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Novavax, Inc. Message Board

bytetwo 350 posts  |  Last Activity: 2 hours 27 minutes ago Member since: Jul 8, 1998
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  • Reply to

    If Novavax is doing pre-clinical on Zika

    by novazika 2 hours 36 minutes ago
    bytetwo bytetwo 2 hours 27 minutes ago Flag

    Yes

  • Reply to

    Is it illegal

    by ridethewavedave 3 hours ago
    bytetwo bytetwo 2 hours 43 minutes ago Flag

    Happens every day. Big pharma instruct their capital management agents to buy and sell. They can buy anything they want. They buy undercover.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Date

    Symbol

    Name

    Short Volume

    Long Volume

    Total Volume

    Short%

    2016-02-09 NVAX Novavax Inc 2541629 1282604 3824233 66
    2016-02-08 NVAX Novavax Inc 4482543 3424380 7906923 57
    2016-02-05 NVAX Novavax Inc 4730174 3213543 7943717 60
    2016-02-04 NVAX Novavax Inc 4631960 2534843 7166803 65
    2016-02-03 NVAX Novavax Inc 4964701 2834880 7799581 64
    2016-02-02 NVAX Novavax Inc 4122938 2739170 6862108 60
    2016-02-01 NVAX Novavax Inc 3182441 1408222 4590663 69
    2016-01-29 NVAX Novavax Inc 2776031 1661351 4437382 63
    2016-01-28 NVAX Novavax Inc 4091463 3176979 7268442 56
    2016-01-27 NVAX Novavax Inc 5135190 1043031 6178221 83
    2016-01-26 NVAX Novavax Inc 11163947 4108392 15272339 73
    2016-01-25 NVAX Novavax Inc 7609721 3867960 11477681 66
    2016-01-22 NVAX Novavax Inc 2440835 2321886 4762721 51
    2016-01-21 NVAX Novavax Inc 1894443 2202957 4097400 46
    2016-01-20 NVAX Novavax Inc 2462230 2590012 5052242 49
    2016-01-19 NVAX Novavax Inc 2826188 1517446 4343634 65
    2016-01-15 NVAX Novavax Inc 2079559 1173436 3252995 64
    2016-01-14 NVAX Novavax Inc 2734190 3023730 5757920 47
    2016-01-13 NVAX Novavax Inc 2519058 1215414 3734472 67
    2016-01-12 NVAX Novavax Inc 1871816 1003720 2875536 65
    2016-01-11 NVAX Novavax Inc 1949228 948838 2898066 67
    2016-01-08 NVAX Novavax Inc 946084 729830 1675914 56
    2016-01-07 NVAX Novavax Inc 2121543 1834843 3956386 54
    2016-01-06 NVAX Novavax Inc 1446513 979269 2425782 60
    2016-01-05 NVAX Novavax Inc 861403 440178 1301581 66
    2016-01-04 NVAX Novavax Inc 1361161 783155 2144316 63
    2015-12-31 NVAX Novavax Inc 687740 498666 1186406 58
    2015-12-30 NVAX Novavax Inc 725409 455947 1181356 61
    2015-12-29 NVAX Novavax Inc 746732 655610 1402342 53
    2015-12-28 NVAX Novavax Inc 938192 527333 1465525 64
    2015-12-24 NVAX Novavax Inc 510331 394725 905056 56
    2015-12-23 NVAX Novavax Inc 641627 381596 1023223 63
    2015-12-22 NVAX Novavax Inc 1151866 678666 1830532 63
    2015-12-21 NVAX Novavax Inc 1672979 766766 2439745 69
    2015-12-18 NVAX Novavax Inc 1276362 824825

    Sentiment: Buy

  • Reply to

    Could someone explain?

    by rconre 3 hours ago

    I have the same question..........the answer lies somewhere in the hedging, counter hedging associated with the notes sale. but it seems to me that there is only marginal additional gains to be had in a new short position. perhaps somebody knows they have a lock on the market and can take it down another XX without fear of it turning on them.....I hope they get fried.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Massive increase in short interest

    by mschuver 8 hours ago

    Question remains why did it continue to slide post the announcement? And with heavy volume. Could we be reaching equilibrium soon.....another 8.5m traded today.

  • Reply to

    Massive increase in short interest

    by mschuver 8 hours ago

    your summary is interesting........sounds like you understand the intracacies of this deal. I get the concept, but you seem to have a strong grasp of it. In your mind, what might be a trigger to get some upward movement? Do you think we are in a bottoming pattern or is there more damage to be done?

  • Reply to

    Massive increase in short interest

    by mschuver 8 hours ago

    it was getting aggressively shorted down before the news of the notes deal.........of course JPM and Citi and a few others likely placed their bets ahead of time......would be interesting to get REAL TIME short interest information. I wonder why this is so hard to acquire....is there some rule or it is only "published" every two weeks? Do Institutions / professional traders have real time access.

