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Johnson & Johnson Message Board

chickenguy_nc 37 posts  |  Last Activity: Aug 3, 2015 9:23 AM Member since: Oct 5, 1999
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  • Reply to

    Why Insiders are selling?

    by x_bloody_demons_x Aug 2, 2015 4:53 PM
    chickenguy_nc chickenguy_nc Aug 3, 2015 9:23 AM Flag

    Gosh, what an honor. A brand new name, first ever post, and it sounds like a short coming to frighten the board. Just ignore and move on, nothing to see here.

  • Reply to


    by dear_earth Jul 28, 2015 2:43 PM
    chickenguy_nc chickenguy_nc Jul 29, 2015 2:27 PM Flag

    What's your point? Do a comparison plot of BNS with USO. For pretty much any time period over the past five years, the movement is parallel. USO has fallen more than BNS, but of course Canadian bank stocks track oil. They've invested hugely in Canadian oil reserve development. So, again, what's your point?

  • Reply to

    3 way split of company

    by bam_whop Jul 20, 2015 9:05 PM
    chickenguy_nc chickenguy_nc Jul 27, 2015 12:02 PM Flag

    Are you sure he was talking about JNJ? Pfeizer has been setting itself up to divide into three companies for a couple of years, and analysts think it will benefit shareholders. But JNJ has a long and successful history of acquiring companies as "bolt-ons," in that they retain their individual identities. I don't see any way that JNJ could divide successfully. Hope they never try.

  • Reply to


    by ochsnerbier Jul 22, 2015 3:06 PM
    chickenguy_nc chickenguy_nc Jul 22, 2015 10:24 PM Flag

    On behalf of all the longs, thanks for your help.

  • Reply to

    Nasty pre-earnings drop

    by chickenguy_nc Jul 17, 2015 2:31 PM
    chickenguy_nc chickenguy_nc Jul 21, 2015 10:55 AM Flag

    You might want to reconsider your analysis. Sales by "people with inside information" near the date of the earnings announcements are closely scrutinized.

  • chickenguy_nc by chickenguy_nc Jul 19, 2015 11:35 AM Flag

    joco, your response showed up in my Yahoo mailbox under Daily Activity, but not on this message board. Think it was because you included a link to the CMA article, and Yahoo boards delete posts with links. And because it was a link to WSJ, and I'm not a subscriber, I couldn't read it there. But, found it elsewhere and agree with you, could be a sympathy drop. I think large bank earnings are still very fragile, and small misses are going to trigger strong negative results.

  • chickenguy_nc by chickenguy_nc Jul 17, 2015 2:31 PM Flag

    Maybe some information leaked regarding earnings? Or maybe just some short-term profits being taken. On the upside, it's been a long time since RF could drop $0.29 and still be above $10.

  • Reply to

    RF will catch up with C, JPM , bac, bcs

    by topinvestgun1 Jul 16, 2015 10:53 PM
    chickenguy_nc chickenguy_nc Jul 17, 2015 9:29 AM Flag

    Looks like Wart got himself a new name.

  • Reply to

    When is the next Div Increase

    by help.jakstat Jul 3, 2015 7:43 PM
    chickenguy_nc chickenguy_nc Jul 13, 2015 12:09 PM Flag

    I asked if you are short because your post sounded like it came from someone short. The dividend has been increased in the two last quarters, for almost a 25% increase- huge. But you imply that another increase is needed to justify holding. You refer to a mountain of debt and high risk - neither is the case, but someone who doesn't check facts might conclude from your post that ABBV price is way too high. It isn't. That's why you sound like a short. Your approach is more complicated than mine. I buy to hold, look for a track record of increasing dividends, and only sell if the company loses focus.

  • chickenguy_nc chickenguy_nc Jul 10, 2015 4:26 PM Flag

    George, they always ask you to decide before the court decision. After the decision, it would be too easy to make up your mind. I tossed my copy of the letter. With 500 shares, I can't imagine you'd get enough to make it worth your time responding. And, you're right, the lawyers are the only ones who really seem to benefit from these lawsuits. Being closer doesn't really help, we're not getting any information here that you aren't getting there - wherever there might be.

