric619 Feb 4, 2016 3:58 PM Flag

    If none of you caught it today, Obummer had his representative sign the Trans Pacific Partnership agreement today. (Feb 4th) Amazing how for the last 90 days (Required time period of discussion), the media has totally dropped this ball on purpose. Also Obummer refused to sign it himself as he would be pictured selling America out even though he was the one to push fast track on it.. Now it's up to Congress to ratify it. Sadly I think it will be. Hint, how did NAFTA work out for us? Oh yea factories of major companies, like Ford, moved their manufacturing and jobs to Mexico.

    Sentiment: Hold

  • Reply to

    Pretty good volume between TCPTF & TCM (TO)

    by foggiecat Feb 1, 2016 10:28 PM
    blakeeric619 blakeeric619 Feb 4, 2016 3:15 PM Flag

    What is nice is, even besides the robo sell shorter, we are beginning to see PPS gap upwards.

  • Obummer Regulation Releases:
    2015 Day After Thanksgiving = 2,224 new Regulations $183 Billion in new costs to companies just for 2015
    2015 Eve of Memorial Day Weekend = 2,300 new Regulations
    2014 Day before Thanksgiving = 3,415 new Regulations
    2013 $112 Billion in new regulatory costs
    2010 A new record in Major regulations released in one year
    2009-2013 $494 Billion in new regulatory costs

    This is just the costs to the government in new fees and other mumbo jumbo. No wonder nobody wants to do business in the US. And of course this means that those are jobs never to come to fruition. Don't worry though as free college is just around the corner.

    Sentiment: Hold

  • Reply to

    Fed now starting to fear a strong dollar

    by tmguven Feb 3, 2016 12:03 PM
    blakeeric619 blakeeric619 Feb 3, 2016 6:26 PM Flag

    Will agree with you on that one and the Creature From Jekyll Island.

  • Reply to

    Fed now starting to fear a strong dollar

    by tmguven Feb 3, 2016 12:03 PM
    blakeeric619 blakeeric619 Feb 3, 2016 6:25 PM Flag

    Oh and Japan doesn't owe what is now crossed over $19 TRILLION in funded liabilities and $200 TRILLION in unfunded liabilities. Lord help us.

  • Reply to

    Fed now starting to fear a strong dollar

    by tmguven Feb 3, 2016 12:03 PM
    blakeeric619 blakeeric619 Feb 3, 2016 6:20 PM Flag

    You obviously believe it because the US Budget Office Chairman has already stated that since 2013 when Obummer first asked for part of Sequestration (His birth baby btw) to be cancelled and instead deferred some of the Obamacare taxes to be deferred until after 2016 (after he gets out), and also cancelled some Sequestration methods in the 2014 and in the 2015 budgets, the deficit has been building. Now for unemployment, according to the US Labor department, the vast majority of jobs, over 80%, since the "recovery" have gone to immigrants including all of the H1B visa jobs (Ask Disney workers). When even according to the Fed Janet Yellen, real unemployment is in excess of 10pct (per the U-6 curve by Dept of Labor). Or perhaps you didn't notice the largest amount of persons in the unemployed labor force since 1976. (Dept of Labor).Feel free to point out your "hypes" anytime. The dollar is trending higher because every other country on the planet almost is easing with QE versus the dollar (I'm speculating that fact).

    Sentiment: Hold

  • Reply to

    Fed now starting to fear a strong dollar

    by tmguven Feb 3, 2016 12:03 PM
    blakeeric619 blakeeric619 Feb 3, 2016 4:40 PM Flag

    Yup I saw that before. Capital Controls will be coming here. The progression is QE, Hardcore QE, QE with government bond purchases (asset backed), ZIRP, NIRP, then Capital Controls, Bail-In confiscation, then hard asset confiscation. Cyprus is the real playbook already written. You can actually see this exact process in major countries. Take your pick: Cyprus, Greece, Spain, Germany, Canada, Japan. You can easily see and hear it by just looking up articles on what citizens are saying at each time point coupled with official releases by those countries economic advisors to the public. For our Canadian members on this board, I feel for you, but I'm sure us U peeps won't be too far behind in the progression.

