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ProShares UltraShort S&P500 Message Board

dcpayne1 42 posts  |  Last Activity: 10 hours ago Member since: May 7, 2006
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  • Reply to

    added at 9.03

    by sakhaneft Mar 27, 2015 9:36 AM
    dcpayne1@verizon.net dcpayne1 10 hours ago Flag

    They never buy her a drink when she's fallen off the bar stool.. but the town pump gets all she wants when they're all chasing after her. More buyers at $20 than at $10.. Why is that?

  • Reply to

    Pan American Silver is Undeerpriced!

    by runningblackbeardog Mar 24, 2015 11:09 PM
    dcpayne1@verizon.net dcpayne1 Mar 26, 2015 9:39 AM Flag

    Ted, I've never bought Pan American silver stock believing it was company with small possibilities.. Being myopic has a lot of speculators in love with the idea of precious metals, running to smaller producers that are momentum players. I am not one of these. You must truly believe in global government and their desire to control and destroy your wealth. If you don't, you really need to understand what it is that is happening.

  • Reply to

    Pan American Silver is overpriced

    by goldnogood Mar 24, 2015 12:50 PM
    dcpayne1@verizon.net dcpayne1 Mar 24, 2015 2:27 PM Flag

    Spoken like a two-time Obama voter! Free Lunch crowd is still looking for their 'free stuff'. I'll take the silver and gold..»Auro loquente omnis oratio inanis est.« - »When gold speaks, the world grows silent.«

    Sentiment: Buy

  • Reply to

    Double down on the triple!

    by bqdoo Mar 6, 2015 2:10 PM
    dcpayne1@verizon.net dcpayne1 Mar 20, 2015 8:41 AM Flag

    BQdoo... DEVELOPMENTAL THESIS.. in action
    The global economic foundation is not healthy.

    The biggest problem is debt and we believe it’s passed the tipping point. That is, it’s become a real drag on the global economies.

    In 2007, for instance, world debt was $142 trillion. In 2014, it had soared to $199. That’s a 40% increase in seven years.

    So nothing has really changed since the last big recession. In fact, it’s gotten worse. There has been no deleveraging and debt is much bigger than the world economy can handle. During the last crisis in 2007-08 the world was taken to the brink. Every major U.S. bank would have failed if the Fed hadn’t intervened. And something along these lines could happen again. Debt is definitely keeping a lid on global growth. In the U.S., average annual economic growth has only been 1.2% over the past eight years. And that’s the best it could do after years of QE and super low interest rates

    Median wealth for more than half of the people has also dropped 40% since the last recession.

    The rich, however, are getting richer via assets that’re rising. So despite the good economic news you keep hearing about, you can see that the underlying economic foundation is on thin ice.

    Low interest rates are bullish for gold because gold is then not competing with the currencies. And with most major countries dealing with low to negative rates, gold moves up in the currency ranking. Gold, as the ultimate currency, is only second to the U.S. dollar in terms of major currency strength. But the soaring fast paced dollar rise is now causing turmoil in the currency market.

    the dollar rise will be stemmed, either by intervention or exhaustion.

    And when that happens, a dollar decline will boost gold. To think that gold did not hit new lows near $1143 already during the dollar rise, shows its underlying, subtle strength. Learn why we think this.
    The global economic foundation is not healthy.
    The global economic foundation is not healthy.

    The biggest problem is debt and we believe it’s passed the tipping point. That is, it’s become a real drag on the global economies.

    In 2007, for instance, world debt was $142 trillion. In 2014, it had soared to $199. That’s a 40% increase in seven years.

    So nothing has really changed since the last big recession. In fact, it’s gotten worse. There has been no deleveraging and debt is much bigger than the world economy can handle. During the last crisis in 2007-08 the world was taken to the brink. Every major U.S. bank would have failed if the Fed hadn’t intervened. And something along these lines could happen again. Debt is definitely keeping a lid on global growth. In the U.S., average annual economic growth has only been 1.2% over the past eight years. And that’s the best it could do after years of QE and super low interest rates

    Median wealth for more than half of the people has also dropped 40% since the last recession.

    The rich, however, are getting richer via assets that’re rising. So despite the good economic news you keep hearing about, you can see that the underlying economic foundation is on thin ice.

    Low interest rates are bullish for gold because gold is then not competing with the currencies. And with most major countries dealing with low to negative rates, gold moves up in the currency ranking. Gold, as the ultimate currency, is only second to the U.S. dollar in terms of major currency strength. But the soaring fast paced dollar rise is now causing turmoil in the currency market.

    the dollar rise will be stemmed, either by intervention or exhaustion.

    And when that happens, a dollar decline will boost gold. To think that gold did not hit new lows near $1143 already during the dollar rise, shows its underlying, subtle strength. Learn why we think this.

