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Sarepta Therapeutics, Inc. Message Board

bud_rolfs 481 posts  |  Last Activity: Apr 10, 2014 10:16 AM Member since: Nov 6, 2012
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  • Reply to

    $5

    by bud_rolfs Mar 30, 2014 11:43 PM
    bud_rolfs bud_rolfs Apr 10, 2014 10:16 AM Flag

    If you want to be a clown, join the circus. If you want to follow the stock technically and learn something about how price moves can be monitored and forecast using technicals, I'll be glad to try to help you.
    I send out charts with narratives on MY (as required) to keep folks up to speed with what the technical signals on the stock are at the time. If you want to get on that list, and stop acting like a goof ball, just E-mail me at my yahoo email address. Use bud_rolfs for the first part and then the typical yahoo Email address ending. Make sure that you mention "MY". (Or don't...as you please.)

  • Reply to

    $5

    by bud_rolfs Mar 30, 2014 11:43 PM
    bud_rolfs bud_rolfs Apr 10, 2014 10:15 AM Flag

    If you want to be a clown, join the circus. If you want to follow the stock technically and learn something about how price moves can be monitored and forecast using technicals, I'll be glad to try to help you.
    I send out charts with narratives on MY (as required) to keep folks up to speed with what the technical signals on the stock are at the time. If you want to get on that list, and stop acting like a goof ball, just E-mail me at my yahoo email address. Use bud_rolfs for the first part and then the typical yahoo Email address ending. Make sure that you mention "MY". (Or don't...as you please.)

  • Reply to

    $5

    by bud_rolfs Mar 30, 2014 11:43 PM
    bud_rolfs bud_rolfs Apr 8, 2014 12:04 PM Flag

    He who laughs last...laughs best Ed, my boy!
    (Confucius)

  • Reply to

    MID-PTR ICE

    by bud_rolfs Apr 2, 2014 1:14 PM
    bud_rolfs bud_rolfs Apr 4, 2014 8:54 AM Flag

    You miss the entire point of all I say.
    POINT 1: 99% of the price movement on stocks is predictable using technical tools. I do not know if you are one of the recipients of the charts and narratives that I send out to about 75 members of this message board routinely or not (though it would shock me if you were); but those people can bear witness to the fact that I can forecast where NQ is going to go with its price movement ahead of time very accurately virtually ALL THE TIME!
    POINT 2:"Honking my own Horn"? I do not post here because I have some ADOLESCENT EGO NEED, I am 62 years old and could care less what you think of me. I share my posts and distribute them freely to others because as a Christian, I wish to help as many others as I can with the technical analysis "learnings" (and that is all they are) that God has given me insight to. My biggest frustration here is the THOUGHT PROCESS of the majority of this board that COSTS THEM A LOT OF MONEY.
    POINT 3: "WHAT THE PRICE WILL BE AFTER THE 11th?" Is Technical Analysis "PERFECT"...NO! Does it (when done correctly) tell you what is going on with price movement and why AHEAD OF TIME?...YES! Can a sudden SURPRISE EVENT (whether good or bad) cause an UNEXPECTED PRICE MOVE THAT THE CHARTS DID NOT ANTICIPATE? ....YES, but no system in the world can protect against that risk except SOUND MONEY MANAGEMENT (primarily hedging, balance and diversification)

    BOTTOMLINE: I may see butterflies in rorshachs; but YOU can't see your nose in front of your face! Perhaps you better stick to your Happy Meals.

  • Reply to

    MID-PTR ICE

    by bud_rolfs Apr 2, 2014 1:14 PM
    bud_rolfs bud_rolfs Apr 3, 2014 5:56 PM Flag

    Well. now we know. NQ needed to pull back ALL THE WAY to MID-PTR ICE at $17. This has simple technicals written all over it!
    (Even though most of you would rather believe in conspiracies, evil market makers, and tooth fairies)

  • Had light bulbs in my head because I kind of feel like I've bought stock in electric light bulbs back at the start of the change over to electric power...don't you?

  • Reply to

    UH-OH

    by bud_rolfs Mar 27, 2014 1:12 PM
    bud_rolfs bud_rolfs Apr 3, 2014 8:37 AM Flag

    Why don't you just Email me at my yahoo email address. Use bud_rolfs as the first part and then end it with the typical yahoo email address ending. Then, I can send you a chart showing exactly what I DO SEE!...AND WHAT IT SIGNALS ABOUT WHERE CLIR IS GOING AND WHEN IT IS LIKELY TO GO THERE?
    I offer this to all interested folks of good will free of charge with no "catches or obligations of any kind". I only do it because I am a Christian, and have been very blessed myself, and wish to help others with the gifts God has given me as much as I can.
    ....Bud

  • Reply to

    just watch the bid/ ask

    by jtsc_re Apr 2, 2014 3:40 PM
    bud_rolfs bud_rolfs Apr 2, 2014 3:50 PM Flag

    And if there was any real demand pressure here...explain to all of us just how such a strategy would work? I'm always interested in the mechanics of a good conspiracy theory myself.

