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Snap-on Incorporated Message Board

cheating_stock_invester 16 posts  |  Last Activity: Jul 24, 2014 11:46 AM Member since: Mar 2, 2001
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  • Reply to

    Fischer will now calling the shots

    by fiberbull Jan 24, 2014 6:05 PM
    cheating_stock_invester cheating_stock_invester Jul 24, 2014 11:46 AM Flag

    so what happened here? did the rich guy bail anybody? I'm sure the people I was exchanging messages here are long gone.

  • cheating_stock_invester by cheating_stock_invester Jul 24, 2014 11:33 AM Flag

    you haven't been as active lately. What else keeps you busy? is it because nothing new from ALXA or because you are busy with other investments?

  • Reply to

    I love how it bothers you

    by cancerfighter2011 Jul 17, 2014 12:38 AM
    cheating_stock_invester cheating_stock_invester Jul 17, 2014 12:56 AM Flag

    why should anyone listen to you when you already promised to leave the board when your prediction that they will dilute was completely wrong. First you had indicated you had insider information or some info that proves this company was mismanaged and mis ran, and all you had is empirical data to back up your future predictions which was wrong.

    you are saying to buy CSCO and FPRX now when the key is to buy low valued stocks that trade close toward their intrinsic value. More and more as I invest in quality stocks, ALXA is looking less like one, but at the same time the pros on having this stock is that it has value as a biotech none the less for its sector. That is probably another reason why one would be willing to invest in this company over other startup biotechs or others on the public market because however you discount it, at $80mm market cap it is still cheaper than anything else you will find out there with opportunity. True they are somewhat in a bubble, but then again biotech is not internet. Internet or tech you can shut off and live in Alaska or Copenhagen and still live for 50 years, biotech you shut off and you die of an illness in 10-20 years.

  • cheating_stock_invester cheating_stock_invester Jul 17, 2014 12:06 AM Flag

    looks to me that they may also be working on a new manufacturing plant to replace Autoliv. Nobody is talking about that, we should hear more in the current quarter. A move to a plant where a major donor partner in the same vertical works will be a plus. Make your friends close and enemies closer.

    The delay to hear about clinical trials is due to talking to several partners as well who may do something similar in EU like Grupo, but a bigger name that carries more weight in PR. It is strategic to have that for the purpose of getting Adasuve partner also in countries not already signed up for Adasuve. The promotion of Edwin shows he's getting more responsibilities overseas. Don't forget King has been known to drop people if they're not useful to the team, so things are happening in there.

    Maybe this time we will carry over 6 no problem.

  • cheating_stock_invester by cheating_stock_invester Jun 26, 2014 11:23 AM Flag

    has the trials started?

  • that's why we got so many loonies around here that post like they're on drugs.i don't know what is going on anymore. i'll just hold onto ALXA while we wait I'm holding on DE.

  • Reply to

    JMBA Thoughts

    by kdp_vod May 13, 2014 5:20 PM
    cheating_stock_invester cheating_stock_invester May 14, 2014 5:28 PM Flag

    I'm not going to mention the other guy on this board because he definitely has issues, and even though some would go as far to think this is an anonymous board and it sounds like we joke or poke fun at his strange behavior, he really is sick and needs help.

    but going back to Jamba, I am waiting to time hopefully both a downturn in the market to bring this even lower than intrinsic value, and pick up a few shares while the negative still outweighs the positive. at the point where outlook looks so bleak is the time one should start looking to load up a stock like JMBA. I still think the time hasn't come yet, although at these levels it already is somewhat tempting.

  • cheating_stock_invester cheating_stock_invester May 14, 2014 5:24 PM Flag

    my mistake in reading the bulletpoint incorrectly. I only glanced over the targets and projections and saw this as to say 1,000 total Jambago and not 1000 new stores. It can be misleading to a first time investor if they don't know the reference point of how many are currently are in operation. if you look further you can find that but he should have just stated 2800 jambago installs for 2014 up from 1800.

  • Reply to

    JMBA Thoughts

    by kdp_vod May 13, 2014 5:20 PM
    cheating_stock_invester cheating_stock_invester May 13, 2014 7:02 PM Flag

    kdp, I see both your positives and negatives but the thing that worries me about JMBA now is this is a speculative growth investment, and I do not find it easy to see how they can grow both the company and the earnings at the same time without placing the company in a position which requires additional capital to do either.

