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SWS Group, Inc. Message Board

cubbies622 198 posts  |  Last Activity: May 14, 2014 9:30 AM Member since: Dec 14, 2008
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  • Reply to

    today is a good day for ISIS

    by adman_q8 May 14, 2014 9:14 AM
    cubbies622 cubbies622 May 14, 2014 9:30 AM Flag

    shorts didn't take this stock down, just selling pressure did it. Same for all Biotechs, it is selling pressure and not shorts.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Walmart Is The Game Changer

    by firstcltrlvr May 9, 2014 6:11 AM
    cubbies622 cubbies622 May 9, 2014 8:20 AM Flag

    Marianos is an up-scale grocery store, but the focus isn't on organics in the least. This will have 0 impact on Marianos but should have an impact on Whole Foods. As for the 5%, that was for the all stores correct? Roundys is still full of below average grocery stores so the strength of Marianos isn't yet making up for that.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • cubbies622 cubbies622 May 7, 2014 12:34 PM Flag

    This is strange, you would think that by selling their #$%$ stores and focusing on Marianos the stock would be going up. Maybe this is due to pre-earnings jitters but this seems like a great move, and I hope they continue selling their underperforming stores.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Why no jump?

    by mofla39 May 7, 2014 10:29 AM
    cubbies622 cubbies622 May 7, 2014 10:49 AM Flag

    I have no idea, the fact that they have also stated that they aren't going to sell any of it is a big plus to me. Although it seems that both Yahoo and Softbank own a few percent less of the company than most of us thought, that could be the reason. I believe softbank owns 34.4% and I usually saw people mentioning 37%.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • cubbies622 cubbies622 Apr 29, 2014 1:45 PM Flag

    I stayed at the Vdara and it was a really great experience. I just wish they would have bought the Cosmo, it goes well with the rest of the City Center and it is a very nice hotel and casino. The future is in Asia though, so if they can get a resort in Japan or Korea that would be huge. I'm expecting LVS to win one of the Japan spots though and MGM is likely an underdog.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Look Forward to getting a 3.5% divy.....

    by fugitive2000 Mar 31, 2014 11:29 PM
    cubbies622 cubbies622 Apr 1, 2014 9:43 AM Flag

    There is no dividend anymore. They suspended it in Q4. It's actually a good thing though.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to


    by ten.mill Feb 27, 2014 11:54 AM
    cubbies622 cubbies622 Feb 28, 2014 6:13 PM Flag

    No they cancelled the dividend to help pay for the new stores. I think it is actually a positive, they need to reduce debt and growing companies shouldn't be paying a high dividend like they were doing.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    YHOO current value-YAHOY + Alibaba+Cash

    by yhoojjn Feb 16, 2014 10:06 PM
    cubbies622 cubbies622 Feb 17, 2014 12:26 PM Flag

    lutts is right, you have a wrong market cap of Yahoo Japan. It looks like you have it 2x.
    The market cap is ~33 billion. You can check the japanese listing of the company to get the accurage market cap. 4689 is the nikkei number and it translates to 33 billion market cap.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Smart money will sell by 10:00 am

    by dogcrap007 Jan 15, 2014 9:06 AM
    cubbies622 cubbies622 Jan 15, 2014 11:19 AM Flag

    Unjustified? Is this your first month of investing?

    BAC reported this morning, great numbers, Citi reports tomorrow. In no way is this an unjustified bump. There is clear and obvious news as to why this has gone up today. Just do some basic research and you won't look like an idiot on here.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    MM off to the races on earnings leak

    by twomore2s Dec 18, 2013 10:58 AM
    cubbies622 cubbies622 Dec 18, 2013 12:08 PM Flag

    They don't report for 2 months slow your roll!

  • So I am a little confused because this closed at 8640 Yen in Japan today. Therefore the value of this stock should be about 42.4. It is currently trading at around 41. Wouldn't it by default automatically trade near the 42.4 levels later today? Is there an after hours price that I am missing?