    YOU ASK ME WHY I SEE AN $18.50 Number in silver.. Draw a line between the two tops.. SEE IT.

    http://www.321gold.com/editorials/sfs/hubbartt032015.html

  • But did you believe you'd see a $30 reversal off lows? Interesting. Richard Russell says we should see this as a sign of things to come, as Fed grows desperate for lack of an improving economy. "Coming Weeks And Months Should Be Historic As Fed's Worries Increase the risks trump the rewards of being in this stock market. Sit on the sidelines and watch the show. I believe the next weeks and months could be historic. As the stock market boils, the Fed’s worries increase".

    Sentiment: Buy

  • dcpayne1@verizon.net by dcpayne1 Mar 15, 2015 5:43 PM Flag

    Precious metals? The dollar is set for its strongest quarterly strengthening since 1992, according to Bank of America, a good sign that a rate hike is around the corner.

    When markets expect that US interest rates will be hiked, it typically strengthens the dollar. That's because people rush to change other currencies into dollars — they can make more money in dollar-denominated investments. The higher demand for the US currency drives its value up.

    In the past, significant dollar gains against other currencies have pretty much happened only during periods of extreme financial or geopolitical distress.

    The last four large dollar shocks in the past 45 years have been symptoms of huge financial events: the collapse of Lehman, Britain's panicky ejection from the European Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM) in 1992, the first Gulf War, and Paul Volcker's shock rate hikes in the early 1980s.

    Today's surge is already considerably larger than the one that surrounded Lehman's collapse, although the economic conditions are very different. In our view, another concern is that the move in the US dollar reflects a dislocation within the financial system. Capital flight to the US is a symptom of systemic risk in financial markets. Certainly dollar shocks in the past have been associated with major market events as shown in detail on Chart 8 (1981 Volker shock, 1992 ERM crisis, Lehman in 2008 and so on).

    And yet despite the strength of the dollar move, apart from a few CDS events in EM, there is little sign from the components of our Global Financial Stress Index that systemic risks are surging. Most of the components are less stressed than normal. Once again, the missing ingredient is a “rates shock”.

    The global markets right now are a historical anomaly. Rates around the world have been cut 558 times since the collapse of Lehman, (according to BAML). So even a small, steady series of interest rate hikes by the US Federal Reserve is a colossal change globally. A 2015 $-Rush!

  • Reply to

    Double down on the triple!

    by bqdoo Mar 6, 2015 2:10 PM
    dcpayne1@verizon.net dcpayne1 Mar 14, 2015 3:15 PM Flag

    Thesis? $11.95 was your last peak.. If $8 to 8.50 is your bottom number.. a difference of $4 in an upside number should be added to the peak.. say $16.. as a convenience.. a double top shakeout might easily give you the boost your looking for. It is a supposition not for any but those looking at a $120 dollar index target at some further point prior to all out currency war... and massive attempts at devaluation... which should generate some impressive inflation once commodity price collapse is wrung out of the equation. At any rate.. the entire process might easily carry forward toward the end of 2016.. (election pump priming?) It should prove interesting.. but I've bought my seats for this opera and the fat lady has yet to sing.

  • Oil is down.. big.. Stock Market down.. big.. SOoo.. you'd expect metals to tank, right?

  • Reply to

    Double down on the triple!

    by bqdoo Mar 6, 2015 2:10 PM
    dcpayne1@verizon.net dcpayne1 Mar 11, 2015 8:22 AM Flag

    Ted, exactly! We continue to have an $18.50/share price target in place!

  • dcpayne1@verizon.net dcpayne1 Mar 10, 2015 7:37 PM Flag

    bqd, it was only a few weeks.. 3? ago , that I was fretting because PAAS refused a close over $11.95.. in hindsight.. a purchase of DUST would have done us nicely as a hedge. You know hindsight.. it's always 20/20

  • Reply to

    Double down on the triple!

    by bqdoo Mar 6, 2015 2:10 PM
    dcpayne1@verizon.net dcpayne1 Mar 10, 2015 7:33 PM Flag

    Ted, the rally in gold will be awe inspiring, the upward climb in silver will be nothing short of spectacular! After all, it wasn't like we weren't expecting this down-draft in the general stock market.. hell, you can almost smell the fear.. not yet.. not until the next rally attempt fails.. but then it should start gettting interesting. I bought a small amount of gold in the form of coins yesterday afternoon. Premiums have shrunk.. appreciably! Pay off the house, buy some silver.. stock up like the prepper that I know you to be!

  • dcpayne1@verizon.net dcpayne1 Mar 8, 2015 10:35 PM Flag

    Insanity! Investors Now Paying for the “Privilege” of Lending to Broke Governments
    This could go down as one of the oddest, most irrational asset bubbles in history. Trillions of dollars are now tied up in debt instruments that promise to return less than the invested principal. According to a report issued by J.P. Morgan, $3.6 trillion in government bonds around the world now carry negative yields.

