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Smith & Wesson Holding Corporation Message Board

celestialconstant 3 posts  |  Last Activity: Dec 15, 2014 7:10 PM Member since: Nov 30, 2010
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  • Reply to

    I know this . . .

    by kravin_somhead Dec 15, 2014 6:20 PM
    celestialconstant celestialconstant Dec 15, 2014 7:10 PM Flag

    It's that time of the year. Small fry investors are selling for their tax losses, institutions are accumulating, shorts are holding to recognize gains in the future year. I see a decline through year's end and a reversal of the trend in January..

  • Reply to

    Yo...Anybody here?

    by stockeropinion Dec 4, 2014 1:15 AM
    celestialconstant celestialconstant Dec 9, 2014 6:45 PM Flag

    Eh, although TMST seems to be trading in lock step with oil exploration, development and production, I don't see an affect to earning in the near future. Deployed capex in the oil fields will continue, although it will slow a small portion will be offset by maintenance. I also assume lower oil prices means more travel and development, meaning more wear and tear on equipment and vehicle parts which will boost TMST other sectors. If earnings prove they are not dependent on oil then we may see a divergence from the current trend

  • Reply to

    Yo...Anybody here?

    by stockeropinion Dec 4, 2014 1:15 AM
    celestialconstant celestialconstant Dec 5, 2014 7:06 PM Flag

    I'm a buyer but I think it may still have downward pressure. 70%+ institutional holding, traded thinly making it volatile. I feel the current downward pressure is due to oil and the reduction of capex by that industry. Compare the chart for Haliburton (HAL) with TMST and you should see a corollary. About 1/3 of the business for TMST is oil field related.
    However that's 2/3 unaccounted for. I hoping the US economy will buoy the industrial sector boosting the other areas of their sales. Unfortunately, there's not much coverage.

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