  • Reply to

    Interesting day

    by amendoza Apr 2, 2014 1:31 PM
    bud_rolfs bud_rolfs Apr 2, 2014 2:13 PM Flag

    So should you!

  • bud_rolfs by bud_rolfs Apr 2, 2014 1:14 PM Flag

    $18 is a Primary Trading Range (or PTR) level on the NQ DAILY CHART, and PTRs are the strongest levels of support and or resistance on any stock. It is easy for stock prices to go over a PTR INTRADAY, but much more difficult to CLOVE over (or under) a PTR, depending on which direction price is moving against one. It takes VOLUME to push through a PTR and oftentimes, a stock will require multiple tries to get through. Then, once it does CLOSE OVER that PTR, it has to subsequently "RETEST" the PTR in question to see if the "BREAKTHROUGH" was "REAL OR FALSE".
    If and when a stock "FAILS THE INITIAL TEST OF A PTR" (as NQ did yesterday) stock price can often get pushed back to MID-PTR ICE. "MID-PTR ICE" (as the name suggests) is technical support and or resistance that is always found half way between every 2 consecutive PTRs. On NQ's DAILY CHART, the PTRs are every $2 ($12, $14, $16, $18, $20, etc.). Since NQ failed yesterday at the $18PTR, and the next lower PTR is at $16; then MID-PTR ICE between those 2 PTRs is at $17. So far today, NQ's low is $17.25. Will that be "close enough", or will NQ need to get a bit lower before a rebound to RETEST that $18PTR?
    (One thing about living in my TECHNICAL WORLD as I do. I sent out a report last night at 5:49PM eastern time US (to about 75 of you) talking all about how NQ was going to struggle at the $18PTR area...and I never once mentioned shorts, conspiracies by money managers, NQ management's failure to report progress or earnings, etc. I KNEW today would play out as it is playing out independent of all of those "red herrings".)
    ...Bud

  • bud_rolfs by bud_rolfs Apr 2, 2014 12:50 PM Flag

    It was a close call there for a while, but the BULLS won out.
    That drop this morning had some real volume in it and the subsequent rebound had much less.
    That set PLUG up on the 5-minute chart for a possible ABC DOWN to the $6.50 area.
    However, wewere right on the LOWER TREND LINE OF OUR UPTREND CHANNEL, so this was also a RETEST, and PLUG just SWUNG to the upside. That is HUGE!
    Since PLUG has just completed a FULL CHANNEL CORRECTION that has been CONFIRMED complete with a RETEST; the next move we should see here is a COMPLETE RUN TI THE UPPER TREND LINE OF THE CHANNEL.
    Since the CHANNEL is on a DIAGONAL, I cannot give you an exact intercept, but generally, we cannot possibly get there until we hit somewhere between $9 and $10.
    SO...THE ACTION IN THE PAST 20 MINUTES CHANGED OUR LIKELY INTERMEDIATE PRICE TARGET DESTINATION (TECHNICALLY) FROM $6.50 TO $ABOUT $9.50!
    ...Bud

  • Reply to

    $18PTR RESISTANCE

    by bud_rolfs Apr 1, 2014 1:49 PM
    bud_rolfs bud_rolfs Apr 2, 2014 10:11 AM Flag

    In other words, "Don't worry Bud, there is NO RESISTANCE at $18!"
    And if I go through the rest of the posts on the boar, I get:
    A. "A conspiracy of money managers selling off the stock in small orders to push the price down to hit stop limits"!
    B. Tardiness of management reporting
    C. "Those darn SHORTS" again.

    All of you are probably right. While it took NQ about an entire week to fight its way through the $18 resistance area lat time it tried to rise up through it in February; I'm sure that this time, it is really those other things.

