OK what is your guess if they get indications for PDP, Schizophrenia, ADP, (& off label use) in the USA( 1 million PDP patients ) and EU( 1,.6 Million). I have already calculated the Rev's for PDP treatment only in both USA & EU ( see ACAD Review ) and it came out to be over $ 2 BiLLION for the first year with only 20% penetration. What should the share price?
So how much could they make ?
1000000 PD patients...approx 40% will get PDP. So thats 400,000 PDP patients. Price for Abilify is 13K/year...I think NUPLAZID will be higher...guess is $15,000/yr ( ~ $40/day). Now lets say of those 400,000 patients, only 20% get placed on Nuplazid first year. That's 80,000 patients on treatment....so 80,000 x $15,000/yr, so for the first year, we are talking 1.2 Billion with only 20% penetration. Remember , this does not take into consideration OFF LABEL use for any other condition or if /when it may get an indication for another type of psychosis/ sleep issue/ Autism etc. Now consider there are 1.6 million PD patiens in the EU, and 640,000 will get PDP at some point. We are talking way over a Billion in the EU also.
Welcome. You are aware we are expecting a CEO announcement soon. That will signal the company is getting back on track. It may or may not pop the stock some. For a quick review you can see my post " ACAD review " -probably on the previous message board page. And above all see my IGNORE LIST. Nice to have you on the board.
go back to the cldn mb. comparing that failed company to acadia is PURE B$. Now get lost. one more stupid post and you will be on your way to general population.
My strong recommendation for IGNORE.
ezvester, ri66 , tagetlocman , portsrnouthohio (on double secret probation) , rii_666,
These guys do nothing but clutter up the board, Posting over and over again the same garbage, bash , post unsubstantiated worthless junk, etc and contribute nothing. You will see, placing these idiots on IGNORE really cleans up the board - Its what they hate the most. Do it.
Look, IGNORE the IDIOTS. They will always have unsubstantiated bull answers to your questions. DON'T FEED THE TROLLS.
Watch headlines Yahoo/Nasdaq and you can sign up for Acadia alerts on their web site. Spader has a several news alerts services, one I think is Edgar ( cost is $1500) . And you can also sign up for Twitter monitor Cowen or $ACAD. Keep in mind there are many shorts and potential buyers who want to bash Acadia lower to Cover or Buy in at " their price " .
If you read my last S&R post I mentioned we were in an Over Bought position. Stocks go UP and Down.The IBB has pulled back a lot already and heading for an Over Sold position. If you follow the TA you will learn how to evaluate these changes and when they do pull back you will feel more comfortable sitting on your hands knowing full well there is no fundamental changes with the company only the typical profit taking, tree shaking etc.
Not a surprize. We are Over Bought. They make pennies. Much easier to go long and let the Newbies and Shorts do the Heavy lifting.
OK so now that mention of a Bearish Harami is now removed. It could show up again. But you have to wait till the end of the day ( sometimes the next day) to eval the candle pattern.
Its a computer generated Candlestick Pattern recognition program. That Harami is the way it looks to the program at an earlier point TODAY....The day is not over yet. Plus, I don't interpret the pattern in the same manner as a computer. My computer (experience) tells me it doesn't look exactly like the other bearish haami that I have seen. So for me its a wait and see. Search Bearish Harami and see if they look the same as today's ACAD candlestick chart. Then tell me what you think. Should be a small black(or Red ) candle forming within the same range of a White( or green ) Candle from the previous day. This "early " call by the computer Program is just saying what may be forming. The day has to finish and you have to evaluate it yourself. I think the program tends to be a little premature. Even if it is a Bearish Harami we are in an Over Bought position and due for a pull back. It might give you a chance to get some cheap shares. I have a question for you. What Candle types seem to have the most influence in our chart? It ain't the Harami.
Acadia Pharmaceuticals Incorporated
Daily Short Sale Volume
Short Interest (Shares Short)
Days To Cover (Short Interest Ratio)
Short Percent of Float
Short Interest - Prior
Short % Increase / Decrease
Type Value Conf.
resist. 45.88 2
supp 38.32 6
supp 36.46 4
supp 35.04 6
supp 33.95 2
supp 33.02 3
supp 30.98 2
supp 30.40 4
supp 28.88 4
supp 28.21 2
supp 26.54 3
Recent CandleStick Analysis
Ind. short Inter Long
EMA VBu VBu VBu
MACD N Bu VBe
Fibs VBu Be Be
Highs N N VBu
Lows N VBu N
Trends N VBe N
Analysis Overall Short Intermediate Long
Neutral (0.20) Bullish (0.31) Bullish (0.25) Neutral (0.03)
We now have a Bullish short term and Intermediate analysis. Not long ago all were Bearish. As far as the S& R goes note the previous weak resistance at 39.96 is now off the list and the Support level is higher at support 38.93-all good signs. My concern in the short term is will we stay in this level till the CEO announcement? And we are already in an over bought level, but it could stay that way for a while. Sooner or later it will pull back some. That's when you scoop up those cheap shares. SAFE HARBOR: MAKE YOUR OWN MISTAKES IN LIFE.
Very well you are cast down with the Sodomites. To the Iggy basement. Think of me when you hear the chant...Fresh Fish, Fresh Fish ! IGNORED.
The TA is really starting to look more bullish. Shorts are in for a rude awakening. Very little resistance ahead and support strengthening. My SAFE HARBOR : MAKE YOUR OWN MISTAKES IN LIFE.
Besides if it were some kind of buy ($38.82) - sell (39.07) he made about $8700 first trade, even less the 2nd time he did it. So he makes approx $16K, both trades total. Nice work within a total time of less than 2 min. That is not trading manipulation...that is just what it is, BUY LOW, SELL HIGH on a micro basis (sp difference of 15 cents, then 13 cents. He can do that with the major bucks he has.