    Sentiment: Hold

  • Reply to

    Fed now starting to fear a strong dollar

    by tmguven Feb 3, 2016 12:03 PM
    blakeeric619 blakeeric619 Feb 3, 2016 4:32 PM Flag

    Even as the Fed gives the wink wink to banks to naked short, those spikes normally occur on a Friday in the last few minutes of trading, so I am not surprised just as yet. Kinda like Obummer every year releases his 3000+ new regulations on the Friday, day after Thanksgiving at 3pm. Nothing to see here ... move along.

    Sentiment: Hold

  • Reply to

    Copper Up

    by carlrich Feb 3, 2016 11:56 AM
    blakeeric619 blakeeric619 Feb 3, 2016 2:20 PM Flag

    Last month China also loosened regulations on reserve requirements for their banks.

    Sentiment: Hold

  • Reply to

    Fed now starting to fear a strong dollar

    by tmguven Feb 3, 2016 12:03 PM
    blakeeric619 blakeeric619 Feb 3, 2016 2:16 PM Flag

    Here's one for you tm. Today Germany announced capital controls as well as their already negative interest rates. They now put a cap on cash transactions of 5000 Eu and also limited bills to 500 Eu and less. Couple that with Norway's announcement of trying to go cashless and you get Big Government control of YOUR money. But the real article yesterday I read was the New York Fed has now assigned the development of a stress test model (that the banks will undergo during this years stress tests) where they assume interest rates are -025 to -.050. This is the first time they announced that model EVER. Do you really think the Fed wants to raise rates again this year now? It's all hogwash if they talk raising rates now. It will be specifically to try and tame the advancement of gold. Hold on to your buns people.

    Sentiment: Hold

  • Reply to

    FYI about the 2017 secured notes

    by binghamcopper Feb 2, 2016 4:02 PM
    blakeeric619 blakeeric619 Feb 2, 2016 5:17 PM Flag

    Hopefully its because they are trying to tie up loose ends on a refi deal. Moe likely though is they are tying up loose ends on spending more money on the permanent crusher. On a side note, kina nice to see the share price beginning to gap up.

    Sentiment: Hold

  • Reply to

    Japan

    by switch_1995 Feb 1, 2016 8:27 AM
    blakeeric619 blakeeric619 Feb 1, 2016 4:13 PM Flag

    You have to be careful on drawing conclusions from one to the other specifically with the auto industry in Japan. Just because auto production slows down doesn't mean the steel is shortage there. Point and case, Ford announced, over the weekend, they will be leaving Japan because the tariffs on automobiles over there is so huge, that they only sold 40 vehicles last year in one of their auto lines. So with a drop in auto sales doesn't necessarily correlate to raw materials in the case of automobile sales.

    Sentiment: Hold

  • Reply to

    Doubt anyone has seen this one...

    by ultraific3 Jan 31, 2016 9:40 PM
    blakeeric619 blakeeric619 Feb 1, 2016 2:15 PM Flag

    Just like everything else that isn't driven by technicals, once the big boy traders have gone long, it will be momentum to carry the trade. Don't believe me? old ratio is over 500 to 1, who cares about reality right?

  • Reply to

    The Prediction Business

    by do_lo_when Jan 31, 2016 12:19 PM
    blakeeric619 blakeeric619 Jan 31, 2016 1:15 PM Flag

    Bi already know because I called Madame Chloe. Ya mahn.

  • Reply to

    Ramdon Thought

    by do_lo_when Jan 29, 2016 11:34 AM
    blakeeric619 blakeeric619 Jan 29, 2016 11:45 AM Flag

    Sarah Palin, not to mention she is way hotter than Hildabeast.

    Sentiment: Hold