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Silver Wheaton Corp. Message Board

bogwa1406 333 posts  |  Last Activity: 8 hours ago Member since: Oct 24, 2012
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  • bogwa1406 bogwa1406 Mar 14, 2014 2:12 PM Flag

    LOL...I owned cows...hard to keep them out of conversations...they're much more predicable than humans...they will at least raise their tail as a warning before they @#$! on you.

  • YOU BURY THEM WITH THE DOZER.....Just my analogy of how an improving stock works over time. Looks like the battle is still on. Fun to watch. JMHO GLTA

  • 50 day falls well below the 100 day...it was oversold. A stock with 4 firms upping guidance per ZACK's and one firm upgrading the stock...post earnings. I didn't hesitate to pick up more and this time I actually caught the bottom of the dip...just luck and patience. Unfortunately since it was before earnings..a discipline made me keep dry powder for a just in case post earnings. So I still don't know what short term sentiment will track but so far everything AXAS is doing should keep driving the 100 and 200 sma's up. Some folks trade the short term..I trade the trend established by the longer sentiment...and both those have remained intact. With the well IP's that will be getting reported through the next 1-6 months..it's hard to imagine those longer trends won't continue tracking as they are. JMHO GLTA

  • Reply to

    $9.14 - Can it Go Any Lower?

    by faraz_shahib Mar 13, 2014 9:52 AM
    bogwa1406 bogwa1406 Mar 13, 2014 6:30 PM Flag

    it can go lower...and it can go higher..it's a spec stock...Look at the stats on FCEL, PLUG, BLDP. When the herd goes beserk it goes beserk. Whether a politician promises "candy" for a sector on some talking head prompt it. CLNE, WPRT and others go through the same cycling...from love to hate back and forth. Buy em when they are hated the most...sell em when they are loved the most. Find any respectable metric that justifies pps on the above mentioned fuel cell stocks...it's crazy...but the herd gets crazy. Right now CLNE and WPRT are in most hated mode.

  • Reply to

    Count of it. Share dilution on the way.

    by duncanisfree Mar 12, 2014 11:37 AM
    bogwa1406 bogwa1406 Mar 13, 2014 5:51 PM Flag

    I would think you'd opt for all the shares you could take versus cash. Isn't the exchange based on the share price of EXXI per the agreement date ? If the deal is an option to take shares at the date the deal was agreed on ..I think it was about $24...I would think the higher EXXI price is the more lucrative the share offer would be. Maybe I misunderstand the deal.

  • Reply to

    now that was a nice close

    by shobod Mar 13, 2014 4:14 PM
    bogwa1406 bogwa1406 Mar 13, 2014 4:32 PM Flag

    Let's Ride !!! LOL

  • Is this a guarantee of continued upward momentum ? Market guarantees nothing...but post earnings there's been enough time for both longs and shorts to digest the results...is it shorts covering..longs buying..or a combination of both.??? Who knows...but on a decent market sell-off...it bodes well as an indicator based on my experience. I've never been able to time the herd...I just try and be in the right place and at the right price..and wait for them..so it could be a stampede or they might cut and run...but I don't sell until I get RUN - OVER. So we'll see if we get the real McCoy...or a false charge...I'm still time frame locked on 2nd and 3rd qtrs for the real meat. But this is OK. JMHO GLTA

  • Reply to

    Good day !

    by mitchjl_16923 Mar 13, 2014 2:40 PM
    bogwa1406 bogwa1406 Mar 13, 2014 4:02 PM Flag

    ARE YOU HAPPY NOW ?

  • Reply to

    It'll be interesting to see if ......

    by buystockbuystock Mar 13, 2014 11:58 AM
    bogwa1406 bogwa1406 Mar 13, 2014 1:34 PM Flag

    Oil's up 1 cent..natgas is down and Dow's down -180 -200....volumes + 1,000,000 shares. This may have legs under it...could be shorts just covering to chase better candidates...or it could just be sentiment post earnings on forward guidance. I would have expected a sell-off yesterday if sentiment was negative...but who knows. I'm hoping it's more folks seeing forward valuation but only time and pps will tell the tale. JMHO GLTA

  • I can't elude to....as I don't trust analysts ( vested interest ). But Bob's response was no longer any suggestion of a farm out..or other option...sounded like Permian and Duvernay are as good as gone. Just going by how coy he was on Wycross and how he was on Blue Eyes IP rate...my thinking is that Duvernay is very near a done deal based on his response.That being said...with any divestiture...the devil will be in the details ...when and if they occur. So either deal could either add a recognized gain or an impairment charge. I think they worked a good deal on the Wycross which was good property..The Permian and Durvenay will bring whatever the market is paying and AXAS's ability to get the best they can...whether it's a gain or loss. I prefer to see $$$$ even with an impairment rather than to see any $$$ go towards maintaining leases that aren't adding to production. It's just a side show to the main story of the production growth..but it's there. JMHO GLTA

