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The Blackstone Group L.P. Message Board

carolyn_novice 334 posts  |  Last Activity: Jan 23, 2015 11:34 AM Member since: Feb 3, 1999
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  • carolyn_novice carolyn_novice Dec 30, 2014 8:20 PM Flag

    Please see the new message, Big players can sell more than 1,000,000 shares within 25 cents of bid and offer price. We will see soon around the earning news in January 2015.

    Sincerely,

    Carolyn Novice

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • The stock has unusual volume and trading pattern today. This could be, like Goldman Sachs Group Inc (GS:NYSE) and others give bonus to the traders based on stocks recommended, and Market making and trading.

    Major market players
    (GS, C, JPM, MS, SCHM)

    GS Junior traders get $250,000 or more annual bonus.

    You are betting against the big players, time to learn and respect others.

    MTOR made a new high even though volume is light, but the trend is bullish so far.

    Good luck!
    Sincerely,

    Carolyn Novice

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • The stock may have unusual volume and trading activity today. This could be Goldman Sachs Group Inc (GS) and others give bonus to the traders based on stocks recommended, and Market Making and Trading.

    When majority is thinking of yearend rally, and are talking of splits, and Disney 125, the contrarians come and play their professional game.

    Volume at 11:00am 761,000
    Price range ..95.50…94.75 Nice trading range, but no trend.

    Major market makers are (GS, C, JPM, MS, SCHM)

    GS Junior traders get $250,000 or more.

    You are betting against the big players, time to learn and respect others.

    Good luck!
    Sincerely,

    Carolyn Novice

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • The stock has unusual volume today. This could be like Goldman Sachs Group Inc (GS:NYSE) and others give bonus to the traders based on stocks recommended, and Market making and trading.

    Volume at 11:00am 139,000

    (GS, C, JPM, MS, SCHM)

    GS Junior traders get $250,000 or more.

    You are betting against the big players, time to learn and respect others.

    Good luck!
    Sincerely,

    Carolyn Novice

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • carolyn_novice carolyn_novice Dec 29, 2014 11:20 PM Flag

    There are lots of folks who are very smarter and there is lot to be learnt, I am and always will remain Novice.

    Some of the best brains compete in this game, and very few make it on the long run.

    Google search, 20 golden rules for traders.

    1. 1. Forget the news, remember the chart. You're not smart enough to know how news will affect price. The chart already knows the news is coming.
    2. 20. Beat the crowd in and out the door. You have to take their money before they take yours, period.

    Good luck!

    Sincerely,
    Carolyn Novice
    MTOR is up for 4 days, can it make 5?

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    DIS split in 2015?

    by dmbirsh07 Dec 29, 2014 4:59 PM
    carolyn_novice carolyn_novice Dec 29, 2014 9:40 PM Flag

    dmbirsh07 IS split in 2015?
    Any chance we see Disney do a 2/1 split in 2015? What is the likelihood?

    Stock will not be split in 2015; it is not mean for common folks. Those who can’t buy 100 shares will by 50 shares. Splits are meant for thinly traded volatile stocks, which move more than 5% per week, on low volume.

    There is lot of stock and the company may not buy additional shares, but may increase dividend.

    Institutional Ownership……. 64.28%
    Total Shares Outstanding (millions)……..1,696……1,696,000,000
    Total Value of Holdings (millions)…. $103,585

    1,551 Institutional Holders……1,090,028,925 Total Shares Held

    Reinvestment of Disney Stock dividend
    On Monday, January 5, 2015, big intuitions owing more than 50 million shares will provide more than billion dollar worth of stock, nearly 10 million shares within the price range of Monday’s trading price.

    Please Google Search, ABC of stock speculation and download the pdf file. And stop wasting time on wild guesses what company will do.

    If market takes a big correction next year, Disney will also go down. With deflation, oil, gold, casino’s closing, we could see economy contractions due to oil state job losses and bank loan losses. Ripple effect, when folks have no jobs, ……..

    Sincerely,

    Carolyn Novice

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Profits in the Stock Market (Gartley)

    A Classic collector's item. Gartley shares his knowledge of such topics as major, intermediate and minor trends, tenets of the Dow Theory, Triangles, Moving Averages, Gaps, Volume of Trading, Breath-of-the-Market, Figure Charts, Selecting the right stocks plus detailed instructions on trading with price oscillators. For the first time, this valuable work is available in hardbound edition, complete with all of the original charts.

    Primary Conception

    Through long experience, it is generally conceded by technical students that:
    1. When a volume trends to increase during price declines, it is a bearish indication.
    2. When volume tends to increase during advances, it is a bullish indication.
    3. When Volume tends to decrease during price declines, it is a bullish.
    4. When volume tends to decrease during price advances, it is bearish.

    It is important to note that the above definitions or premises are concerned with the changes in volume. They do not refer to volume at any particular level.

