This is really ugly... I feel bad for Rational. He was negative for over a year then got sucked in. Surprising for a smart guy. Where is Bioguy? He blasted me and I have been nothing but right. That said, I am long just a little here at 3.40 and looking for another capitulation down day, maybe sub 3 to get long......
I have been saying this for about a year. Direct, the idea that you can evade or penetrate the immunosuppressive tumor environment with a simple intra tumoral injection of a prematured DC is just silly. AF is simply stating the obvious: PD 1 highlighted what is needed in this therapy and also highlighted why dendritic cell immunotherapy ON ITS OWN is ineffective. Now I understand the difference between IMUC and NWBO but the MOA is basically the same. This doesn't mean that brain is destined to fail. I would give it a slightly better than 50% chance of showing some clinical significance. But DIRECT is a absolute waste of time and money. This why I have been bashing the stock. The company could have done a simple phase I study for direct with say 15 patients, single site etc. But no, they had to break the bank to fill the ego of Linda who needed to say, multiple chances to win as if this was a game of roulette. Now you know why nobody cares about Direct. It is just a drag on resources. It is a liability. It was such a stupid move. The company could have just plowed along with the Brain trial or as I said do a small single site study. Anyway, Rational is getting murdered and I am afraid this is what happens when you think you know more than the market.
I think a little news and bang... I will be out at 4.20
Long at 3.38- 3.40
You now the fool of all the fools... You responded to my negative post on IMUC just 3 days ago! I said that YU blowing out of this shares did not bode well. But I have had enough of you Austin and your incessant #$%$. You are so full of it. It truly warms my heart that you have been battered in this pos. Buy more dummy. Get a home equity loan on your trailer and double up.
I don't want to gloat. I feel bad. This is your hard earned money. But I have to say I have been warning and waring incessantly. Yes, i was short but why wouldn't I be? I knew the science was junk. DCVax Direct makes absolutely NO sense. Time will demonstrate this. It is just something for NWBO mgmt to put on their resume. Brain I think does have a chance but a very small one. The data was cherry picked from the Phase I. I also thought this. But I will get a thumbs down and the morons who pump this will tell you now is the time to buy. The time to buy for a trade is 3.10 with a tight stop at 3 bucks. There are essentially no catalysts unless you think NWBO finally having an updated website is something to celebrate. The only catalyst is a technical one. It might come tomorrow. A wash out day, perhaps a break of 3.10 in some panic on 2 million shares and then you can buy for a bounce and short covering. But as an investment, over and over again you think you guys would simply say, nice call. But you all live in a bubble. Rational, what were you thinking?!!!!
No I think it drifts lower. Read latest post! Why would NWBO go higher when the method of action is now legitimately called into question? Don't be silly. Stop with the delusions. Don't lose your shift. That said, like I asserted, maybe 3.20. But I made a nice profit on the trade. It does not mean I think it goes higher.
I like Rational but there is something called confirmation bias and you people suffer from it. Look I covered in AH so I really don't care. But this IS NOT GOOD NEWS. My goodness look at the stock price of IMUC! Please stop being so delusional. IT IS NOT GOOD NEWS. First, for IMUC there was no clinical benefit on OS which was the endpoint. As for PFS it was 2 months. ICT and DCVax Brain essentially attempt to do the same thing. ICT makes a synthetic antigen found in 50% of the GBM tumors while NWBO takes the actual antigen from the patient. The fact that it DID NOT work for IMUC means the chances are it does not work for NWBO. Moreover, it supports the supposition shorts have made all along that the phase I patients were cherry picked and that is why they got the results they did. In fact is it any surprise that those that pass the 5 and 10 year mark are men in their 30s! STOP with the delusion!!! Now I am the best trader you fools will ever see. So does this mean there is not a trade somewhere? Of course there is. But the trade is not here. You now have tax loss selling that will take over both stocks. IMUC should trade to a buck as they have about .55 cents in cash and they will spin the data. There I would take a shot. NWBO I think has support at 3.20
rational the problem is there was no clinical significance for OS from ICT. I would take a shot as a trade on IMUC at a .85 cents....
You will see.....This therapy does not work. But whatever... I am out of my short. Good luck
This is really not that hard....
I love this stock!!!
For all you short... well done... I like to congratulate myself calling IMUC utter junk just yesterday. Follow the money. Immunotherapy is the great hype.....
This company has just burned so many people
Happy holidays to you. Perhaps we have both made money on NWBO. Not bad. Anyway, I have always said I think Brain has a chance. We won't really know anything for some time. I would go long NWBO and reverse positions on a capitulation down day. Perhaps 2 million shares and a break down to 3.80. Anyway, good luck
So they broke the trend of lower and lower secondary pricing. But the trend of blowing out the stock remains in place. Don't tell me about institutional ownership. Who do you think is selling? The deal was at 4.80. If they liked it at 4.80 why not love it at 4 bucks! They did not take this as an investment. It is a trade. And it is not an investment because there is no faith in the company.
I honestly don't understand people like you. You think that what, you heard Linda first and after the "institutions" get around to listening to the webcast they will start buying? Who do you think was in the audience? Who do you think was selling all day? What did Linda say? You know it's sad when Linda asks attendees to read a Seeking Alpha article. Moreover, the author of that article who has been the one bull spokesperson expressly states omits any comment on the validity of the technology. Strange, n'est ce pas that Larry never has once endorsed DCVAX Direct? He knows it's just a ruse, a distraction. From mice to men. And you all herald the new world of immunotherapy but none of you mention the failures a la Vical, or AGEN or the countless others. Do some more research and you'll understand why the stock is where it is. Don't bet the farm my friend.
Remember when Sabby Mgmt reported a passive 10% stake, they are gone. And something tells me Venture Capital will be gone too next quarter. I think they just got so tired of selling stock at progressively lower prices they got the Fox New Channel to do a little pump for them. The stock ripped and voila they sold stock. Good for them bad for the retail guys who followed. Now the institution blows out the stock and where is Oppenheimer? Talk about a squid pro quo! Oppenheimer gives them the coverage in exchange for the fees and the losers are those that listen to this junk analysis. The deal was done at what 4.80 and now it's hanging on to 4 by a thread and the drop is so fast. They just can't get out fast enough as if they know this is if not a scam an untenable position to hold. Notwithstanding all of this, I do think Brain has a chance. I think results won't be known for over a year though so another raise will come. I also don't think any news on Direct will be meaningful. Yes we know it is safe as all immunotherapy is the question is does it work. Months ago people were insisting that as tumor regression was the endpoint and as the study was unblinded results would be known by the fall. Well we are now in the winter and nothing is said of the results. What does this tell you?
As I trader I like the short side here. I have done well shorting the stock. It is the path of least resistance. I think it goes to the 50 day which I think is 3.88. I would cover there but I could see a capitulation down day coming taking it to 3.50.