Recent

% | $
Quotes you view appear here for quick access.

Валгрин Ко. Message Board

cash_is_king_now 249 posts  |  Last Activity: Feb 5, 2016 1:13 PM Member since: Mar 9, 2003
  • cash_is_king_now by cash_is_king_now Feb 5, 2016 1:13 PM Flag

    Unfortunately, HZNP technical is weak.
    Upper BB crossed 50 DMA which makes 50 DMA a strong resistant in future.
    BB is converging and if the market continues its negative trend then the stock may drop to mid $16. If Mid $16 does not hold then $14 is possible.
    Mid BB is siting at $17.96 and it is acting as a resistance but it is trending down which limits the upside.
    HZNP needs volume and volume created when prices attract investors. I am thinking about a sharp drop which will continue with high volume but follows with a good rebound to get out of this mode. DEPO did it a few weeks ago and HZNP may repeat DEPO scenario.

  • cash_is_king_now by cash_is_king_now Feb 2, 2016 9:32 PM Flag

    Aroon indicators are showing trend change from negative to positive.
    Aroon-Down has started to go down while Aroon-up is flat but it will start to go up as soon as tomorrow.

    Sentiment: Buy

  • Day traders are at work and pushing the price around when there is not much volume. Even 100 shares can move the price to any direction. Now add computer trading, hedge fund needing cash and other factors then we get to this point that seems a robot without any thought acted this way. Will it last, I do not think so. It may look negative but no change in fundamentals and actually fundamentals are stronger but there is a disconnect which is created by robots. I stay invested since I believe in the stock and there will much better days ahead.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Here we go

    by rumrunner66 Feb 2, 2016 2:28 PM
    cash_is_king_now cash_is_king_now Feb 2, 2016 2:46 PM Flag

    You keep throwing bogus arguments here. The market is down significantly with almost all stocks in red but they trying to mix and tie the market and HZNP performance together. This will continue to a point but traditionally, this sector is the safest sector especially if a recession is in view. Biotech and pharma companies may follow the market to a point but eventually they will separate themselves. When patients need medicine, it does not matter if recession or not, they spend money for what they need. This sector income is the least affected by recession. So, take advantage of current prices and buy some for future income. The future may be next day or next week or even next year but the sector recovers and outperforms other sectors.

    Sentiment: Buy

  • cash_is_king_now cash_is_king_now Feb 2, 2016 1:54 PM Flag

    cash flow is the key and HZNP is generating plenty of cash. Since it is a growth stock, the cash generated thru income/cash flow goes toward the new investment. You may see that net income is low because of expenses for new investment but this is the nature of any growth stock.
    Eventually, HZNP income will exceeds its investment and it will jump from current market cap to much higher market cap. Market will adjust to changes that HZNP is making and one way or another, HZNP will be rewarded with much higher share price.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • There is not any valid statement from a few posters who are taking advantage of the red market.
    HZNP is down but not because what these posters are arguing. It is red market and low volume which is pushing HZNP to current levels. Most stocks are affected. However, by the same token that HZNP is down more than others, it can fly at any day. The winners will not be people who are ignoring potential of HZNP but investors who understand power of HZNP potential and they are not scared from current volatilities. Long investors do not invest based on one day or even days or weeks of weakness but they look at over a year where HZNP will produce quarter after quarter and eventually benefits investors with a hefty gain.

    Sentiment: Buy

  • cash_is_king_now by cash_is_king_now Jan 28, 2016 10:57 PM Flag

    In did it in early November when it gained 30% in just 3 trading days and also it repeated in late November with 16% in just few days. Early November 30% gain came after Q3 report but late November gain came without any news. So, people with negative view must be prepared to see a different HZNP at any day. This change may be as soon as next Tuesday.