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • cubbies622 cubbies622 Nov 27, 2013 3:32 PM Flag

    AAMRQ has way more upside but also way more downside. LCC is almost guarenteed to grow in value from your investment made today. AAMRQ could go up 2-3x but you could also lose 50-90% of your investment. It all depends on how much value is left for AAMRQ shareholders after all the debt is paid to creditors. AAMRQ shareholders are set to get at least 3.5% of the company which would equal something like 10% of the current price. The reason why the stock is 12 dollars instead of 1-2 is because if the value of the combined company goes up 2-5 billion then the AAMRQ shareholders will get ALL of that additional value.

    Google this article name, it explains everything very well "AMR stock goes from nearly worthless to worthwhile"

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    what is the difference between SFTBY and SFTBF?

    by sberndse Nov 22, 2013 3:07 PM
    cubbies622 cubbies622 Nov 22, 2013 6:42 PM Flag

    Here is the quote

    "SFTBF is the equivalent of the TSE (Tokyo Stock Exchange) traded shares for 9984 (Japanese ticker) regular Softbank shares.

    SFTBY is equivalent to 1/2 of the Softbank regular shares: 1 SFTBF = 2 SFTBY shares"

    Another thing to note is that the sftbf seems to have a much higher commission rate. I was going to have to pay 50 dollars on top of normal commission just to make the trade. SFTBF is a Canadian ticker and SFTBY is american. Buy the american one, it is cheaper commission wise and is more liquid.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • I saw that the stock was up over 3.5% in Tokyo but why are we up over 5%? Was there news about Alibaba? It seems big moves tend to be valuation increases in Alibaba but I haven't seen anything.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • cubbies622 by cubbies622 Nov 20, 2013 10:45 AM Flag

    So I was wondering if anyone did some research on the value of Softbank's assets?

    I know a lot of the value is tied into the 37% or so that they own from Alibaba. I've heard projections for Alibaba's IPo anywhere from 80-180 Billion so who knows there. They also own 35% of Yahoo Japan, and about 90% of Sprint.
    Adding those together that has to be near 70 billion in assets already. What is the worth of their domestic businesses? How profitable is their Softbank Mobile telecom company? It sure seems that we have a largely undervalued company here that, unlike yahoo , actually makes money on its own without the help of the value of assets.

    I sure wish I knew more about Alibaba earlier this year. I can't believe this stock was trading at a 35-40 Billion market cap. That was a no brainer buy!

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    If you buy Yahoo for Alibaba, check out Softbank

    by cubbies622 Nov 20, 2013 10:08 AM
    cubbies622 cubbies622 Nov 20, 2013 10:16 AM Flag

    That is true, but there isn't a risk in pink sheets for a company who publicly reports in Japan. They file all their statements and are a large trusted corporation. OTC trades in small caps are risky for sure but I wouldn't put this in the same category.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Softbank SFTBY, SFTBF owns 36.7% of Alibaba , 90% of sprint, has their own large domestic telecommunications company, and owns 35% of Yahoo Japan. They also have a P/E around 15 which is very cheap.

    A lot of the reasons I am hearing to buy Yahoo ring even truer for Softbank. They own a larger share Alibaba and are planning on keeping it. Yahoo sold 20% of their share for cheap and is going to sell more when the IPO comes.

    I own Yahoo as well but Softbank at this moment is a cheaper play on Alibaba. I say own a little bit of both but do your homework of course.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • cubbies622 by cubbies622 Nov 14, 2013 9:55 AM Flag

    Thank lord for this dip and entry point. "Buy when there is blood on the streets!"- Warren Buffett

  • Reply to

    how much HPQ, AMZN or IBM can pay for it?

    by checking_here Nov 11, 2013 8:52 PM
    cubbies622 cubbies622 Nov 12, 2013 2:43 PM Flag

    No one will buy this company for its current valuation. HPQ will build their own and stomp out the competition. Smart companies don't buy businesses like this at crazy multiples. It would need to drop quite a bit before someone buys it. This is a good short candidate at this level, remember what happened to tesla?

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    SOCL doesn't own any of Twitter

    by cubbies622 Nov 7, 2013 10:41 AM
    cubbies622 cubbies622 Nov 7, 2013 10:57 AM Flag

    Yea it is a little too much right now. Someone who helps run SOCL was on yahoo finance and talked about what they do with new IPOs. He said statistically the best deals are about 5 days into the IPO so that is why they wait to get in. It will probably settle in to the mid 30's eventually.

    Sentiment: Hold

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