    It raises the obvious question; why would so many people be willing to accept a negative rate of return?

    You’d think that institutional investors would start getting wise to holding gold as a hard-currency alternative to cash instruments that yield less than zero. The fact that gold has no interest rate is actually an advantage in an environment where competing rates are negative! Plus, unlike most of the bonds issued in this upside-down interest rate market, gold has significant appreciation potential.

    If inflation rises even modestly to the 2% target of European and U.S. central bankers, then bonds issued at rates of below 2% will all be losers. The two-year Treasury note yields only 0.63%. Even the recent 10-year yield of 1.98% fails to match the Federal Reserve’s inflation ambitions.

    In this environment of ultra-low nominal yields or even negative real yields, precious metals as a reserve asset look very attractive. Many central bankers around the world agree and are busily accumulating gold. According to a report issued by the World Gold Council in February, governments around the world added 477.2 metric tons of gold to their reserves in 2014. That haul was the second biggest in 50 years.

    When inflation fears return to the market, as they eventually will, precious metals will become one of the premier asset classes to hold. Even now, they are performing better than virtually all other world currencies.

    The end game of these ongoing currency wars is that all fiat currencies will be debased. And a true flight to quality will accelerate focused 4 asset liquidity

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    ??

    by doncreelson Mar 4, 2015 12:23 PM
    dcpayne1@verizon.net dcpayne1 Mar 5, 2015 11:47 AM Flag

    Don, your reference to popular culture escaped me, but then.. I'm not a political liberal, either! Keep on truck'n!

  • dcpayne1@verizon.net by dcpayne1 Mar 5, 2015 11:42 AM Flag

    Humorist Will Rogers was smarter than most Americans then.. and today. About Investment he said, INVESTORS DON'T UNDERSTAND that the key to successful investing is understanding the difference between RETURN OF YOUR MONEY and the RETURN ON YOUR MONEY. Tell me that you understand.

  • Reply to

    ??

    by doncreelson Mar 4, 2015 12:23 PM
    dcpayne1@verizon.net dcpayne1 Mar 4, 2015 12:41 PM Flag

    Poor soul... you shouldn't own precious metal miners .. AT ALL. Surprising that one who seems not to have the stomach for silver stocks wants to fly turbine stocks. Curious.

  • Reply to

    PAAS just reported losing $525 million!

    by bigfatty_guns Feb 23, 2015 11:28 AM
    dcpayne1@verizon.net dcpayne1 Mar 4, 2015 11:03 AM Flag

    True, if Progressive Liberals don't want you to use silver.. they'll ban it! You've got to learn to be content with paying more.. for less.

  • Reply to

    added to trade at 11.05

    by sakhaneft Feb 19, 2015 9:47 AM
    dcpayne1@verizon.net dcpayne1 Feb 19, 2015 12:38 PM Flag

    Shaky technical s will attempt to usher December price retests and I continue to look for gold to show us the line in the sand. I'm adding physicals and some smaller high value miners with an eye to future m/a candidates and for longer term development. Eying Nevson Resources at these levels as a diversifying holding. No question .. manipulation is the player in ALL asset classes. I do see an end to it.. and I believe it will become 'bloody' prior to any lasting change.

  • Reply to

    trading position back on at 11.23

    by sakhaneft Feb 17, 2015 3:56 PM
    dcpayne1@verizon.net dcpayne1 Feb 17, 2015 5:31 PM Flag

    Sakhaneft, High-Yo-Silver, AWAY! Crude seems to be gumming up many commodity centric markets but I strongly suspect that now that the entire world has bought shorts, sold longs, bought puts... sold calls... it's gonna run like a scalded ape and we seem poised to benefit from that action. dcp

    Sentiment: Buy

  • dcpayne1@verizon.net dcpayne1 Feb 12, 2015 6:40 PM Flag

    Packy, I do remember something about slavery.. only it was just last week that slave girls and boys where buried-alive by Islamic State In Syria Levant.. OR.. am I wrong?? Curious how liberals attempt to swarm to the aid of the indefensible. Actually, I find it sad how drowning drowning souls climb each others shoulders as the last victims disappear 'neath the waves. I'm buying silver. Don't know 'bout you. Really!

  • dcpayne1@verizon.net dcpayne1 Feb 12, 2015 6:35 PM Flag

    Formore9.. if you can't think of Obama-care for 30 million more.. not costing 'one-dime-more' or free college tuition.. and other goodies.. then, I guess the point is wasted on the fact that, "It is easier to fool the people than to convince them that they've been fooled!".. Mark Twain

SDS
21.49-0.10(-0.46%)Mar 27 4:00 PMEDT