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Silvercorp Metals Inc. Message Board

clay.autery 4 posts  |  Last Activity: Jan 22, 2015 12:54 PM Member since: Apr 8, 2011
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  • US Dollar Index on a sustained and dramatic climb.
    Gold and Silver steadily increasing IN SPITE of Dollar's relative strengthening.
    US 10-year yield down precipitously.
    Europe on the verge of significant QE.
    Oil prices sitting at 50% of what they were 6 months ago (typically, dropping oil price forces all commodities down)
    Russia/Ukraine conflict
    Russia has cut gas deliveries to Ukraine (off) and Europe 60%.
    Yemen on the verge of collapse.
    etc, etc, etc...
    US markets are getting mushy...

    I predict a mid/log-term increase in metals prices (Gold up 50% in the next 2 years; Silver closing the GS ratio down to less than 50 in the same term).

    And the miners are sitting idle...

    Folks, THIS is the time that REAL investors start to acquire miners. Grab them on the tail end of the "hate curve".

    I think we are going to see a major US market correction (20-40%) in the next two years, and this MAY drag miner equities down with it like it did in 2008-2009. BUT, it is also possible that the fundamentals are different this time... There are no "safe havens" to go to if the US markets drop... The rest of the markets are kinda sucking hid teet right now.

    I think we may well see a rotation out of the US equities into/out of US treasuries, and into metals during the market downturn.

    SVM has the potential for a 4 bagger gain from today's prices under a number of different scenarios:

    1) GSR ratio drops to historical average with no gain in price at all.
    2) Silver rises to high $20's/low 30s.
    3) et al.

    AND if the GSR drops to 30 or less AND Gold rises to $1400 or $1500, then we could see a 10 bagger.

    The upside potential outweighs the downside by about 6 to 1 right now.

    THIS is the time to accumulate SVM... today, I would acquire as much as I could up to a price of $2.25.

  • clay.autery clay.autery Jan 16, 2015 3:49 PM Flag

    My records didn't go back 8 years... see ryugo82's response.

  • clay.autery clay.autery Jan 16, 2015 3:46 PM Flag

    So, they managed to lose money on higher, more efficient production? Am I missing something?

    I still fail to see why people are still so in love with SSRI vs. other miners.... and I am a silver bull.

  • clay.autery clay.autery Jan 16, 2015 1:20 PM Flag

    Well, for one... SVM has never been $20 per share. Record shows that it briefly reached $15.99 during 2011.

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