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The Blackstone Group L.P. Message Board

carolyn_novice 365 posts  |  Last Activity: 7 hours ago Member since: Feb 3, 1999
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  • please watch out last hour, if BABA doesn't bounce it will create lot over head supply. Also option buyers will sell options and not exercise.

    Kindly be careful.

    Good luck!

    Sincerely,
    Carolyn Novice

  • Reply to

    SORRY SELLING 108.79

    by carolyn_novice Nov 5, 2014 9:48 AM
    carolyn_novice carolyn_novice Nov 5, 2014 10:55 AM Flag

    Lot of volume and as a trader it is more than i expected. Look the option buyers not every one has funds to exercise.

    I may be wrong, but the market leadership is slowly going down. I hope to buy cheaper next week.

    It is a very good stock and everyone is Bullish, that is something to worry. Once BABA moves one or two points down, the buyers will become sellers.

    Sincerely,

    Carolyn Novice

  • Volatility is the difference between High and Low

    Traders time to take profits, long-term holders you will make a bundle.

    Weekly Volatility is Near High 11.09, can BABA hold here or….

    Date -------- High -------- Low -------- Volatility
    19-Sep -------- 99.70 -------- 89.95 -------- 9.75
    22-Sep -------- 92.95 -------- 86.62 -------- 6.33
    29-Sep -------- 90.88 -------- 85.61 -------- 5.27
    6-Oct -------- 90.35 -------- 85.24 -------- 5.11
    13-Oct -------- 90.90 -------- 82.81 -------- 8.09
    20-Oct -------- 98.00 -------- 87.86 -------- 10.14
    27-Oct -------- 100.67 -------- 96.30 -------- 4.37
    3-Nov -------- 110.14 -------- 99.05 -------- 11.09…..can it go higher than 10%

    Good Luck and thanks for your contributions, yesterday after earning BABA went down and came back to a new high, now every one is convinced and every one is bullish.

    I am out and will try to buy cheaper. You all are smarter and I will always be Novice.

    Sincerely,

    Carolyn Novice

  • carolyn_novice by carolyn_novice Nov 5, 2014 9:48 AM Flag

    VERY OVER BOUGHT.

    WILL BUY CHEAPER

    CN

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    TAKING PROFITS OVER BOUGHT BABA 100.76

    by carolyn_novice Nov 5, 2014 9:47 AM
    carolyn_novice carolyn_novice Nov 5, 2014 9:47 AM Flag

    I mean 108.76

  • WILL BUY LOWER
    CN

    Sentiment: Sell

  • Short interest is 27,349,423 shares, is of more than 2,470,000,000 shares

    Shares Outstanding:……….. 2.47B….Float:……………………………. 991.75M

    Volume:……. 67,814,005……November 4, 2014, Avg Vol (3m): …….32,021,700

    1. It looks like we have bunch of clowns worried about shorts.
    2. Lots of shorts are against the box, some brokers recommend not to sell hot IPO for six weeks.
    3. Professional traders have call options and short the stock after a big run up.
    4. From week starting Oct 13 till today, BABA has moved from low of 82.18 to 106.71 today.
    5. BABA had good news and media has given lot of coverage, it had a good run up and needs consolidation.
    6. BABA went down after earning; weaker holders happily locked their profits.
    7. Big players were buyers in the weakness.
    8. Next time BABA may go up and then profit taking, and buying on weakness may turn out to be locked at the top.
    9. BABA weekly and daily, On Balance Volume (OBV) made a new high.
    10. Now that BABA is making a new high and someone is shorting, why?

    Please see hat happened to Herbalife and FireEye, Inc. (FEYE) and price line (PVLN)
    You can see their short interest

    Herbalife Ltd. (HLF) -NYSE …. 44.26…… Down 11.64(20.82%)
    FireEye, Inc. (FEYE) –Nasdaq…After Hours : 27.30……………………. Down 6.95 (20.29%)

    Please forget the shorts and worry about your ability to trade, weekly low to high for BABA is between 5 to 10 points.

    Good luck!
    Sincerely,

    Carolyn Novice

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Volume telling the story today

    by razzledazzle5050 Oct 30, 2014 3:11 PM
    carolyn_novice carolyn_novice Nov 5, 2014 6:40 AM Flag

    Derivatives are between institutions and ICLR is more than 85% owned by them. At the opening less than 20,000 shares stock can be up or down one point. There are very few individual stockholders like you and me.

    It is trying to make a base around these levels after a major correction. But I donot see big bids like 5,000.
    We can expect better performance now that European trend is up and needs a few days of confirmation.

    Good luck!

    Sincerely,
    Carolyn Novice

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    How many shares do you have...

    by jackma100 Nov 4, 2014 7:01 PM
    carolyn_novice carolyn_novice Nov 4, 2014 11:36 PM Flag

    Big players do not tell stories on message board.

    It seems you are very small player waiting to see how much high BABA can move from here. By Friday, Noveber 7, 2014 BABA will be over bought. It makes nearly 4 weeks and it is up more than 20 points.

