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The Buckle, Inc. Message Board

chrishasty_1982 1144 posts  |  Last Activity: Apr 15, 2014 1:41 PM Member since: Sep 15, 2009
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  • chrishasty_1982 chrishasty_1982 Apr 15, 2014 1:41 PM Flag

    They book for more than the current share price, but not drastically higher. The only value in MSN is buying below working capital which would be around the current trading price. I really, doubt VOXX is interested, despite their past record of acquisitions.

  • Reply to

    one of these day, very soon....

    by donalhump Mar 27, 2014 11:15 AM
    chrishasty_1982 chrishasty_1982 Apr 4, 2014 12:32 PM Flag

    I'd get out before summer on any bounce. Things aren't going to get better any time soon here. I'd say this summer will not be a nice time to be long FRGI.

  • Reply to

    At both krogers near me in organic section

    by redd2002 Aug 3, 2013 10:40 PM
    chrishasty_1982 chrishasty_1982 Aug 4, 2013 1:55 AM Flag

    Thanks, I'll check again next week. FOXA may have some legs still, but it could be bought cheaper IMO. I think there's a clear and present possibility that Marley Coffee could outperform Fox by a large percentage when you are talking a 1+ year timeframe like he said he would hold.

  • chrishasty_1982 chrishasty_1982 Jul 31, 2013 2:09 PM Flag

    If the price goes significantly higher during the calculation period, they could end up paying MORE than 50 cents too.

    Ironridge has a good likelihood of receiving a discount, but the paper gains would be gone in the blink of an eye if they tried to dump millions of shares. "Bigger fool" investing doesn't work when you own large percentages of an entire corporation. They would clearly have to believe in the real prospects of success for Marley Coffee because they know they couldn't be "the last one out the door" with that many shares if the doo-doo hit the fan. Ironridge already stated more than a 5% ownership stake and received approval from Marley Coffee prior to the latest deal.

  • chrishasty_1982 chrishasty_1982 May 21, 2013 12:09 AM Flag

    I'll short it just for fun. Management probably didn't break down comps and show the Pie 5 same store sales because they probably sucked! I'll laugh about that one all the way to the bank jsteveblow730.

  • Reply to

    Plateau

    by grazmorinc Mar 13, 2013 7:01 PM
    chrishasty_1982 chrishasty_1982 Mar 14, 2013 5:37 PM Flag

    Looks like the charts were wrong. This has broken out to the up-side.

    Sentiment: Buy

  • Reply to

    Strong Auto sales announced today

    by compound30 Dec 3, 2012 9:05 AM
    chrishasty_1982 chrishasty_1982 Dec 5, 2012 6:06 PM Flag

    It should help the OEM side of things for sure. I think if more people actually knew the brands owned by Voxx it would help out. There is plenty "share of mind" with some of their brands.

  • chrishasty_1982 by chrishasty_1982 Nov 28, 2012 11:21 AM Flag

    Hey, nobody's posted on here in forever. Just wondering if you all decided to fold on GFED?

  • Reply to

    Earnings Ruining my Weekend!

    by workallday997 Oct 19, 2012 9:55 PM
    chrishasty_1982 chrishasty_1982 Oct 24, 2012 11:51 AM Flag

    The mathematics aren't too difficult. They will almost certainly lose 7M on the fraud loan, which is about $2.60 per-share on just ONE loan, not to mention other large problem loans they've made. How long will it take GFED to earn $2.6 per-share? One, Two, Three years? I don't have an answer for that, but by the time they pay that off, they'll be facing the rate hike on their TARP loan most likely, so that's another issue to work through.

    The fraud loan was so questionable it makes me wonder weather there was criminal involvement by the originator of the loan. (I'm probably just sounding like a conspiracy theory nut job right now, lol) Would YOU have put double-digit percentages of the bank's equity on the line for a shaky loan with NO DEED OF TRUST? Nobody with a brain would have done that. Whoever approved that loan is either incompetent or on the take IMO.

  • Reply to

    Earnings Ruining my Weekend!

    by workallday997 Oct 19, 2012 9:55 PM
    chrishasty_1982 chrishasty_1982 Oct 23, 2012 11:59 AM Flag

    I'll be honest, I sold almost every share I had over the last 3 months. I bought a lot of them in the mid $4 range in late 2009. You could probably hear the negative tone in most of my posts since the last quarterly report. I could see the writing on the wall after hearing Q2 results. Any sane person would have realized that those loans were so big and so shaky that there was virtually no circumstance where GFED wouldn't lose at least a years worth of income in a best case scenario. I don't even want to discuss the implications of a worst case scenario here.

    On top of that, they were facing tough comps, so trailing earnings will go from good-looking to terrible. Last quarter was the last chance to get out in my opinion, so I did.

