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Falconstor Software Inc. Message Board

bottom_stkpicker 6 posts  |  Last Activity: Jul 29, 2015 9:10 PM Member since: Oct 14, 2004
  • bottom_stkpicker by bottom_stkpicker Jul 29, 2015 9:10 PM Flag

    If management hit the numbers as projected for Q3 and Q4 by will be easy 10+ stock from here.

    They will either have to hit those numbers to restore credibility or sell the company.

    If numbers r hit..Q3 65 with EPS of .06.....Q4 at least 75 with EPS of .20

    If they want to sell the company with 60+ GM , starting is 2*sales - 500 million ..excluding 100 million cash on hand.

    If overall market holds together or stay flat..this is going to climb slowly to 10..MM may try to bring it down to 6.5.-6.6 range,,

    Build position now between 6.5-7.00 and sell it between 9.5-10 , if one wants to ..or can hold it if Q3/Q4 results looks encouraging..


  • Reply to

    Rumor was:

    by mazurek2050 Jun 3, 2015 3:39 PM
    bottom_stkpicker bottom_stkpicker Jun 3, 2015 8:01 PM Flag

    agree..that's false rumor and both companies ( sprint and T-Mobile ) uses Kineto wireless for wireless calling ( or plan to use )

    Tomorrow this stock will be again in 1.15-1.18 range


  • Looks like the fund playing with this stock is last 2 months..shorted around 400K above 1.5 and covered below 1.2 ( latest filing..short interest dropped by 400k )..made 1 million ..and may have moved on..or might have hedge long term position, in case these guys warn..


  • bottom_stkpicker bottom_stkpicker May 21, 2015 9:20 PM Flag

    Also short interest on the stock has increased to 900K gradually ..the moment it breaks it's last 200 day moving avg of support is below 1. Currently shorts are fully pushing it down and longs are on vacation.
    It will be rocket on either side ( up or down )..depending upon what number Bill and party comes with.
    Q2 : 9.8 and Q3-Q4 guidance of approx 26 million ...with total guidance maintained..up
    Q2 : 9.8 and Q3-Q4 guidance of approx 22 million with total outlook reduce to 40-42 million...down


  • bottom_stkpicker bottom_stkpicker May 21, 2015 9:11 PM Flag

    On Q2 lowering outlook from previous estimate of 11 million to 9.5 million at Q1 call..stock tanked from 1.55 to 1.2..

    Now as street is expecting they will lower full year guidance on Q2 call..where the stock will tank is anyone's guess..and all these new hires, which are currently decorating Bill's house, will be fired..on the pretext ..revenue is lumpy..

    INTC came last year with 1 million revenue when i pumped it fully from 1.4 to 2.95
    Comcast came this year with 1.1 million revenue when i pumped it fully this year..from .9 to 1.8

    Next year will pump Verizon..on m2m or wifi calling contract speculation..


  • The volume is telling what's coming. The company may have good technology but CEO can't leave his habit of over-promise and under deliver.

    When he was lowering the Q2 expectation, there was no need to give full year guidance again..

    May be i am wrong..time will far volume is giving another picture


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