    Sentiment: Buy

  • Reply to

    BMY AMGN

    by fda_approval_trading Jan 28, 2016 4:36 PM
    cash_is_king_now cash_is_king_now Jan 28, 2016 5:22 PM Flag

    Of course the sector matters, but most companies that are trading down have very high PE and expectation is very high. CELG PE is 49 and it missed by 3 pennies. BMY PE is 58. AMGN PE is around 18 and is up in AH. When a company has a high PE (above 15) then the expectation is set high plus it should be growing.

    HZNP, PE is very low ridiculously but investors need to see it for a while to believe it. HZNP grew very fast and there is not much trust yet until passing time proves this a real thing.
    Now, some opportunists like to throw some subjects that create doubt about HZNP. Who cares that who will be president by end of this year and who cares if this new president tries to change anything in 2 or 3 years. If a Demo becomes president then it takes over 3 years to do anything and if he/she wins a lot of things including congress approval.
    Well, HZNP is a new company every 3 months. In past few month, HZNP income changed from $1.80 to $2.40 and I am thinking to be over $3 before the year end. Eventually, investors will not resist these positive changes and they come to their senses that HZNP is for real and it is producing huge money. HZNP is not a startup with no money but millions of speculation. It is a solid, diversified company with huge income which is growing very fast. If investors are still in doubt and they don't want to give HZNP credit a larger company will grab it or it goes private. At this point, HZNP should go international to get recognition by international investors instead of being limited to US.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    No Rhyme or Reason

    by geringerart Jan 27, 2016 4:19 PM
    cash_is_king_now cash_is_king_now Jan 28, 2016 3:45 PM Flag

    $4? why not $3 or even $00. If you think this way then why are bother to look and post here?
    If HZNP operates only thru its orphan drugs, it produces about $350m, included krystexxa. Orphan drugs produce high margin profit and so the price for that rev is easily $22.
    Now try to add other drugs and potential for FA or other development.
    Any new company that may get one drug that may generate that revenue is trading above $30.
    ACOR with 1/3 of HZNP income and half of HZNP rev is trading at around $37.

    Sentiment: Buy

  • Reply to

    More Thoughts

    by geringerart Jan 28, 2016 2:36 PM
    cash_is_king_now cash_is_king_now Jan 28, 2016 3:16 PM Flag

    Volume is weak and institutions are waiting for next month to step in and of course some are closing their books and throwing away some shares. We may see some changes on Monday and then Tuesday is a CC.
    When a company puts CCs, it has something to say which is positive. When a company hides then investors should be worry. Fortunately, HZNP has a lot to say and they are positive. Being proactive give investors confidence. In HZNP case, the company is trying to say that things are ok.

    Sentiment: Buy

  • cash_is_king_now by cash_is_king_now Jan 28, 2016 1:59 PM Flag

    Lower Bollinger Band is sitting at $16.03 and it was hit today. The stock has rebounded but this was a handshake or good bye to current lows that happened in early and mid January. It you look at HZNP chart, the stock was attached to lower BB for 11 days until it rebounded and stayed away from Low BB. However, it usually it does a final or last handshake before it rebound to next level which is Mid BB around $19.
    In addition to BB, Aroon Oscillator is at -92 which very close to the lowest or negative possible. Only 8 point left to max negative (-100). That is another indication of the bottom and rebound should happen in coming days.

    Sentiment: Buy

  • Reply to

    we need caution

    by usma67korea Jan 28, 2016 12:23 PM
    cash_is_king_now cash_is_king_now Jan 28, 2016 1:17 PM Flag

    When one or more biotech stocks report and the reports or outlook are not align with expectation then they cause the sector go down in this shaky environment. They will recover eventually in next few weeks.
    CELG and ABT reported and they are down significantly. They are affecting IBB and the sector. HZNP and others in the sector like GILD and AMGN and many others are down in sympathy.
    My point is that nothing specific to HZNP. HZNP will recover with rest of the sector in coming days and weeks. This is an opportunity to add to your position if you have some dry powder.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Thoughts

    by geringerart Jan 27, 2016 1:46 PM
    cash_is_king_now cash_is_king_now Jan 27, 2016 4:00 PM Flag

    I added today.

