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Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc. Message Board

blueskyys2001_neighbor 16 posts  |  Last Activity: Jun 20, 2014 11:01 AM Member since: Dec 8, 2007
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  • Reply to

    Analyst Updates

    by bigdoglionking Jun 20, 2014 9:47 AM
    blueskyys2001_neighbor blueskyys2001_neighbor Jun 20, 2014 11:01 AM Flag

    If they ever say buy. I'm selling right away. LOL

  • Reply to

    Are we green yet

    by jai_hakim Jun 20, 2014 8:59 AM
    blueskyys2001_neighbor blueskyys2001_neighbor Jun 20, 2014 9:26 AM Flag

    Stock at $15.58 premarket. Those who bought at the afterhour lows yesterday are gonna have a good day. Lots of shorts will cover. Many shorts still underwater and the news is out. Company can also start buying back stock today. IMO, fair value is $23.00. Company is taking market share from competitors. The new normal gun market is still very good for growth. Plus 2 new products coming out in 60 days. Good buying opportunity today. Day traders should have some fun. Good luck.

    Sentiment: Buy

  • blueskyys2001_neighbor blueskyys2001_neighbor May 21, 2014 1:55 PM Flag

    When your health insurance goes up $300 to $600 dollars a month or more, you don't have a lot to spend on golf. Also millions or workers have been laid off or had their hours reduced to below 30 hours so companies can avoid the penalties of Obamacare. Young people are not playing because they don't have the money. They are forced to buy health insurance that most don't even need. And the cost of that health insurance has skyrocketed due to Obamacare. It's only going to get worse. Obamacare hits businesses next year(after the elections of course).

  • blueskyys2001_neighbor blueskyys2001_neighbor May 21, 2014 1:50 PM Flag

    I'm mad at my municipal public golf courses. They got crazy with their ridiculous high green fees over the years. People started to avoid those courses by driving 20 to 40 miles across state lines to play on courses for less than half the cost as my county courses. A lot of those courses were in better shape too. I'm sure many stopped playing though when gas prices got so high.

    Obamacare is just crushing the middle class. Millions of workers were laid off or had their hours reduced to under 30 hours to avoid paying the Obamacare penalties. Millions lost their affordable health insurance and had to get new health insurance at much higher premiums and deductibles. When your health insurance goes up $300 to $600 or more a month, you don't have a lot left over to play golf. Another problem is the Fed keeping interest rates artificially low for the last 6 years. Seniors lost their interest income they were counting on. Many are living just on their savings. I'm sure that caused them to stop buying the latest golf clubs or playing many rounds.

  • blueskyys2001_neighbor blueskyys2001_neighbor May 21, 2014 9:55 AM Flag

    A shrinking middle class with lower disposable income will kill golf sales. The labor force participation rate keeps on falling. More and more Americans are no longer working. Check out how all the retailers are missing their estimates this QTR and guiding lower. It's not because of the weather either.

    Golf is an expensive sport to play, so the masses are cutting back on playing. They have too. Most of the problem is due to the high costs of Obamacare. Just wait until next year when businesses have to comply with Obamacare. Most businesses will cancel heath care plans for their workers and send them to the health care exchanges. Thats when the SHTF.

    Sentiment: Sell

  • blueskyys2001_neighbor by blueskyys2001_neighbor May 21, 2014 9:44 AM Flag

    When you're paying significantly higher premiums and have ridiculously higher deductibles, you have to cut back your spending somewhere. Playing lots of rounds of golf are a luxury that the shrinking middle class can no longer afford. And you can't afford to buy the latest golf equipment either. Things will get worse as Obamacare really effects the masses next year and health care premiums significantly rise again. Expect DKS golf sales to really tank the next 18 months. That's when the SHTF.

    Sentiment: Sell

  • Reply to

    Thoughts on RGR earnings?

    by rcapatain May 5, 2014 7:19 AM
    blueskyys2001_neighbor blueskyys2001_neighbor May 5, 2014 5:16 PM Flag

    RGR had a nice QTR. Shorts in RGR and SWHC will be feeling some pain.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • blueskyys2001_neighbor blueskyys2001_neighbor May 5, 2014 10:52 AM Flag

    The liberal press will give no help to RGR or SWHC. Think of last QTRs aftermath as a buying opportunity. I'm betting that the shorts are wrong. Good luck.

    Sentiment: Buy

  • Reply to

    Big day tomorrow

    by retp3fe May 5, 2014 3:23 AM
    blueskyys2001_neighbor blueskyys2001_neighbor May 5, 2014 10:42 AM Flag

    RGR's management is pretty smart. If they repurchased any shares this QTR, it's probably a buy. The big negative and risk is that the overall market is in bubblicious territory and the possible expanding war in the Ukraine. Also, the banks in Europe are in deeeeep trouble. Lots of market risks. RGR should do better than most.

    Sentiment: Buy

  • Reply to

    Thoughts on RGR earnings?

    by rcapatain May 5, 2014 7:19 AM
    blueskyys2001_neighbor blueskyys2001_neighbor May 5, 2014 10:31 AM Flag

    I don't think it will have too much impact either way. RGR doesn't give forward guidance. It will be interesting to see if RGR repurchased any shares last QTR. SWHC probably has lots of cash ready to buy back their own stock if RGR is deemed to have had a "bad" QTR. I have cash ready to buy both stocks on any large dips. IMO, both stocks are still undervalued. Gun sales are still strong. It's the new normal.

  • blueskyys2001_neighbor by blueskyys2001_neighbor May 2, 2014 11:02 AM Flag

    Shorts were warned. SWHC is so undervalued.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Buyback starts May 1

    by dprofiteer Apr 29, 2014 7:20 AM
    blueskyys2001_neighbor blueskyys2001_neighbor May 1, 2014 9:56 AM Flag

    The shorts were warned!

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Buyback starts May 1

    by dprofiteer Apr 29, 2014 7:20 AM
    blueskyys2001_neighbor blueskyys2001_neighbor Apr 29, 2014 9:40 AM Flag

    There are lots of shorts. It will take them a long time to cover. Management doesn't wait long when they have a chance to buy the stock cheap. Smart shorts left yesterday.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    5% increase

    by arman1212 Apr 28, 2014 11:01 AM
    blueskyys2001_neighbor blueskyys2001_neighbor Apr 28, 2014 11:22 AM Flag

    I think the company can start buying back stock on May 1st. Some smart shorts are probably cutting their losses and moving on. Plus see my post on the NYT article about how people in CA are signing up in droves for concealed carry permits. The stock is also ridiculously undervalued too. Do your own research!

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Lots of pent up demand out there.

    "In the two months since the court sided with a group of gun owners and found California’s law on concealed-weapons permits unconstitutional, nearly 4,000 residents in this county of 3.1 million people have applied for one, eight times the number usually logged in a year. While no permit is required to own a gun, California residents must obtain one to carry a concealed weapon outside their home or business.

    The surge in Orange County and, to a lesser extent, a handful of other counties stunned law enforcement officials and offered a striking demonstration of the frustration of California gun owners. …" - NYT

  • blueskyys2001_neighbor by blueskyys2001_neighbor Apr 25, 2014 2:05 PM Flag

    "WASHINGTON — A record surge in recent firearms production and transactions have swamped the federal government's automated registration system for select weapons, including machine guns."

    Article on USA Today. Link found or Drudgereport(right hand side)

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

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