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The Blackstone Group L.P. Message Board

carolyn_novice 406 posts  |  Last Activity: Apr 16, 2014 9:43 AM Member since: Feb 3, 1999
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  • Reply to

    TGISVP III - ICON

    by wexboymail Feb 25, 2014 10:03 PM
    carolyn_novice carolyn_novice Mar 2, 2014 3:00 PM Flag

    Thanks a million.

    Sincerely,

    Carolyn Novice

  • Reply to

    Growing nicely

    by shrewd_curmudgeon Feb 28, 2014 2:11 PM
    carolyn_novice carolyn_novice Mar 2, 2014 2:58 PM Flag

    Insurance is risky business. This week storm is suppose to do lots of damage. This is very small company and high claims can change the future. When comes to buying insurance, always check fidelity select insurance graph, as well as the price over 90 days.

    Good luck!

    Sincerely,

    Carolyn Novice

    Sentiment: Sell

  • carolyn_novice carolyn_novice Mar 2, 2014 2:51 PM Flag

    Major market maker life GS determine the opening price, tomorrow Premarket will be good indecator. Then comes hedge funds and mutual funds. Message board advice is of no use. Russian banks and mafia (big money) will decide how to handle tis unexpected circumstance. YNDX will eventually go down! but not when everyone expects,

    Good luck!

    Sincerely,

    Carolyn Novice

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • carolyn_novice carolyn_novice Mar 1, 2014 10:09 PM Flag

    Russian Ruble:

    For $1.00 US

    Jan 1, 2014…….. 32.855399
    Feb 28, 2014 …….35.866093
    Difference ……….3.010594

    Down ……………..9.16%....in 3 months.
    March drop will be very interesting to watch.

    Russian companies can make 20% a year, but to Americans in US dollars, it could be negative returns.

    Market Watch has a good article, Almost Half a Billion Worth of Bitcoins Vanish. Could it happen to Russian Ruble?

    Sincerely,

    Carolyn Novice

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • carolyn_novice carolyn_novice Feb 28, 2014 4:26 PM Flag

    Google search will give you the link and story.

    Sincerely,

    Carolyn Novice

  • Reply to

    Paring Losses

    by richardelarson47 Feb 28, 2014 12:38 PM
    carolyn_novice carolyn_novice Feb 28, 2014 12:47 PM Flag

    Just technical reaction while traders take lunch and bids subside, with market making new high this is down.

    Watch out near the close, end of month window dressing.

    Sincerely,

    Carolyn Novice

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Time to sell short no buyers here QIWI 46.50

    Volume is light but should pick up if it contuse to decline. The big earning gains are vanishing, why not sell short and buy cheaper.

    It is your fight against the hedge funds.

    Good luck!

    Sincerely,

    Carolyn Novice

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    Bullish Looking Chart Patterns KFY 25 BUY

    by carolyn_novice Feb 28, 2014 11:54 AM
    carolyn_novice carolyn_novice Feb 28, 2014 11:55 AM Flag

    4. W Pattern
    By the very shape of the letter we can see that the double bottom formation traces out a letter W. The middle leg of the W represents a temporary level of supply (upside resistance) and when the right leg of the W exceeds the middle leg it constitutes a very important buy spot.

    5. Growth
    The growth pattern is characterized by a long continuing advance in the price of the stock with a tendency toward acceleration on the upside in the latter stages of its growth pattern. The astute trader who is only aiming at maximum profits is only going to pay attention to this type of pattern during the later stages of upside acceleration.

    6. Cyclical at Historic Lows
    This pattern is listed last because it contains the greatest degree of risk, a risk that can only be minimized by an expert judgment of timing factors. If the timing is right, the gains can be very great.

    For best results the six key patterns must be geared to the market
    Newton would have been fascinated with the stock market as it exists today because he undoubtedly would have enjoyed watching his famous Law of Gravity at work on security prices.

    (Source: A Strategy of Daily Stock Market Timing for Maximum profit, by Joseph E. Granville)

    Sincerely,

    Carolyn Novice

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • KFY is making an up move on high volume and it is a buying opportunity.

    THE GRAND STRATEGY OF STOCK TRADING

    THE STOCK TELLS YOU THAT IT HAS MADE A BOTTOM OR A TOP BY SACRIFICING A POINT OR SO FOR INSURANCE.