    ...Bud

  • bud_rolfs by bud_rolfs Apr 1, 2014 1:49 PM Flag

    $18 is a Primary Trading Range (or PTR) level on the NQ DAILY CHART, and PTRs are the strongest levels of support and or resistance on any stock. It is easy for stock prices to go over a PTR INTRADAY, but much more difficult to CLOVE over (or under) a PTR, depending on which direction price is moving against one. It takes VOLUME to push through a PTR and oftentimes, a stock will require multiple tries to get through. Then, once it does CLOSE OVER that PTR, it has to subsequently "RETEST" the PTR in question to see if the "BREAKTHROUGH" was "REAL OR FALSE".
    ...Bud

  • Reply to

    $5

    by bud_rolfs Mar 30, 2014 11:43 PM
    bud_rolfs bud_rolfs Mar 31, 2014 5:38 PM Flag

    DB...are you on my distribution list for MY charts and technical narratives? If not, just Email me at my yahoo Email address, and I'll gladly add you. (Goes for anyone else of good will as well) Just use bud_rolfs as the first part of the Email and end with the typical Yahoo email address ending. Make sure you ask for MY charts. I'll send out the latest tonight which will explain exactly what happened today, as well as where MY is likely going from here (and why).
    For any wondering, I am a retired technical analyst and only do some limited "pro bono" work now to help as many people as I can to pay back a bit for all the blessings that I have received. No strings attached. No catches.
    ...Bud

  • bud_rolfs by bud_rolfs Mar 30, 2014 11:43 PM Flag

    MY has a "SAUCER BOTTOM"...which is a classically BULLISH pattern.
    It also has a "TRADING RANGE BREAKOUT" with a "SUCCESSFUL RETEST OF THE TOP OF THAT RANGE"
    Since the vast majority of you do not know what the heck I just said (nor care for the most part because you do not believe in TECHNICALS anyway). I will just jump to the bottom line; which is this:
    IT SIGNALS MY IS GOING TO THE $5 AREA SOONER RATHER THAN LATER!

  • Reply to

    UH-OH

    by bud_rolfs Mar 27, 2014 1:12 PM
    bud_rolfs bud_rolfs Mar 28, 2014 10:20 AM Flag

    INTRADAY REVERSAL THURSDAY...
    CLIR did a "BULLISH HAMMER" (reversing at the MID-PTR ICE at around the $9 area).
    MID-PTR ICE is always resident about HALF WAY BETWEEN FULL PTRs ($8 and $10 on CLIR) and is often a place where we see PRICE DIRECTION REVERSALS!
    "BULLISH HAMMERS" require a positive close the following day to CONFIRM them as a TECHNICAL REVERSAL SIGNAL; but it is not likely just a COINCIDENCE that CLIR closed right at the LOWER TREND LINE of its UPTREND CHANNEL YESTERDAY on its DAILY CHART!
    CLIR APPEARS TO BE A RAGING BUY HERE WITH A HUGE % UPSIDE!

  • Reply to

    Good entry point

    by jon.engstrom Mar 27, 2014 11:11 AM
    bud_rolfs bud_rolfs Mar 28, 2014 10:11 AM Flag

    Oh...and by the way...though YOU are obviously NOT interested in learning anything NEW that COULD be of help to you in the future; my offer still stands for any others.

  • Reply to

    Good entry point

    by jon.engstrom Mar 27, 2014 11:11 AM
    bud_rolfs bud_rolfs Mar 28, 2014 10:09 AM Flag

    Since 99.9% of the world couldn't read a chart if their life depended on it, that is a "red herring". If I had a dime for every time some one has told me that:
    A. Technical Analysis "does not work"
    B..."Is voodoo"
    C. "Is only self-fulfilling prophecy because of others watching the same charts and making the patterns come about."
    D. "Doesn't work on stocks like _______" (Fill in the blank with their favorite stock.)
    E. "THIS STOCK IS NEWS DRIVEN!" (As if there are any that aren't!)
    Well...I would not have to bother trading anymore (more successfully I might add by using TA).

  • bud_rolfs by bud_rolfs Mar 27, 2014 1:12 PM Flag

    CLIR broke down TECHNICALLY short term and is no longer in its prior UPTREND CHANNEL.
    Looks like it wants to go back to the $8 level. on its MONTHLY CHART.

  • Reply to

    Good entry point

    by jon.engstrom Mar 27, 2014 11:11 AM
    bud_rolfs bud_rolfs Mar 27, 2014 11:21 AM Flag

    I myself have posted that I thought a bottom would occur by $2.60 (due to the overall technicals) so you are probably "right enough".; but there is no NEED to guess about such entry points.
    There is a technical process you could learn which would be much more "PROBABILITY BASED" than mere "guessing".
    It involves charting the stock using the 10 DAY 10 Minute candlestick chart.
    It allows the stock itself to "prove to you visibly that the downtrend is over".
    When I get a bottom signal on MY here, using that technique; I will share my Email address here and any who wish to have a copy of what I am talking about specifically will be more than welcome to do so.

SRPT
24.40+0.17(+0.70%)Apr 17 4:00 PMEDT

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