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Tesla Motors, Inc. (TSLA) Message Board

commodities34 6 posts  |  Last Activity: Jul 6, 2015 8:04 AM Member since: Feb 19, 2009
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  • commodities34 by commodities34 Jul 6, 2015 8:04 AM Flag

    HUM only up slightly due to AET being knocked down and the overall market down because of Greece. If you are holding the stock or even July/August calls, it will creep higher. Don't let the pre-market scare you into selling on the open. You'll regret it. With Aetna down 7-8 points the deal is still about $224. Take off 5% or so for timing/risk and it should creep to about $210-212 soon.

  • Reply to

    Options Advice Please

    by caligula1110 Jul 3, 2015 2:13 PM
    commodities34 commodities34 Jul 3, 2015 5:27 PM Flag

    I would say the premium on Cigna options will be very high. It will already factor in a deal price so you would be betting a deal comes in much higher than expected.

    Sentiment: Buy

  • Reply to

    Options Advice Please

    by caligula1110 Jul 3, 2015 2:13 PM
    commodities34 commodities34 Jul 3, 2015 4:13 PM Flag

    Why sell with the deal on the table? I would sit until August 1st. The stock should only creep higher until then. No need to panic sell. Really the money is safe.

  • Reply to

    210 to 215 open monday

    by jockne40 Jul 3, 2015 9:21 AM
    commodities34 commodities34 Jul 3, 2015 10:47 AM Flag

    Even if it takes that long, that's 8-10% below deal price. Arb's would take an 8% return everyday. It should be closer to 5% per year if you think it will take that long. I don't. I say $220-222 and only if Aetna's share price takes a hit.

    Sentiment: Buy

  • Reply to

    OPEN

    by makemoneywinnett Jul 2, 2015 2:44 PM
    commodities34 commodities34 Jul 2, 2015 2:58 PM Flag

    Sadly I think vacinemaxine is right. This was completely expected. They had a 12-1 approval vote at the panel meeting and the premium has been built in. This is good news but expected news. Any pop I expect to be small, maybe to $132 then will pull back but probably not a "huge flush" like you say.

    Sentiment: Buy

  • commodities34 by commodities34 May 12, 2015 5:56 PM Flag

    I understand their is some value in the unknown like the future of electric cars or these new batteries but I have no clue how this company can be worth $30B. Elon Musk is a smart guy for sure but the valuation to me is about right only if everything goes very well and it's like 10 years from now. They have negative profitability and probably due to expansion but even if the company surpasses their own expectations the numbers don't add up. I guess hold the stock if you have it as it seems like investors are in love with it but I have to believe there are more attractive companies to invest in if only based on the numbers.

    Sentiment: Hold

TSLA
267.73-11.99(-4.29%)3:19 PMEDT