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American Capital Agency Corp. Message Board

chuck37chuck 31 posts  |  Last Activity: Oct 17, 2014 4:03 PM Member since: Jun 21, 2011
  • SDRL Stock UP by 1.34 and then later DOWN by .34. All Day Traders are conditioned right now to buy SDRL in the morning and then sell any Pop in the Stock. But this pattern usually lasts less than a Month in any Stock before it runs out of steam. The bottom line is that SDRL is continuing its long slow steady climb back from the depths. Today it still closed in the Green.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    That was some horse race!

    by handmadeclothes2004 Oct 15, 2014 4:15 PM
    chuck37chuck chuck37chuck Oct 15, 2014 4:29 PM Flag

    Its obvious that the bottom for SDRL is around 22. Insightful Investors who buy now will
    be drinking Margaritas on a Caribbean Beach in 2020.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • chuck37chuck chuck37chuck Oct 15, 2014 3:15 PM Flag

    If they cut the Dividend in 2016 or 2017 it will still be a great Dividend and the
    Balance Sheet will be much more on the Positive Side. Basically, if you're
    holding onto SDRL until 2020 or even 2030 - who cares what the price is in
    2014. Strong Buy now my friends.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • chuck37chuck by chuck37chuck Oct 15, 2014 2:56 AM Flag

    SeaDrill is set to report its third quarter earnings on November 28 with analysts expecting earnings of 69 cents per share on revenue of $1.2 billion.

    TheStreet Ratings team rates SEADRILL LTD as a Buy with a ratings score of B-. TheStreet Ratings Team has this to say about their recommendation:

    "We rate SEADRILL LTD (SDRL) a BUY. This is driven by a few notable strengths, which we believe should have a greater impact than any weaknesses, and should give investors a better performance opportunity than most stocks we cover. The company's strengths can be seen in multiple areas, such as its notable return on equity and expanding profit margins. We feel these strengths outweigh the fact that the company has had sub par growth in net income."

    If you can read between the Lines - SDRL has genuine Revenue of about 5 Billion Dollars a Year. They are making a great Profit. but because of sub-par-growth (GROWTH) their Stock Price has been hit.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • chuck37chuck by chuck37chuck Oct 15, 2014 2:46 AM Flag

    http://www.cnbc.com/id/102084506

    Oil demand to 'rise tentatively' in 2015: IEA
    "Oil prices might have taken a tumble over the summer but demand is set to make a modest recovery in 2015 as the global economy improves, says the International Energy Agency (IEA)."
    "
    Oil prices have seen dramatic declines in the last few months, with the price for Brent crude hitting a two-year low of $88.55 a barrel this week, on the back of an abundant supply and slowing orders in the U.S., China and Europe. However, the IEA believes that demand growth "may have touched bottom" and should steadily improve.

    "Projections of oil demand growth for 2014‐15 have been reduced, but growth is still expected to gain momentum. Recent data suggest that may already have started to happen," the IEA said in its monthly report on Tuesday. It added that record‐high refinery throughputs in August and improved margins worldwide suggest demand is perhaps not currently "as dismal as it might appear."

    You will have to read the entire artice. Also of interest: http://www.cnbc.com/id/102075519
    "DON'T PANIC OVER OIL - T.BOONE PICKENS"
    "Let's don't panic here ... that the energy boom is over and everything's gone to pot because I don't think for a minute that's what's going to happen," Pickens said in an interview with CNBC's "Street Signs."

    I would also suggest reading that entire article.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • The bottom has been reached. But in a Volatile Market - Day Traders rule supreme. Whenever SDRL goes up by a large amount, the Day Traders immedietely step in and sell. This may go on for awhile until the volatility cycle loses steam. But long-term (5 Years or more), You're looking at a 40 to 50 dollar Price Range for this Company, maybe more. Even if the Dividend is cut to help manage the debt better, if you buy at todays prices you will be making out like a bandit.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • chuck37chuck chuck37chuck Oct 15, 2014 2:31 AM Flag

    The bottom has been reached. But in a Volatile Market - Day Traders rule supreme. Whenever SDRL goes up by a large amount, the Day Traders immedietely step in and sell. This may go on for awhile until the volatility cycle loses steam. But long-term (5 Years or more), You're looking at a 40 to 50 dollar Price Range for this Company, maybe more. Even if the Dividend is cut to help manage the debt better, if you buy at todays prices you will be making out like a bandit.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • chuck37chuck by chuck37chuck Oct 9, 2014 12:10 AM Flag

    For the last 30 or so days, whenever there was a slight surge in the Stock, many day-traders immedietely sold. Now, whenever SDRL stock just slightly drops - everyone gets back in to buy. How much more of a sign do you need that the bottom was reached last week.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Bottom?

    by jj27713 Oct 1, 2014 10:24 AM
    chuck37chuck chuck37chuck Oct 2, 2014 1:36 AM Flag

    Your assesement is esecially true if you have a Time Horizon to 2020. I plan on holding SDRL to 2050 and passng on my SDRL Shares to my unwashed undeserving Heirs. Inbeween now and 2050 when SDRL will hit 200 Dollars a Shares, I'll be collecing a great Dividend. (Unless Pons & Fleishman were correct and Cold Fusion becomes a reality)

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • chuck37chuck by chuck37chuck Oct 1, 2014 1:55 AM Flag

    From Motely Fool Today, just as I always thought - http://www.fool.com/investing/general/2014/09/30/why-im-buying-more-seadrill-ltd-stock.aspx - too good to be true.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • chuck37chuck by chuck37chuck Sep 26, 2014 6:38 PM Flag

    Excerpts from a Motley Fool Report today on Seadrill:

    "Seadrill has many options available"

    "The corporate structure gives Seadrill many options to raise cash fairly quickly. It can push assets down to subsidiaries, sell shares in subsidiaries on the public market, and it's generating positive cash flow each quarter if you don't include the dividend."