    Historical characteristics:

    NUMBER OF SHARES FLOAT.
    BULL OR BEAR MARKET

    VOLUME AND THE FOUR TRENDS

    1. THE LONG TERM TREND: Both growth and earnings lead to higher PE.
    2. MAJOR TRENDS: The entire group is moving up due to innovation as in technology.
    3. INTERMEDIATE TRENDS: The entire group is down due to political uncertainty.
    4. MINOR TRENDS. All the banks are down due to Long-term Subprime Loan problems

    At new high there is no overhead supply, so rules are not applicable.

    Sincerely,

    Carolyn Novice

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • 1. Fundamental analysis
    2. Technical analysis

    The methods used to analyze securities and make investment decisions fall into two very broad categories: fundamental analysis and technical analysis. Fundamental analysis involves analyzing the characteristics of a company in order to estimate its value.

    Technical analysis takes a completely different approach; it doesn't care one bit about the value of a company or a commodity. Technicians (sometimes called chartists) are only interested in the price movements in the market.

    Google Search: The ABC of Stock Speculation - S. A. Nelson
    Please download PDF, it is free and try to master it.

    Last year earning on January 29, 2014, before opening, earning ……………5 cents
    Next earning is on January 28, 2015, before opening, estimate earning ….28 cents.. very Good

    Good luck!

    Sincerely,
    Carolyn Novice

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • carolyn_novice carolyn_novice Dec 29, 2014 9:00 PM Flag

    Please read the new messages, it may help. Please go to the library or use internet to learn ABC of investments.

    I spent hours doing my homework before investing.

    Sincerely,
    Carolyn Novice

  • Reply to

    Historical Year ending DIS 95.03

    by carolyn_novice Dec 29, 2014 9:24 AM
    carolyn_novice carolyn_novice Dec 29, 2014 3:21 PM Flag

    I played some Russian stocks, and oil stocks and drillers, but was wise to get out with small but good losses. So we never know what is in store for this market. I sold Disney more than 5 times in last 3 months, only bought twice with more than 25 cents from price I sold. Rest it was good gains, buying more than $1 cheaper.

    Now I will leave my holdings, and wait to see on December 31, 2014 before closing. Disney should retrace some of the gains, only if it spikes up on very low volume from here.

    Sincerely,

    Carolyn Novice

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Historical Year ending DIS 95.03

    by carolyn_novice Dec 29, 2014 9:24 AM
    carolyn_novice carolyn_novice Dec 29, 2014 11:06 AM Flag

    There are many a slip between the cup and the lip.

    I remember when apple was $700 there were folks like you thinking it will go to $1000. But it went down below $500.

    Something will go wrong; we could be close to the end of this boom cycle.

    Disney has debts, and interest rates will be higher and borrowing cost.

    Labor cost will be higher next 5 years, due to wages and medical insurance.

    Strong dollar will affect foreign profits. Disney profits will slow down.

    Good luck!

    Sincerely,

    Carolyn Novice

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    In 2015 Disney will be below $105.

    by lim_tung Dec 28, 2014 10:53 PM
    carolyn_novice carolyn_novice Dec 29, 2014 9:53 AM Flag

    Please go easy on China, we owe more than trillion, and in next 10 years they will be buying US stocks and assets.

    China also has their own amusement parks. Disney investment in China is less than 3 billion, and the theme park has delay of more than a year. I think it will open in 2015.

    Frankly speaking more than million visitors come to USA from China, Also we have 250,000 Chinese students in US universities.

    China will do very good buying foreign assets.

    Please be polite to those who copy our DVD's and may copy our technology and beat us.

    Good luck!

    Sincerely,

    Carolyn Novice

    Brokers are buying for Disney reinvestment of dividend

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • carolyn_novice by carolyn_novice Dec 29, 2014 9:24 AM Flag

    1. It is bullish seasonal and can it continue?
    2. Market is over bought so is Disney
    3. Bullish sentiment is very high above 55%
    4. For investors long-term Disney is rewarding
    5. For traders it depends on your ability to trade in and out
    6. Hedge funds are short of Disney
    7. Mutual funds are under invested in Disney
    8. Disney reinvestment of dividend starts soon
    9. Big player do front running, buying DIS before and selling Jan 7, 2015
    10. You be the judge of your investment.

    Year ending-------Close ------- Change------- % Change
    2,007 ------- 32.28 ------- -1.99 ------- -5.81%
    2,008 ------- 22.69 ------- -9.59 ------- -29.71%
    2,009 ------- 32.25 ------- 9.56 ------- 42.13%
    2,010 ------- 37.51 ------- 5.26 ------- 16.31%
    2,011 ------- 37.50 ------- -0.01 ------- -0.03%
    2,012 ------- 49.79 ------- 12.29 ------- 32.77%
    2,013 ------- 76.40 ------- 26.61 ------- 53.44%
    2,014 ------- 95.03 ------- 18.63 ------- 24.38%.......We have a few days

    After big run up we can expect some consolidation.

    Good luck!

    Sincerely,

    Carolyn Novice

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • carolyn_novice by carolyn_novice Dec 28, 2014 6:29 PM Flag

    Has not done any thing, for long time, what ever it does will be temporary.

    Happy New Year.

