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Appliance Recycling Centers of America Inc. Message Board

c54whereru 13 posts  |  Last Activity: Jan 16, 2015 1:38 PM Member since: Aug 1, 2012
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  • Reply to

    200 day

    by c54whereru Dec 30, 2014 10:33 PM
    c54whereru c54whereru Jan 16, 2015 1:38 PM Flag

    Picked some up here this AM at the lower BBand. Selling at the upper BBand.

  • Reply to

    200 day

    by c54whereru Dec 30, 2014 10:33 PM
    c54whereru c54whereru Jan 7, 2015 3:00 PM Flag

    From the top of the BB @3.20 to the bottom of the band @2.60. Hmmm. I'm a buyer here.

  • c54whereru by c54whereru Dec 30, 2014 10:33 PM Flag

    Looks like the first close above the 200 day since April of 2014. Momentum in favor here. Showing many good technical indicators at this time. Nice.
    Looks like a double bottom pattern begins early Nov. ( Eve and Eve Double Bottom) Continuation higher easily finds a 3.52 measurement. Like.

  • c54whereru c54whereru Dec 30, 2014 12:41 AM Flag

    Must be some profit in there somewhere for GLW. I saw the same speed will be offered in Minneapolis soon by US Internet for only 399 dollars/month.

  • Reply to

    C54 GOOD JOB

    by billythart Dec 19, 2014 5:34 PM
    c54whereru c54whereru Dec 21, 2014 11:12 PM Flag

    Every once in awhile we need to quit looking at the reasons why NG is doing what it's doing and try to understand what the market is going to do to solve it. Light demand relative to supply. How does the market solve this?

    Late Dec. early Jan. see some cold but market seems to be in "show me" mode. Mid Jan. showing normal or above. Supply just keeps coming, how does market solve it?

  • Reply to

    WE ALL KNOW

    by billythart Dec 11, 2014 11:54 AM
    c54whereru c54whereru Dec 11, 2014 12:08 PM Flag

    my current estimate is -52 bcf
    my following three are currently: -57, -65, -111
    These are not my estimates! They can and will change. Close on todays current est.

  • Reply to

    C54

    by billythart Dec 8, 2014 3:55 PM
    c54whereru c54whereru Dec 10, 2014 12:08 AM Flag

    "EIA expects the Henry Hub natural gas spot price to average $3.98/MMBtu this winter, close to last month’s forecast. The agency projects Henry Hub natural gas prices to average $4.44/MMBtu in 2014 and $3.83/MMBtu in 2015. Coal’s fuel share is expected to decline to 38.9 percent in 2015 from 39.4 percent in 2014 in response to lower gas prices and the continued retirements of coal-fired power plants, EIA said.".
    Think the volatility continues and spikes above 4.06 are likely. GL

  • Reply to

    C54

    by billythart Dec 8, 2014 3:55 PM
    c54whereru c54whereru Dec 9, 2014 12:23 PM Flag

    Seeing three models with some ridging now all in agreement around late DEC. This will change to a more N to S flow.

  • Reply to

    C54

    by billythart Dec 8, 2014 3:55 PM
    c54whereru c54whereru Dec 9, 2014 12:04 PM Flag

    Well as you probably know we are priced for warm already and a continuation of the same could see NG around 3.40ish. Heck I'm seeing the same traders calling for the two handle. Seems like deja vu early Novy. then some cold rolled in NG shot up over 4.50 and the two handles went silent. They're back. Don't see that happening winter season. Gap at 4.06ish likely gets filled. Ran it down into last reports, looks the opposite happening this week. This thing can and will move quickly and up is a better risk over days or weeks than short IMO, I just seem to be perpetually short for last couple of years. Like that side better I guess so it's where I play mostly. Not opposed to long.

  • Reply to

    C54

    by billythart Dec 8, 2014 3:55 PM
    c54whereru c54whereru Dec 9, 2014 11:33 AM Flag

    Yes, need that Alaska ridging scenario, none showing up yet.

  • Reply to

    C54

    by billythart Dec 8, 2014 3:55 PM
    c54whereru c54whereru Dec 9, 2014 1:05 AM Flag

    Could get a bull day Tues. as I think 7of the last 11 were green. GL

  • Reply to

    C54

    by billythart Dec 8, 2014 3:55 PM
    c54whereru c54whereru Dec 9, 2014 1:03 AM Flag

    Yea Billy still short and will remain so now until the weather pattern changes from the west to east flow. Not as short as the last 4.50ish and plan to go long a little soon and also buy GASL which seems reasonable at this time. Oil or NG specifically NG has to much production for this kind of December and the thinking is already a 1700bcf spring and possibly a 4t-4.2t fall of 2015. Price seems to want to go lower to earn some demand but I have been reducing short here and don't anticipate adding shorts at this time.

  • c54whereru by c54whereru Nov 5, 2014 12:00 PM Flag

    Just noticed I have a triple in YHOO at 48. Think I'll hang around for the quad at 64. Nice.

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