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Johnson & Johnson Message Board

chickenguy_nc 73 posts  |  Last Activity: Sep 11, 2014 1:59 PM Member since: Oct 5, 1999
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  • chickenguy_nc chickenguy_nc Sep 11, 2014 1:59 PM Flag

    I took some of the RF money off the table about 5 months ago at $11.25. Moved into NUV, good tax-free yield, well managed fund. Looking at the 2-year RF chart, it's clear to me that it's reached a plateau price. It's going to stay around $10.25 until something major happens. There's just no reason to buy it, and the yield is just high enough that I have no reason to sell more. There are lots of more attractive investments out there.

  • chickenguy_nc by chickenguy_nc Sep 10, 2014 1:25 PM Flag

    According to The Street: "NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- Shares of Regions Financial (RF_) were up 2.21% to $10.17 in afternoon trading Wednesday after the bank introduced a new program to help first time home buyers." Wow. What a concept. A bank, which makes money by lending money, starts a program to make it easier for people to borrow money from it. It actually encourages customers to use its services. And its shares pop up 2.5%. Kind of makes me wonder why they waited so long to actually conduct business.

  • Reply to

    Blue cross blue shield al problems

    by mightysure Sep 5, 2014 11:02 PM
    chickenguy_nc chickenguy_nc Sep 10, 2014 9:46 AM Flag

    My goodness, now one of your other personalities is posting on the board. I'm glad you - all of those yous jumping around in your head - have found such an effective way to address your problem. Posting on the RF message board will certainly get the attention of those in power in Alabama - the internet does work there, right? And logically crafted, calmly understated arguments such as you present will certainly carry great weight. Keep up the good work, you've found the perfect place to bring about change in the governance of a southern state. Now take your meds and get some rest. You have a big day ahead tomorrow.

  • Reply to

    Blue cross blue shield al problems

    by mightysure Sep 5, 2014 11:02 PM
    chickenguy_nc chickenguy_nc Sep 9, 2014 10:38 AM Flag

    And by the way, just for the record, this is the Regions Financial board, not the State of Alabama board or the BCBSAL board. Maybe you can find a blog site for your anti-BCBS rants.

  • Reply to

    Blue cross blue shield al problems

    by mightysure Sep 5, 2014 11:02 PM
    chickenguy_nc chickenguy_nc Sep 9, 2014 9:54 AM Flag

    Sounds like BCBSAL cut off your supply of whatever mood-calming medication you were on. And just so you'll know, "whom" is used as the object of a verb or preposition, when you need a subject for your rants, the correct word is "who." As in "WHO pays the least taxes" and "WHO is the most powerful." Try that and see if it makes you sound a bit less loony. Oh, and I don't know the answers to your questions. Were you, by any chance, fired by BCBSAL for a drugs-related problem?

  • Reply to

    PFE Unwise To Seek Inversion

    by snugly60031 Sep 8, 2014 4:39 PM
    chickenguy_nc chickenguy_nc Sep 8, 2014 5:30 PM Flag

    Seems like punishment would have to be for going through with inversion. Going through with inversion means company is no longer a US-based company. US government would have a problem punishing a non-US company, with no jurisdiction. An old cartoon that used to hang in my office said: "Floggings will continue until morale improves." Seems like reducing US corporate tax rates - especially on earnings from outside the US - would be a better approach to stemming the inversion movement, rather than punitive measures passed by bloviating politicians.

  • chickenguy_nc chickenguy_nc Aug 23, 2014 9:58 AM Flag

    Analysts? No, I certainly don't trust professional analysts. I make ALL my investment decisions based on advice posted on message boards by shorts and pumpers. Look, I'm happy that you're happy, so just keep on with whatever it is you're trying to do. I'm putting you on IGNORE now, so you won't get any more responses from me. Good luck with GSK.

  • chickenguy_nc chickenguy_nc Aug 22, 2014 3:22 PM Flag

    Good post, wooglin

  • chickenguy_nc chickenguy_nc Aug 21, 2014 10:29 AM Flag

    Is your Strong Buy sentiment for JNJ or for GSK? Do you know what board you're posting on? I'm glad you found a GSK booster rave to cut and paste, but of the six analysts I follow, five have GSK as a HOLD. Don't know who you think are shorts in this thread, but you'd have to be a fool to short GSK at its current level. And while I'm overjoyed that you've found a stock to love, I'm still going to keep my JNJ for another couple of decades.

  • chickenguy_nc chickenguy_nc Aug 20, 2014 12:39 PM Flag

    How short are you? Maybe you and our resident mba should have a debate - in my IGNORE box. Short seller versus buying opportunity pumper. Fascinating stuff.

