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Time Warner Inc. Message Board

dcdcdc131313 14 posts  |  Last Activity: Aug 27, 2014 9:36 AM Member since: Mar 31, 2009
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  • dcdcdc131313 dcdcdc131313 Aug 27, 2014 9:36 AM Flag

    Actually, we are doing very nicely overseas - if the euro wasn't near yearly lows, we could be into the mid 14's.

  • dcdcdc131313 dcdcdc131313 Aug 27, 2014 8:59 AM Flag

    I find Rev. Sharpton frustrating. At times he is very logical and reasonable. Sometimes, he does seem to be getting ahead of himself based upon speculations that turn out differently.

    But in this case, the quotes I heard were rather reasonable and soothing. He said that Michael Brown would not want to be remembered for rioting, but rather for peaceful actions (or words to that effect).

  • dcdcdc131313 dcdcdc131313 Aug 20, 2014 9:42 AM Flag

    yes, and when we hit book value, hopefully book value will be a little higher than 16.31.

    but we are in a little of the doldrums now. the economy in Europe is hurting (the euro is at new lows), and the Russian/Ukraine is hurting. Even though oil prices are down, this isn't helping much. But the European economy will pick up. the euro will too. and if ING passes the next stress test, I think you will see a nice rise.

    If we are lucky, maybe we will see 15 by the end of the year. But next year we should see 20+

  • dcdcdc131313 dcdcdc131313 Aug 6, 2014 8:49 AM Flag

    Well, if it was 88 in the aftermarket yesterday, its not today. It's down nearly 50 cents

    Don't really know why - maybe the pulling of the Time Warner offer - it really shouldn't matter, but if TW was worth so much, maybe some thought (accurately) that Disney was worth more, and the pulling of the offer lowered the bar.

    Maybe a little disappointment on ESPN (although I would say that Fox's pulling its offer means that it is still at a disadvantage in competing with espn). And really, how much more can espn make? - Disney is still firing on all engines, and it has much to move with the movies (Avengers 2 and Star Wars) in the 18 months, and it also has Shanghai Disney opening which will boost the parks segment.

  • Reply to

    Avengers 3

    by pwansly Aug 5, 2014 7:52 PM
    dcdcdc131313 dcdcdc131313 Aug 5, 2014 8:55 PM Flag

    this movie will easily take in $1.5 billion, and 2 billion is possible.

    but the real news is Guardians of the Galaxy. After taking in over $94 million in is first weekend, a shade under what Captain America did in its first weekend, it did over $11.5 on Monday which is about $5 million more than Captain America did on its first Monday - this bodes well for Guardians - it could easily beat Captain America's present nearly $260 million, and maybe press $300 million - this is really, really quite a haul. Disney was hoping for $65 million in its first weekend, and maybe a total domestic $200 million.

    It may be that the overseas haul won't be so wonderful, as it is behind Captain America on an overseas basis. But I hope (I am an optimist) that this may catch fire overseas too.

    Disney's earnings could be closer to $5 for the year, rather than the predicted $4 - this supports a price over 90 in the next few months, and I still think you will see over 120 within 18 months.

  • dcdcdc131313 dcdcdc131313 Aug 5, 2014 4:47 PM Flag

    It will hit new highs by the end of the week.

    And, if not, certainly within your time frame.

    This stock is making, now, $4.50 a share/year. No reason for it not to be over 90.

  • Reply to

    Next Quarter will in the RED.

    by marketsagame Jul 24, 2014 1:37 PM
    dcdcdc131313 dcdcdc131313 Jul 25, 2014 8:53 AM Flag

    The next quarter (the one we are in) will be tough. They said demand is low in the Gulf because customers are holding off due to the hurricane season, and consolidation of companies is causing some delay. They will be lucking to be in the black, although I am hopeful.

  • Reply to

    The Mattel issue for investors

    by y2k7trillionover Jun 25, 2014 7:44 AM
    dcdcdc131313 dcdcdc131313 Jul 11, 2014 12:04 PM Flag

    why do you think that MH (I assume you mean Monster High) will be a drag. It has been steadily increasing. And, if it misses, that may mean the Barbie sale will more than rebound (MH has been cannibalizing Barbie sales, and this will take pressure off of Barbie).

  • dcdcdc131313 by dcdcdc131313 Jun 26, 2014 7:55 AM Flag

    Listened to the recent presentation last nite.

    They certainly were unapologetic about the Angola cancellations. and I can't criticize them - taking the higher road is the better course, and dealing in question deals won't come back to hurt them.

    But the short term seems a little "choppy" (to use their term). With the present supply, customers seem to be holding off until the hurricane season is over. And next year depends upon the supply. But the recent buys by insiders certainly gives me a little confidence that that the stubborn optimism expressed at the presentation may bear out.

  • Reply to

    The Mattel issue for investors

    by y2k7trillionover Jun 25, 2014 7:44 AM
    dcdcdc131313 dcdcdc131313 Jun 25, 2014 9:48 AM Flag

    Yes, they have a history of missing estimates, sometimes good, sometimes bad. The bad is certainly frustrating.

    But on the next quarterly report, I have some hope - first, because the estimates have been taken down a little, second because they may well have worked through their inventory problem the last quarter (one reason for their miss last quarter), third because Easter is in this quarter instead of last year's prior quarter, and fourth, perhaps the most important, is "Frozen" - they have at least a couple of licenses, and this this very very hot (no pun intended).

    Barbie and hot wheel sales may be still a drag, but they are trying to upgrade at least Barbie, and that may be good.

  • Reply to

    All the week's gains gone

    by mike_dotcom Jun 18, 2014 12:35 PM
    dcdcdc131313 dcdcdc131313 Jun 18, 2014 5:28 PM Flag

    when an elephant flies, you can't complain when it comes down.

    but this really has held up ok, keeping most of its gains without really much news. and hero is the stepchild in a sector that many have a dim view of - Ensco's monthly report indicated a nice new contract for a deep water rig, and all the "experts" say that this is too high and not indicative of what down side nature of the industry.

    patience - all this means that we need to turn profits.

  • Reply to

    Time Inc

    by herbie88 May 9, 2014 6:19 PM
    dcdcdc131313 dcdcdc131313 Jun 6, 2014 11:13 AM Flag

    And if it does reflect the spin off as of now (which I think it does), that means that twx is really trading at about 74, not 71.50, which is really a nice amount over its high.

  • Reply to

    Time Inc

    by herbie88 May 9, 2014 6:19 PM
    dcdcdc131313 dcdcdc131313 Jun 3, 2014 4:35 PM Flag

    It seems to be at a "when issued" price of about 22 as of today.

    But I have a better question - does the twx price refliect that the Time Inc. stock has been spun off already?

  • Reply to

    Todays seeking alpha article

    by firecaptain9 May 28, 2014 5:15 PM
    dcdcdc131313 dcdcdc131313 May 29, 2014 8:02 AM Flag

    Yes, the have. But they had some serious losses last year too (at least on the balance sheet).

    They need to show that they are really profitable. There is just a perception that they have outdated equipment, and failure is just around the corner. If they can just continue these results show profits approaching $1/share/year (next year one analyst have them pegged at 83 cents), they will be able to shake these cobwebs - if they announce a share buyback, this stock would zoom.

TWX
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