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Krispy Kreme Doughnuts, Inc. Message Board

cash2go 92 posts  |  Last Activity: 14 hours ago Member since: Feb 8, 2006
  • Reply to

    I added

    by eurafrules Nov 14, 2014 1:05 PM
    cash2go cash2go Nov 18, 2014 12:17 AM Flag

    Management needs to adopt a poison pill ASAP. Very thinly traded and easily manipulated to the downside. The price was hanging around $2.40 before the Chapter 11 filing. Where would it go if Siga goes for an appeal?
    A buyout at an even $2 would be a disaster and seems more possible every day.

  • Reply to

    I added

    by eurafrules Nov 14, 2014 1:05 PM
    cash2go cash2go Nov 17, 2014 1:06 AM Flag

    $200m sounds in the range. Market is not pricing it in as the Chapter 11 filing spooked so many. Also seeing PIP sell millions of shares in this range is a double whammy. Low demand and the negative of seeing PIP selling shares. Personally I think you have to have a war chest to show Siga you mean business at the negotiations table. I understand PIP selling shares in this range, how bout letting shareholders know this is coming to an end as the war chest is now large enough.

    Parsons should be coming out with his damages calculations soon. My guess $240M

    Hope shares continue to fall in the short term. I'm collecting.

  • cash2go cash2go Nov 13, 2014 6:22 PM Flag

    I tend to exaggerate as I pass the time waiting for news and play on these boards. A double/triple in a few months or even a year is nothing to sneeze at.

    Expecting a nice reaction when Parsons finally announces his total for expectation damages. Shouldn't be long?

  • cash2go cash2go Nov 13, 2014 2:43 PM Flag

    Pelman buying Siga shares? Guess he is confident Chapter 11 is for reorganization and that Siga will be able to pay the Delaware awards to PIP and then to continue down the road acquiring more payments with even more BARDA deals.

    Where is the bottom in PIP? I wouldn't mind picking up a large position and getting rich in the next year

  • cash2go cash2go Nov 13, 2014 2:36 PM Flag

    Perelman buying Siga shares inspite of Chapter 11 filing. I really thinks its a fact he see Chapter 11 as a reorgination. Perelmena truly believes he could world out a deal to even pay a $240M fine and see lots of upside for Siga and Tecovirimat as a financial endeavor.

    Meanwhile PIP has it's war chest up to $20M cash. Cash that will be available for showing Perelamn PIP will be the until the end. And, cash is always useful should someone be pursuing a possible merger deal.

  • Patience can provide some unbelievable entry points. Can PIP go lower? Possible. Pip has raised millions at these levels recently to build up their 20M cash war chest. Nobody knows what Perelman is willing to do to drag out this case. PIP has to have a cash position to show they will be here no matter what Perelman's plans are nor how long they may take.

  • Reply to

    Appeal

    by mustyroger Oct 31, 2014 4:52 PM
    cash2go cash2go Nov 11, 2014 3:29 PM Flag

    Does Siga really want to appeal?

    Supreme Court found that the duty to negotiate in good faith was expressly incorporated into both the bridge loan and merger agreements, the contract would govern the remedy. (LATS)

    SIGA breached its obligation to negotiate in good faith under both the bridge loan and merger agreements because Siga saw so much value in ST-246 in Septemeber 2006.

    Supreme Court also explained to Siga that "bad faith" implies a "conscious doing of a wrong" with a "dishonest purpose" or "ill will," not merely acting negligently or with bad judgment.

  • Reply to

    Siga's 10Q page 7

    by cash2go Nov 5, 2014 3:28 PM
    cash2go cash2go Nov 11, 2014 1:26 AM Flag

    Settle the case and Siga can use it's $54M? Settle with a merger and Siga can use Pharmathene's $100M plus of tax loss carry forward.
    The interest cost penalty is adding up along with the lack of having the appeal bond money working in your account if you're Siga....

    Perelman is a smart man, wonder what is thinking at this time.

  • Reply to

    Siga's 10Q page 7

    by cash2go Nov 5, 2014 3:28 PM
    cash2go cash2go Nov 11, 2014 12:48 AM Flag

    Siga inching higher isn't necessarily a bad sign. Also good to see that Mr. Perelman just bought another 200,000 shares of SIGA.

    Both should be a buck, or more, higher when this case is resolved. JMHO

  • Reply to

    Siga's 10Q page 7

    by cash2go Nov 5, 2014 3:28 PM
    cash2go cash2go Nov 10, 2014 12:31 AM Flag

    $307M sitting on the books as of today.

    Pay the taxes and distribute the money to the shareholders. Of course you will be paid big farewell bonuses that ensure we all leave happy. An early 2015 payout would best benefit most shareholders if you happen to care about us.

  • Reply to

    Siga's 10Q page 7

    by cash2go Nov 5, 2014 3:28 PM
    cash2go cash2go Nov 10, 2014 12:08 AM Flag

    September 30, 2014

    Cash and cash equivalents at end of period $104,682,642
    Deferred revenue $203,526,317
    (There continues to be a revenue stream into 2015 of manny more millions.)