    "As long as dayrates stay high, debt markets remain open, and Seadrill's subsidiaries are able to act as a piggy bank Seadrill should be able to pay all of its bills."

    "Don't forget that its founder and largest shareholder John Fredriksen also just bought about $56 million in the company's stock, increasing an already massive bet on Seadrill. I, for one, think he knows the company has a lot of funding options for the future, and the MLP cookie jar is just one of them that will come in handy if the next few years are rough for the offshore drilling market."

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Certainly Las Vegas Sands is not Seadrill. But I remember that in 2009 LVS
    Shares went down to 1.50 a Share because LVS was Billions in Debt and
    everyone was downgrading anything to do with Las Vegas and Casino's.
    Despite being Billions in Debt, Sheldon Adelson expanded to Maccau and
    LVS Shares eventually reached over 80 Dollars a Share (currently around 61).
    John Fredrikson, despite SDRL being Billions in Debt built new State-Of-The-Art
    Deep Sea Rigs. Apparently the Panic still has to run its course for SDRL. But with
    John Fredriksen at the Helm, SDRL, like LVS is going to come roaring back.
    People have never stopped gambling and they have never stopped useing Oil.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • To those who bought Shares around 28 or 29 you have my congratulations !
    If you can hold onto your Shares to 2020 you will not only collect a Great Dividend
    (even if it is cut) - but you will double your Profit, possibly selling at 60 or 62.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • chuck37chuck by chuck37chuck Sep 22, 2014 5:12 PM Flag

    Bottom is in. The blood letting has stoped. Let the Healing begin.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Safety of dividend

    by typea1949 Sep 19, 2014 6:41 PM
    chuck37chuck chuck37chuck Sep 19, 2014 8:09 PM Flag

    Thank you deadrez for the being the Voice of Reason and putting things in Perspective.
    I added Shares at 30 and woud love to add moe Shares at 25.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • chuck37chuck chuck37chuck Sep 19, 2014 7:54 PM Flag

    All the people who sold on the news of a major Executive leaving know that the news means nothing. But they also know that others will be selling on the news so they have to sell to. To the Day Traders (who compromise over 80 % of all Traders) - its not wether a Company is solid financially, its wether willy-nilly news is going to move the Market. As a long-term Investor I don't worry about even large swings up or down affecting the Share Price. I concentrate on the fundamentals going forward 5 to 10 years. I will be holding onto SDRL through the 2020's.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Safety of dividend

    by typea1949 Sep 19, 2014 6:41 PM
    chuck37chuck chuck37chuck Sep 19, 2014 7:45 PM Flag

    I can't predict the future. I know that SDRL is way oversold at this point
    and that SDRL Executives expect Use of Rigs and Day Rates to be
    back to 'normal' by 2016. SDRL will continue to be a very profitable company
    from now through 2016. My assesement is that even if the Dividend is cut
    to 6, 7 or 8 %, its still a great Dividend. I can't predict anything, but once
    this irritaional panic has subsided, my assesement is that SDRL with its
    new modern fleet will be very profitable through the 2020's. I bought
    SDRL at 43 Dollars a Share but I sleep very well at night since I'm a
    long-term Investor through the 2020's.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Bottom

    by schieboutz Sep 19, 2014 2:47 PM
    chuck37chuck chuck37chuck Sep 19, 2014 4:26 PM Flag

    It should be noted that when GE fell to 7 Dollars a Share in 2009, many
    Pundits were predicting that GE was a Dollar Stock. Now GE is back to
    25 Dollars a Share. "Buy when others are fearful" - Warren buffet.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Seadrill Transcript

    by rogers2308 Sep 19, 2014 4:11 PM
    chuck37chuck chuck37chuck Sep 19, 2014 4:23 PM Flag

    You are right. When GE went down to 7 Dollars a Share in 2009, Bashers were predicting
    that it was a Dollar Stock. Now GE is back to 25 dollars a Share. It may be irrational but
    SDRL has become vastly oversold. But I have at least a Six-Year Horizon to 2020. Maybe
    even 2050 if I have a long-enough retirement.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • SEADRILL LIMITED: STOCK RATING SUMMARY.

    10

    StockScouter

    SEADRILL LIMITED, a large-cap growth company in the energy sector, is expected to significantly outperform the market over the next six months with less than average risk.

    10 is the best possible rating.

    QUICK SUMMARY.

    Pro
    Earnings growth in the past year has accelerated moderately compared to earnings growth in the past three years. Positive

    The ratio of SDRL's price-to-earnings multiple to its five-year growth rate is slightly below the average of all stocks in the StockScouter universe. Positive

    The price-to-earnings multiple is lower than average for all stocks in the StockScouter universe. Positive
    Con
    The most recent quarterly earnings report was slightly lower than analysts’ consensus forecast. Neutral/Negative

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

AGNC
22.66+0.21(+0.94%)Oct 20 4:00 PMEDT

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