  • Reply to

    When is the next Div Increase

    by help.jakstat Jul 3, 2015 7:43 PM
    chickenguy_nc chickenguy_nc Jul 10, 2015 4:21 PM Flag

    No, you aren't working with a complete understanding of the situation. The current P/E reflects the $1.64B breakup fee paid to Shire. If you look at key statistics, you'll see that the forward P/E, which will not be affected by that fee, is only 13.6, very reasonable. The next increase will come 1 year after the last one. Are you holding a short position?

  • chickenguy_nc by chickenguy_nc Jul 10, 2015 1:30 PM Flag

    Most of the research groups are rating RF a firm HOLD. But S&P has raised its rating to BUY, based on a forecast of markedly higher revenues in 2016, with a 12-month target price of $12. I guess it's not impossible. Where's Wart when we need a cheerleader?

  • chickenguy_nc by chickenguy_nc Jul 8, 2015 10:57 AM Flag

    Check the article with headline about China banning stock sales by major shareholders for six months. And ordering government entities to buy more shares. Trying to "stabilize" falling market. Wonder how that's going to work out. What's RF's exposure to this?

  • Reply to

    Jobs Report Blues

    by ochsnerbier Jul 2, 2015 11:11 AM
    chickenguy_nc chickenguy_nc Jul 2, 2015 10:58 PM Flag

    The market keeps pricing in the expected good news, and when it doesn't come true, bumps back down. Just look at it as more buying opportunities. And more. And more.

  • chickenguy_nc by chickenguy_nc Jun 28, 2015 9:07 AM Flag

    I have no idea what will happen after (not if, but after) Greece departs the EU. As we saw in the last global financial collapse, the tightness with which the world's financial carpet is woven means that there is really no place to hide. I don't think that the Greek default and departure has been priced into the markets. Guess we'll find out in coming weeks. Maybe I'll follow shaggy's model and just go to a faraway beach with no way to keep up with the news. Hang on and good luck.

  • Reply to


    by habitsowner Jun 18, 2015 9:44 PM
    chickenguy_nc chickenguy_nc Jun 26, 2015 10:32 PM Flag

    " I've not yet held a decent company, and JNJ classifies as that, that hasn't gone right back up to the pre-split price" JNJ last split in 2001, at a presplit price of $100, and it took 13 YEARS for it to get back to that price. You seem to lack some experience in the area.

  • chickenguy_nc by chickenguy_nc Jun 23, 2015 3:35 PM Flag

    Based on price increase over recent days, there must be optimism on buyer's part about the upcoming earnings report. Anybody want to hazard a guess?

  • Reply to

    Withholding Tax

    by dick796 May 30, 2015 4:25 PM
    chickenguy_nc chickenguy_nc Jun 22, 2015 11:51 AM Flag

    Yes. I don't think it's a good choice for an IRA, for that reason. I don't think there's any way to recover that withholding.

  • Reply to

    Canadian Tax?

    by meyering Jun 12, 2015 9:58 PM
    chickenguy_nc chickenguy_nc Jun 22, 2015 8:11 AM Flag

    Yes, Canadian tax will be withheld from RY dividends. But it's a wash, because the withholding counts against your US taxes. You don't have to file a Canadian return. Are the "UK" stocks you own actually American Depositary Shares? I think that the UK does the same as Canada if you own UK shares directly.

  • Reply to

    Greece? Who knew?

    by chickenguy_nc Jun 15, 2015 12:02 PM
    chickenguy_nc chickenguy_nc Jun 18, 2015 4:25 PM Flag

    No problem, with so many typing on mini-keyboards with just their thumbs, typos have become the new normal. No, I've done a lot of freshwater fishing, no salt water. Grew up in WVA where salt water is in short supply. The failure of society to take advantage of boards like these to engage in civil discourse is a sorry commentary on human nature. Grump, grump.

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