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Vodafone Group Plc Message Board

chance_pocketwatch 13 posts  |  Last Activity: Sep 17, 2015 11:10 PM Member since: Jul 7, 2015
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  • chance_pocketwatch by chance_pocketwatch Sep 17, 2015 11:10 PM Flag

    And in todays news, stocks soared on expectations that nothing would happen, then plunged on news that nothing happened.

    We interviewed Gilligan, head of research at Gilligan's Island Investments for his take on this.

    "Our research department was expecting nothing to happen, but we underestimated the actual degree to which nothing happened. I mean, it was really nothing. Nada. Zero. Zip. Zilch. Nil. Expecting nothing to happen, the market was stunned when those expectations were fulfilled, and reacted to nothing with something. The market then surprised itself by its own reaction, and then reacted to its reaction so that overall, the reaction was nothing. Now we will wait to see how Asian markets react to this lack of reaction, so that we can forecast the U.S. market's reaction to the Asian reaction."

  • Reply to

    AAPL or GILD?

    by thewisejman Sep 4, 2015 1:09 PM
    chance_pocketwatch chance_pocketwatch Sep 8, 2015 10:30 PM Flag

    Yes, I be been following VTR since I bought some in the early '90's, but it's a small position that I always wanted to double down on and now's the time.
    I placed a low ball order yesterday, but it didn't dip, so I'll keep the order.
    If I wasn't so cheap, I'd just place a market order, since it falls under my buy and hold forever stocks and, I agree, it's priced fairly now. Nice yield too!
    It's out performed the S&P 500 since 2005.

  • Reply to

    AAPL or GILD?

    by thewisejman Sep 4, 2015 1:09 PM
    chance_pocketwatch chance_pocketwatch Sep 5, 2015 3:38 PM Flag

    I've been asking the same question lately and am much more interested in GILD, but for the long term, not a trade. In one year, my money will be on GILD to have a larger gain percentage from today.
    Apple = What people want.
    Gild. = What people need.

    Both, I believe, are at a good price now. When I add something new, it has to be in an under represented sector in my AA, which healthcare is now.

    On a speculation basis, I believe that the need for people to have the newest Apple gadget will start to get old.
    Gild could announce - I believe probably, buying a big pharma company to compliment what they already have in the pipeline.

    Next week I'll probably be doubling down on one of my REIT's, VTR, since it's approaching the price I bought it for 5 years ago. FWIW

  • Reply to

    A RATE HIKE on September, any one?

    by thewisejman Sep 2, 2015 3:21 PM
    chance_pocketwatch chance_pocketwatch Sep 2, 2015 9:58 PM Flag

    I had to look back to see if I remembered correctly about betting someone here on the Sept rate hike.
    It was July 26th? - my how time flys.
    On Oct 1st, one of us will be a buck richer.
    I believe the Fed has to do something, but they won't.

  • Reply to


    by slicktop4 Aug 21, 2015 3:32 PM
    chance_pocketwatch chance_pocketwatch Aug 21, 2015 4:32 PM Flag

    Well, so far, I would use the term "correcting" , not crashing.
    To my way of thinking:
    5% = pull back
    10% = correction
    20% = bear market
    30% = crash
    This is a very bullish day for financial media as they can make more noise than usual and more noise means more trading.
    I added a bit to one of my core ETF's, an S&P 500 index fund, at the close.
    As for FSC, it's held up pretty well - considering.
    Still holding way too much dry powder, so I consider myself prepared for a -30%.

  • Reply to

    phil did post the last message on the PSEC MB

    by thewisejman Aug 13, 2015 7:43 PM
    chance_pocketwatch chance_pocketwatch Aug 13, 2015 11:07 PM Flag

    I never checked that message board, but can see the posts from your link. What's the reason why no one can post there anymore? It can't be because of the inane ignorance and name calling, because the Boeing board would have been banished a long time ago. If you have time to waste and want to have a pathetic laugh or witness the bottom rung of political intercourse try there. There's even a guy who picks today's winner, claims he bought it yesterday, then compares it to Boeing on a daily basis.

  • Reply to

    You guys really think FSC is a good buy at 6.13?

    by jfnh1 Aug 7, 2015 2:04 PM
    chance_pocketwatch chance_pocketwatch Aug 9, 2015 9:23 PM Flag

    High yield = high risk = high adrenaline. In at $6.14 and will hold at least until 12/2016, when I'll decide to sell at a loss for tax loss harvesting or keep if it appreciates.
    I own the lightly traded BDC ETF BIZD too. Risk is less, since it's unlikely all the BDC's will go belly up, but any individual company can. I couldn't resist FSC at the price I paid, because I THOUGHT it was a great price. We'll see.

  • chance_pocketwatch chance_pocketwatch Jul 27, 2015 1:34 PM Flag

    OK, I'll put you down for a buck too.
    I agree with what you're saying, but that's a fine line between the two evils. And thankfully, we're not Japan.

  • chance_pocketwatch chance_pocketwatch Jul 27, 2015 11:03 AM Flag

    Just checked my confirmation and the order got filled @ 6.14. I don't log into my account on my iPad wifi, I always use a desktop. Fidelity filled an order in my favor - I can't remember that happening before - but there's that memory thing again.

  • chance_pocketwatch chance_pocketwatch Jul 27, 2015 10:41 AM Flag

    Doh, I forgot about that, that's exactly what happened. I't's happened to me so many times on these long term orders, you'd think I'd remember. Oh well, it llooks like I'm in here. I hope this isn't another case of getting cut by the falling knife syndrome.

  • chance_pocketwatch chance_pocketwatch Jul 26, 2015 7:42 PM Flag

    It seems the Fed IS hell bent on doing something, irregardless of what's going on, but I can see another excuse for crying wolf and delaying until the end of the year. For a buck, I'll take the action ;-)
    Maybe tomorrow I'll own some FSC again. The last time I owned FSC, it was paying about 10% and went down 11% for the year, when I used it for tax loss harvesting. It was kind of a good way to use it against taking some gains and almost break even on the investment. Anyone else do that?

  • I reported a while ago that I had an order from Feb to buy at $6.26. Well my order did not get filled and when I checked it, it was for $6.20. It the recent past I've missed several orders getting filled by a penney, only to watch them rise and never revisit their lows. (Except for a Europe ETF, that I got way lower on July 8th) So if history repeats itself, look for a bounce.
    I was so sure that my order was for $6.26, that I'm worrying about dementia setting in.
    Down 3.28% on BIZD, so I wouldn't mind a bounce in the BDC sector, but I would also feel comfortable owning FSC @6.20. This sector has been beat like the fed fund rate has already risen. I'll bet anybody a dollar that rates won't go up in September.

  • chance_pocketwatch by chance_pocketwatch Jul 7, 2015 8:36 PM Flag

    Hey guys, long time out of BDC's. I placed an order about five months ago for the BDC ETF BIZD for 17.37, thinking that it would never go that low, but it got filled today, so I think I should be happy with it.
    I also noticed that I had placed an order for FSC at 6.26, again believing that it was a pipe dream - maybe it is, but I think I'll keep it until it expires in August. So what's happening with BDC's lately? They've been beaten like a Greek stepchild. Have investors been leaving in anticipation of an interest rate hike? If so, it seems like the first quarter percent hike is built into the existing share price. I hold longer than a year, so I don't mind short term volatility.

31.89+0.89(+2.87%)Oct 2 4:00 PMEDT