    Everyone is getting Bullish and that is how the tops are formed. Please look at the option price and volume, that is an early sign of silent minority getting over confidence, sky is the limit.

    Good try, good luck!

    Sincerely,
    Carolyn Novice

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • carolyn_novice carolyn_novice Nov 4, 2014 10:57 PM Flag

    4. From week starting Oct 13 till today, BABA has moved from low of 82.18 to 106.71 today.
    5. BABA had good news and media has given lot of coverage, it had a good run up and needs consolidation.
    6. BABA went down after earning; weaker holders happily locked their profits.
    7. Big players were buyers in the weakness.
    8. Next time BABA may go up and then profit taking, and buying on weakness may turn out to be locked at the top.
    9. BABA weekly and daily, On Balance Volume (OBV) made a new high.
    10. Now that BABA is making a new high and someone is shorting, why?

    Sincerely,

    Carolyn Novice

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    7:1 split after this time next year.

    by twinklesice Nov 4, 2014 8:36 PM
    carolyn_novice carolyn_novice Nov 4, 2014 10:20 PM Flag

    BABA has more than Shares Outstanding:……….. 2.47B….
    Float:……………………………. 991.75M

    Split occurs when stock is thinly traded and bid and offer is more than 25 cents.

    BABA after this run up will consolidate for weeks and months in a trading range. New IPO and distributions start soon.

    Sincerely,

    Carolyn Novice

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • carolyn_novice carolyn_novice Nov 4, 2014 10:09 PM Flag

    BABA price reflects all what is known. media has given a good coverage and by November 11, 2014 you maybe holding the bag.

    Sincerely,

    Carolyn Novice

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Big Earnings Gap

    by doitright2 Nov 4, 2014 10:02 PM
    carolyn_novice carolyn_novice Nov 4, 2014 10:03 PM Flag

    Stop worrying about 27 million shorts, todays volume was more than 60 million. BABA has total 2.47 billion shares.

    Sincerely,

    Carolyn Novice

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Answer me this

    by natty_0ner Nov 4, 2014 4:56 PM
    carolyn_novice carolyn_novice Nov 4, 2014 5:12 PM Flag

    From the question it seems you do not have the basic knowledge and fundamental view of investing. Kindly Google search, the ABC of stock speculation, down load free PDF and master it, you will need it.

    BABA is listed on NYSE, and meets all the US security and exchage standards.

    Next time you sell a stock, you will see commission and tax. Who takes the tax and what is done with it? More than 66 million shares traded, the second highest day since IPO.

    All those who sold paid tax, for what?

    Sincerely,
    Carolyn Novice

    China and US will join hands in technology and BABA creates business for both countries. Look what happened to Russian market and currency.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • this what is going on, we can have more upgrades every time BABA move 5%.

    Sincerely,

    Carolyn Novice

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • i think option buying is covering by professional traders, buy the call and short the stock, if stock goes down cover shorts and call is free.
    Good luck!

    Sincerely,
    Carolyn Novice

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    don't know why

    by stevenptruong Nov 4, 2014 9:53 AM
    carolyn_novice carolyn_novice Nov 4, 2014 3:40 PM Flag

    Why are you so worried, one of these days tables will turn. Today's action is floor traders checking the selling pressure and buying power.

    Floor traders are buying now but may decide to sell near the close or go home with some inventory.

    So far demand is coming from China and Middle East. USA big buying should create upside gap.
    Also in price options are being exercised.

    Sincerely,

    Carolyn Novice

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • volume is above 50,000,0000 and BABA is ready to climb higer, we still have some reluctant sellers left.
    For trader, please Google search, 20 Golden Rules for traders.

    BABA is the new market leader, and the week BABA tops out Market may do so also.

    Such powerful buying means stock has no over head supply and option buyers are ready to see $110 by Christmas.

    November 11, 2014 BABA will have more to say about billions of buying.

    Good luck!

    Sincerely,
    Carolyn Novice

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    AMERICANS LOVE ENRON TYPE STOCKS

    by cavanyc Nov 4, 2014 1:40 PM
    carolyn_novice carolyn_novice Nov 4, 2014 1:48 PM Flag

    Enron is not applicable here, BABAS has lot Chinese leaders who got in IPO and that how you do business there. Chinese party leaders also have money in USA. There are more than 500, 000 students, studying in USA. Chinese Business has parked funds in USA.

    We have real money and good investments like BABA.
    kindly do your home work, a very strong stock in today's weak market making new high, is like home run.

    Pleae accumulate this market leader. The up move had just begun.

    Sincerely,
    Carolyn Novice

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • carolyn_novice carolyn_novice Nov 4, 2014 12:05 PM Flag

    This drop is due to derivatives, please Google search derivative. Some has to buy millions of share around 90 or lower, like writing a 90 put. So the institution has to sell first and buy and pay for the obligation.

    With all the good news I would written 90 put and expect free extra funds as DIS moves to new high.
    This will take two three days.

    Sincerely,
    Carolyn Novice

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

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