  • Reply to

    Blackrock Advisors

    by slowboat2nantucket 7 hours ago

    double check.......they "consolidated" their NVAX holdings and reported a combined SEC form which is on the NVAX web site. I am not certain that they added, but if you disagree, please reply.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • yea, saw that one too on the

  • Most important is that HIGH Volume 15m shares........the more we trade, the faster we digest this overhang and get to some state of equilibrium for the shares to move up higher. Seems like we need a neutral to positive overall market / IBB day in order to breakout of this range. Give us a 3% IBB gain and positive DOW and we get to $5.00

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    We know a lot, about Zika, NVAX investors

    by boooyahhhh Feb 8, 2016 7:09 PM
    bytetwo bytetwo Feb 8, 2016 7:16 PM Flag

    interesting thought Boo......my view is the bond sale was for both Quad Flu, Phase 3.........and, developing Partnership and setting up manufacturing outside of the US.........Zika? I pray we do NOTHING here unless we get fully paid for our work. Period. Take the gene sequence, develop an prototype......get paid, dose some rats / baboons, get paid.....study data, get paid......no freebies anymore.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Maybe playing it coy doesn't feel so good?

    by skeedaddle78 Feb 8, 2016 3:49 PM
    bytetwo bytetwo Feb 8, 2016 6:36 PM Flag

    Certainly (my view) get into high teens......with Partnership one wild card news like P3 - Quad Flu. Good RSV P3, $24

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • From NVAX web site........In November 2014, under our contract with HHS-BARDA, we initiated a Phase 2 clinical trial of our quadrivalent seasonal influenza VLP vaccine candidate in 400 healthy adults. The primary outcomes of the trial will assess safety and tolerability of the seasonal influenza VLP vaccine candidate and quantify immune responses to each of the four influenza strains based on hemagglutination-inhibiting antibody (HIA) titers. Secondary outcomes will evaluate neuraminidase-inhibition antibody titers for all four influenza strains.

    STAN INDICATED WE WOULD HEAR NEWS EARLY 2016 ON STATUS.....

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • bytetwo bytetwo Feb 6, 2016 2:38 PM Flag

    probably the $180M BARDA contract from 2 years back.............not a new contract or we would know about it. News overdue on the Quad Seasonal Flu vaccine......extra quiet. Maybe this will be the next big news in the pipeline?

  • bytetwo bytetwo Feb 6, 2016 11:55 AM Flag

    what we know, looking at the charts, is these things run in cycles........the beauty of NVAX is that it MOVES. If you want to make money (and absorb the risk), you need stocks that move.......clearly NVAX does, and it would seem time (after 5 months of downtrend) for this to start the leg up.......and usually those movements / trends last for several months........time is on our side here now, wheras recently, it has not been. By that I mean we are closing the time gap to the P3 data release..........and anytime before that, a big Partnership announcement is likely.........being short, trying to eake out more from this one, is simply a bad strategy and the charts will confirm it.

  • Reply to

    Finally Bullish Action

    by dirtboyzzz Feb 5, 2016 7:54 PM
    bytetwo bytetwo Feb 6, 2016 10:23 AM Flag

    interesting........fear and greed are what create the wild swings up and down.........but, you don't believe that this move down was not orchestrated in some way as a strategy by some big players......?

  • Let me say that if my posts influenced you to buy at higher levels and then you sold out, I feel badly for you. I was NOT one of the manipulators driving the price down. For those of you in this situation, your frustration is understood and acknowledged. Perhaps we were caught up in the exhuberance of the shares rising some nicely earler in 2015 and did not forsee this outright share manipulation by the bigger players.

    This said, I believe as noted, the shares may have gotten ahead of themselves. The big players saw this opportunity (a large gap in time between Summer 2015 and Spring 2016), to artificially drive the price down. I think most Longs on this board also were severly hurt - I can say that I was one of them. But as I tell my spouse, if you have not sold, you have not lost.

    As we approach Spring, with the shares near 52 week lows along with the general stock market and IBB in particular, barring a sharp capitulation downturn, I believe we have reached our bottom "zone" ($4.25 - $4.75), and we are trading in here as the turning point for the next move, which I think is up.

    1. Markets due for a recovery.
    2. IBB due for recovery
    3. NVAX heavily shorted - overdone
    4. NVAX has bounced from the low $4's - 3x in the past 2 weeks.
    5. Financing in place.......historically it moves nicely upward within 30 days of capital raise.
    6. Two P3 candidates with data in September........will get more media attention now.
    7. Consistent conversation and acknowledgement from CEO that we will be using a larger Pharma Partner.
    8. Partner selection needs to happen soon, in order to prepare together for RSV elderly launch early 2017.
    9. Gates $89M recently......his team studies before gifting. They are smart, world - class and like NVAX.
    10. The HQ team is plowing forward, hiring, planning.
    11. Big Pharma is hovering over many beaten down biotechs as acquisition targets. They have CASH.
    12. FDA wants NVAX to succeed...no RSV vaccine - unmet need

  • Reply to

    Finally Bullish Action

    by dirtboyzzz Feb 5, 2016 7:54 PM
    bytetwo bytetwo Feb 6, 2016 9:38 AM Flag

    No doubt. Legal manipulation. These guys make money going up and going down. At some point their plan is less effective. Seems to me the odds are they are shifting the strategy to make money on the upswing. Too dangerous to b short with partnership pending and 2 ph3 candidates

  • Reply to

    No Room for Fear

    by nutmeg_bull Feb 5, 2016 10:22 PM
    bytetwo bytetwo Feb 5, 2016 10:35 PM Flag

    Tried that url....recheck pls

  • Reply to

    Finally Bullish Action

    by dirtboyzzz Feb 5, 2016 7:54 PM
    bytetwo bytetwo Feb 5, 2016 10:23 PM Flag

    Agreed.....whatever forces have been keeping it down are now greatly reduced by this high volume.

NVAX
4.62-0.03(-0.65%)Feb 9 4:00 PMEST