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SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Message Board

buzz60016 205 posts  |  Last Activity: Apr 23, 2015 11:55 AM Member since: Jan 31, 2007
  • buzz60016 by buzz60016 Feb 13, 2015 5:49 PM Flag

    Stocks once again make a NEW HIGH !!!!
    No celebration,no ticker tape parade.........just bears laying in the gutter.

    Interest rates will soon be negative, within a year or so.
    Stocks will continue to climb.......delta is a genius to hold UVXY.

    A few little corrections will come and go........but each correction will continue to be a buying opportunity, for now.

  • Reply to

    my apologies, printing is done on monday

    by delta_farce_10 Oct 23, 2014 11:05 AM
    buzz60016 buzz60016 Feb 13, 2015 1:06 PM Flag

    delta - you are a genius
    No more printing, markets to crash next week.

  • Reply to

    All time highs

    by buzz60016 Feb 12, 2015 7:48 PM
    buzz60016 buzz60016 Feb 13, 2015 11:18 AM Flag

    bryan - think of efficient capitalism.
    then think of crony capitalism, where the 1% are protected.

    Wall Street can only make extraordinary profits by stealing from the masses.
    The poor do not have enough money, so next is to target the middle class.

    Make a market so tempting, you make everyone want to be in the market.
    Over time, stock markets do provide the best returns, as long you avoid Enron, Woolworths, or any company that goes bankrupt.

    Goldman Sachs. Every Fed Chairman, has once worked for Goldman Sachs.
    The Fed is powerful, and Goldman Sachs knows the Feds intentions, we do not.
    Goldman, has a huge advantage.

    Cross the Fed like Bear Stearns did with LTC back in the late 1990's.........and you will die, just as LTC did.

    The Fed can NOT allow rates to rise. CAN NOT. WILL NOT.
    A rise from .03% to .06% is not a rise in rates, even if it calculates a 100% rise in rates
    .06% is still an ultra low rate.

    Ultra low rates are here for a very long time.

    Many will see a rise in rates ( .03% to .06% ) as a signal, the Fed has lost control, and will be crushed, when rates fall back.

    Wall Street will continue to increase their wealth, on the money lost by those who short too early.
    .

  • Reply to

    All time highs

    by buzz60016 Feb 12, 2015 7:48 PM
    buzz60016 buzz60016 Feb 13, 2015 10:53 AM Flag

    'true price'
    'efficient markets'

    markets will always fluctuate seeking "true price"
    Investor psychology will push markets beyond "true price" then snap back to reality, over time.
    dislocations like Fed Manipulations can lead to extended distortions........like we see today.

    Who runs the Fed ? When will Fed allow normal market forces to determine "normal" rates for debt ?
    Fed manipulation is nothing new, all been done many times before.

    .

  • Reply to

    my apologies, printing is done on monday

    by delta_farce_10 Oct 23, 2014 11:05 AM
    buzz60016 buzz60016 Feb 13, 2015 10:33 AM Flag

    delta_farce_10 • Oct 23, 2014 11:05 AM
    -----------
    Very interesting postings from delta and guts, last Oct.
    You Oct, the month stocks markets come crashing down.

    Delta states, the Fed is done printing, and markets to crash soon.

    .

  • Reply to

    All time highs

    by buzz60016 Feb 12, 2015 7:48 PM
    buzz60016 buzz60016 Feb 13, 2015 10:19 AM Flag

    a celebration ?

    The Fed is more powerful than most think.
    The Bulls, 401K investors are happy.
    Yes the Fed is smarter than Delta, and has more money too.
    A depression was avoided......
    The rich got richer, the poor did not benefit.

    Okay, its a false wealth, and when the debt bubble implodes, it will be spectacular.
    Guessing when reality returns, thats the difficult part.
    .

  • Reply to

    All time highs

    by buzz60016 Feb 12, 2015 7:48 PM
    buzz60016 buzz60016 Feb 12, 2015 7:50 PM Flag

    When the market makes a new high......News reports of good times, and permanent prosperity
    Perfect psychology for a mild correction.

    .

  • buzz60016 by buzz60016 Feb 12, 2015 7:48 PM Flag

    The Dow and S/P are near all time highs.
    Close enough, the market will make NEW HIGHS in the next few days, weeks.
    Maybe then, there will be a tradable top.
    UVXY might even be a buy in the low $20s

  • Reply to

    US oil production hits new all time high

    by delta_farce_10 Feb 11, 2015 12:02 PM
    buzz60016 buzz60016 Feb 12, 2015 7:42 PM Flag

    Are you possibly a broker?
    ------
    Nope, Chief Cook and Bottle Washer at the local Burger King : )

  • Reply to

    US oil production hits new all time high

    by delta_farce_10 Feb 11, 2015 12:02 PM
    buzz60016 buzz60016 Feb 12, 2015 6:30 PM Flag

    Buying Shell is buying a single company.
    Shell is just 1, of many oil companies.
    Investors should always diversify, even when planning to overweight in a particular sector.
    I agree, "refiners" should have the best bang, for the buck, once oil bottoms, and after the next real correction.