  • on any stock I buy. I find stocks I consider to have forward potential and I buy into any weakness...I come in at disciplined increments..BECAUSE I KNOW 90% OF THE TIME I WILL NOT CATCH THE LOW. However I do not add once a stock gets above my cost basis....I am after % of gain on a measured amount of capital I have opted to put at risk. Buying into a rising pps increases my risk exposure and diminishes my % of gain. Anyone who has read my posts on AXAS knows my only disappoint on AXAS was when I ...just me...broke my own fundamental rule and added a position at $3.54. That was not the stocks fault...that was purely my fault. If you buy a $1 stock and it gains 10 cents both you and the pps gained 10%. However if the stock rises another 10 cents pps % gain will be 9 % and if you have kept your cost basis at $1..you'll always get a 10% gain on every 10 cent gain. If you do your DD..and position yourself with a disciplined approach in achieving a low cost basis on a stock with forward potential...you can get substantial returns. That;s why my attitude on AXAS is " take it to the basement if you can because my boat isn't fully loaded and I'm content to lower my cost basis further...or I'm content if the worm turns to the upside to increase my % of gain. This room or board....IS NOT...influential enough to move AXAS and I certainly am not influential enough to move the stock...I'm a firm believer that results and a broad sentiment is what moves stocks. I go by facts as I see them...if facts like ..results disappoint me, or outlook, or if I decide Bob is a shill...I'll either take my loss/gain...it won't be because someone is either posting positive or negative comments. Shorts are gonna talk trash..seldom provide facts, day traders swing back a forth and use aliases as they just want direction to trade...and longs generally talk positive. I will always urge folks to do their own DD..it's your money..it's your cost basis and it's your strategy. JMHO GLTA

  • Reply to

    Train not leaving today?

    by naha62 Mar 12, 2014 6:40 PM
    bogwa1406 bogwa1406 Mar 13, 2014 7:37 AM Flag

    If indeed you've been in the stock an undefined " loooong time", how is it you didn't make money ? If you've held the stock for one year the gain is 45%....if you held the stock 5 years it's up over 200%, if you held the stock two years you're down 18%. You're ability to invest plays no role whatsoever on my ability. As I have stated numerous times..and I'll repeat it for you...I expect a very good % gain by 2nd -3rd qtr earnings respective of my cost basis. I for one never use sentiment....I don't scream that the stock is a "rocket ship" and I ignore short term gyrations I stated my outlook was 50/50 which way the pps would trade on earnings...and I maintain at present short term direction is still 50/50. Price per share on any stock is "NOT" ruled by a governance of a companies earnings but rather by buyer or seller level of enthusiasm. I'm enthusiastic about the forward potential of AXAS and charts and stats don't lie..THE STOCK IS UP 45% YEAR TO DATE. Whether you're a short or just disgruntled over your skills or timing......that's on you...not me..deal with it. I have news for you...1st qtr isn't going to be stellar on production either..winter was a whole lot harsher. But I'll reiterate....I look forward..I see great potential in AXAS and this isn't a sector I'm unfamiliar in. My suggestion to you would be to put both myself and Poc on ignore and find some peace...that's why the feature is there. I've put numerous folks on ignore. But despite your expectations or disappointments on AXAS, I would opine by saying " tuff titty said the kitty..but the milk's still good". JMHO GLTA

  • and already have a good cushion...thanks to Cramer. It's gonna be volatile for a while...there'll be plenty of talking heads pushing their positions over the next few days and weeks...so we'll see what we see. JMHO GLTA

  • bogwa1406 bogwa1406 Mar 12, 2014 5:25 PM Flag

    there you go cody..I just gave you two. You reckon anyone else saw the +$7 million discretionary free cash flow except Motley Fool ? Shorts, day traders and mm's can be pains...and whining and bashing as well as hyping is part of their game...some want a specific direction in pps movement and some just want movement...pennies a day. What can't be stopped is what AXAS has been and still is doing and that's executing. The numbers are doing their job...it shows in the charts and it shows in the stats. Short term gyrations are just that short term.

  • Reply to

    The bullishness on this board is troubling.

    by finstrader Mar 12, 2014 2:01 PM
    bogwa1406 bogwa1406 Mar 12, 2014 4:27 PM Flag

    so you've gone from spinning a $7 buy out in less than 90 days ago going into the worst winter we've seen in years.( your reply to Dec Update posted ).to a bottom is gonna fall out with less debt and upped guidance. That's spinning....I'll stick with what the revenue and earnings has been year over year and guidance and the 100 and 200 day simple moving averages which are all steadily climbing.

  • Reply to

    Operational Update

    by hatchet61 Dec 23, 2013 7:25 AM
    bogwa1406 bogwa1406 Mar 12, 2014 4:19 PM Flag

    Long term investor with short term sentiment ? wonder what you'll think another 90 days out ?

  • bogwa1406 bogwa1406 Mar 12, 2014 1:46 PM Flag

    it's not just about boepd it's also about proved reserves and increasing Pv-10....so it's not just about how much more milk the cows give..but also how much more the cow is worth. Again just my ol' humble opinion. I look at all aspects. GLTA

  • bogwa1406 bogwa1406 Mar 12, 2014 1:30 PM Flag

    That's versus $94.3 million in 2013. That's why I jumped on $3.09...and would jump on more if the current macro sentiment on energy offers up a better discount. Anyone can look at results for 2011, 2012, 2013..and guidance for 2014.....it ain't rocket science...and it ain't a rocket ship....it's a turn-around story that is being backed up by the numbers....PERIOD.

  • 4th qtr and then for 2013.
    The average revenue per boepd for the qtr was just $5,509..compared to the yearly average of $21,940.
    2013 revenue averaged $21,940 on 4,298 boepd. Guidance for 2014 is for 5,100 to 5,300 boepd and just using the average pricing in 2013 that guides to $111.9 to $116.2 in revenues. That does not take into account lower interest cost nor does it take into account better realized prices per BOE...just uses last years run rate.
    Now if shorts aren't scared of what the calculator shows or folks are too impatient to buy during the seasonal discount period........there just ain't much I can say. The stat's are there..the facts are there..and the guidance is there...add a little simple math and some patience = more than any CD is gonna pay. JMHO GLTA

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