    Sincerely,

    Carolyn Novice

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Elliot wave on December 26, 2014, price gave Bullish Wave 5 indicator.

    Wave 5 is last of the impulse wave and it is not as dynamic as the third wave of the Elliot wave cycle. This wave marks the last burst of buying before a new trend starts.

    On June 16, 2014, MTOR made a new high 15.14, and then on October 15, 2014 it made low of 9.46. Since then it is in accumulation. It seems more than 19 million have been accumulated.

    Starting August 19, 2014, MTOR has made a cup and handle chart, and on December 26, 2014, stock broke through up through the handle, with low volume.

    Only thing missing is Volume, we will know before the end of this year if this is a genuine breakout?

    Short interest is giving good signal.

    Settlement Date…… Short Interest Avg Daily Volume Days To Cover
    12/15/2014….. 6,763,869….. 1,440,792…… 4.69
    11/28/2014…… 6,271,857…… 1,395,524….. 4.49
    11/14/2014…… 5,492,758….. 2,196,556….. 2.50

    Please do your research, MTOR is a close held by a few institutions and stock even under accumulation can come under selling pressure.

    Please watch out for High Volume and true guidance and direction of the stock.

    Sincerely,

    Carolyn Novice

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • 1. Average Daily Volume trend is decreasing, please see below.
    2. Short interest is increasing
    3. New High should be confirmed by more than 125% volume.
    4. At new high stock is moving because everyone who owns is making money.
    5. More buy orders, and less sell orders at old prices.
    6. Requires Higher Bid Price and Higher Offer and More Volume
    7. There is no overhead supply at these levels.
    8. There should be gaps on study small accumulation and trading range.
    9. Before short covering, professionals traders should by big blocks
    10. Floor traders buying for their syndicates should bid and chase to fill orders.

    When looking at technical picture rules are simple, Graphs knows the news and stock movement knows buying and selling pressure.

    Nightly Business Report December 26, 2014, Mentioned three stocks for 20% move in 2015…..Apple, Disney & Taser Intl

    Settlement Date ……Short Interest…… Avg Daily Volume…. Days To Cover 12/15/2014………… 45,796,064…….. 7,232,999………….. 6.33…..New
    11/28/2014………… 45,138,892……. 6,075,637 ……………..7.42

    Sincerely,

    Carolyn Novice

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • carolyn_novice by carolyn_novice Dec 27, 2014 8:22 PM Flag

    1. Will it make anew new high On December 29, 2014
    2. Where will it close end of this year 2014.

    December 31, 2013 ….closing…..9.60
    December 26, 2014…..closing…..14.05…..46.35% up move.

    Good luck!

    Sincerely,
    Carolyn Novice

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • carolyn_novice carolyn_novice Dec 26, 2014 11:46 AM Flag

    Date --------- Volume --------- High --------- Low
    19-Dec --------- 124,560 --------- 93.20 --------- 92.89
    22-Dec --------- 74,775 --------- 94.36 --------- 94.20
    23-Dec --------- 53,858 --------- 95.07 --------- 94.69
    24-Dec --------- 21,660 --------- 95.12 --------- 94.42
    26-Dec --------- 10,000 --------- 95.09 --------- 94.52

    Volume is declining, we can not think long term, until volume picks up. In one year 25% from here is very unlikely.

    We need long term only when the stock market is string a big bull move, as of now there a less than 200 new high. Until new high pick up, we need to be very careful.

    Traders, long and shorts game going on. Please sit and watch, message board to see what Disney will do a year from now, we will all be wrong.

    Good luck!

    Sincerely,

    Carolyn Novice
    As of now some shorts are covering, so we see the sideway trend. By end of this trading day we could get some conclusion. For 10 cent up or down move there are more than 50,000 shares available.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • After Disney making the 95.09….94.52 range on low volume till 11:00am.

    It looks like weak holders are out, now come the major players, time to watch the game in progress. Will it make a new high, or take one more time down.

    It looks like Disney buying is from floor traders, and Disney will close higher for the New Year.

    The quality stock buying is very good and that means informed minority.

    Floor Traders know from buying and selling and the source.

    Good luck!

    Sincerely,
    Carolyn Novice

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • ICLR opened late for nearly 10 minutes, Buyers and sellers with more than 25 cents apart on 200 shares. It looks like there are only few big players who mange this stock.

    The good quality stocks are being collected for 2015 ICLR is good bet. It has more than 6 weeks of bas building, not sure how long before it can move above to higher price.

    Semi holiday but the ICLR volume is very low 31,036 in first 80 minutes, it did not trade for 15 minutes.

    The stock is being watched by smart traders; ICLR has a wedge graph and needs more volume and move 53.50 to give a technical buying.

    ICLR is the right group, and will participate in major up move. It is not only the earning, but the business cycle and business setup.

    Time to collect for rainy days, only thing the low volume it can go short term down 5 to 10% with no reasons.

    Please do your research.

    Good luck!
    .
    Sincerely,

    Carolyn Novice

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

BX
36.06+0.35(+0.98%)Jan 23 4:03 PMEST

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