    The Most Bullish Looking Chart Patterns

    All your buying for maximum profits should be concentrated on stocks having the following types of chart patterns:

    1. Long-term decline followed by a breakout …………………………KFY is making this chart 3 years
    2. Flat base breakout
    3. Coming off a double bottom
    4. W Pattern ……………………………………………………….RDY is making this chart 3 to 4 years
    5. Growth…………………………………………………………….RDY is making life time growth
    6. Cyclical at historic lows

    Let us examine each of these separately:

    1. Long-term decline followed by a breakout
    This pattern is mentioned first because it is capable of producing the greatest capital gains. The pattern is exactly as described, a long-term decline (the longer the better) followed by an eventual bullish reversal above a previous declining peak. The stock gains an upside impetus commensurate with the duration and extent o f the previous decline. The theory here is that the stock has been so utterly oversold that upon the first evidence of a turn for the better the stock will advance at a greater rate than it previously declined. Let me add-MORE GAINS OF 100% AND BETTER OVER A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME HAVE SPRUNG FROM THIS TYPE OF CHART FORMATION THAN FROM ANY OTHER. (A successful parlay of ten such gains can turn $1,000 into $250,000.)

    2. Flat Base Breakout
    The longer the price of a stock remains in a very restricted range of fluctuation the greater is the potential rise upon a breakout above that price range. If the line of accumulation is at the bottom of a previous long-term decline so much the better. A stock coming off a 10-year base is potentially ten times more bullish than a stock coming off a 1-year base. The base or plateau may be at a more advanced level but the same principle holds, a move above that restricted price line is quite bullish. The more advanced the plateau is the less bullish it is, the lower the base line the more bullish. Suppose a stock was once priced at $40 and then went into a severe long-term decline down to $5. Suppose it then fluctuated between $5 and $10 for ten years and then suddenly one day managed to close at $11. The stock would be screaming to be bought, having evidenced a degree of strength unseen in a decade. That would constitute a classic flat base breakout and the chances of catching a 1000% gain or better over the near-term by buying at $11 a share would be excellent.

    3. Coming off a double bottom
    When a stock has met support (demand) at a given level following a decline the stock must prove itself that it can hold at that level should the stock temporarily rise and then fall back again. If it is met by buying at the same bottom level then the stock is in a much better position to make a more sustained advance. The astute trader buys the stock after the double bottom has been recorded and the stock has begun to rise.
    There are two observations to keep in mind regarding double bottoms:
    (a) The lower the bottom the more bullish it is.
    (b) The farther apart the bottoms are the more bullish it is.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Unsettled world affairs need more attention and the now needs better quality of blood for survival.

    GRFS is there to help.

    Form Spanish leading to worldwide company now. It has long way to go ahead in the next ten years.

    Stock rests and gets weak investors to throw the towel, and then makes a new high. I bought a few time but after selling and taking small profits, I bought at higher price.

    Now I hope to hold for long-term as I am a trader.

    Please do your research and see if it meets your temperaments.

    Good luck!

    Sincerely,

    Carolyn Novice

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Is Berkshire still buying?

    by gintowin Feb 18, 2014 12:13 PM
    carolyn_novice carolyn_novice Feb 28, 2014 4:55 AM Flag

    MSFT does every week, because it changes with time. These are hard times like banking a few years ago.

    Sincerely,

    Carolyn Novice

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • carolyn_novice carolyn_novice Feb 28, 2014 4:49 AM Flag

    IBM stock is saying otherwise. In a free enterprise fat has to be cut to make it more productive. Smart folks will find and excell on their new assignments. Others will retire or learn to exist with alternative learning and less salary. This is all due to globalization and deflation.

    Good luck!

    Sincerely,

    Carolyn Novice

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    TGISVP III - ICON

    by wexboymail Feb 25, 2014 10:03 PM
    carolyn_novice carolyn_novice Feb 27, 2014 5:20 PM Flag

    Thanks for the article. I sold ICLR a few days ago and was planning to get back after the profit taking is over. But now I may sit back for a few weeks for it to make a base or consolidate.

    What is the source of this article, are you paying pr the service?

    Any other information on this subject a trader should know will be highly appreciate.

    Sincerely,

    Carolyn Novice

  • I will buy cheaper, someone smarter than me is ahead of me. I am out but will hate to get back again at higer price, I have done three times.

    I hope this time I am right.

