I would imagine that revenues from Skype are actually going to be higher considering MS is making money with premium service as well as advertising with SKYPE.
Just the facts folks,maple and the shorts are screwed!
The published reversal rate is less than 13%! For Judge Davis it is ZERO!
The shorts are in major trouble. Their blood is in the water and sharks smell it!
Furthermore less than 13% ever get overturned on appeal. That is not something the shorts should hang their hats on.
Great examples. Considering only a 13% chance of appeal, I think the market is Crazy and have over-reacted. Personally, I like your math. I like the idea of getting a $45 price for this stock.
Based on 10 years of data, the shorts are looking at a less than 13% chance of a reversal in favor of Apple. That folks are the facts!!! If you are short.... that is not comforting.
REALLY two big risks for you shorties.... and we all know this. Apple signs a deal with VHC and the entire thing explodes in your face like a terrorist who prematurely detonates in front of his friends. The other is CACF ruling which will basically back up Judge Davis. That makes the move back to $20 easy. I would not want to be hold ing the short bag of poo if I were you.
Personally, I think the odd are very high... like 85% high that AAPL will sign a deal with VHC. AAPL really has very little chance of overturning any verdict and rulings. AAPL will settle because a 1% on all future sales of products using FaceTime will cost them more in the long run. I've been adding to this position on all dips. I also know that shorts have jumped all over this to squash the 1% verdict when the market was primed for the taking. Unfortunately, VHC good news always comes out when the market is getting hammered. That does not help our cause.
It is actually below the price before the Markman hearing. I bought it back then. You would think that VHC just lost it's ruling with Apple. Nothing really makes any sense. The shorts really coordinated their attack really well. Personally, I'm adding to my position and holding until we get at least $30. It is testing my resolve, but one thing I have always learned... be patient. It roars back when the shorts start to cover.
They drove the race car as fast as they could... only to find out... they are now in the desert with no gas or fueling stations around. Their phones don't work and guess what... nobody to help them!!!!
I just do not trust Elon Musk... he now knows how to play the shorts!!! They are loaded up again... then "great" news again... 50 point pop with masses of shorts covering. I've seen it happen all too much.
Lets see... one makes ALOT of money... the other has not made a dime in 10 years and now has a huge gorilla as a competitor.