  • Reply to

    who is selling

    by jaketristen Jan 13, 2016 12:34 PM
    cash_is_king_now cash_is_king_now Jan 13, 2016 1:32 PM Flag

    Have you checked groceries prices like milk, egg, meat... recently.
    Why are they doubled and in some cases tripled?
    These are basic stuff that almost all people are using and people need them. Anybody complain?
    My point: If you can keep down prices for everything then drugs will follow too.
    You cannot single out medicines for price increase. There is not that much technology to produce wheat but the price is going up, however it takes a lot of R&D and money to produce a drug.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • cash_is_king_now cash_is_king_now Jan 13, 2016 11:41 AM Flag

    victim, what is your agenda today?
    Spread negativity to buy low or you are still hurting from HZNP canceled deal which crashed DEPO instead of HZNP or may be you are taking revenge from HZNP shareholders?
    Well, think about your credibility if you care about at all. There should be some differences between corvette and others, however you are acting like him now.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • cash_is_king_now cash_is_king_now Jan 12, 2016 2:09 PM Flag

    What a childish argument.
    Look what you are implying:
    1- Wait for summer for gout to cure by itself.
    2- FDA does know about vitamin D effect.
    3- Krystexxa does not cure patients but vit D does.
    4- During Krystexxa clinical, patient was given vit D to pass clinical.

    So, out of all scientists plus FDA people, no one knew anything about gout treatment but a middle school kid like you figured out. Well, what is your next genus idea to cure all type of cancers? Please patent them before putting them on this board and also don't forget to cover your short since it will get worse for you.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • cash_is_king_now by cash_is_king_now Jan 12, 2016 1:40 PM Flag

    After hitting Lower BB yesterday, it was time for rebound.
    Currently, 50 DMA at $20.13 is acting as resistant and also Lower BB at $18.37 acts as support.
    With current news, the support will hold but to break the resistance, it needs the market support.
    HZNP has done the best it can do in regard to fundamentals, income and stability. Now it needs other environment supports for the stock to get to its real valuation. In this market condition, most stocks have hard time since fire sell comes from every corner but if the market becomes stable then HZNP will be one of first stocks to run.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • cash_is_king_now by cash_is_king_now Jan 12, 2016 11:01 AM Flag

    For 2016:
    Average rev = $1.0375 B
    Average Adjusted EBITDA = $512m
    Average Income = $435
    Average Income Per Share = $2.62
    Forward PE at $19 = 7.25

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • cash_is_king_now by cash_is_king_now Jan 9, 2016 8:45 PM Flag

    Already, some stocks have started to resist. GILD and AAPL stayed positive last Friday. In addition, value stocks like INTC and JNJ dropped only 1% on last Friday. These are sign of resistance to sharp drops. HZNP is a growth stock but it has a low PE and it may act like other low PE stocks.
    In the last market correction before Q3 earnings report, HZNP dropped sharply but it averaged around mid $17s. There is one difference this time, HZNP is expecting much higher income than last correction.This fact may help HZNP to resist any sharp drop experience on last correction. Even in the bear market, the indexes rebound once in a while so, Monday or Tuesday we may see this scenario. After all, earnings season will start next week or a week after next week and attention will go to earnings instead of China.
    If I held my HZNP position to this point then I will hold it next week too since a rebound may happen at any day. I do not want to risk this opportunity.

    Sentiment: Buy

  • cash_is_king_now by cash_is_king_now Jan 9, 2016 8:24 PM Flag

    So, the supports at Mid BB around $21 and 50 DMA around $20 were broken last week.
    Currently, Lower BB around $18.82 act as a support but all depends on the market. If the market continues to drop with 3 digits numbers (Dow and Nas) then it forces most stocks, including HZNP to drop but not as steep as last week. In a worse case scenario, HZNP may go to $17s but rebound will be fast and furious.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

WAG
0.00(0.00%)