    Good luck!

    Sincerely,

    Carolyn Novice

    As of now there is no reason to sell as the stock is close to new high.

    Sentiment: Sell

  • carolyn_novice carolyn_novice Feb 27, 2014 3:27 PM Flag

    Lot of IBD readers follow it blindly, AKRX and RGEN are cosolidating on low volume. There is window dressing for the end of the month. For RGEN the trading pattern is normal. Move 2 or 3, steps in one direction and then a back step.

    You should go out for dancing more often, that will get you ready for trading. Also there is earning approaching, some traders may side step or even lock in profits..

    If you are longterm investor and have done your research then go and have beer to celeberate that you have the right stock.

    Sincerely,

    Carolyn Novice

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    $52K Profits

    by ardeniahvf284 Feb 26, 2014 8:24 PM
    carolyn_novice carolyn_novice Feb 27, 2014 3:14 PM Flag

    Those of us who make that kind of money donot go to the message board telling others. It looks like you are a very small investor with credit card debt. Please pay your debts and taxes as well.

    Good luck for a useless message and information.

    Sincerely,

    Carolyn Novice

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Markets are close in India for holiday

    1. RDY has moves more than 7% in past three days does it needs rest?
    2. It is overbought and little rest or even 50 cents drop could bring traders sell
    3. Yesterday stock jumped first half hour and then stayed up about 2 points till closing.
    4. Even though technically it getting weaker, it has lot going for it fundamentally
    5. RDY in 2012 was 41.80 and has not made much progress.
    6. Revenue…..2012 …..1,641 million
    7. Revenue ….2013……2,139 million
    8. Revenue …..2014…………………………..1,621…(only 9 months)

    2014…..First quarter………509.8 …..million
    2014…..Second quarter…….541.2 million
    2014…..Third quarter ……..570.2….. million

    That is highest Revenue in company history. So higher price and volume is justified

    RDY
    Active pharmaceutical ingredients (APIs) are the principal ingredients for formulation/generics and are also known as bulk actives or bulk drugs. RDY produces more than 140 different active pharmaceutical ingredients and intermediaries. Products are exported to emerging as well as to developed markets, covering more than 80 countries. Principal API markets are India, North America and Europe.
    Biotechnology products

    Short interest

    Settlement Date…. Short Interest ….AVD Volume ….Days To Cover
    1/31/2014 …….1,262,937 ……207,578…… 6.084156
    1/15/2014 …..1,086,206…… 210,305…….. 5.164908

    With new product in the pipeline, RDY offers a good long-term opportunity.

    Good luck!

    Sincerely,

    Carolyn Novice

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • carolyn_novice carolyn_novice Feb 26, 2014 12:27 PM Flag

    When you read positive news, some traders are selling and locking in profits. Negative news allows them to cover shorts and buy for the next move up.

    Google search

    The ABC of stock speculation by s a Samuel Armstrong Nelson

    If you are long-term investor then do not bother with these messages by traders.

    Sincerely,

    Carolyn Novice
    I am having problem with internet today. More later …

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • carolyn_novice carolyn_novice Feb 26, 2014 12:10 PM Flag

    All stocks move up, down and liquidate and consolidate, that is called trading range. That allows traders and investors to buy and write calls, puts and spreads as well as stocks. After heavy volume low volume day is to balance the books. This evaluates buying and selling pressure after block trading.

    Kindly take it easy.

    Good luck!

    Sincerely,

    Carolyn Novice

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Carolyn

    by tysons1 Feb 26, 2014 9:09 AM
    carolyn_novice carolyn_novice Feb 26, 2014 10:45 AM Flag

    I am having Internet problem and had to ask Dr. Tung to respond to your message.
    For some reason either it is internet or Yahoo message board, I am unable to post messages. Even after the message is posted it doesn’t appear.

    I hope all this will be resolved soon.

    I am very glad you find these posts helpful, I am a trader and most of my messages are from various books on market I have read. I hope this time I can keep RDY little longer. As a trader I just get the feeling, to get out after making a few points, and then get back at lower price. Selling RDY and then buying at even higher price is not a good way to play the market.

    There are lots of smart player of the market.

    I am still and always will remain Novice.

    Here is a good mutual fund for you.

    Berkshire Focus Fund (MUTF:BFOCX)

    Sincerely,

    Carolyn Novice

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

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