Any trading platform will have advanced chart options to view things such as accumulation, RSI, MACD, momentum, etc... Check with your current broker.
Can I ask how you are trading $325k worth in 1 equity? That is just asking to be burned. Take it from personal experience, never go deep into any stock before earnings, especially a high beta one...
At this point I would not sell in AH, as I don't see it recovering anywhere close to 65. It quickly faded from a high of 68.75 to go red in a matter of minutes.
As far as tomorrow goes, i think it definitely opens red. After open, pay attention to the stock movement, and the accumulation (+/-). This could imitate what FB did in its most recent earnings (gap down at open and rise throughout the day.)
With that said, when it comes to growth stocks, future guidance tends to trump any current numbers that come out. Since the Q1 guidance was terrible, and the yearly guidance was average, its weighing big time on the stock now.
However, I would point to the current revenue as being very good, as well as the stock repurchase and dividend.
If you seriously bought 5000 shares, I hope you didn't use full margin. GMCR is a notoriously volatile stock on after earnings. Due to the weak Q1 guidance, this could easily drop 10-15% tomorrow. However, with the blow out earnings, stock repurchase, and dividend, this could open low and quickly rise just as easy. I won't even begin to predict which way it is headed.
Green Mountain sees Q1 adjusted EPS 85c-90c, consensus 96c
Sees Q1 Net sales growth of low-to-mid single digits over the first quarter of fiscal year 2013 due to difficult brewer and portion pack sales comparisons; the impact of unlicensed packs; and, the currency headwind in Canada. Q1 consensus $1.44B.
All the positive news coming out of the earnings doesn't matter now when investors see this. I would wait for the stock to settle tomorrow before choosing a position (long or short.)
So far the numbers from YELP, FB, LNKD were pretty encouraging. It will be interesting to see how P and GRPN fare in the coming weeks. Nothing has been able to derail the market this year, and I don't see that stopping through December. Even with lofty valuations, I predict YELP, FB, and P will all make new highs. GRPN will be a wildcard, and could make a huge swing either way.
Hmm...Opened at 63 (like i predicted) and steadily gained throughout the day to close at 67 (like i predicted)...
Have fun eating that short, idiot. LOLZ
Pacific Crest increased its price target on Yelp after the company reported Q3 results that the firm views as "strong across the board." Pacific Crest does not think that the company's total revenue or local ads are decelerating significantly, and it keeps an Outperform rating on the stock.
Deutsche Bank says Yelp reported solid Q3 results but that its $250M secondary offering is weighing on the stock. The firm recommends taking advantage of the pullback and keeps a Buy rating on the name with an $81 price target.
...just out from flyonthewall
Check the AP article from 6:09pm. They stated 67-68, I didn't make it up. Furthermore, secondaries of companies performing very well are never priced that far below the previous close. Pandora and Zillow are some examples.
Poor financial results? I don't think you know how to read CC transcripts...
Management selling shares is perfectly normal. Do you expect them to never sell a single share and hold them to the grave?
I view this as great news for the company. They get plenty of cash for operating expenses. Remember, even though the shares are diluted, it's at a high price and the company is actually worth more due to the cash infusion. If this is the actual price, look for the stock to open low in the morning (62-64) and steadily rise throughout the day. Pandora recently went through the same situation of a secondary offering at 25, and the market reacted the following day by pushing it over 27.
Also, the most important number to take out of the earnings was forward guidance, which BEAT expectations. Revenue is more important than EPS when talking about early growth stocks. Their mobile numbers were very good too.
With the massive short float, this goes back to 70+ in a week.
Sentiment: Strong Buy
The short term outlook is getting a little iffy. Since 8/12's high of 18.48, BTU has only had 2 days where it made a newer high (8/26 & 9/10.) Likewise, since 8/12 (30 trading days) the average close difference is only a whopping +.01, short of the average +.035 since 6/24. It seems that its now trading range bound in the 18's. This was also the support price in July 2012 & April 2013 before its crash this June. This could be the new resistance point.
It has not closed below the 20d SMA 2 days in a row since 8/2-8/7. Since it closed below it yesterday, it definitely needs to show some strong price action today, or we could be in for a mini correction.
Dark_glimmer, here are some more stats as you requested. Note that one day it opened even so I didn't include that in opening up/down day stats. Also, The traded above/below 20d SMA #s were slightly off, so I have fixed those as well. I am just listing the numbers right now, and can provide my personal analysis on them later. I would def agree with what you said though. I will post additional numbers (including volume) in another post.
*# trading days: 64
*current 20 day SMA: 18.12
*stats don't include today
1) BTU opens higher than previous day's close
*times it has occured: 39/64
*average opening price difference: +.14
*average closing price diff: +.20
*avg close: +1.24%
*closing price: 11 times down, 2 times even, 26 times up
*avg high from prev close: +.53
*avg low from prev close: -.11
*traded above 20d SMA: 31/39
*traded below 20d SMA: 14/39
*close price compared to 20d SMA: 10 below, 29 above
An important piece i want to make note of is that the 10 days it closed below the 20d were the first 10 up days. Every day that it has opened up since 7/11 (31 times) it has closed above the 20d. The last day we closed below the 20d was 8/30, a day we opened down.
*times it has occured: 13/64
*average opening price difference: +.14
*average closing price diff: +.06
*avg close: +.43%
*closing price: 4 times down, 9 times up
*avg high from prev close: +.41
*avg low from prev close: -.16
*traded above 20d SMA: 10/13
*traded below 20d SMA: 6/13
*close price compared to 20d SMA: 4 below, 9 above
My quick analysis is that Tuesdays tend to be better days than Mondays. The opening and closing price action are much stronger. The S&P was up 8 days and down 5 days of these Tuesdays.
There is no question BTU has been in an up-channel since 6/24. I have uploaded each day since then into a spreadsheet and have calculated some simple numbers. These are not based on technicals or chart analyzing, so take them for what they are worth. They could be helpful for simple day trading. I have more stats and can list more if you guys want. Let me know if it helps or not!
*# trading days: 63
*current 20 day SMA: 18.10
*stats don't include today
1) BTU opened lower than previous day's close
*times it has occured: 23/63
*average opening price difference: -.10
*average closing price diff: -.27
*avg close: -1.68%
*closing price: 18 times down, 1 time even, 4 times up
*avg high from prev close: +.10
*avg low from prev close: -.50
*traded above 20d SMA: 17/23
*traded below 20d SMA: 11/23
*times it has occured: 12/63
*average opening price difference: +.04
*average closing price diff: -.07
*avg close: -.55%
*closing price: 7 times down, 5 times up
*avg high from prev close: +.35
*avg low from prev close: -.31
*traded above 20d SMA: 8/12
*traded below 20d SMA: 2/12
Its very possible we saw the high today. With the market at all time highs, and the nearing Fed decision, P might not cross 25.80 again. Any major disruption in the market could send it back down 20%, especially considering it has gone up 27% in the past 6 days alone.