  • chickenguy_nc chickenguy_nc Aug 19, 2014 1:40 PM Flag

    If you're investing for long term income, not a bad choice. But, GSK earnings are forecast to decline or remain flat for several years. And the dividend payout ratio has risen sharply to 86%, which makes it unlikely that there will be any significant increases in the dividend for coming years. There's a chance for a takeover by PFE, so you might have a chance for a premium bonus. I worked at GSK for years, never wanted to own the stock, cashed in options the day they vested. Good luck with your switch, but as a very long term investor, I would much rather hold JNJ than GSK.

  • Reply to

    $75 by yr end after 2-1 split in the fall.

    by coke_11706 Aug 9, 2014 1:22 PM
    chickenguy_nc chickenguy_nc Aug 18, 2014 2:26 PM Flag

    And I just realized my math error. That's a 50% increase you're predicting - in a few months. And of course, along with it, a 50% increase in the P/E, from an already borderline high of 20 to a ridiculously high level of 30. Despite the math error, it still took 12 years to get from $50 to $75 after the last split, which is a 4% annual price increase. About what you can expect from a major pharma.

  • Reply to

    $75 by yr end after 2-1 split in the fall.

    by coke_11706 Aug 9, 2014 1:22 PM
    chickenguy_nc chickenguy_nc Aug 18, 2014 9:06 AM Flag

    That's just silly wishful thinking. After the 2001 split from $110 to $55, it took 12 YEARS for the stock price to increase by 25%. You're predicting it will do that in a few months? Put me on the side of the doubters.

  • If you don't believe what I've been posting, read what Motley Fool has to say about the five key quotes in the conference call. Either a major acquisition or company breakup. Got to happen.

  • chickenguy_nc by chickenguy_nc Aug 11, 2014 4:52 PM Flag

    Correct me if I'm wrong, but there seems to be a lot of misunderstanding in some of the posts. KMI is NOT a limited partnership, and was NEVER a limited partnership. KMI pays out dividends, not distributions. There is no problem with holding KMI in an IRA. If you hold it outside an IRA, when you sell it there is no complex tax form to fill out - you just report a capital gain or loss based on purchase and sale prices. The limited partnerships that were part of the KMI operation, and which could be held separately from KMI, will cease to exist. KMI will operate as a standard corporation, continuing to pay dividends, at a very nice rate. Am I wrong about any of this?

  • Reply to

    What is the catalyst to move this stock higher

    by scjohnson4047 Aug 11, 2014 10:24 AM
    chickenguy_nc chickenguy_nc Aug 11, 2014 1:41 PM Flag

    When PFE management starts listening to all the geniuses posting on this board and doing everything they suggest - guarantee that will do it. Heck, maybe PFE should just let the Yahoo message board posters run the company. We obviously know much more about how to run a major pharma than they do.

  • Reply to

    patriotforfreedom on IGNORE

    by chickenguy_nc Aug 5, 2014 4:58 PM
    chickenguy_nc chickenguy_nc Aug 11, 2014 9:22 AM Flag

    On the contrary, we can absolutely throw him out. That's what the IGNORE feature does. Each time I log in, his latest post appears for just the briefest of moments, and I watch it disappear, banished to the faded list of IGNORED posts on the bottom of the page. Take back the message boards. Use the IGNORE feature.

  • chickenguy_nc chickenguy_nc Aug 9, 2014 2:49 PM Flag

    Companies don't do acquisitions with the goal of increasing market cap. They do them to increase earnings. After most acquisitions, much of what is acquired is sold off. Many of the best performers have used acquisition for decades. Look at JNJ, the best example in the pharma sector. History proves exactly the opposite of what you claim - acquisition and consolidation is a natural phenomenon, and those processes have created the vast shareholder wealth we now share in. "Turning R&D around" is a re-organization myth, consisting of rearranging the chairs and giving the therapeutic areas new names. PFE is simply too big to grow adequately on organic, in-house efforts alone. It must make a major acquisition.

  • chickenguy_nc chickenguy_nc Aug 9, 2014 2:44 PM Flag

    My goodness, you're really the pugnacious little twit, aren't you. I should "shut-up with my fear mongering!!!" Unless PFE is able to complete a major acquisition to expand its product lines, it will be unable to show adequate growth in earnings. Major corrections take all stocks down, for an extended period, and we are due for a major correction based on historical market performance norms. An alternative scenario is for PFE to complete the three-way breakup of the company that it has already prepared for, loading one of the three with devastating amounts of debt. If that's fear mongering, so be it. NO, YOU SHUT UP. Wow, they shouldn't let children post on the board.

  • chickenguy_nc chickenguy_nc Aug 9, 2014 9:38 AM Flag

    PFE stock price is not a key factor in an acquisition. The lower market cap of GSK will make the financing easier, and a lower acquisition price means sooner accrual to the PFE bottom line. GSK has lots of parts that can be divested to offset the purchase price. It would be a good fit for PFE in many areas.

JNJ
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