    .

    .

  • buzz60016 by buzz60016 Feb 12, 2015 2:07 PM Flag

    A tradable TOP - Easier to be wrong, than to be right ?
    Everyone, including me, thought after last week's "meltup" a tradeable give back was inevitable.
    Greek default, too.
    no worries...........

  • buzz60016 buzz60016 Feb 12, 2015 1:25 PM Flag

    wifrord • Mar 5, 2010 10:29 AM

    AAPL makes new highs...QID makes new lows...markets going parabolic...looks like a blow off top to me...thats usually how it ends going straight up to the moon...hence the term...shooting star...but renames to be seen..

    people coming here to help us out by recing biotech stocks...more classics...anyone vomiting tday?
    ------------

    interesting read from March 2010. Wilroids joins in a discussion of the blow off top.....
    history can be a great teacher
    insanity is doing the same thing over and over, expecting a different result.
    just sayin.

    .

  • Given the eurozone propensity to extend deadline after deadline,
    mr market does not seem too worried

    fear not - a few 100 point down moves will come, to bring back temporary excitement.
    .

  • Reply to

    US oil production hits new all time high

    by delta_farce_10 Feb 11, 2015 12:02 PM
    buzz60016 buzz60016 Feb 12, 2015 11:10 AM Flag

    Buying ETFs is popular........but dangerous.
    It you purchased Shell, BP, or a real oil company, you can hold for the long term, only timing major swings.
    ETFs are more of a day trade, short term vehicle.

    Its America, you are free to do as you please, and thats a beautiful thing.
    .

  • Reply to

    Rates to go higher - ouch

    by buzz60016 Feb 11, 2015 3:45 PM
    buzz60016 buzz60016 Feb 12, 2015 11:00 AM Flag

    bryan - Where are you seeing rates going higher?
    -----------
    When rates go higher in 10 years - watch out below.
    TEN YEARS before any real rate increase.

    the world leaders will continue with this Zero Rate Policy for a very long time.
    Bears are again, way too early.
    .

  • Rates to go higher - ouch
    bad for stock markets.

    When rates go higher in 10 years - watch out below.
    A rate increase from .04% to .06% is a 50% INCREASE.....but still a nonevent.

    In the near term - look for a 3% correction in stocks.
    Followed by a 5% gain........
    net result = nada

  • Reply to

    aaple

    by randorn_walker Feb 11, 2015 3:06 PM
    buzz60016 buzz60016 Feb 11, 2015 3:31 PM Flag

    randorn - here is a little test.
    calculate the profit/loss if an investor had purchased both AAPL and UVXY in 2011.
    you already have half of the problem done - AAPL is up 25%.

  • Reply to

    VIX

    by buzz60016 Feb 9, 2015 1:31 PM
    buzz60016 buzz60016 Feb 11, 2015 1:07 AM Flag

    bj - can't assess U.S. bank exposure in derivative markets
    No one can, thats the way Wall Street wants it.

    Oil is down 50%, 50% retracement.....should get a good bounce, or not ?
    Greece - time will tell. A minor bump, everyone has known for years.
    But makes good news for those seeking armageddon.

    .

  • Reply to

    How Crucial is 1185?

    by ymeher Nov 21, 2011 12:38 PM
    buzz60016 buzz60016 Feb 10, 2015 4:30 PM Flag

    Irving Fisher, "the greatest economist that the United States has ever produced

    1929 was interesting - investor psychology. Permanent Plateau of wealth.
    Note - The millionaires of the 1950's, were those who purchased in the 1930's
    Note - The millionaires of the 1950's, were those who did NOT use margin in the late 1920's

    Same can be said, for the current debt bubble.
    The difficult question is when, reality returns.
    Manipulation has distorted once reliable metrics.

    And yes, reality will return, and it will be spectacular.
    The USA will emerge more powerful, and weak will perish.

  • buzz60016 buzz60016 Feb 10, 2015 3:12 PM Flag

    anyone can say anything

    ------

    mr_genius, pls tell us again, s/p 1074 is no longer support.
    Or explain why the S/P will fail long before 1200
    your great greek default is here.
    The world does not understand the danger at hand - you must educate them. (again)

    .

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