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Columbia Sportswear Company Message Board

cliffbanger86 13 posts  |  Last Activity: Aug 8, 2014 5:16 PM Member since: Nov 21, 2007
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  • cliffbanger86 by cliffbanger86 Jun 22, 2014 10:39 AM Flag

    There are going to be multiple winners with Omex. The shorts will win as they will likely cover below 2.25 giving a nice return from shorting in the 3's and perhaps 4's. The longs astute enough to be buying now will have significant gains as the price rebounds back over $3 and then some. This is not a zero sum game unless you want to be a pig on the short side. The shorts had their run. They were right about the share price. But now it is time to cover and lock in the profit.

    The SA recovery will produce sufficient value to restore the balance sheet. Oceanica is real and expect a modest monetization there as loans get repaid. The permit process is legitimate.

    There is also noise about the Victory but the company is finally keeping its mouth shut until it is right. Putting Omex to the side, do you really think the British Govt was going to let the site just decay? Action was and is inevitable there.

    The Russell reconstitution is done. Shares have been matched. There will be a large volume reported late Friday but the underlying shares have already been matched. Assuming Omex reports news in early July, he share price should go over $2 and perhaps much higher with a surprise...

    So there are multiple winners. Shorts and longs who have been astute. After all it is the market.

    Sentiment: Buy

  • cliffbanger86 by cliffbanger86 Jun 9, 2014 1:09 PM Flag

    Military Update

    AAFES chief: Let 22 million vets shop exchanges online

    Stars and Stripes
    Published: June 5, 2014


    aafes illustration 605
    AAFES WEB PAGE; STARS AND STRIPES ILLUSTRATION
    Defense officials are weighing a proposal from the director of the Army and Air Force Exchange Service (AAFES) to allow the nation’s 22 million honorably discharged veterans, and perhaps an equal number of their family members, to shop online for military exchange products and discounts.

    Shoppers who use the AAFES website enjoy savings of up to 25 percent on many brand name products. They also avoid state and local sale taxes on their purchases just like on-base shoppers do.

    By providing online discounts to millions of deserving veterans and families, said Thomas C. Shull, chief executive officer of AAFES, the exchange services would see overall profits soar while protecting the benefit in tough budget times and ensuring that quality-of-life programs for military families continue to be funded by exchange profits or “dividends.”

    Shull pitched his idea in a May 8 memorandum to the under secretary of defense for personnel and readiness, with review and comment also sought from top manpower officials in the Army, Navy and Air Force. A spokeswoman for Acting Under Secretary Jessica L. Garfola Wright said the proposal “is undergoing staffing and no decisions have been made.”

    Allowing veterans access to online exchange shopping, Shull assured officials in his memo, “will not adversely affect the benefit to currently serving and retiree personnel in any way.” Indeed, he added, it will enhance the benefit by increasing profits and, therefore, increasing dividends to support the services’ Morale, Welfare and Recreation “funding accounts.”

    Sentiment: Buy

  • Reply to

    AAFES Article Part 1

    by cliffbanger86 Jun 9, 2014 1:09 PM
    cliffbanger86 cliffbanger86 Jun 9, 2014 1:12 PM Flag

    Shull pitched his idea in a May 8 memorandum to the under secretary of defense for personnel and readiness, with review and comment also sought from top manpower officials in the Army, Navy and Air Force. A spokeswoman for Acting Under Secretary Jessica L. Garfola Wright said the proposal “is undergoing staffing and no decisions have been made.”

    Allowing veterans access to online exchange shopping, Shull assured officials in his memo, “will not adversely affect the benefit to currently serving and retiree personnel in any way.” Indeed, he added, it will enhance the benefit by increasing profits and, therefore, increasing dividends to support the services’ Morale, Welfare and Recreation “funding accounts.”

    Preserving the shopping benefit “is in the best interest of the entire military community,” Shull added. Then he summarized why it’s in jeopardy, citing “announced and planned troop drawdowns, large cuts to the DOD budget for Morale, Welfare and Recreation activities, and fewer personnel and families living on the installation, all of which are leading to a greatly reduced customer base and decreased earnings/dividends.”

    In a phone interview Tuesday from AAFES headquarters in Dallas, Shull, a West Point graduate and retired reserve major, said his online proposal is a “win-win-win” idea. It would help veterans, help exchanges and help to protect force “readiness and resiliency” by ensuring that exchange profits can sustain on-base quality of life programs.

  • Reply to

    Odyssey Explorer

    by smac1964 Jun 29, 2014 4:12 PM
    cliffbanger86 cliffbanger86 Jun 29, 2014 6:11 PM Flag

    They may be coming in bc of weather.

  • No mention of material litigation either.

    There was a seller at the end of the day for about 50K shares at 2.70. It was cleaned out at the close. 10Q was clean. Business good. Stock seems cheap. Might just bump back into 3's early next week. It belongs between 3-4 right now.

    Sentiment: Buy

  • cliffbanger86 by cliffbanger86 Jun 9, 2014 7:26 AM Flag

    New client AAFES is looking to expand online services to honorably discharged vets and families. Predict 10 fold increase in sales and profits within 5 years. Also Marine and Navy Exchanges.

    Appears SPDC will go live with significantly new platform, fulfillment and call center services by Labor Day.

    Just google AAFES for news.

    Already big for SPDC BUT expanded availability would be huge for SPDC.

    Sentiment: Buy

  • cliffbanger86 by cliffbanger86 Aug 8, 2014 8:33 AM Flag

    Analyst report says Buy as strong growth going forward after expenses to support the growth were loaded into q1. Holiday season should be big. Time to buy is now on the recent pullback. Makes sense. Q1 was the building block. Balance sheet is clean. Many potential buyers had to wait until earnings came out to buy and support shares. CC should be good.

    Sentiment: Buy

  • Analyst recommends buying spdc in note out this morning before earnings as he expects solid quarter plus AAFES implementation gaining traction with others into upcoming holiday season.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Guidance remained unchanged with 11 new client launches coming in Q2 alone. The costs to implement a client site is front-loaded so I guess it is not surprising at all to see Q1 have more expenses if 11 sites are being launched in Q2. Comps will look very good the rest of year. Selloff of late certainly not warranted by going forward expectations. This is now a growth story starting in Q2. All ok. Q1 had cleanup and expenses to leverage revenues going forward. same thing happened at PFSW before it took off. Bottom is in here.

    Sentiment: Buy

  • cliffbanger86 by cliffbanger86 Jul 28, 2014 11:06 PM Flag

    For those who believe spdc is going down, do you believe the company will meet or beat the forecast for fy 2015 of adjusted Ebitda between $17-20mm and revenues between $135-155mm?

    Yes or no? Simple question.

    I say yes

    How about others?

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    On her way home.

    by brummieboy45 Jun 29, 2014 10:06 PM
    cliffbanger86 cliffbanger86 Jun 29, 2014 11:10 PM Flag

    Of course whatever they did pick up in the last several days will be brought in with the OE. It is the last day of the quarter as well.

  • Reply to

    Deal announced next week?

    by finster63 Jun 27, 2014 12:12 PM
    cliffbanger86 cliffbanger86 Jul 2, 2014 9:39 PM Flag

    Hope it is announced tomorrow or Monday. Have to agree that it makes little sense to do a mini road show until transaction is announced.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • cliffbanger86 cliffbanger86 Aug 7, 2014 6:22 PM Flag

    I believe it was groupon which they made very little money on but had some revenues.

COLM
78.93+1.31(+1.69%)Aug 19 4:00 PMEDT

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