    I think the only silver lining is that insiders have so much skin in the game that they can't afford to dillute, but it could take YEARS to recover from Mr. Burke's mistakes.

    Mr. Burke needs to go... period. That is the only circumstance that I would be a buyer here again.

  • Reply to

    preffered stock sale

    by workallday997 Aug 21, 2012 11:48 AM
    chrishasty_1982 chrishasty_1982 Aug 24, 2012 2:25 PM Flag

    The potential buyers probably looked at the Q2 report.

  • Reply to

    voxx upgraded at research team

    by chrishasty_1982 Aug 21, 2012 1:36 PM
    chrishasty_1982 chrishasty_1982 Aug 22, 2012 10:59 AM Flag

    I apologize, it was Market Edge. Not really big news. It would be nice to see a positive catalyst, but that will probably have to be a good quarterly report.

  • chrishasty_1982 by chrishasty_1982 Aug 21, 2012 1:36 PM Flag

    Research team upgraded VOXX to "neutral" on the 17th of August. It's not a major analyst, but voxx will take what it can get these days.

  • Reply to

    $ 1.50 a reality ???

    by huckfinn56 Aug 14, 2012 10:41 AM
    chrishasty_1982 chrishasty_1982 Aug 14, 2012 3:10 PM Flag

    That's a possibility, but I'm thinking that with gas back over $4 per gallon in some states that demand (and the stock market) will begin to drop. It's shown to be true repeatedly. When gas goes over 4 bucks, the economy begins grinding to a halt.

  • Reply to

    $ 1.50 a reality ???

    by huckfinn56 Aug 14, 2012 10:41 AM
    chrishasty_1982 chrishasty_1982 Aug 14, 2012 2:48 PM Flag

    I feel the major problem is that the market is really high right now and when the major indexes begin to fall it will put more downward pressure on AXAS. I know it's not right and it's irrational, but that's just how things usually play out for these little guys.

  • Reply to

    Ford price action

    by wisemans123 Aug 13, 2012 11:49 AM
    chrishasty_1982 chrishasty_1982 Aug 13, 2012 12:50 PM Flag

    It's refreshing to hear a relevant thread on here! lol

    I think you are correct that Ford will meet or probably exceed expectations for earnings in the second half. Hopefully the market will reward a higher share price for that, but it's hard to say.

    I believe Ford has the product lineup, vision, and reputation to succeed going forward. Their new engines are great and their styling is much more fashionable than their domestic competition. Profitability is good and they are addressing weak demand in Europe.

    I think Ford is a winner eventually.

  • chrishasty_1982 by chrishasty_1982 Aug 10, 2012 1:22 AM Flag

    Asian markets are showing weakness as China has reported further deterioation in it's export market. Hopefully this doesn't cause much of a "correction" from yesterday's gains (which were fantastic!)

    BTU get's about 1/2 of it's earnings sales to Asian markets, so hopefully things show some improvement there soon.

    http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-08-10/china-july-exports-rise-1-vs-economists-estimate-for-8-.html

  • Reply to

    Moving lower on BIG volume here.

    by chrishasty_1982 Jul 31, 2012 4:23 PM
    chrishasty_1982 chrishasty_1982 Aug 8, 2012 5:09 PM Flag

    No, it's not me, but I'm not adding any either until they prove they will get their act together. My cost basis is still significantly lower than the current range.

    I have done well recently in some other things, and to be honest, I think GFED could be dead money for quite some time due to their problem loans. I hate to say it, but I think even if a person were selling some shares it's not likely the price will "get away from you" any time soon if you wanted to buy back in.

    I could be wrong though in the case of a buy out, but anybody looking at this would know their problems from last quarter will reverberate for quite some time if the losses on those loans are as bad as I think they could be.

    I hope I'm wrong and things go fantastically going forward, but I think these issues will need to be addressed before I'm convinced to buy any more. (Read... this will do great.. next year)

  • Reply to

    SSS down 2.5%

    by wobatus Jul 5, 2012 8:33 AM
    chrishasty_1982 chrishasty_1982 Aug 7, 2012 5:11 PM Flag

    I haven't sold any shares. This has the potential to drop if earnings aren't up to snuff though. I wouldn't be surprised to see this get down around that 33$ price range that has been mentioned by analysts, but I wouldn't expect to see it for long.

  • chrishasty_1982 by chrishasty_1982 Jul 31, 2012 4:23 PM Flag

    Looks like GFED is moving lower with lots of volume. That doesn't bode well usually.

    CLBH looks promising (as buffet and sam were discussing)

    Anyone here scaling their share count back with GFED out of curiosity?

BKE
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