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Exelixis, Inc. Message Board

co2blower 7 posts  |  Last Activity: Jan 24, 2014 6:13 PM Member since: Sep 22, 2011
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  • Reply to

    BT Had a Bad Day

    by duckduffer Jan 24, 2014 4:21 PM
    co2blower co2blower Jan 24, 2014 6:13 PM Flag

    Agreed!

  • Reply to

    Erniewerner

    by clemcaldwell Jan 23, 2014 2:16 PM
    co2blower co2blower Jan 23, 2014 4:42 PM Flag

    You're welcome, wishing and hoping right there with you.

  • Reply to

    Erniewerner

    by clemcaldwell Jan 23, 2014 2:16 PM
    co2blower co2blower Jan 23, 2014 4:17 PM Flag

    Clem, I believe he's referring to the statistical performance that would be required for the interim analysis to be considered a success. I won't pretend to have the numbers if that is what you are looking for. Generically, for the trial to be stopped at the interim, performance would have to be extremely exceptional (in vague descriptive terms) as opposed to the final analysis which has to perform well but not nearly as well as the interim in order to stop it early. The problem is that some may extrapolate an unsuccessful interim analysis as a predictor of failure for the final analysis even though that may not be the case.

  • Reply to

    Why do a stock offering?

    by gabrjelac Jan 22, 2014 9:57 PM
    co2blower co2blower Jan 23, 2014 12:13 PM Flag

    I'm glad it helped. However, one piece of unsolicited advice, in a prior post you said you've been in Exel for a year I believe, the due diligence should be done before you buy. I'm not criticizing, I'm speaking from experience after leaping before I looked. It will reduce your stress the sooner you learn the lesson.

  • Reply to

    Why do a stock offering?

    by gabrjelac Jan 22, 2014 9:57 PM
    co2blower co2blower Jan 22, 2014 10:16 PM Flag

    Are you getting any answers or just thinking out loud? The smart#$%$ answer is take $450 and add $100 to it. That is your answer to now what, $550.

    Here's a thought:
    They had $450 m in cash I believe at the end of last quarter. Look at their burn rate of cash and subtract that from the $450 through the end of 2014 = $200 mil. Add in what you think is profit from their sales which are very small. You'll likely begin to see greatly diminished cash on had which likely isn't enough to get them through completion of the RCC and HCC trials while also ramping up sales for prostrate, etc. In addition, if they want to begin trials in other indications the money runs out even quicker. If I'm running a business, I would want to know that at the end of this year, I had more cash than what could get me through the end of 2015.

    I don't like the dilution and subsequent drop in price we are going to get hit with. But if results are good later this year, it will still be a profitable investment in my opinion.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Adam Feuerstein....Shorting this stock

    by gabrjelac Jan 3, 2014 4:30 PM
    co2blower co2blower Jan 7, 2014 11:02 AM Flag

    I'm not focusing on them for any of my investments. I'm pointing out someone's ignorant statement, simple as that.

  • Reply to

    Adam Feuerstein....Shorting this stock

    by gabrjelac Jan 3, 2014 4:30 PM
    co2blower co2blower Jan 6, 2014 4:35 PM Flag

    That blanket statement that he doesn't own stocks is a tough one to swallow. How is he investing for retirement, savings account at .02% interest? I think your ignorance is showing now.

EXEL
1.33-0.02(-1.48%)Dec 19 4:00 PMEST

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