    Most of the platform White had that made this a value proposition for me earlier is now seemingly disappeared.

    I think he has taken the company from out of bankruptcy and severe bleeding to that of a survive to survive mentality while lacking to execute to perform above and beyond expectations. As I said before they've sandbagged everything for so long and why the street cares less to reward companies that purposely guide low to beat expectations is there will be a time they guide low and end up meeting low projections which are nothing to be proud of.

    I rather be a B student at Harvard vs an A student with honors from a school like UC Merced. I think we know which school white belongs to.

    Why I still post here is because there will be an opportunity to make money again in Jamba, but now is not the time. There were two opportunities, one was a long term ride that continuously moved forward as he compounded and grew the company. The second one which is coming, is him bringing it close to a similar but controllable state of the despair it was before, but this time BOD sells before it is too late.

  • cheating_stock_invester by cheating_stock_invester May 13, 2014 6:55 PM Flag

    Something is not right, look at their old PDF, this should have been 1000 by end of 2013. What happened to the target stores? Something doesn't add up, promises are starting to get broken. I just stopped by to see what happened to JMBA, White is out of his league here, very little room to play with, cash down from $30+mm to $25mm that cash high watermark will not be met anymore since their profitability will not reach the point where their capex on store upgrades will be less than the cash they generate.

    White is wasting time and money of shareholders, there is much better places to park your money now such as DE or even FF.

  • cheating_stock_invester cheating_stock_invester May 5, 2014 4:10 PM Flag

    the 30k shipments were for all countries, and not just TEVA. I guess I was wrong on this, grupo is lagging on their sales.

  • cheating_stock_invester cheating_stock_invester May 1, 2014 12:59 PM Flag

    if there are other stocks that will go up a lot faster than alxa, why wouldn't you buy them. experiencing returns at a faster rate is what helps you build and compound your portfolio in a swifter shorter timeframe.

    having a disclosure such as what you mentioned is somewhat contradictory to investing or even to your own assertions; doesn't really help anyone make a sound decision, because you're basically saying take a chance and sit on it, you may get lucky or you may not. either an investment is good based on its surety as a value proposition or it is pure speculation.

    my fear with most of your comments as I've been very straight forward with you in the past is that you tell us all the good things, but at the same time don't give enough meat (i'm not talking about all those updates you give which are public info if you do google searches) to back up your optimism in telling people they should buy ALXA stock and ALXA stock will be good but fall short of trying to convince them by saying do it at your own will. It makes me feel like a preacher saying believe in this religion because there's no harm in believing it, and if they're right and you listened you will have a good afterlife.

    You might as well tell us you had a divine intervention from God or a spiritual being to start getting believers. The lack of this direct line knowledge to whether Adasuve and alexza will be successful is as good as someone telling me certain things and then tell me but it's my decision. They might as well say nothing and let me decide. That's why I just keep asking you, why do you post all these positive things, and at the end free yourself of the accountability that either you are trying to convince people it is a good investment but rid yourself of the guilt or the reasons someone loses money down the road.

    You may not realize it but that's the reason why some here accuse you of being a paid pumper.

  • cheating_stock_invester by cheating_stock_invester May 1, 2014 12:11 PM Flag

    we have shipments of Adasuve increasing, but expenses will probably increase. You have two new guys at senior exec level on manufacturing and ops, compensation will go higher as always, but will shipments number increase enough to merit those increases? This is surely a tug of war and that's why the stock price is showing some are starting to move to other areas before the last person let's go of the rope on the long end. My thoughts are I should wait because I've pretty much held on to the last thread.

  • cheating_stock_invester cheating_stock_invester May 1, 2014 12:08 PM Flag

    have you still been buying shares of ALXA?

  • cheating_stock_invester cheating_stock_invester May 1, 2014 11:58 AM Flag

    half way there today up 5% sold half and got few more shares of ALXA.

  • cheating_stock_invester cheating_stock_invester Apr 30, 2014 9:23 PM Flag

    while we're waiting until earnings check out ITT also. good for $50.

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