    $308 million hidden in their accounting nooks to date. Siga can play with their share as soon as a deal can be worked out with Pharmathene. Unless Pharmathene is getting all the cash Siga should be working for an earnest split of the cash as soon as possible?
    Swallow your pride boys and merge these two companies. Find a way to use things such as the $54M tax allowance. In this case it looks like 1

  • Reply to

    Looking at PIP's 10Q

    by cash2go Nov 6, 2014 4:49 PM
    cash2go cash2go Nov 7, 2014 12:48 AM Flag

    Sounds like it's a company that will liquidate after court totals are awarded?

  • All business in dealing with Siga's years and years of Bad Faith. Looks like they want blood when this thing is settled.
    Siga is running around with the $170M minimum Flag and Pharmathene seems like it could care less. JMHO

  • Reply to

    Wall Street runs from litigation

    by cash2go Oct 31, 2014 11:41 PM
    cash2go cash2go Nov 6, 2014 4:28 PM Flag

    within 15M of final settlement, could have some royalty negotiations even merger so that $54M in tax deferred benefits are not thrown away. May not be a cut and dry ending. The more complicated the higher the payoff likely for shareholders

  • Reply to

    CHECKMATE BIRDBRANE

    by jacat62 Oct 31, 2014 2:15 PM
    cash2go cash2go Nov 6, 2014 4:21 PM Flag

    Check Siga's Nov 4th filing
    SIGA has recorded a loss accrual for expectation damages of $175 million as of September 30, 2014. This amount includes pre-judgment interest accrued through September 30, 2014, and it reflects the minimum amount within the range

    After ebola hysteria I'm guessing BARDA had made noises bout the next round of Tecovirimat will be stockpiled. "Clear up this bad faith mess ASAP"

  • p 15
    Based on these submissions to the Court of Chancery, SIGA has recorded a loss accrual for expectation damages of $175 million as of September 30, 2014. This amount includes pre-judgment interest accrued through September 30, 2014, and it reflects the minimum amount within the range of calculations submitted to the Court of Chancery dictated by the narrow constraints of the Remand Opinion and related order. Notwithstanding the Company's view that the range of calculations is inappropriate and will be appealed, the minimum of the range was selected because no amount in the range is a better estimate than any other amount.

    The ultimate outcome of SIGA’s appeal of the Remand Opinion and related order of the Court of Chancery is unpredictable, and the ultimate amount of the loss may be significantly different than the amount accrued.

  • Reply to

    Siga's 10Q page 7

    by cash2go Nov 5, 2014 3:28 PM
    cash2go cash2go Nov 5, 2014 11:11 PM Flag

    " non-cash charge of $54 million"

    Is Perlman/McAndrews Forbes really going down this path? $54 million is a big hunk of cash and I suspect negotiations will be fruitful.

  • Reply to

    Siga's 10Q page 7

    by cash2go Nov 5, 2014 3:28 PM
    cash2go cash2go Nov 5, 2014 3:49 PM Flag

    p 23
    expectation damages of $175 million...reflects the minimum amount within the range of calculations submitted to the Court of Chancery

  • Reply to

    Siga's 10Q page 7

    by cash2go Nov 5, 2014 3:28 PM
    cash2go cash2go Nov 5, 2014 3:34 PM Flag

    Maybe $2 bucks higher?

    p 15
    On October 17, the Company and PharmAthene separately submitted lump sum damages calculations to the Court of Chancery. PharmAthene’s submission noted a damages calculation, inclusive of pre-judgment interest, of approximately $233 million as of September 30, 2014. The Company’s submission noted a damages calculation, inclusive of pre-judgment interest, of approximately $173 million as of August 8, 2014 (the date of the Remand Opinion). The separate calculations submitted by PharmAthene and the Company are based on each parties’ interpretation of the adjusted valuation methodology the Court of Chancery directed the parties to utilize in the Remand Opinion. The ultimate loss to be incurred from this litigation is highly uncertain and may be significantly different from the range of calculations. In its submission, the Company stated that SIGA intends to argue on appeal that PharmAthene has no entitlement to any award of expectation damages, but, rather, should be limited to a recovery of its reliance interest of approximately $200,000 . Accordingly, the ultimate loss to be incurred from this litigation is highly uncertain and may be significantly different from the range of calculations set forth in the October 17 submissions to the Court of Chancery.

  • Reply to

    Siga's 10Q page 7

    by cash2go Nov 5, 2014 3:28 PM
    cash2go cash2go Nov 5, 2014 3:30 PM Flag

    10Q filed 10-4- 2014
    p.13
    During the quarter ended September 30, 2014, the Company recorded a loss accrual for expectation damages of $175 million related to the PharmAthene litigation (see Note 14) and filed a voluntary petition for relief under chapter 11 of Title 11 of the United States Bankruptcy Code (see Note 2). Additionally, the PharmAthene litigation and recent chapter 11 filing raise substantial doubt about the Company's ability to continue as a going concern. As such, the Company has concluded that it could no longer realize its deferred tax assets on a more likely than not basis and recorded a non-cash charge of $54 million to establish a valuation allowance against all of its deferred tax assets. The amount of deferred tax asset considered realizable, however, could be adjusted if estimates of future taxable income during the carryforward period are increased or reduced or if objective negative evidence is no longer present.

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